微细水雾除尘技术的实验研究

分析了煤矿并下呼吸性粉尘防治技术现状，并对水的超声雾化技术进行了实验研究，应用回归分析建立了超声雾化性能的数学模型。在分析微细水雾捕尘机理及捕尘水雾凝并沉降技术的基础上，设计了一集微细水雾捕尘-凝聚、凝并降尘-惯性沉降分离为一体的含尘气流净化系统，并对该系统的除尘效率进行了实验研究，建立了相应的数学模型。     

Parameter estimation for fractional dispersion model for rivers

The fractional dispersion model for natural rivers, extended by including a first order reaction term, contains four parameters. In order to estimate these parameters a fractional Laplace transform-based method is developed in this paper. Based on 76 dye test data measured in natural streams, the new parameter estimation method shows that the fractional dispersion operator parameter F is the controlling parameter causing the non-Fickian dispersion and F does not take on an integer constant of 2 but instead varies in the range of 1.4–2.0. The adequacy of the fractional Laplace transform-based parameter estimation method is determined by computing dispersion characteristics of the extended fractional dispersion model and these characteristics are compared with those observed from 12 dye tests conducted on the US rivers, including Mississippi, Red, and Monocacy. The agreement between computed and observed dispersion characteristics is found to be good. When combined with the fractional Laplace transform-based parameter estimation method, the extended fractional dispersion model is capable of accurately simulating the non-Fickian dispersion process in natural streams.     

肇庆星湖水质模型研究

根据星湖水污染特点，建立包括ＮＨ＾＿４－Ｎ，ＮＯ＾－２－Ｎ，ＮＯ＾－３－Ｎ，ＣＢＯＤ，ＤＯ的多元耦合氧平衡模型，Ｐ平衡模拟以及Ｃｈｌａ－Ｐ关系统计模型。模型中的参数采用实验法，经验公式法以及利用实测资料率定等方法，经实测资料验证，模型精度达到基本要求，可用于星湖水质管理实际工作。     

硝基多环芳烃的致突变性与理化参数之间的定量结构活性关系

硝基多环芳烃因具有直接致突变性、潜在致癌性以及在环境中的广泛存在而引起人们的关注。本文在硝基多环芳烃的致突变活性与理化参数（正辛醇－水分配系数、水溶解度、分子连接性指数）之间建立了１０个定量结构活性关系式。并利用溶解度与致突变性之间的结构活性关系对５０种硝基多环芳烃的致突变能力进行预测，正确率达７８％。     

Development of methods for establishing nutrient criteria in lakes and reservoirs: A review

Nutrient criteria provide a scientific foundation for the comprehensive evaluation, prevention,control and management of water eutrophication. In this review, the literature was examined to systematically evaluate the benefits, drawbacks, and applications of statistical analysis,paleolimnological reconstruction, stressor-response model, and model inference approaches for nutrient criteria determination. The developments and challenges in the determination of nutrient criteria in lakes and reservoirs are presented. Reference lakes can reflect the original states of lakes, but reference sites are often unavailable. Using the paleolimnological reconstruction method, it is often difficult to reconstruct the historical nutrient conditions of shallow lakes in which the sediments are easily disturbed. The model inference approach requires sufficient data to identify the appropriate equations and characterize a waterbody or group of waterbodies, thereby increasing the difficulty of establishing nutrient criteria. The stressor-response model is a potential development direction for nutrient criteria determination, and the mechanisms of stressor-response models should be studied further. Based on studies of the relationships among water ecological criteria, eutrophication, nutrient criteria and plankton, methods for determining nutrient criteria should be closely integrated with water management requirements.     

The Importance of Being Spatial (and Reserved): Assessing Northern Spotted Owl Habitat Relationships with Hierarchical Bayesian Models

Abstract:  Regional conservation planning increasingly draws on habitat suitability models to support decisions regarding land allocation and management. Nevertheless, statistical techniques commonly used for developing such models may give misleading results because they fail to account for 3 factors common in data sets of species distribution: spatial autocorrelation, the large number of sites where the species is absent (zero inflation), and uneven survey effort. We used spatial autoregressive models fit with Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques to assess the relationship between older coniferous forest and the abundance of Northern Spotted Owl nest and activity sites throughout the species' range. The spatial random-effect term incorporated in the autoregressive models successfully accounted for zero inflation and reduced the effect of survey bias on estimates of species–habitat associations. Our results support the hypothesis that the relationship between owl distribution and older forest varies with latitude. A quadratic relationship between owl abundance and older forest was evident in the southern portion of the range, and a pseudothreshold relationship was evident in the northern portion of the range. Our results suggest that proposed changes to the network of owl habitat reserves would reduce the proportion of the population protected by up to one-third, and that proposed guidelines for forest management within reserves underestimate the proportion of older forest associated with maximum owl abundance and inappropriately generalize threshold relationships among subregions. Bayesian spatial models can greatly enhance the utility of habitat analysis for conservation planning because they add the statistical flexibility necessary for analyzing regional survey data while retaining the interpretability of simpler models.     

Decentralized scheme for leaks’ location in a branched pipeline

This article presents a novel scheme for the detection and isolation of single leaks in a pipeline with a branch junction by measuring only the flow rate and pressure at the ends of the line. For the solution of this realistic issue, which commonly occurs in pipeline networks, the position of the branch junction and its flow rate are supposed to be known. The idea consists of deriving a model considering the branch junction as a known point in the pipeline such that the leak position is characterized by two possible orientations with respect to the branch (upstream and downstream of it). Thus, this model allows proposing a diagnosis scheme which includes a static selector and two identifiers designed by using a continuous extended Kalman filter with only one deviation parameter to be estimated. This framework reduces the identification task to one parameter which is associated with the deviation from a prescribed positive base position located between one of the pipeline ends and the branch. Simulation and experimental results with data of a hydraulic pilot pipeline of 200 [m] show the promise of the novel scheme.     

Applied tracer tests in fractured rock: Can we predict natural gradient solute transport more accurately than fracture and matrix parameters?

Applied tracer tests provide a means to estimate aquifer parameters in fractured rock. The traditional approach to analysing these tests has been using a single fracture model to find the parameter values that generate the best fit to the measured breakthrough curve. In many cases, the ultimate aim is to predict solute transport under the natural gradient. Usually, no confidence limits are placed on parameter values and the impact of parameter errors on predictions of solute transport is not discussed. The assumption inherent in this approach is that the parameters determined under forced conditions will enable prediction of solute transport under the natural gradient. This paper considers the parameter and prediction uncertainty that might arise from analysis of breakthrough curves obtained from forced gradient applied tracer tests. By adding noise to an exact solution for transport in a single fracture in a porous matrix we create multiple realisations of an initial breakthrough curve. A least squares fitting routine is used to obtain a fit to each realisation, yielding a range of parameter values rather than a single set of absolute values. The suite of parameters is then used to make predictions of solute transport under lower hydraulic gradients and the uncertainty of estimated parameters and subsequent predictions of solute transport is compared. The results of this study show that predictions of breakthrough curve characteristics (first inflection point time, peak arrival time and peak concentration) for groundwater flow speeds with orders of magnitude smaller than that at which a test is conducted can sometimes be determined even more accurately than the fracture and matrix parameters.     

涡流检波器建模研究及参数识别

笔者分析了涡流检波器的工作原理 :综合考虑了检波器磁路系统中 ,外壳、磁靴等部件的电磁感应对固定线圈感应电流的影响 ;建立了七参数的动力学模型。理论分析表明 :涡流检波器的外壳系统的附加耦合效应 ,影响了检波器的频率特性。在上述分析和研究的基础上 ,设计了检波器参数识别实验系统 ;验证了七参数动力学模型的合理性 ;研究的结论为检波器结构设计中改善和控制其特性参数、提高其工作安全可靠性等 ,提供了理论依据。     

试论高压水射流清洗系统的合理匹配

随着高压水射流清洗的应用领域日益广泛， 高压水射流清洗系统的合理匹配已成为急待解决的问题。因为只有高压水射流清洗系统的合理匹配，才能充分发挥高压水射流的高效、高质量清洗及节能、污染小的特点。笔者利用系统分析的方法，从实际应用角度出发，结合理论与实验，从高压泵技术指标的选择、清洗设备的选择及参数简析、清洗压力的选择等几个方面，分析了合理匹配高压水射流清洗系统主要参数的一般方法和原则，并将其应用于铁路罐车的高压水射流清洗系统的匹配。实际应用结果表明，这种方法是行之有效的