论环境移民

由于环境恶化，部分区域出现了一种特殊的人口迁移类型－－环境称民。环境移民是人口增长与环境容量之间矛盾的必然结果，本文对环境移民的概念、要素和实质作了初步的探讨。     

城市空间结构生态化基本原理研究

本文在论述生态化研究在全球经济、社会与城市等领域的普遍性和城市空间结构生态化的涵义及其研究的重要性的基础上，从空间结构状态原理、空间结构效率原理、空间结构关系原理、空间结构发展原理四个方面阐述了城市空间结构生态化的基本原理。     

湖北省1981年以来不同时间尺度气温的变化

详细分析全省７１站１９８１￣１９９４年与前２０年不同时间尺度平均气温差值的时空分布特征后发现，８０年代以来我省各地年均气温变化小，但相对地降温范围广，幅度大，且四季及逐月、甸格局发生重大调整，区域差异明显，其特点是冬久暖，夏久凉，春季前冷后暖，秋季反之、其中以夏凉春热最显著；鄂西山区四季均为负变温。     

New estimates of down syndrome risks at chorionic villus sampling,amniocentesis, and livebirth in women of advanced maternal age from a uniquely defined population

Current measures of livebirth prevalence of Down syndrome are derived from data obtained up to 20 years ago, before the introduction of the prenatal diagnostic tests amniocentesis and chorionic villus sampling (CVS). For women aged 36–52 years, but who were not tested prenatally, we proposed to make a direct estimate of current livebirth prevalence of Down syndrome. We could also determine prevalence at the time of CVS and amniocentesis in women of the same age undergoing prenatal testing. Differences in these prevalences allow an estimation of the relative loss of Down syndrome during pregnancy. In Victoria, Australia, we identified 3041 women having CVS, 7504 having amniocentesis, and 13 139 having no test. Smoothed regression estimates of age-specific livebirth prevalence were found to be higher than in the early studies. The estimate of spontaneous loss was 17 per cent between the time of CVS and amniocentesis, and 18 per cent after the time of amniocentesis. The latter figure is lower than previous estimates and may be explained by a greater likelihood of a Down syndrome fetus surviving to be liveborn, given the modern approach to early obstetric intervention. These current risk estimates of livebirth may be useful updates for genetic counselling, but perhaps more importantly, may be used as precise maternal age-related risk figures, necessary in the design and implementation of prenatal screening programmes for Down syndrome.     

论人口-资源-环境-灾害恶性循环的严重性与减灾工作的新阶段

人口、资源、环境、灾害.这是当今世界考虑人类的生存与发展的四大基本问题,目前均已发出“黄牌警告”.抑制社会与自然向恶性循环方向发展,需唤起全人类的觉醒和国家领导更高的责任感:保护环境和防御大灾.需组织国际交流与协作:协词社会的发展与生存.需促使环保减灾工作纳入发展规划;提高环保减灾的效能.需推动其内部机制走向综合化和社会化,这是90年代国际和国内共同奋斗的目标. 我国是四大基本问题最为严重的少数国家之一,本文列述了有关的一些重要资料,以求在严酷的四大“黄牌”的总况面前.激起社会更广泛的觉醒和行动.最后,简述了对减灾工作的一些设想.     

江南丘陵县域农业资源利用与农业结构优化

针对南方红壤丘陵区农业资源利用的现状，以湖南省桃江县为例，应用灰色关联度模型定量分析了农业各部门产值对农业总产值的影响程度。结果发现，近50年来桃江县农业各部门的关联序列为：种植业（0.887 5）>牧业（0.760 2）>渔业（0.675 6）>林业（0.543 3）。种植业和牧业产值的变化对桃江农业总产值的波动起着主导作用。基于历史统计数据，利用灰色预测模型预测了2001~2005年5年内桃江县农业各部门产值的变化趋势。预测结果表明，各部门发展对农业总产值的关联度分别为：种植业（0.611 3）>渔业（0.358 7）>林业（0.347 6）>牧业（0.334 7）。比较两组关联序列可以清楚发现农业产业各部门的发展潜力。结合桃江农业资源和各部门的发展趋势，提出了桃江县农业结构优化调整的方向。     

关于中国农村剩余劳动力数量的估计

本文结合中国农业生产实际，运用农业技术需求法估算了相关年份第一产业劳动力投入量，在此基础上结合第5次人口普查和第一次农业普查资料，估算了中国农村劳动力二、三产业就业量及剩余劳动力数量，并据此提出了相关政策建议。     

多目标排队决策法——在大连地区土地利用结构调整中的应用

本文采用多目标排队决策法对专家的咨询意见进行了定量处理,从各用地部门的经济、生态和社会效益出发,确定了他们的优先级,并结合土地利用现状对今后的土地利用结构作出了合理的调整规划设想。     

Provincial development plans in Zimbabwe: an analysis of their content,structure and methodology

Zimbabwean provincial plans were instituted to help in the achievement of the national goal of the creation of an egalitarian, socialist and integrated society. The national goal itself was adopted as an antithesis to the dualist society characterised by spatial, economic, social, politican and technological inequalities that Zimbabwe inherited from colonialism. This meant that provincial plans had to play both a functional (or growth allocating/distribution) and a territorial (or redistribution) role.

This paper reviews their role in achieving the national goal by examining their functions, content, structure and methodology. The paper concludes that because of their nature, provincial plans are not suitable tools for the achievement of the national goal.