县域粮食单产及其生产投入因素的空间异质性——以河南省为例

在当前耕地总量很难增加的总体形势下,粮食单产及其生产投入因素的关系研究对国家粮食安全具有重要意义。Moran’s I指数及散点图显示,粮食单产及其OLS(Ordinary Least Squares)估计的残差存在显著的空间自相关性,因而不满足经典线性回归分析的建模条件,而GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression)模型能够克服这一缺陷,并能进行参数的局部估计。河南省108个县的实践表明,GWR模型有效地降低了残差的空间自相关,各项检验指标均好于OLS估计。4个生产投入影响因素的空间分异规律存在显著差异。灌溉因素在OLS和GWR模型中均为正效应,单位播种面积机械动力、单位播种面积化肥施用量(折纯)、单位播种面积用电量3个变量的系数估计值在OLS模型中为负,而在GWR模型中则有正有负,说明存在空间异质性。黄河以北粮食高产区主要受机械动力、灌溉和用电量3个因素的正向影响,化肥投入的再增加反而引致单产降低。淮河沿岸和信阳的粮食高产区主要受化肥施用量和用电量的正向影响。为提高粮食单产,西部山地、丘陵县的粮食低产区应加强机械动力投入并提高用电效率,最西部的山地县还应适度增加化肥的用量。     

浑善达克沙地榆树疏林生态系统的空间异质性

榆树疏林生态系统是浑善达克沙地的重要组分之一运用生物统计学(U检验和相关性分析等)和地统计学的方法(半方差分析和空间局部插值),研究了浑善达克沙地榆树疏林生态系统的土壤有机质(SOM)、土壤全氮(STN)、土壤pH(SpH)、土壤含水量(SWC)和草本层盖度(HC)的空间异质性,并探讨了它们之间以及与榆树空间位置的关系.研究结果表明:SOM、STN、SpH、SWC和HC的分布格局均具有明显的空间异质性和空间自相关性,它们的空间格局与榆树的空间分布有明显的相关性.在此基础上,应用空间局部插值法,绘制了各个性状的空间等值分布图.通过等值分布图直观的分析了榆树与各研究性状的空间格局的关系,探讨榆树对疏林生态系统土壤性状和草本层植物分布的空间异质性的影响,以及榆树下成为草原上的沃岛(fertility island)的原因.     

Association patterns of sailfin mollies (Poecilia latipinna): alternative hypotheses

Individuals may associate with each other due to a variety of selective forces, such as intra- and intersexual selection, and conspecific recognition. Previous studies have concluded that mate choice governs association behavior in polygynous species of fish. I examined whether mate choice underlies the preference for larger individuals by examining preference for association (time spent in proximity to a fish) not only between opposite-sex individuals but also between same-sex individuals of the live-bearing sailfin molly (Poecilia latipinna). Males and females from three size classes were tested with a large and a small object fish of the same and opposite sex. Females preferred to associate with larger over smaller males. Males also preferred to associate with larger over smaller females, as expected. The same female and male test fish also preferred to associate with larger over smaller fish of the same sex. Moreover, females demonstrated no significant difference in their strength of preference (large–small) when offered males or females. The same held true for males. When males and females were subsequently tested with one large male and one large female, females tended to prefer large males while males showed no significant preference for association based on sex. In another experiment, females were tested with a large female and a small male, and significantly preferred the former. These findings suggest that association patterns may have arisen under a variety of conditions, such as predation pressures, shoaling behavior, and associative preference behavior. The assumption that association behavior is a uniformly sufficient predictor of mate choice in fish needs to be re-examined for P. latipinna and other species. Received: 6 November 1998 / Received in revised form: 12 May 1999 / Accepted: 12 May 1999     

北京市河流水生态健康时空异质性及改善路径研究

河流生态系统是人类社会得以生存与发展的基本条件,河流水生态健康对保障区域水安全,避免水灾害具有重要意义.随着城市化的不断推进,河流生态系统面临着巨大挑战,水生态风险及灾害呈现广发、频发和深发态势.通过汇总北京市五大流域河流水生态健康状况评估相关研究,识别区域水生态系统主要问题,诊断水生态健康问题产生的原因.结果表明,北...     

鄱阳湖典型洲滩湿地土壤质地与水分特征参数研究

频繁干湿交替增强了鄱阳湖洲滩土壤水对湿地系统的动态调节作用。以鄱阳湖吴城国家自然保护区的一个典型洲滩湿地为研究区,调查分析了土壤质地沿高程梯度的分布特征,确定了不同土壤质地的水分特征参数,并阐述了土壤质地与其水分特征参数的空间异质性。结果发现:该洲滩湿地主要分布砂土、粉壤土和粘土三种类型。水平断面方向上,粒径较粗的砂土和粉壤土主要分布在高位滩地,而粒径相对较细的粘土主要分布在近湖区开阔水面的低位滩地;土壤剖面方向上,土壤质地呈现出固有分层特性。van Genuchten模型应用于鄱阳湖洲滩湿地土壤水分特征曲线拟合,证实了该模型在鄱阳湖洲滩湿地的适用性。模型结果表明土壤残余含水率θr变化约9%~19%,饱和含水率θs变化约42%~57%,土壤进气值的倒数α约0.01 cm~(–1),水分特征曲线形状参数n介于1.11~4.65之间。土壤含水率变化对van Genuchten模型中参数α和n较为敏感,而对θr和θs的敏感性相对较弱。研究成果可为后续该区域以及全湖区湿地生态水文模型的构建和发展提供背景信息和参数资料。     

国家级新区发展异质性及驱动机制研究——以上海浦东新区和南京江北新区为例

国家级新区建设是转型期国家推动新型工业化和城镇化战略的重要手段,推动了城市空间重构和功能重组,从而成为城市研究热点。从经济发展、人口集聚规模以及建设用地扩张三个维度刻画对比了上海浦东新区和南京江北新区的发展的异质性,并进一步剖析发展的驱动机制,发现两地发展异质性的表象原因是发展阶段的差异,更深层的是区域发展驱动机制的差异:交通等基础设施建设能强化新区与母城的联系,是实现新区快速健康发展的基础,浦东新区完善的交通运输体系对所在区域及全市的经济快速增长产生了重要影响;而全球资本汇聚、产城融合、城市大事件营销是新区快速发展的重要驱动力;发展型政府的作用及政治精英的影响力对国家级新区发展也具有重要的推动作用。基于上述研究,对于新型工业化和城镇化背景下新区的健康发展提出了政策建议。     

不同主体功能区农户家庭耕地利用功能对土地流转行为的影响

城乡经济转型及农村人口快速城市化促使农户家庭耕地利用功能较传统利用方式发生转变,农户家庭耕地生存依赖度弱化促进土地流转市场发育。以湖北省重点开发区、农产品主产区和生态功能区的1 146户农户调查数据为实证,运用Biprobit模型分析不同主体功能区农户家庭耕地利用功能对土地流转行为的影响。研究表明:(1)调研区域41.10%的农户家庭参与土地流转,土地流入转出租金分别为2 751.12元/hm~2、4 391.33元/hm~2,土地流转发生率较高但租金水平整体偏低,且在区域间存在显著差异。重点开发区土地流转市场发育较好,流转参与率及租金水平较高;农产品主产区流转参与率较高,但租金水平较低;生态功能区土地流转参与率及租金水平较低,流转市场发育迟缓。(2)区域间功能定位、经济发展水平的差异导致农户家庭耕地利用功能空间差异明显。其中,生态功能区农户耕地资源利用的食物生产功能弱化明显,而重点开发区和农产品主产区则明显弱化耕地资源的养老就业功能。(3)整体而言,农户家庭耕地利用功能对土地流转行为影响显著。其中,家庭耕地利用在经济贡献、养老就业及食物生产等方面承担的功能越强,其家庭做出土地转出决策的可能性愈小;而选择土地流入的可能性也越大,而家庭耕地利用所表征的选择馈赠功能越强,其家庭越倾向于留存土地,且区域差异明显。重点开发区的相关系数及显著程度较高,作用方向与整体基本一致;生态功能区的相关系数及显著程度最低,且作用方向偏离整体幅度较大。表明经济发展程度越快的地区,土地流转发育受耕地利用功能的影响越明显。     

In-between regional disparities and spatial heterogeneity: a multivariate analysis of territorial divides in Italy

Processes such as economic polarization, social disparities and the asymmetric distribution of natural capital are becoming progressively more interlinked in developed countries and may reflect the uneven decline of the ‘centre-periphery’ model. The assessment of regional disparities and spatial heterogeneity in socioeconomic phenomena is a key issue in regional studies and takes advantage of the use of multi-domain frameworks and decision support systems. We performed an exploratory analysis of 133 indicators assessing seven thematic domains (demography/settlements, labour market, economic structure, quality of life, agriculture/rural development, landscape/water, environment/soil resources) with the aim of investigating regional disparities in Italy in the light of territorial changes driven by urbanization, industrial decentralization, agricultural intensification and land abandonment. The results of our study indicate that latitude, elevation and urban gradients have determined a complex spatial pattern in both socioeconomic and environmental variables in Italy. The proposed approach provides an overall assessment of the intensity of territorial disparities on a regional scale for each thematic domain, and of intra-region spatial heterogeneity for each indicator, representing a decision-making tool for policies targeting a sustainable and spatially balanced development.     

Single- and dual-porosity modelling of flow in reclaimed mine soil cores with embedded lignitic fragments

Lignitic mine soils represent a typical two-scale dual-porosity medium consisting of a technogenic mixture of overburden sediments that include lignitic components as dust and as porous fragments embedded within a mostly coarse-textured matrix. Flow and transport processes in such soils are not sufficiently understood to predict the course of soil reclamation or of mine drainage. The objective of this contribution is to identify the most appropriate conceptual model for describing small-scale heterogeneity effects on flow on the basis of the physical structure of the system. Multistep flow experiments on soil cores are analyzed using either mobile–immobile or mobile–mobile type 1D dual-porosity models, and a 3D numerical model that considers a local-scale distribution of fragments. Simulations are compared with time series' of upward infiltration and matric potential heads measured at two depths using miniature tensiometers. The 3D and the 1D dual-permeability models yielded comparable results as long as pressure heads are in local equilibrium; however, could describe either the upward infiltration or the matric potential curves but not both at the same time. The mobile–immobile type dual-porosity model failed to describe the data. A simultaneous match with pressure heads and upward infiltration data could only be obtained with the 1D dual-permeability model (i.e., mobile–mobile) by assuming an additional restriction of the inter-domain water transfer. These results indicate that for unsaturated flow conditions at higher matric potential heads (i.e., here >− 40 hPa), water in a restricted part of the fragment domain must be more mobile as compared to water in the sandy matrix domain. Closer inspections of the pore system and first neutron radiographic imaging support the hypothesis that a more continuous pore region exists at these pressure heads in the vicinity of the lignitic fragments possibly formed by fragment contacts and a lignitic dust interface-region between the two domains. The results suggest that the small-scale structure is too complex as to be represented by weighted contributions of individual components alone.     

A field experiment with variable-suction multi-compartment samplers to measure the spatio-temporal distribution of solute leaching in an agricultural soil

Solutes spread out in time and space as they move downwards from the soil surface with infiltrating water. Solute monitoring in the field is often limited to observations of resident concentrations, while flux concentrations govern the movement of solutes in soils. A recently developed multi-compartment sampler is capable of measuring fluxes at a high spatial resolution with minimal disturbance of the local pressure head field. The objective of this paper is to use this sampler to quantify the spatial and temporal variation of solute leaching below the root zone in an agricultural field under natural rainfall in winter and spring. We placed two samplers at 31 and 25 cm depth in an agricultural field, leaving the soil above undisturbed. Each sampler contained 100 separate cells of 31 × 31 mm. Water fluxes were measured every 5 min for each cell. We monitored leaching of a chloride pulse under natural rainfall by frequently extracting the collected leachate while leaving the samplers buried in situ. This experiment was followed by a dye tracer experiment. This setting yielded information that widely surpassed the information that can be provided by separate anionic and dye tracer trials, and solute transport monitoring by coring or suction cups. The detailed information provided by the samplers showed that percolation at the sampling depth started much faster (approximately 3 h after the start of rainfall) in initially wet soil (pressure head above − 65 cm) than in drier soil (more than 14 h at pressure heads below − 80 cm). At any time, 25% of the drainage passed through 5–6% of the sampled area, reflecting the effect of heterogeneity on the flow paths. The amount of solute carried by individual cells varied over four orders of magnitude. The lateral concentration differences were limited though. This suggests a convective–dispersive regime despite the short vertical travel distance. On the other hand, the dilution index indicates a slight tendency towards stochastic–convective transport at this depth. There was no evidence in the observed drainage patterns and dye stained profiles of significant disturbance of the flow field by the samplers.