混沌理论在事故分析及预测中的应用

在对江苏常州市某公司安全事故资料进行大量调查与统计的基础上,应用混沌理论分析了该公司安全事故的混沌特征,指出了事故对初始条件的敏感依赖性和事故的长期不可预测性。应用重构相空间理论对安全事故次数的时间序列进行了分析和预测。同时,还对安全事故统计资料进行了R/S分析,得出该时间序列以2 0 0 1年6月为界限,存在两个Hurst指数,H1=1.6 82 8和H2 =0 .2 936 ,表明在以3个月为时间统计尺度的条件下,事故发生次数在前一时间段整体表现为持久相关性,而在后一时间段表现为反持久相关性。预测与分析结果与实际情况符合较好,表明应用混沌理论进行事故分析与预测是可行的,反映了事故的发展趋势。     

Effects of recreational use on forested sites

Impact of recreational activities on soil and vegetation was evaluated in eight forested camping and picnic areas in southern Rhode Island. Forest vegetation consists of mixed-oak and white pine stands. Soils are of granitic glacial till or outwash origin and textures range from loamy sand to find sandy loam. Recreational use resulted in significant compaction of soils as indexed by soil penetration resistance and bulk density. Evidence indicates that compaction influences bulk densities to a depth of about 12.7 cm. Rates of water infiltration are less on recreation areas. Soil water accretion and depletion during the growing season are less rapid on recreation sites than on control sites. Differences are attributed to reduced infiltration, percolation, and rooting activity. Much of the ground surface on recreation areas is devoid of vegetation. The surface consists primarily of bare mineral soil, rock, or litter. The plants most commonly present are grasses. Native ground cover vegetation including tree seedlings, ericaceous shrubs and herbs has been eliminated or greatly reduced by trampling. Damage to tree trunks is common in recreation areas. White pine radial growth and scarlet oak height growth were significantly less on recreation sites. Scarlet oak appears intolerant to heavy recreation use.     

钛酸四丁酯水解制备TiO_2半导体光催化剂研究

研究了钛酸四丁酯水解制备TiO2 粉末的两大影响因素R值 (R是水和钛酸四丁酯的摩尔比 )和烧结温度 .通过光催化氧化五氯苯酚钠实验 ,结合对催化剂晶型结构、比表面积的表征分析 ,综合评价所制备的催化剂 .实验结果表明 ,当R =10 0、烧结温度为 6 5 0℃、烧结时间为 1h ,钛酸四丁酯水解所制备的TiO2 半导体光催化剂催化活性和使用寿命均比较理想 .从晶型结构分析 ,当催化剂中锐钛矿和金红石按一定比例共存时 ,其催化活性较单一金红石或锐钛矿高 .实验认为锐钛矿与金红石的最佳比约为 2∶1     

东乌铁路建设对沿线生态环境的影响与防治对策

采用3S技术,结合实地调查和收集资料方法,对新建地方铁路内蒙古东胜至乌海线沿线生态环境进行现状评价的基础上,以土地利用、植被类型、野生动物和土壤侵蚀为评价对象,采用类比调查法和定性定量法对铁路建设对沿线生态环境的影响进行了评价,并提出了东乌铁路建设对沿线生态环境影响的减缓措施和保护措施,为铁路工程建设合理设计工程和施工场地提供科学依据.     

新生MnO2对直接染料废水的脱色作用

以化学法合成的新生MnO2作吸附剂，对直接桃红12B（Direct red 12B)，直接大红4B（Direct reb 4B)，直接耐晒蓝B2RL（Direct Fast blue B2RL)染料废水进行脱色研究，探讨了影响吸附的因素，结果表明：新生MnO2对三种染料的吸附符合Langmuir吸附等温式，吸附速率大，在适宜条件下对直接桃红，直接大红，直接耐晒蓝的脱色率分别为95．5％，96．2％和98．9％。     

华北几次大震前弱震分布参数R(t)的异常变化

本文详细研究了1974年以来华北地区9次Ms≥5.0级大震前,小震时空分布参数R(t)的变化特征.结果表明:华北地区9次Ms≥5.0级大震前小震时空分布参数R(t)值均出现了先上升,然后下降直至主震发生的异常图象。根据R(t)值异常可能对未来发生的大震作出一定程度的预报.文中对R(t)值异常变化的机制进行了初步讨论.     

Selection of poly(R)-3-hydroxybutyric acid utilising bacteria by enrichment,optimisation and compatibility testing for consortia development

Bacterial strains with poly-3-hydroxybutyrate (PHB) degradation potential were isolated from waste yard soil samples of selected industrial sites in Uttarakhand, India, and two microbial consortia were developed, i.e. Consortium I comprises Pseudomonas sp. strain Rb10, Pseudomonas sp. strain Rb11 and Bacillus sp. strain Rb18, and Consortium II is composed of Lysinibacillus sp. strain Rb1, Pseudomonas sp. strain Rb13 and Pseudomonas sp. strain Rb19. The current study involved enrichment selection via liquid and semi-solid media, followed by isolation and screening of bacterial strains using PHB pellets and films. Furthermore, the identification and characterisation was done by triphasic approach. The utilisation of PHB by the characterised strains was confirmed by Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy and scanning electron microscopy. Moreover, the minimum inhibitory concentration of solubilised PHB was found to be 2.5?mg/mL, which was detected through ‘clear zone assay’. Further, the selection and biocompatibility testing of potential isolates were performed for the formation of bacterial consortia. Thus, the present work would provide direct and standardised protocol for screening and selection of potential microbiomes for biodegradation of polymers by overcoming the negative effect of organic solvents. Moreover, indigenously developed consortia would be evaluated for their in situ biodegradation potential against various bioplastic films.     

基于 M －MP2R 的现代安全管理方法研究

如何减少事故造成的人员伤亡和经济损失,有效预防事故及高效处置事故是现代安全管理研究的方向。基于PDCA理论的研究以及现代应急管理和现代安全管理的发展趋势,提出M －MP2R动态的现代安全管理新方法,构建M－MP2R模型与体系,模拟出M－MP2R运行流程,分析M－MP2R的特点,并指出其存在的问题,丰富了现代安全管理的研究内容。     

R/S法的土石坝施工期沉降规律及预警标准研究

为提高施工期土石坝沉降安全性,研究其具有复杂非线性特征的施工期沉降规律和相应的预警标准。基于国内某在建高土石坝的沉降数据,采用R/S法分析坝体不同高程测点、同高程测点和同测点不同时期沉降数据的Hurst指数及分形维数,提出评价坝体施工期沉降安全性的预警标准。结果表明:各测点的Hurst指数最小值为0.763,坝内各处沉降仍处于快速增长阶段;坝体下部比上部、中部比下游堆石区沉降能更快趋于稳定,且坝体下部的沉降速率已经渐趋平缓。