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51.
Climatic hazards warning process in Bangladesh: Experience of,and lessons from,the 1991 April cyclone 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
C. Emdad Haque 《Environmental management》1995,19(5):719-734
Science and technology cannot control entirely the causes of natural hazards. However, by using multifaceted programs to modify
the physical and human use systems, the potential losses from disasters can effectively be minized. Predicting, identifying,
monitoring, and forecasting extreme meteorological events are the preliminary actions towards mitigating the cyclone-loss
potential of coastal inhabitants, but without the successful dissemination of forecasts and relevant information, and without
appropriate responses by the potential victims, the loss potential would probably remain the same. This study examines the
process through which warning of the impending disastrous cyclone of April 1991 was received by the local communities and
disseminated throughout the coastal regions of Bangladesh. It is found that identification of the threatening condition due
to atmospheric disturbance, monitoring of the hazard event, and dissemination of the cyclone warning were each very successful.
However, due to a number of socioeconomic and cognitive factors, the reactions and responses of coastal inhabitants to the
warning were in general passive, resulting in a colossal loss, both at the individual and national level. The study recommends
that the hazard mitigation policies should be integrated with national economic development plans and programs. Specifically,
it is suggested that, in order to attain its goals, the cyclone warning system should regard the aspects of human response
to warnings as a constituent part and accommodate human dimensions in its operational design. 相似文献
52.
Understanding how hydraulic factors control alluvial river meander migration can help resource managers evaluate the long-term
effects of floodplain management and bank stabilization measures. Using a numerical model based on the mechanics of flow and
sediment transport in curved river channels, we predict 50 years of channel migration and suggest the planning and ecological
implications of that migration for a 6.4-km reach (river miles 218–222) of the Sacramento River near the Woodson Bridge State
Recreation Area, California, USA.
Using four different channel management scenarios, our channel migration simulations suggest that: (1) channel stabilization
alters the future channel planform locally and downstream from the stabilization; (2) rock revetment currently on the bank
upstream from the Woodson Bridge recreation area causes more erosion of the channel bank at the recreation area than if the
revetment were not present; (3) relocating the channel to the west and allowing subsequent unconstrained river migration relieves
the erosion pressure in the Woodson Bridge area; (4) the subsequent migration reworks (erodes along one river bank and replaces
new floodplain along the other) 26.5 ha of land; and (5) the river will rework between 8.5 and 48.5 ha of land in the study
reach (over the course of 50 years), depending on the bank stabilization plan used. The reworking of floodplain lands is an
important riparian ecosystem function that maintains habitat heterogeneity, an essential factor for the long-term survival
of several threatened and endangered animal species in the Sacramento River area. 相似文献
53.
For about 50 years the desertion of areas by traditional activities has led to an important evolution of landscapes and environments
on the island of Ouessant. The study of this evolution has been undertaken at different spatial and temporal scales. On one
part of the island, a scientific investigation carried out at the scale of the parcel enabled the form of the landscape in
1850 to be compared with that of 1985. On the whole island, the evolution of spatial organization and land use was compared
between 1950 and 1985. For each of three main ecological environments, vegetational successions after the decrease of agriculture
have been studied along with their future potential changes. This work highlights some considerations about the present management
of the environment in relation to the major objectives of island environmental policies. 相似文献
54.
55.
根据加卸载响应比理论,通过对1991~1996年江苏省部分井孔观测资料固体潮加卸载响应比的计算发现,在中强地震前一年左右的时间震中区附近的井孔出现了响应比高值异常。通过空间图像扫描可以看出:在苍山地震前一年左右,徐州、宿迁地区出现了加卸载响应比的高值集中区;在南黄海地震前一年左右,在镇江、苏州地区出现了高值集中区,之后高值集中区有自西向东迁移即有向震中区迁移的迹象。 相似文献
56.
57.
河口拦门沙的存在可导致径流流出不畅,并能引起一系列的河口生态及环境问题。特别是弯曲型河口,在波浪流、河川径流及弯道副流的共同作用下,拦门沙的形成及演变将更为复杂。通过对日本渚滑川河口多次实地调查资料的分析,揭示了渚滑川河口拦门沙的演变特性。结果表明:渚滑川河口修筑防波堤后,在东北方向的海洋入射波作用下,拦门沙由河口右岸发育并向左岸逐渐延伸扩展,其河水流动也相应由右岸偏向左岸一侧;不论河口有无拦门沙,3次洪水在右岸的最大冲深均稳定在-6m高程,且河床横剖面的形状基本不变,即汛期时该河口河床形状已达平衡状态。 相似文献
58.
通过对雾灵山国家级自然保护区的调查,研究保护区的生态沿革,分析保护区的生态功能、生态作用等生态效应,针对当前所存在的草甸严重退化、动物种群密度降低、水量减少等生态问题,提出对保护区的生态环境应尽快制定环境保护规范化,建立生物多样性保护权威机构,实行社区共管,开展科学生态旅游等措施。 相似文献
59.
以型钢高强混凝土(SRHSC)梁为研究对象,结合SRHSC梁受力机理及承载能力的试验研究成果,提出了极限状态下的承载能力是评价梁力学性能的关键指标,将损伤前后梁正截面抗弯承载力之比和斜截面抗剪承载力之比的均值作为自变量,给出了SRHSC梁损伤表征函数,并借助"预定损伤法",揭示了主要设计参数对SRHSC梁损伤演化的影响规律。研究成果将为建立地震激励下SRHSC框架结构楼层损伤模型提供理论和数据支持。 相似文献
60.
突发事件情景演化及关键要素提取方法 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
针对突发事件应急处置难度大的特点,突发事件应急管理模式必须向"情景-应对"转变。从系统复杂性、开放式预先设想以及序贯性三个主要原则的角度理解突发事件情景演化的机理,构建了突发事件情景演化系统模型,并以此为基础设计了突发事件情景网络关键要素的提取方法。该方法以危险源形成、突发事件演化以及应急响应三方面主要内容为情景网络的主体,以三方面主要内容所涉及的影响因素为分支,适当的选取情景网络关键要素并将关键要素分为四类。该方法的提出弥补了情景网络关键要素提取方法理论的空白,为突发事件情景构建提供了理论支持。 相似文献