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701.
Thomas R. Harris Chauncey T. K. Ching 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1983,19(2):205-210
ABSTRACT: Tradeoffs between regional economic development and resource use is a question often confronting local decisionmakers. A resource-interindustry model can be used to depict the interrelationships between regional economic sectors as to household income and/or employment and resource use. A resource-interindustry model was developed for Humboldt and Lander Counties in Nevada which shows the tradeoffs between regional household income (wages, salaries, profits, and rents) and/or employment and water usage. Water income and water employment multipliers can be ranked, enabling decisionmakers to realize sectors which require greatest regional water usage to regional household income and/or employment. 相似文献
702.
Understanding how hydraulic factors control alluvial river meander migration can help resource managers evaluate the long-term
effects of floodplain management and bank stabilization measures. Using a numerical model based on the mechanics of flow and
sediment transport in curved river channels, we predict 50 years of channel migration and suggest the planning and ecological
implications of that migration for a 6.4-km reach (river miles 218–222) of the Sacramento River near the Woodson Bridge State
Recreation Area, California, USA.
Using four different channel management scenarios, our channel migration simulations suggest that: (1) channel stabilization
alters the future channel planform locally and downstream from the stabilization; (2) rock revetment currently on the bank
upstream from the Woodson Bridge recreation area causes more erosion of the channel bank at the recreation area than if the
revetment were not present; (3) relocating the channel to the west and allowing subsequent unconstrained river migration relieves
the erosion pressure in the Woodson Bridge area; (4) the subsequent migration reworks (erodes along one river bank and replaces
new floodplain along the other) 26.5 ha of land; and (5) the river will rework between 8.5 and 48.5 ha of land in the study
reach (over the course of 50 years), depending on the bank stabilization plan used. The reworking of floodplain lands is an
important riparian ecosystem function that maintains habitat heterogeneity, an essential factor for the long-term survival
of several threatened and endangered animal species in the Sacramento River area. 相似文献
703.
The objective of this paper is to develop a general pricing model for Turkish Lignite, which is mainly sold to thermal plants. This model will contribute to the development of coal mining within the scope of privatization efforts of the Turkish energy market. The paper consists of two stages. First, data of 10 thermal plants have been evaluated by using hedonic pricing analysis to determine influential price parameters. The results of hedonic regression analysis indicate the effect and importance of calorific value and electricity price on lignite prices. Second, a general coal-pricing model has been developed by taking into account the results of hedonic analysis. Comparison of the coal prices estimated by the developed pricing model and the coal prices obtained from thermal plants indicates an acceptable relation. 相似文献
704.
705.
Chao‐Hsien Liaw Yao‐Lung Tsai Mow‐Soung Cheng 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2006,42(2):311-322
The Keelung River Basin in northern Taiwan lies immediately upstream of the Taipei metropolitan area. The Shijr area is in the lower basin and is subject to frequent flooding. This work applies micromanagement and source control, including widely distributed infiltration and detention/ retention runoff retarding measures, in the Wudu watershed above Shijr. A method is also developed that combines a genetic algorithm and a rainfall runoff model to optimize the spatial distribution of runoff retarding facilities. Downstream of Wudu in the Shijr area, five dredging schemes are considered. If 10‐year flood flows cannot be confined in the channel, then a levee embankment that corresponds to the respective runoff retarding scheme will be required. The minimum total cost is considered in the rule to select from the regional flood mitigation alternatives. The results of this study reveal that runoff retarding facilities installed in the upper and middle parts of the watershed are most effective in reducing the flood peak. Moreover, as the cost of acquiring land for the levee embankment increases, installing runoff retarding measures in the upper portion of the watershed becomes more economical. 相似文献
706.
Moon Seong Rang Min Goo Kang Seung Woo Park Jeong Jae Lee Ryung Hak Yoo 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2006,42(2):473-486
The main focus of this study was to compare the Grey model and several artificial neural network (ANN) models for real time flood forecasting, including a comparison of the models for various lead times (ranging from one to six hours). For hydrological applications, the Grey model has the advantage that it can easily be used in forecasting without assuming that forecast storm events exhibit the same stochastic characteristics as the storm events themselves. The major advantage of an ANN in rainfall‐runoff modeling is that there is no requirement for any prior assumptions regarding the processes involved. The Grey model and three ANN models were applied to a 2,509 km2 watershed in the Republic of Korea to compare the results for real time flood forecasting with from one to six hours of lead time. The fifth‐order Grey model and the ANN models with the optimal network architectures, represented by ANN1004 (34 input nodes, 21 hidden nodes, and 1 output node), ANN1010 (40 input nodes, 25 hidden nodes, and 1 output node), and ANN1004T (14 input nodes, 21 hidden nodes, and 1 output node), were adopted to evaluate the effects of time lags and differences between area mean and point rainfall. The Grey model and the ANN models, which provided reliable forecasts with one to six hours of lead time, were calibrated and their datasets validated. The results showed that the Grey model and the ANN1010 model achieved the highest level of performance in forecasting runoff for one to six lead hours. The ANN model architectures (ANN1004 and ANN1010) that used point rainfall data performed better than the model that used mean rainfall data (ANN1004T) in the real time forecasting. The selected models thus appear to be a useful tool for flood forecasting in Korea. 相似文献
707.
708.
709.
江苏省城市防汛决策支持系统研究 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2
在分析江苏省城市防汛问题的基础上,设计了其防汛决策支持系统;根据江苏省城市洪涝灾情特点研建和选用了适宜的数学模型,该模型可以迅速、可靠和正确地模拟城市雨情、水情、灾情的发展过程和可能后果,为城市防汛决策提供多层次的信息服务和多种支持手段。 相似文献
710.
天津市城区暴雨沥涝仿真模拟系统的研究 总被引:11,自引:3,他引:11
天津市位于黄河水系尾闾,是我国北方重要的工业和港口城市。该市历史上一直遭受洪涝灾害的威胁,加之近几年市区范围不断扩大,不透水面积增加,排水能力远远不能适应城市的发展要求,城市沥涝问题日趋严重。为了掌握天津市暴雨沥涝的规律,减轻洪涝灾害对该市的影响,作者利用二维不恒定流水动力学模型和计算机信息管理及图形技术,采用Power Station Fortran 4.0和Visual Basic5.0编程语言,在Widows98环境下开发了天津市暴雨沥涝仿真模拟系统。该系统首次实现了从城市暴雨预报、监测到城市暴雨沥涝仿真模拟的研究, 不仅能够处理实时的不均匀的降雨信息,还能处理数值预报模型的预报降雨信息。系统的信息前后处理模块用图形方式管理仿真模型的各类信息,方便用户显示、查询和修改,使系统更加完整、实用。 相似文献