滇池流域TN、TP入湖负荷预报预警系统

以流域模型HSPF和贝叶斯递归回归树算法(BRRT)为计算模块,建立了滇池流域27条主要入湖河流和33个散流区的TN、TP入湖负荷预报预警系统.同时,构建了考虑历史排放规律和预测负荷计算预警指数(EWI)评价预警等级的两套预警体系.结果表明:BRRT替代模型在流域内以农业面源为主的柴河子流域校准和验证的可决系数R2均大于0.8,模拟结果相对可靠;根据预警时间选取预警体系;适用于6月份之前的预警体系一(EWS-1),利用现状排放量和历史排放量的关系计算预警指数.适用于6月份之后的预警体系二(EWS-2),主要考虑现状排放量、历史平均排放量、排放限值和预测排放量之间的关系计算3个预警指数,最终以最严格的作为综合预警指数EWI评价预警等级;根据柴河子流域"十二五"规划的TN和TP排放限值为130.2 t·a-1、6.8 t·a-1,应用此系统对2011年2、4、9和11月做出预警检验,各月份预警结果基本处于红色和黑色预警,该系统可为流域提供预警支持.     

Voting on sustainable transport: communication and governance challenges in Greater Manchester's ‘congestion charge’ referendum

In December 2008, the Greater Manchester electorate voted to reject a £3 billion package of transport measures that would have included investment in the conurbation's bus, tram and rail networks and walking and cycling infrastructure, together with, and partially funded by, the introduction of a congestion charge. The proposals followed a successful bid to the UK Government Transport Innovation Fund (TIF). High levels of car use present challenges to cities, and the TIF bid can be seen as an attempt to address these by promoting and facilitating a modal shift. The paper reflects on the debates surrounding the proposals, which led to a referendum. In particular, it explores the challenges of communicating complex, controversial plans in a fragmented and contested political arena.     

Disaster governance and community resilience: reflections on Typhoon Morakot in Taiwan

Typhoon Morakot triggered flooding and mudslides in various areas and devastated Aboriginal villages located near areas under construction by the Water Diversion Project in Kaohsiung County. This paper examines the controversy surrounding Typhoon Morakot in Taiwan from the perspective of disaster governance. This study provides competing perspectives regarding who was responsible for causing the disaster. Post-disaster reconstruction initiatives by the government tend to adopt a technical approach to risk, and do not incorporate the complex social and cultural dimensions of vulnerability and sustainability. This perspective reflects misrecognition problems, and the lack of empowerment and participation in governance by residents, as well as their exclusion in decision making. Aboriginal civic groups have various methods of interacting with local residents to alleviate the suffering of survivors, promoting tribal culture and building resilient communities. This continuing development of social interactions and new forms of engagement will effectuate transformation and contribute to broader reflections on the Morakot disaster and social capability and building resilience.     

Recentralisation through regionalisation in the implementation of Rural Development Policy in Scotland

In environmental policy, good governance is pertinent when inclusive decision making is recurrently associated with effective outcomes. This paper explores the European Union's good governance principles and the extent to which these have been adopted in the Rural Development Policy in Scotland. For the programme period 2007–2013 Scotland's Rural Priorities scheme has moved towards decentralisation by introducing regional decision-making committees. This study assesses the impact of this scheme on multi-level stakeholder relationships and the implications on policy outcomes. To do so, the study adopts a mixed method approach, applying a stakeholder mapping technique, to quantify perceptions of influence and interest and triangulate with data from in-depth semi-structured interviews. Results indicate that the attempts to widen decision making has resulted in a number of stakeholders perceiving themselves as less empowered. This analytical approach can provide the baseline against which governance improvements can be measured in the formulation of future policies.     

Regulatory failures,split-incentives,conflicting interests and a vicious circle of blame: the New Environmental Governance to the rescue?

This paper addresses a current trend of New Environmental Governance (NEG). It examines whether NEG is able to overcome a series of complex regulatory barriers and market shortfalls that stand in the way of carbon emissions reductions in the building sector. Building on an evaluation of 20 NEG arrangements from Australia and the Netherlands, it discusses the limits of the effective implementation and use of NEG in this sector. The paper concludes by suggesting three strategies to improve the performance of NEG arrangements in the building sector.     

基于RUSLE模型的延河流域2001-2010年土壤侵蚀动态变化

以黄土高原典型丘陵沟壑区--延河流域为研究区, 基于GIS和RS技术, 利用2001-2010年延河流域水文站月降雨量数据、MODIS NDVI数据、DEM数据、土壤类型数据和土地利用数据,率定了修正的通用土壤流失方程(RUSLE)的相关参数,计算了研究区2001-2010年逐年的土壤侵蚀模数, 利用杏河水文站实测的泥沙数据, 验证了模型的有效性,分析了延河流域土壤侵蚀强度的时空变化特征。结果表明,2001年到2010年延河流域土壤侵蚀模数呈减小趋势,2001年土壤侵蚀模数最大,为6 596.72 t/(km²·a),2008年土壤侵蚀模数最小,减小到2 485.46 t/(km²·a),降低62.32%;2009年由于暴雨冲刷,土壤侵蚀模数显著增大;2010年土壤侵蚀模数和2006、2007年相差不多;土壤侵蚀强度分布比例变化明显,土壤侵蚀强度为强度、极强、剧烈的面积比分别由16.21%、21.93%和12.36%降低为10.85%、4.58%和0.39%。土壤侵蚀强度等级转移矩阵表明大部分地区的土壤侵蚀强度向低一级转移,2001-2005年31.68%的面积土壤侵蚀强度降低一级,2005-2010年42.13%的面积土壤侵蚀强度降低一级。     

ISO 26000框架下的煤矿安全管理

随着国际标准化组织制定的社会责任指南(ISO26000)颁布日期的临近,企业社会责任再次被提上日程,企业的各项管理工作也需要在履行社会责任的前提下开展。本文针对煤炭企业安全事故频发的现状,将煤矿安全置于社会责任框架下进行研究。论文在对ISO26000进行概述的基础上,讨论煤炭企业履行社会责任对煤矿安全的影响,提出社会责任框架下,煤矿安全管理的建议。     

中国省域空间单元绿色治理效率测度及其空间格局特征

全文构建广义面板三阶段DEA模型,实证测度2008～2019年我国31个省域绿色治理效率,基于外部环境和投影分析探究绿色治理的改进方向;利用空间自相关模型,判断省域绿色治理效率的潜在关联;通过空间引力模型、社会网络分析法,明确各省域绿色治理效率的空间关联规模,形成网络拓扑结构下的绿色治理效率社会网络.研究发现,中国省域...     

国家战略区域主要环境问题识别与生态环境分区管治策略

京津冀协同发展、长江经济带、"一带一路"倡议、粤港澳大湾区、雄安新区是未来的"十四五"时期我国经济社会发展的关键词,也将成为新时代我国经济社会发展的重要引擎和机会,更是关系到新时代我国经济社会能否实现高质量发展的重中之重。本研究从城市视角出发,通过对我国城市人口、经济、污染分布的不平衡和分异性分析,利用已有的经验研究结论,找到识别国家战略区域生态环境分区管治核心问题的依据和判断标准,最终依据京津冀协同发展、长江经济带、"一带一路"倡议沿线省市、粤港澳大湾区、雄安新区的主要环境问题,提出生态环境分区管治的策略。     

比利时环境治理典型经验分析——以弗拉芒大区为例

作为欧盟的核心成员国之一,近年来比利时在环境治理方面成效显著。尤其是弗拉芒大区,逐渐形成了以"土地证书"为标志的土壤污染治理、"从摇篮到坟墓"的废弃物治理和以"许可证制度"为核心的空气污染治理等一系列特点鲜明的环境治理措施和方法。本文着重分析弗拉芒大区环境治理的机构设置和目标,以及其土地污染治理中的"土地证书"和土地交易管理,空气污治理中的工业污染源和交通污染源治理,废弃物治理中的法律、经济与自愿工具使用三个方面的典型经验。结合比利时弗拉芒大区的典型经验和现阶段我国环境政策体系存在的主要问题,建议我国环境政策体系的改进和完善,应更加注重实现污染外部性的内部化、利用市场手段来实现土壤保护和开发新的环境政策工具。