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111.
Forest growth models are useful tools for investigating the long-term impacts of logging. In this paper, the results of the rain forest growth model FORMIND were assessed by a multicriteria decision analysis. The main processes covered by FORMIND include tree growth, mortality, regeneration and competition. Tree growth is calculated based on a carbon balance approach. Trees compete for light and space; dying large trees fall down and create gaps in the forest. Sixty-four different logging scenarios for an initially undisturbed forest stand at Deramakot (Malaysia) were simulated. The scenarios differ regarding the logging cycle, logging method, cutting limit and logging intensity. We characterise the impacts with four criteria describing the yield, canopy opening and changes in species composition. Multicriteria decision analysis was used for the first time to evaluate the scenarios and identify the efficient ones. Our results plainly show that reduced-impact logging scenarios are more 'efficient' than the others, since in these scenarios forest damage is minimised without significantly reducing yield. Nevertheless, there is a trade-off between yield and achieving a desired ecological state of logged forest; the ecological state of the logged forests can only be improved by reducing yields and enlarging the logging cycles. Our study also demonstrates that high cutting limits or low logging intensities cannot compensate for the high level of damage caused by conventional logging techniques. 相似文献
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113.
社区防灾减灾对策的复杂性科学问题 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
杨军 《防灾减灾工程学报》2003,23(3):105-115
"社区研究"已有约150年的历史,社区的防灾减灾对策是一个综合性的科学问题。充分发挥社区的防灾减灾功能十分必要,确立社区防灾减灾最优对策在中国的现代化建设和可持续发展战略中具有重要意义。利用复杂性科学的理论和模型来处理社区的防灾减灾对策问题,是系统科学或复杂性科学中的一个有意义的发展方向。本文提出并分析了社区防灾减灾对策研究中的4个问题,即如何界定社区防灾减灾应急管理的角色和方向;何为防灾减灾安全社区;如何预警突发性灾难事件;社区防灾减灾系统是如何自组织的。本文引入复杂性科学理论对社区的防灾减灾对策进行了研究,讨论了复杂性科学应用于社区防灾减灾对策的理论框架。 相似文献
114.
The purpose of this research was to explore the concept of an environmental racism claim through the use of several environmental
management tools. The EPAs Toxics Release Inventory, Cumulative Exposure Project, and the Los Angeles County Department of
Health Services' Hot Zone Census Tract Assessment were combined with racial and socioeconomic data to test claims that minorities
in South Central Los Angeles are disproportionately exposed to environmental lead. Multivariate analysis indicated that race
is strongly associated with the number of cases of elevated blood lead levels in South Central, irrespective of poverty status.
Proximity to point sources, a common focal point for studies of environmental racism, was not a contributing factor to health
outcomes. Proximity to transportation corridors was consistently the strongest indicator of environmental lead exposure, while
median home values were significantly and positively related to elevated blood lead levels. Implications for environmental
justice advocates and social and environmental scientists are discussed. 相似文献
115.
It is now widely accepted that members of the public should be involved in environmental decision-making. This has inspired
many to search for principles that characterize good public participation processes. In this paper we report on a study that
identifies discourses about what defines a good process. Our case study was a forest planning process in northern New England
and New York. We employed Q methodology to learn how participants characterize a good process differently, by selecting, defining,
and privileging different principles. Five discourses, or perspectives, about good process emerged from our study. One perspective
emphasizes that a good process acquires and maintains popular legitimacy. A second sees a good process as one that facilitates
an ideological discussion. A third focuses on the fairness of the process. A fourth perspective conceptualizes participatory
processes as a power struggle—in this instance a power play between local landowning interests and outsiders. A fifth perspective
highlights the need for leadership and compromise. Dramatic differences among these views suggest an important challenge for
those responsible for designing and carrying out public participation processes. Conflicts may emerge about process designs
because people disagree about what is good in specific contexts. 相似文献
116.
Policy makers often must rely on the cumulative impact of independent actions taken by local landowners to achieve environmental
goals. The connection between policy, regulation, and local action, however, is often not well understood and, thus, the impact
of proposed policies may be difficult to predict. In this study we evaluate the effectiveness of alternative policy scenarios
for agricultural set aside programs (e.g., the conservation reserve program administered by the United States Department of
Agriculture) in reducing nonpoint pollution. Two alternative policy scenarios are developed and analyzed; one based on the
erodibility index (detachment), the other sediment yield (transport). An estimate of the cumulative impact of associated land
use change on nonpoint pollution is made using the AGNPS distributed parameter watershed model. This work is completed within
the Cypress Creek watershed in southern Illinois. An analysis of the resulting data suggests that the most efficacious regulatory
strategy for achieving nonpoint water pollution goals depends, in part, on place-specific land use patterns. This conclusion
provides a solid argument for place-based regulatory strategies. 相似文献
117.
回燃及其对腔室火灾过程的影响 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
从火灾中的两种特殊火行为-轰燃和回燃的发生机理出发,着重讨论了回燃在整个火灾过程中的作用以及回燃对轰燃的影响。结果表明,由于回燃和轰燃同为火灾全过程中的分过程,并且由于二者发生机理的相似性,因而,它们可以建立联系。当具备合适的热解产物浓度时,回燃过程可以使火灾系统的状态突变到完全发展状态,即引发轰燃。 相似文献
118.
Using Multicriteria Methods in Environmental Planning and Management 总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12
In environmental planning and decision processes several alternatives are analyzed in terms of multiple noncommensurate criteria,
and many different stakeholders with conflicting preferences are involved. Based on our experience in real-life applications,
we discuss how multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) methods can be used successfully in such processes. MCDA methods support
these processes by providing a framework for collecting, storing, and processing all relevant information, thus making the
decision process traceable and transparent. It is therefore possible to understand and explain why, under several conflicting
preferences, a particular decision was made. The MCDA framework also makes the requirements for new information explicit,
thus supporting the allocation of resources for the process. 相似文献
119.
120.