防洪工程信赖对公众洪灾风险认知的影响——以开封沿黄地区与岳阳洞庭湖区为例

防洪工程作为人类抵御洪灾的首选手段,为人们提供了保障,但人们对其风险认知还存在一定的偏差。本文从公众层面入手,在我国历史上洪灾最严重的两大流域—长江流域和黄河流域,分别选取岳阳沿洞庭湖区和开封沿黄河地区为研究区,调查公众对当地防洪工程的信赖状况和水灾风险认知情况,回收有效样本831份。据此分析影响防洪工程信赖的因素和工程信赖对公众风险认知的影响。研究发现,公众对防洪工程的信赖度较高,区域趋同性明显;公众对工程信赖的程度,因居住地与风险源的距离、性别、年龄和家庭劳动力结构的不同而存在差异;同时,对防洪工程的过于信赖,会降低公众对洪灾的恐惧心理和警惕性,并使得公众产生消极和积极并存的应对灾害的行为倾向。洪灾多发地区应建立大型洪灾、巨灾的风险防范和洪水保险机制,完善我国的再保险制度;政府在高风险区的分区域管理过程中,应以大局为重;构建"文化自觉"的科学防灾文化观,正确引导公众认识到工程措施能力的限度,扭转在工程信赖基础上的风险认知偏差。     

中、韩两国财产保险业风险管理比较研究

财产保险是经营风险的产业,风险管理能力是其核心竞争力.从保险监管机构、市场典型主体两方面比较了中、韩两国财产保险业风险管理体系,市场主体的比较从研究宣传、产品开发、业务经营、客户管理、信息技术等方面展开,并提出了建议和措施.     

中美职业安全健康法对比

通过对中美职业安全健康立法目的和背景的考察,对比分析职业安全健康法涉及的6项具体内容,即体例结构、适用范围、监管方式、监管体制、教育与培训、法律责任,并指出国情不同是造成中美职业安全健康法立法巨大差异的原因之一。经对比分析,可得出几点结论:从中国国情出发,走逐步完善的职业安全健康立法路径,建立独立的职业安全健康法律体系,是我国安全生产的治本之策;对从业人员的职业安全健康保护具有首要性,须明晰保护劳动者的上层法律要求,《安全生产法》并不能代替《职业安全健康法》;完善中国职业安全健康法律制度须走一体化整合的道路。     

Factors affecting the floristic diversity and nestedness in the islets of Lake Bardawil, North Sinai, Egypt: implications for conservation

Island biogeography theory and nestedness are two relevant and important concepts in biogeography and conservation. However, their integration and application has not been examined for maintaining or maximizing species diversity, especially in arid regions. The aim of this study is to investigate the ecological mechanisms related to the observed pattern of floristic diversity and nestedness in the Lake Bardawil islets on the Mediterranean coast of Sinai Peninsula before the execution of the North Sinai Agricultural Development Project (NSADP) that will threaten the ecosystem of the lake. Plant species on 15 islets were identified and categorized into ecological groups related to their life-form, salt tolerance and succulence. Richness of total plant species and their ecological groups were positively correlated with islet area, number of habitats and elevation, and negatively with disturbance index. The temperature calculator detected highly significant nestedness for the entire flora and all ecological groups. Distance from the mainland had no effect on either species richness or nested pattern of total plant species and their ecological groups. Both the analyses of species richness and nested distribution yielded evidence for a positive species-area relationship. Although nestedness was detected for the entire plant species and their ecological groups, many species and islets exhibited idiosyncratic distribution. Idiosyncrasies could be mainly attributed to demographic stochasticity which is an important character for species interaction and diversity maintenance in arid regions. Therefore, in developing conservation strategies for the Lake Bardawil islets, it is important to incorporate spatial and temporal stability of populations.     

Effects of experimental protocol on global vegetation model accuracy: A comparison of simulated and observed vegetation patterns for Asia

Prognostic vegetation models have been widely used to study the interactions between environmental change and biological systems. This study examines the sensitivity of vegetation model simulations to: (i) the selection of input climatologies representing different time periods and their associated atmospheric CO₂ concentrations, (ii) the choice of observed vegetation data for evaluating the model results, and (iii) the methods used to compare simulated and observed vegetation. We use vegetation simulated for Asia by the equilibrium vegetation model BIOME4 as a typical example of vegetation model output. BIOME4 was run using 19 different climatologies and their associated atmospheric CO₂ concentrations. The Kappa statistic, Fuzzy Kappa statistic and a newly developed map-comparison method, the Nomad index, were used to quantify the agreement between the biomes simulated under each scenario and the observed vegetation from three different global land- and tree-cover data sets: the global Potential Natural Vegetation data set (PNV), the Global Land Cover Characteristics data set (GLCC), and the Global Land Cover Facility data set (GLCF). The results indicate that the 30-year mean climatology (and its associated atmospheric CO₂ concentration) for the time period immediately preceding the collection date of the observed vegetation data produce the most accurate vegetation simulations when compared with all three observed vegetation data sets. The study also indicates that the BIOME4-simulated vegetation for Asia more closely matches the PNV data than the other two observed vegetation data sets. Given the same observed data, the accuracy assessments of the BIOME4 simulations made using the Kappa, Fuzzy Kappa and Nomad index map-comparison methods agree well when the compared vegetation types consist of a large number of spatially continuous grid cells. The results of this analysis can assist model users in designing experimental protocols for simulating vegetation.     

国内外废旧铅酸蓄电池回收模式探讨

铅酸蓄电池由于含有大量的重金属成分,属于危险废物,如果不进行妥善处理,将对环境和人体健康产生严重威胁,但铅酸蓄电池又具有较高的回收利用价值,因此对废旧铅酸蓄电池的合理有效回收利用有着极大的必要性。比较了国内外铅酸蓄电池回收利用体制,提出我国废旧铅酸蓄电池回收行业的发展建议,为此类二次资源的合理有效利用提供借鉴。     

钼矿区周边农田土壤中重金属污染状况的分析与评价

对钼矿区周边农田土壤重金属污染情况进行了详细研究.选择该矿区受污染农田土壤样本80个,采用HNO3-HF-HClO4混酸对土壤样品进行处理,运用欧共体参比司推荐的BCR三步连续提取法进行化学形态分析;使用等离子体发射光谱仪(ICP-AES)测定土壤样品中Mo、Pb、As、Hg、Cr、Cd、Zn、Cu、Ni的全量及各种化学形态的含量并进行评价,同时对矿区地下水进行分析;采用spas软件进行数据分析.结果表明,矿山周边农田土壤重金属主要污染物为Cd、Hg并伴有Cr污染;Nemerow综合指数6.81,综合评价结果为该区土壤已受严重污染;Cd与As污染来源基本相同,Cu、Ni、Zn污染来源基本相同,Hg有独立的污染来源;重金属中化学形态分布为残余态>有机结合态>氧化结合态>酸可提取态;重金属Cr及Hg的有效态比例较大,可能会影响农作物的正常生长;矿山周边农田土壤重金属污染的原因可能是污染地下水的浇灌,矿石的开采、运输和大气降尘等过程;有机农药及塑料农用制品的施用过程,自然成土、矿物的伴生及其转化等过程.     

贵州百花湖消落区土壤磷赋存形态初步研究

应用磷形态标准测试程序(SMT)对百花湖(水库)消落区土壤磷赋存形态进行了分级测定,分析了各形态磷之间与样品理化性质如有机质、pH、总氮和含水率的相关性。结果表明,百花湖消落区1区全磷含量平均为1239.9mg/kg,2区为1097.4mg/kg,3区为1041.5mg/kg;各形态磷中有机磷占全磷的百分比1区为58.7%,2区为55.1%,3区降至54.7%;消落带土壤中的磷以有机磷为主,无机磷为辅。铁铝结合态磷则是无机磷的主要组分,其中1区为77.1%,2区为66.7%,3区为61.4%;全磷、有机磷和铁铝结合态磷含量的总体变化趋势为1区>2区>3区;而钙结合态磷含量却呈现出3区>2区>1区。有机磷与全磷显著性相关,是土壤中磷素增加的主要因素;无机磷与铁铝结合态磷和钙结合态磷显著性相关,二者的增加和减少对无机磷的含量具有显著影响;全磷与有机质、酸碱性显著相关;有机磷与有机质,钙结合态磷与酸碱性之间均呈现出显著性相关,表明土壤的有机质和酸碱性影响磷的含量和分布。     

进水模式对SBBR性能及氮形态转化的影响

通过对4种不同进水模式下序批式生物膜反应器(SBBR)的性能、微生物群落结构以及氮形态转化的差异分析, 比较不同进水模式对SBBR性能和氮形态转化的影响及其产生的机制. 结果表明, 分散式进水模式表现出比一次性进水更好的脱氮效率和更高的抗冲击负荷能力, 在达到相同的处理效率的前提下, 分散式进水模式M₄的COD和氨氮负荷最高可达2 540和540 mg·(L·d)^-1, 而一次性进水模式M₁仅能分别达到2 000和420 mg·(L·d)^-1;分散进水模式能降低一次性进水所带来的冲击性负荷, 将负荷均化分散到周期内的各个时段, 同时也减少了进水对微生物的稀释作用, 使得单位体积内有效微生物的数量相对充足, 从而提高反应器的负荷能力. 在分散进水模式下, 从M₄与M₂、M₃的对比来看, 分散模式的进水规律越接近运行模式的循环规律, 反应器的氮素转化效率就越高, 残留的氮素总量也就越低.