社会应急资源监测系统及其应急响应能力研究

社会应急动员和资源筹募是救灾的关键。为有效组织和管理社会应急资源,充分发挥其在救灾中的作用,提出构建一个社会应急资源监测系统。这个监测系统将采集社会应急资源在社会系统中的分布、消耗和补给等的状态信息,为社会应急资源的提供者、各级社会管理部门、各级应急管理机构和系统管理员提供查询、分析和决策的接口;基于监测系统提供的信息,考虑应急救援的时间要求、数量要求、价值要求、经济性要求,建立社会应急资源和物流网络的应急能力评价指标体系。研究结果表明,根据社会应急资源监测系统提供的特定灾害应急所需的社会资源的状态信息,可确定该区域社会应急资源的可满足性、可应急性及物流网络对应急需求的满足情况,得到社会应急资源参与救援的可行性。     

矿坑涌水对大气降水的响应分析及预测

分析了程潮铁矿矿坑涌水对大气降水的响应特征,通过大气降水-矿坑涌水互相关函数值,研究了不同滞后期大气降水对矿坑涌水的影响程度。建立了基于时间序列分析的大气降水-矿坑涌水传递函数模型的预测方法。利用最小二乘法对传递函数部分进行参数估计,并对残差序列进行自回归处理,平均误差低于3.26%。预测模型在一定程度上能够反映出矿坑涌水对大气降水的滞后和相关关系,适用于采用崩落法或上覆围岩裂隙破碎带发育的地下矿山。     

Explaining implementation behaviour of the National Incident Management System (NIMS)

This paper explains the perceived implementation behaviour of counties in the United States with respect to the National Incident Management System (NIMS). The system represents a massive and historic policy mandate designed to restructure, standardise and thereby unify the efforts of a wide variety of emergency management entities. Specifically, this study examined variables identified in the NIMS and policy literature that might influence the behavioural intentions and actual behaviour of counties. It found that three key factors limit or promote how counties intend to implement NIMS and how they actually implement the system: policy characteristics related to NIMS, implementer views and a measure of local capacity. One additional variable—inter‐organisational characteristics—was found to influence only actual behaviour. This study's findings suggest that the purpose underlying NIMS may not be fulfilled and confirm what disaster research has long suggested: the potential for standardisation in emergency management is limited.     

Direct utilization of kitchen waste for bioethanol production by separate hydrolysis and fermentation (SHF) using locally isolated yeast

Kitchen wastes containing high amounts of carbohydrates have potential as low-cost substrates for fermentable sugar production. In this study, enzymatic saccharification of kitchen waste was carried out. Response surface methodology (RSM) was applied to optimize the enzymatic saccharification conditions of kitchen waste. This paper presents analysis of RSM in a predictive model of the combined effects of independent variables (pH, temperature, glucoamylase activity, kitchen waste loading, and hydrolysis time) as the most significant parameters for fermentable sugar production and degree of saccharification. A 100 mL of kitchen waste was hydrolyzed in 250 mL of shake flasks. Quadratic RSM predicted maximum fermentable sugar production of 62.79 g/L and degree of saccharification (59.90%) at the following optimal conditions: pH 5, temperature 60°C, glucoamylase activity of 85 U/mL, and utilized 60 g/L of kitchen waste as a substrate at 10 h hydrolysis time. The verification experiments successfully produced 62.71 ± 0.7 g/L of fermentable sugar with 54.93 ± 0.4% degree of saccharification within 10 h of incubation, indicating that the developed model was successfully used to predict fermentable sugar production at more than 90% accuracy. The sugars produced after hydrolysis of kitchen waste were mainly attributed to monosaccharide: glucose (80%) and fructose (20%). The fermentable sugars obtained were subsequently used as carbon source for bioethanol production by locally isolated yeasts: Saccharomyces cerevisiae, Candida parasilosis, and Lanchancea fermentati. The yeasts were successfully consumed as sugars hydrolysate, and produced the highest ethanol yield ranging from 0.45 to 0.5 g/g and productivity between 0.44 g L^–1 h^–1 and 0.47 g L^–1 h^–1 after 24-h incubation, which was equivalent to 82.06–98.19% of conversion based on theoretical yield.     

Shale gas development and community response: perspectives from Treaty 8 territory,British Columbia

Northeast British Columbia (BC), Canada, is the site of a fast-growing shale gas industry that is a cornerstone of the current provincial government's economic policy. In this paper, we explore the perspectives of local First Nations (members of Treaty 8) regarding governance of this industry, focusing in particular on the experiences of the Fort Nelson First Nation (FNFN). Based on findings from 15 in-depth interviews with staff from four Treaty 8 First Nations, the Treaty 8 Tribal Association, oil and gas companies, and the Government of BC, we argue that current governance processes fail to adequately protect the environment and treaty rights. We also explore the diverse tactics that the FNFN is using to gain influence over shale gas development within its territories as the Nation seeks to achieve “balanced development” that protects the local ecology and treaty rights while maximising local economic benefits. Through an array of tactics and collaboration with diverse actors, the FNFN has been partially successful in challenging industry's social license to operate and has brought the provincial government back to the table to negotiate new decision-making arrangements on a “government to government” basis. Still, the regulation and management of a fast-paced global industry are a vast burden for a small community to bear. The FNFN's work has also shown the need for further research on how local efforts for equitable and environmentally sustainable approaches to shale gas regulation can be scaled up, institutionalised, and used to create political opportunities in other contexts.     

响应面法优化锰氧化细菌发酵培养基

Bacillus sp.WH4是一株锰氧化能力强的锰氧化细菌,在锰污染的水源净化方面具有较好的应用前景.为提高发酵液中Bacillus sp.WH4的活菌数,应用响应面法优化其发酵培养基.Plackett-Burman设计获得对活菌数有显著影响的4个因素:豆粕粉、KH2PO4、MgSO4、FeSO4;最陡爬坡试验确定中心组合实验的最大响应区域;中心组合设计和响应面分析优化出4个显著因素的最佳浓度.优化后的最适培养基(w/%)组成为:蔗糖2、豆粕粉0.96、K2HPO4 0.8、KH2PO4 0.19、MgSO4.7H2O 0.11、CaCl2 0.02、NaCl 0.5、FeSO4.7H2O 0.02.发酵试验表明,最优培养基的活菌数可达4.2×109 CFU mL-1,比初始发酵培养基提高近3倍.     

高山植物对全球气候变暖的响应研究进展

高山地区被认为是对全球气候变化最敏感的区域之一,气候变暖导致高山生境内生物与非生物环境因子发生不同程度的改变,从而引起高山植物从不同层面作出不同的变化或响应.综述了高山及亚高山高海拔生境内,植物从宏观生态系统层面到微观个体生理层面对全球气候变化进行响应的研究进展.植物由个体自身的生理及形态上产生不同响应,逐步经过"瀑布式上升效应(Cascade effects)",最后引起整个高山生态系统的转变.受局地差异性及物种差异性影响,生物多样性在不同高山地区呈现出或是增加或是减少的趋势;林线及植被向高纬度、高海拔地区扩张;植物间相互关系由协作转向中性乃至竞争;植物物候、繁殖、生物量生产、光合作用、年轮生长、营养结构等方面均呈现出不同的响应模式.这些从微观到宏观的不同响应模式,最终将引起高山生态系统在结构、功能上的改变,进而在很大范围上威胁到高山植物的生存与发展.最后提出该领域未来的研究重点.参147     

南太湖入湖口蓝藻水华时空分布规律及相关响应因子分析

利用2008年和2009年南太湖蓝藻监测数据,分析研究主要入湖口的蓝藻水华时空分布规律,寻找与蓝藻生长密切相关的响应因子并将其作为蓝藻预警指示指标,为环保部门制定蓝藻应急监测预案、提高蓝藻预警预测的准确性提供科学参考。     

核应急辐射环境监测的准备和响应

日本核泄漏事故引发的核危机为人类安全和平地利用核能又一次敲响了警钟.核事故应急工作作为减小核电站危害环境和公众安全的最后屏障,将起到重要的作用,必须做好相关的准备和响应工作.核应急辐射环境监测工作是核应急工作的重要组成部分,在对核应急辐射环境监测进行准备和响应时主要遵循实用性、适用性和适度性并兼顾常规和应急监测的“平战...     

大型活动中人群的应急行为研究综述

为完善对大型活动的应急处理能力,预防应急事件发生,研究人群在应急状况下的行为反应及疏散中的行为决策。从应急管理和救援的角度,对国内外现有文献进行梳理,分析大型活动背景下人群的应急行为和疏散时间、应急疏散模型、应急逃生的调查实证、交通及人流行为特征和组织与疏散方案等方面的研究现状,指出当前国内外大多数文献较多地侧重于利用计算机模拟火灾环境以研究单一建筑体中人的应急疏散行为,行为调查以事后调查为主,对火灾环境之外的其他突发应急事件及个体行为特征的研究等较少。同时,基于试验性研究的应急心理反应对于行为的影响研究,以及群体信任和他人行为对于行为决策的影响等可以作为未来研究的重要方向。