基于主成分分析模型的核设施放射性废物管理评价研究

针对核设施放射性废物管理问题,采用主成分分析方法直观定量地研究了大亚湾、岭澳、田湾、秦山等各核电厂单位装机容量（MW）三废年度实际排放值或产生量,揭示了核设施放射性废物管理评价指标数据间的相关性和差异性,识别出了核设施放射性废物管理评价指标数据的主要成分;分析结果基本上反映了各核电厂放射性废物管理状况,主成分分析得分以秦山核电站第一期核电厂最高,其他依次为田湾核电厂、秦山核电站第二期核电厂、岭澳核电厂、大亚湾核电厂,秦山核电站第三期核电厂最低,即秦山核电站第三期核电厂在核设施放射性废物管理最优,大亚湾核电厂次之。辅助核设施放射性废物管理作出快速分析与决策,以提高检测能力和监管能力,具有很好地应用价值。     

磁暴对沿海核电站变压器安全影响的研究

磁暴产生的地磁感应电流(GIC)直接损伤变压器和间接干扰继电保护等设备,强磁暴可能威胁到电网的安全运行。为探明磁暴对沿海核电站变压器的影响,对第23太阳周峰年强磁暴侵害广东岭澳核电站、江苏上河变电站的GIC测量数据,以及西北陕甘青宁750 kV电网计算数据进行统计分析,研究沿海核电站与内陆变电站变压器GIC大小及其差异原因。结果表明,由于受海岸效应现象的影响,沿海核电站的变压器更容易遭受磁暴的侵害。在此基础上,对极端磁暴的可能危害、灾害风险以及沿海核电站的磁暴灾害进行评估,并建议核电站选址和变压器选型时应评估磁暴的影响。     

具有危险源性质的复杂系统安全行为演化研究

为解决具有危险源性质的复杂社会技术系统安全行为演化动力机制问题,针对系统生命周期长、影响因素多的特点,以日本福岛核泄漏事故为例,创建扩展型功能共振模型,用于描述系统内安全事故影响因素的作用过程。而后将系统相关主体分为实施方、业主方和第三方共3类,运用演化博弈方法深入研究发现,三方所承担的安全执行成本、安全处罚成本及事故成本之间的数量关系变化是系统安全行为演化发展的动力,3类成本失衡引发的监管机制失效是导致此次核泄漏事故的根源,并据此提出保持政府独立性和权威性、限制业主行为、建立项目责任主体终生追溯机制和采用立体处罚方式的建议。     

浅议AP1000核电建造过程本质安全化

为推进我国核电产业技术水平的整体跨越,实现我国第三代核电AP1000的自主化过程中的安全,国家核电技术公司（以下简称“国家核电”）在建造过程中通过加强从业人员安全培训、企业安全文化建设和依托项目的安全管理,大力提升人的本质安全化水平;广泛采用新技术、改进施工工艺,实行模块化、专业化施工,加大安全基础设施投入力度,强化建造过程中的安全控制,努力打造核电建造过程中物的本质安全;完善安全管理制度,建设安全责任体系和监督体系,持续提高管理上的本质安全。     

江苏省核辐射突发事件的预警监测体系

核辐射突发事件的监测预警体系是环境突发公共事件应急管理体系的重要组成部分,对保障核与辐射安全具有重要的意义.介绍了江苏省核辐射突发事件的监测预警体系和辐射监测网络的建设现状,通过对国际辐射预警和监测技术的广泛调研,结合江苏省实际情况,分析应对核辐射突发事件的监测预警体系存在的问题和对策,提出了相应的建设规划和建议.     

大气颗粒物“二重源解析”技术的误差分析

"二重源解析"模型计算结果的误差是采样误差、样品处理误差、化学组分分析误差、数据处理误差以及数学模型误差等所有误差的积累。提出了"二重源解析"解析结果的相对误差和标准偏差表达式,并用之计算了某市利用"二重源解析"模型计算的源贡献值的相对误差和标准偏差,还针对从源排放出来的初始态颗粒物在传输过程中发生的扬尘态变化提出了扬尘转化率的概念和计算方法。     

内分泌扰乱化学品活性筛选和测试方法

对近年来对内分泌扰乱化学品(EDCs)的筛选和测试方法进行了述评。目前倾向于采用包括与激素受体结合的亲和力测试、体外和活体测试在内的层式检测法对EDCs的活性进行筛选和测试,并评价人体和野生动物内分泌扰乱的性质、可能性和剂量-反应关系。目前也致力于EDCs的结构-效应关系特别是定量关系的研究,旨在提供一种简便低廉的筛选方法。总的说来,稳定可靠的标准化筛选和检测方法的建立仍待努力。      

内分泌扰乱化学品对动物的影响和作用机制

介绍了内分泌扰乱化学品(EDCs)的作用机制及其对野生动物影响的研究进展。内分泌化学品可能与性激素受体、甲状腺素受体和其他受体(如芳烃受体)结合,也可能通过影响动物体内激素的代谢而对动物的生长发育起调控作用。各实验室的重复实验不支持环境雌激素之间存在协同作用的结论。已报道过的人体和野生动物生殖缺陷中具有充分证据的暴露-效应关系的实例为数不多。尽管野生鱼类变性是英国河流中的一个普遍现象,但进一步的实验证明污水处理场出水中的天然和合成雌激素足以引起鱼类的变性反应,而不是先前怀疑的非离子表面活性剂降解产物。目前尚不能对EDCs对人体和野生动物的健康风险作出正确评价,并有待于进一步研究。      

Long-term geochemical evolution of the near field repository: insights from reactive transport modelling and experimental evidences

The KBS-3 underground nuclear waste repository concept designed by the Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Co. (SKB) includes a bentonite buffer barrier surrounding the copper canisters and the iron insert where spent nuclear fuel will be placed. Bentonite is also part of the backfill material used to seal the access and deposition tunnels of the repository. The bentonite barrier has three main safety functions: to ensure the physical stability of the canister, to retard the intrusion of groundwater to the canisters, and in case of canister failure, to retard the migration of radionuclides to the geosphere. Laboratory experiments (< 10 years long) have provided evidence of the control exerted by accessory minerals and clay surfaces on the pore water chemistry. The evolution of the pore water chemistry will be a primordial factor on the long-term stability of the bentonite barrier, which is a key issue in the safety assessments of the KBS-3 concept.In this work we aim to study the long-term geochemical evolution of bentonite and its pore water in the evolving geochemical environment due to climate change. In order to do this, reactive transport simulations are used to predict the interaction between groundwater and bentonite which is simulated following two different pathways: (1) groundwater flow through the backfill in the deposition tunnels, eventually reaching the top of the deposition hole, and (2) direct connection between groundwater and bentonite rings through fractures in the granite crosscutting the deposition hole. The influence of changes in climate has been tested using three different waters interacting with the bentonite: present-day groundwater, water derived from ice melting, and deep-seated brine. Two commercial bentonites have been considered as buffer material, MX-80 and Deponit CA-N, and one natural clay (Friedland type) for the backfill. They show differences in the composition of the exchangeable cations and in the accessory mineral content. Results from the simulations indicate that pore water chemistry is controlled by the equilibrium with the accessory minerals, especially carbonates. pH is buffered by precipitation/dissolution of calcite and dolomite, when present. The equilibrium of these minerals is deeply influenced by gypsum dissolution and cation exchange reactions in the smectite interlayer. If carbonate minerals are initially absent in bentonite, pH is then controlled by surface acidity reactions in the hydroxyl groups at the edge sites of the clay fraction, although its buffering capacity is not as strong as the equilibrium with carbonate minerals. The redox capacity of the bentonite pore water system is mainly controlled by Fe(II)-bearing minerals (pyrite and siderite). Changes in the groundwater composition lead to variations in the cation exchange occupancy, and dissolution–precipitation of carbonate minerals and gypsum. The most significant changes in the evolution of the system are predicted when ice-melting water, which is highly diluted and alkaline, enters into the system. In this case, the dissolution of carbonate minerals is enhanced, increasing pH in the bentonite pore water. Moreover, a rapid change in the population of exchange sites in the smectite is expected due to the replacement of Na for Ca.     

中国煤电和核电的环境影响与健康风险比较

将煤电与核电的环境影响和健康风险从全燃料链角度进行比较 ,结果表明 ,煤电燃料链的环境影响和健康风险比核电燃料链大。