天津地区人群对多环芳烃的暴露

以天津地区PAHs各介质浓度的实测数据和文献中相关参数为基础资料,采用多介质-多途径暴露模型,估算了天津市人群对环境中16种PAHs的暴露水平.计算结果说明,天津地区居民终生日均暴露量为3.3μg·kg-1·d-1,其中儿童、青少年和成人亚群的暴露水平分别是4.3、3.8和3.1μg·kg-1·d-1.膳食摄入约占总暴露量的75%,呼吸贡献为20%,皮肤接触约占5%.8种致癌PAHs的终生日均暴露量为0.38μg·kg-1·d-1,其中3个亚群的暴露水平分别为0.48、0.45和0.36μg·kg-1·d-1.     

生活垃圾填埋场细菌气溶胶分布及职业暴露风险评估

为探究生活垃圾填埋场细菌气溶胶分布以及场区员工的职业暴露风险,在西安市某垃圾填埋场的6个功能区测定和分析了细菌气溶胶浓度、粒径分布和细菌活性,并运用风险商法评估场区员工的职业暴露风险.结果表明,生活垃圾填埋场细菌气溶胶浓度最高和最低值分别为渗滤液收集区（（5381±3875）CFU·m^-3）和生活办公区（（1227±204）CFU·m^-3）,不同季节细菌气溶胶浓度变化为：夏季 > 秋季 > 冬季 > 春季.各采样点位于0.65~1.1 μm的细菌气溶胶浓度最低,小粒径细菌气溶胶比重由春季到冬季逐渐增大,各采样点细菌气溶胶的平均中值粒径均小于5.0 μm.流式细胞术分析结果显示,冬季不同采样点细菌气溶胶中活菌占比为74%~83%.细菌气溶胶职业暴露风险商均小于1,不同季节的暴露风险大小为夏季 > 秋季 > 冬季 > 春季,成年男性的职业暴露风险大于成年女性.     

二龙山水库水体富营养化的研究

以水质监测资料为基础,选择营养度指数法对黑龙江省宾县境内的二龙山水库水质的营养状况进行了综合评价,并对水库同期的浮游藻类进行了详细调查,结果表明:二龙山水库的水质已初步富营养化.针对调查结果,并结合该地的实际情况提出了削减N,P污染物的实施途径.      

基于城市空间扩张与人口增长协调性的高铁新城研究

论文基于改进后的城市用地扩张与人口增长协调性系数和城市紧凑度,利用49个高铁城市2004、2013年城市人口和城区面积等数据,对中心城市的用地扩张与人口增长进行定量分析;在此基础上,依据高铁新城和母城的空间位置关系选取4个案例城市进行新城建设与规划的适宜性实证分析。结果表明：1）高铁新城中心城市的土地扩张与人口增长之间的协调性较弱,以土地快速扩张为主,占65.31%,相应地人口与城市用地分别占55.01%、58.13%;其次是人地基本协调型,数量为13个,相应地拥有39.75%的人口和33.57%的城市建设用地。2）在高铁战略下新建的案例高铁新城主要分为“飞地式”、“城市副中心式”和“双城式”3类,不同城市空间形态下的新城模式对城市发展及人地关系的影响有所不同。未处理好新城与母城的空间形态、内部结构、土地与人口增长的关系,导致新城的建设/规划大多不合理,从而陷入城市土地资源浪费和盲目扩张的困境。     

Petroleum hydrocarbons and their effects on fishery species in the Bohai Sea, North China

Systematic studies on the changes in concentrations of petroleum hydrocarbons (PHs) and their e ects on fishery species in the Bohai Sea during 1974–2004 are presented. Changes in PHs concentrations were closely related to Yellow River runo . Concentrations of PHs accumulated in fish and shrimp increased by about 0.712 mg/kg dry weight when trophic level of fish and shrimps increased by 1. Attention should also be paid to the high PHs concentrations in mollusks along the coastal waters of the Bohai Sea. Average concentration of PHs in the adjacent coastal waters of Tianjin City during 1996–2005 decreased the population growth rates of fish, crustaceans and mollusks in the Bohai Sea by 2.58%, 6.59% and 2.33%, respectively. Therefore, PHs have significantly contributed to the decline in fisheries in the Bohai Sea, and they must be reduced to realize the sustainable fisheries.     

Microbial population dynamics and changes in main nutrients during the acidification process of pig manures

This study evaluated the impact of pig manure acidification on anaerobic treatment and composition of the fecal microbial community.According to the different chemical oxygen demand (COD) in the anaerobic treatment processes,pig manure was diluted 4 times (×4),16 times (×16),or 64 times (×64) and subjected to acidification.During the acidification process,pH,soluble chemical oxygen demand (SCOD),volatile fatty acids (VFAs),nitrogen (N),phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) were determined along with microbial po...     

四川盆地农业生态系统害鼠种群测报数学模型的研究

根据四川盆地农业生态系统害鼠种群数量连续3年的统计结果：方差分析证明种群数量在年周期间变化不显著,（F＜F0．05）而年内存在着显著的统计学差异（F＞F0．05）种群数量季节消长呈明显的双峰型模式,年周期内出现6月和11月两个数量高峰,两峰之间无显著性差异（t＜t0．01）．依据农田灭鼠的实际情况,用3月份的数量来预测6月份的种群数量,是理想的预测方案故本文依据该3年的数据,采用数学拟合方法,组建预测6月份数量高峰的短期预测模型．统计检验表明具有准确、可靠和实用的特点．     

Nonparametric spatial covariance functions: Estimation and testing

Spatial autocorrelation techniques are commonly used to describe genetic and ecological patterns. To improve statistical inference about spatial covariance, we propose a continuous nonparametric estimator of the covariance function in place of the spatial correlogram. The spline correlogram is an adaptation of a recent development in spatial statistics and is a generalization of the commonly used correlogram. We propose a bootstrap algorithm to erect a confidence envelope around the entire covariance function. The meaning of this envelope is discussed. Not all functions that can be drawn inside the envelope are candidate covariance functions, as they may not be positive semidefinite. However, covariance functions that do not fit, are not supported by the data. A direct estimate of the L₀ spatial correlation length with associated confidence interval is offered and its interpretation is discussed. The spline correlogram is found to have high precision when applied to synthetic data. For illustration, the method is applied to electrophoretic data of an alpine grass (Poa alpina).     

Rapid Assessment of Population Size by Area Sampling in Disaster Situations

In the initial phase of a complex emergency, an immediate population size assessment method, based on area sampling, is vital to provide relief workers with a rapid population estimate in refugee camps. In the past decade, the method has been progressively improved; six examples are presented in this paper and questions raised about its statistical validity as well as important issues for further research. There are two stages. The first is to map the camp by registering all of its co-ordinates. In the second stage, the total camp population is estimated by counting the population living in a limited number of square blocks of known surface area, and by extrapolating average population calculated per block to the total camp surface. In six camps selected in Asia and Africa, between 1992 and 1994, population figures were estimated within one to two days. After measuring all external limits, surfaces were calculated and ranged between 121,300 and 2,770,000 square metres. In five camps, the mean average population per square was obtained using blocks 25 by 25 meters (625 m2), and for another camp with blocks 100 by 100 m2. In three camps, different population density zones were defined. Total camp populations obtained were 16,800 to 113,600. Although this method is a valuable public health tool in emergency situations, it has several limitations. Issues related to population density and number and size of blocks to be selected require further research for the method to be better validated.     

应用在线控制优化污泥种群强化A/O工艺短程硝化

应用A/O中试试验装置处理实际生活污水,研究了在线过程控制对微生物种群活性和结构的影响,分子生物学FISH检测表明,污泥种群的优化是可能的也是有效的,基于DO、pH传感器在线信息动态控制DO浓度和曝气量可以实现系统中亚硝酸盐氧化菌（NOB）的淘洗,从而获得稳定的短程硝化反应.应用过程控制不但可实现污泥种群优化,提高系统脱氮效率,而且可最大程度的节约运行费用.