ESTIMATING MEAN AND VARIANCE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL SAMPLES WITH BELOW DETECTION LIMIT OBSERVATIONS1

ABSTRACT: Left-censoring of data sets complicates subsequent statistical analyses. Generally, substitution or deletion methods provide poor estimates of the mean and variance of censored samples. These substitution and deletion methods include the use of values above the detection limit (DL) only, or substitution of 0, DL/2 or the DL for the below DL values during the calculation of mean and variance. A variety of statistical methods provides better estimators for different types of distributions and censoring. Maximum likelihood and order statistics methods compare favorably to the substitution or deletion methods. Selected statistical methods applicable to left-censoring of environmental data sets are reviewed with the purpose of demonstrating the use of these statistical methods for coping with Type I (and Type II) left-censoring of normally and log-normally distributed environmental data sets. A PC program (UNCENSOR) is presented that implements these statistical methods. Problems associated with data sets with multiple DLs are discussed relative to censoring methods for life and fatigue tests as recently applied to water quality data sets.     

农用化学品对农产品的污染及其对策

由于农业大量使用化学品 ,使农产品的农药残留量及其衍生物增加 ,从而对人体健康造成具大的危害性。本文的主要目的就是让人们进一步认识在农产品生产中使用农用化学品的危害 ,倡导我国农业走绿色农产品生产的道路     

试论报废电子产品最终处置

报废电子产品的最终处理已成为全球性的环境话题。针对我国报废电子产品的最终处置现状，就政啊、生产者及消费者三方面各自所应承担的责任提出一些观点。     

浅析存款业务创新

从技术角度来探讨银行的存款业务创新，提出商业银行应该考虑经济发展情况、金融文化背景等因素，以满足客户的需求为目的来设计、组织存款要素，并在市场细分的基础上，提供差别化存款产品，按市场规律进行定价。     

废水处理技术生命周期分析基本概念初探

运用生命周期分析(LCA)可对不同的废水处理工艺方案进行选择和比较，优选出资源消耗和环境污染最少的实施方案。其技术关键在于如何将ISO 14040等国际标准中规定的LCA方法学正确地应用至各种废水处理工艺的相对比较。本文对LCA应用于废水处理技术的一些基本概念进行了定义和探讨，其中包括废水处理系统的定义；废水处理厂的生命周期；废水处理工艺的功能、功能单位和基本流等。     

城镇燃气爆炸极限影响因素与计算误差的分析

可燃气体的爆炸极限是消防报警和安全使用燃气的重要参数之一 ,笔者对影响城市燃气爆炸极限的因素进行了讨论 ;同时指出有关文献上公布的燃气爆炸极限是一定条件下测定的 ,当空气中含有略低于文献公布爆炸下限或略高于文献公布爆炸上限的可燃气体 ,在一定的条件下也可能产生爆炸。对燃气爆炸极限的计算方法及其计算误差进行了分析 ,指出在使用测试或计算爆炸极限时应考虑安全系数     

基于上限定理的抗滑群桩设计理论研究

针对抗滑群桩设计理论方面存在的问题,即荷载传递及滑坡推力分配的不确定性,基于极限分析的上限定理,给出了一种抗滑群桩的设计方法,即人为增大第一排抗滑桩的桩间距,并按极限土压力公式设计,作用在第二排抗滑桩上的荷载则按照上限定理给出。根据上述思想,并结合滑坡能量安全系数的定义和多块体体系速度场计算方法,提出了抗滑群桩的一种设计理论。     

淮安市农产品中重金属及有机氯、有机磷农药残留量调查

淮安市环境监测中心站于1999年－2000年对淮安市农产品中重金属以及有机氯、有机磷农药残留量进行了调查。结果表明，粮食和蔬菜作物中，六六六的4种同分异构体只有γ－六六六能检出，检出率分别为24．0％和51．7％，都未超标；DDT的4种同分异要体均未检出；有机磷农药的检出率分别为5％和25％，其中蔬菜中敌敌畏含量出现个别超标现象，倍硫磷、乐果和杀螟松在粮食和蔬菜作物中的含量都不超标。重金属中金属“五毒”在粮食和蔬菜作物中，只有Cr和Pb能检出，Cd、Hg和As都未检出，Cu、Zn和Mn能检出，但不超标。提出，应严格按照农牧渔业部和卫生部颁发的《农药安全使用规定》用药，多使用高效低残留量的“绿色农药”；农业、环保和卫生部门必须加强合作，对蔬菜生产销售的全过程进行监督监测，以确保生产无公害蔬菜。     

供风量对褐煤自燃极限参数的影响研究

为研究不同供风量对褐煤自燃特性的影响规律,选取平庄瑞安煤矿褐煤作为试验煤样,利用程序升温试验和气相色谱仪,研究低温氧化阶段不同供风量条件下褐煤自燃极限参数与温度、供风量之间的变化规律。结果表明:温度在40~120℃时,随着供风量增大,褐煤的最小浮煤厚度和下限氧浓度降低,上限漏风强度增加;温度在120~200℃,供风量为40~80 mL/min和160~200 mL/min时,随着供风量的增加,其最小浮煤厚度和下限氧浓度增加,上限漏风强度减少;供风量为80~160 mL/min时,在供风量增大的情况下,褐煤的最小浮煤厚度和下限氧浓度降低,上限漏风强度增加;随着供风量减小,煤样临界点温度降低。     

Setting the stage for the review of the international estimate of short-term intake (IESTI) equation

ABSTRACT

In the framework of setting Maximum Residue Limits (MRLs) for pesticides, both chronic and acute health risks to consumers arising from the long-term and short-term dietary exposure to pesticide residues have to be assessed. The current internationally harmonized approach for assessing the acute dietary exposure is based on deterministic methods for calculating the IESTI (International Estimate of Short-Term Intake). Recently, it became apparent that the IESTI approach needs a revision in the light of new scientific and political aspects. The main reasons that require this review were the lack of an international harmonization of the methodology which implies trade barriers as well as difficulties in risk communication concerning the public trust in regulatory systems. The most recent milestone in the scientific debate on a possible revision of the IESTI equation was an international scientific workshop held in Geneva in September 2015. The main objectives of this meeting were the re-evaluation, and where possible, the international harmonization of the input parameters for the IESTI equations as well as the equations themselves. The main recommendations from the workshop were (i) to replace the highest residue and supervised trials median residue with the maximum residue limit (MRL), (ii) to use a standard variability factor of three, (iii) to derive the P97.5 large portion value from the distribution of consumption values of dietary surveys expressed as kg food/kg bw/d, and (iv) to remove the commodity unit weight from the equations. In addition, the application of conversion factors and processing factors was addressed. On the initiative of the (World Health Organization) WHO Collaborating Centre on Chemical Food Safety at the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the Netherlands, an international working group with members from the French Agency for Food, Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, France (ANSES), Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority, Australia (APVMA), German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment, Germany (BfR), Chemical Regulation Division, the United Kingdom (CRD), European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), and RIVM, the Netherlands was formed after the IESTI workshop to conduct a comprehensive impact assessment of the proposed changes of the IESTI equations.