辽河中下游流域水资源时空演变特征分析

选择辽河中下游流域为研究对象,通过调查流域内各月及多年年降水量、蒸散量及水分收支基本情况,应用区域蒸散互补关系模型估算辽河流域实际蒸散量,实现各年实际降水量、蒸散量的空间化。从多个层次分析1956—2000、1970—2000年及1980—2000年3个时间序列降水、蒸散量和水分收支的变化趋势及特点。结果表明：20a系列年平均降水量与45a系列比较分析发现,降水量减少的区域占流域面积的23.08%,降水量增加区域占流域面积的76.92%;辽河中下游流域实际蒸散大部分在600～850mm之间,其分布主要呈现由北向南、由西向东逐渐降低的趋势。辽河中下游流域水分收支不平衡,营口—辽阳—铁岭一线地区水分收支相当,此线以西北地区水分收支是负值,占总流域面积的59.73%,这种变化将会使西部干旱地区的旱情进一步增大。此线以东南地区水分收支是正值,占总流域面积的40.37%,当地的湿润程度会进一步增加。     

河西地区近50年参考作物蒸散量的演变趋势及其影响因素

根据河西地区17站点近50年的逐日气象资料,利用Penman-Monteith方程计算了逐日ET0,以Mann-Kendall法对各站不同季节、年ET0平均总量进行趋势检验。结果表明：武威、古浪、天祝3站年ET0呈增加趋势,其余14站均呈下降趋势,其中有9站通过显著性水平检验。春、夏、秋、冬四季酒泉地区和张掖地区各站ET0值均呈下降趋势,武威地区各站变化趋势不一致,且前者ET0值下降趋势总体较后者明显。典型站点ET0与气候要素多元线形回归分析表明：风速是不同季节、不同站点影响ET0变化的首要因子。其次,最高温度、相对湿度、日照时数也是影响年ET0及各站点不同季节ET0变化的主要因子。     

PRECIPITATION DIFFERENCES AMONGST GCMs USED FOR THE U.S. NATIONAL ASSESSMENT1

ABSTRACT: Two general circulation models (GCMs) used in the U.S. national assessment of the potential consequences of climate variability and change (CGCM1 and HadCM2) show a large increase in precipitation in the future over the southwestern U.S., particularly during winter. This precipitation increase is an extension of a larger region of increased precipitation in the Pacific Ocean off the west coast of North America that is associated with a deepened and southward-shifted Aleutian Low, a weaker subtropical high, and warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs). The models differ in their simulation of precipitation anomalies over the southeastern U.S., with CGCM1 showing drier conditions and HadCM2 showing wetter conditions in the future. While both models show decreased frequency of Atlantic storms, consistent with decreased meridional and land/sea temperature gradients, the more coastal position of the storm track in CGCM1 results in less precipitation than modern along the eastern seaboard of the U.S. During summer, differences in land surface models within the two GCMs sometimes lead to differences in soil moisture that feed back to the precipitation over land due to available moisture.     

用有证标准样品进行能力验证的方法探讨

探讨了采用多组有证标准样品进行能力验证的方法 ,该方法对同一个项目选择几种不同标准值的有证标准物质作为测试样品 ,将测试结果统一用偏离度p作为能力量进行评定 ,p =(测试值 -标准值 ) /标准值的不确定度。将该方法应用于湖北省环境监测系统2 0 0 3年能力验证 ,结果表明 ,p具有可比性和统计意义 ,采用多组有证标准物质进行能力验证的方法是可行的     

57种臭氧前体有机物混合标准气体量值比对研究

标准物质的量值准确性是监测数据准确的重要前提。为科学评价57种臭氧前体有机物混合标准气体量值的准确性,研究建立了定量环进样-中心切割-气相色谱-双火焰离子化检测器分析方法与量值比对方法(E_n值法),并对市售6个品牌各2个批次标准气体开展量值比对研究。研究结果表明,4个品牌标气量值一致性、准确性较好,2个品牌存在5～22种组分量值偏离(E_n绝对值为1.0～5.3),用于开展臭氧前体有机物监测的标准物质质量仍需持续监督、提升。     

Analyzing the Variability of Remote Sensing and Hydrologic Model Evapotranspiration Products in a Watershed in Michigan

The goal of this paper was to statistically explore the spatiotemporal performance of remotely sensed actual evapotranspiration (ETa) datasets and a remotely sensed ensemble in a region that lacks observed data. The remotely sensed datasets were further compared with ETa results from a physically based hydrologic model (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) to examine the differences and determine the level of agreement between the ETa datasets and the model outputs. ETa datasets were compared on temporal (i.e., monthly and seasonal basis) and spatial (i.e., landuse) scales at both watershed and subbasin levels. The results showed a lack of consistent similarities and differences among the datasets when evaluating the monthly ETa variations; however, the seasonal aggregated data presented more consistent similarities and differences during the spring and summer compared to the fall and winter. Meanwhile, spatial analysis of the datasets showed the MOD16A2 500 m ETa product was the most versatile of the tested datasets, being able to differentiate between landuses during all seasons. Furthermore, the use of an averaging ensemble was able to improve overall ETa performance in the study area. This study showed that the remotely sensed ETa products are not similar throughout the year, but the appropriate application periods for different ETa products were identified. Finally, spatial variabilities of the ETa products are more in tune with landuse and climate characteristics.     

Error Autocorrelation and Linear Regression for Temperature‐Based Evapotranspiration Estimates Improvement1

Medeiros, Patrick Valverde, Francisco Fernando Noronha Marcuzzo, Cristián Youlton, and Edson Wendland, 2012. Error Autocorrelation and Linear Regression for Temperature‐Based Evapotranspiration Estimates Improvement. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 48(2): 297‐305. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752‐1688.2011.00614.x Abstract: Estimates of evapotranspiration on a local scale is important information for agricultural and hydrological practices. However, equations to estimate potential evapotranspiration based only on temperature data, which are simple to use, are usually less trustworthy than the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)‐Penman‐Monteith standard method. The present work describes two correction procedures for potential evapotranspiration estimates by temperature, making the results more reliable. Initially, the standard FAO‐Penman‐Monteith method was evaluated with a complete climatologic data set for the period between 2002 and 2006. Then temperature‐based estimates by Camargo and Jensen‐Haise methods have been adjusted by error autocorrelation evaluated in biweekly and monthly periods. In a second adjustment, simple linear regression was applied. The adjusted equations have been validated with climatic data available for the Year 2001. Both proposed methodologies showed good agreement with the standard method indicating that the methodology can be used for local potential evapotranspiration estimates.     

南水北调中线工程水源区蒸散发计算方法比较及影响因素分析

以南水北调中线工程水源区为研究区域,采用1961~2007年9个气象站点气象观测数据和黄家港水文站实测径流资料,以FAO彭曼蒙特斯公式和水文模拟法为标准分别对多种潜在蒸散发计算方法和实际蒸散发计算方法进行比较研究,并分析了陆面蒸散发的影响因素。研究表明：南水北调中线工程水源区存在“蒸发悖论”现象,Priestley Taylor公式计算结果偏大,但与FAO 彭曼蒙特斯公式存在良好的相关关系,在气象资料较少时可以考虑建立相关方程进行推求。傅抱璞公式与水文模拟法计算结果较为接近,相关关系最优。潜在蒸散发与平均温度、气温日较差、实际水汽压、降雨量、风速、净太阳辐射、日照时数呈正相关,而实际蒸散发与平均温度、气温日较差、实际水汽压、降雨量、净太阳辐射、日照时数呈正相关,与风速呈负相关。净太阳辐射是影响陆面蒸散发的核心因素     

Pairing Modern and Paleolimnological Approaches to Evaluate the Nutrient Status of Lakes in Upper Midwest National Parks

Understanding what constitutes a reference (background) nutrient condition for lakes is important for National Park Service managers responsible for preserving and protecting aquatic resources. For this study we characterize water quality conditions in 29 lakes across four national parks, and compare their nutrient status to U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) nutrient reference criteria and alternative criteria recently proposed by others. Where appropriate we also compare the nutrient status of these 29 lakes to state or tribal nutrient reference criteria or standards. For lakes that exceed reference criteria we investigate physical and chemical patterns, and for a subset of lakes compare modern nutrient conditions to paleolimnological (i.e., diatom‐inferred [DI]) nutrient reconstructions. Many lakes exceeded USEPA nutrient reference criteria, but met alternative less restrictive criteria. Modern nutrient conditions were also largely consistent with DI historic (pre‐1900) nutrient conditions. Lakes exceeding alternative nutrient criteria and with elevated nutrient levels relative to DI historic conditions were mostly small, shallow, and dystrophic; continued attention to their nutrient dynamics and biological response is warranted. Coupling modern and paleolimnological data offer an innovative and scientifically defensible approach to understand long‐term nutrient trends and provide greater context for comparison with reference conditions.     

Estimating Evapotranspiration for Dryland Cropping Systems in the Semiarid Texas High Plains Using SWAT

The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is one of the most widely used watershed models for simulating hydrology in response to agricultural management practices. However, limited studies have been performed to evaluate the SWAT model's ability to estimate daily and monthly evapotranspiration (ET) in semiarid regions. ET values were simulated using ArcSWAT 2012 for a lysimeter field managed under dryland conditions at the USDA‐ARS Conservation and Production Research Laboratory at Bushland, Texas, and compared with measured lysimeter values from 2000 to 2010. Two scenarios were performed to compare SWAT's performance: (1) use of default plant leaf area index (LAI) values in the embedded plant database and (2) adjusted LAI values. Scenario 1 resulted in an “unsatisfactory” Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.42 and 0.38 for the calibration and validation periods, respectively. Scenario 2 resulted in a “satisfactory” NSE value for the calibration period while achieving a “good” NSE of 0.70 for the validation period. SWAT generally underestimated ET at both the daily and monthly levels. Overestimation during fallow years may be due to the limitations of the pothole function used to simulate furrow diking. Users should be aware of potential errors associated with using default LAI parameters. Inaccuracies in ET estimation may also stem from errors in the plant stress functions, particularly when evaluating water management practices for dryland watersheds.