Occupational Cognitive Failure and Its Relationship With Unsafe Behaviors and Accidents

Objectives. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between occupational cognitive failures (OCFs) and unsafe behaviors, accidents and driving offences among municipal bus drivers in Tehran, Iran. Methods. Systematic random sampling was used to select 190 drivers from 3 transport and traffic Tehran districts. Data were collected with the occupational cognitive failure questionnaire (OCFQ), the driver behavior questionnaire and a data collection form. Results. The mean (SD) numbers of driving-related offences and road traffic accidents were 1.5 (2.6) and 0.37 (1.0), respectively. The mean (SD) numbers of deliberate driving violations, unintended violations, driving slips and mistakes were 6.97 (5.5), 1.61 (1.5), 13.6 (9.0) and 4.53 (3.28), respectively. The mean (SD) number of the OCFs was 28.9 (20.5). A significant correlation was found between occupational cognitive error and unsafe driving behavior subscales. The stepwise logistic regression results showed that, while controlling the effects of confounding factors, the OCF predicts 6%, 9%, 15% and 9% of deliberate violations, unintended violations, driving slips and driving mistakes, respectively. Conclusion. The results of this study show that the score of the OCFQ is a predictor of unsafe driving behaviors and its subscales.     

大规模采空区渐进式矿柱坍塌的简化模拟

空场法开采的矿山,往往留下大面积的采空区,易发生渐进式倒塌的整体性破坏.针对大量不规则点柱支撑顶板的复杂采空区结构,采用Voronoi图形划分方法确定顶板荷载面积,在此基础上提出了模拟矿柱破坏、荷载转移、应力重新分布过程的计算方法及其适用性.以浙江长兴白象硅灰石矿采空区结构为案例,进行了计算验证,圈定了潜在的采空塌陷区范围,并从理论上提出了控制采空区大面积塌陷的对策.该方法对于该类型矿山的采空区地压控制具有指导意义.     

气田输水管道失效浅析及对策

随着气田开发至中晚期,气田水量不断增大,若不能及时有效处理将严重制约气田的开发,目前气田水处理普遍采取汽车和管道两种方式运输至回注站回注。文章通过对气田水运输中管道失效的表现形式、失效原因进行分析,提出管道失效的解决办法及对策,以确保气田水输送管道长效、稳定运行和气田水的正常运输,保障气田的有序开发。     

有限元分析不同形状腐蚀坑水冷壁管的剩余强度

基于ANSYS有限元软件,对含不同形状腐蚀坑水冷壁管剩余强度进行了研究。研究表明,将管壁上腐蚀坑简化为柱状,当腐蚀坑直径和腐蚀深度组合达到?5 mm-80%壁厚、?8 mm-70%壁厚、?12 mm-60%壁厚3种情况时,腐蚀坑直径和腐蚀深度增加则可认为腐蚀区失效;将腐蚀坑简化为球形,当腐蚀坑直径和腐蚀深度达到10H-70%壁厚(H为腐蚀深度)时,腐蚀坑直径或深度增加则可认为腐蚀区域失效;将腐蚀坑简化为矩形,当腐蚀坑尺寸和腐蚀深度达到6H-60%壁厚时,腐蚀深度和尺寸增加会造成腐蚀区域失效。相同尺寸和腐蚀深度的柱形坑、球形坑和矩形坑,球形坑最安全,柱形腐蚀坑最容易失效。     

充水溶洞对隧道围岩稳定性影响的数值模拟

为探讨充水溶洞中水压对隧道围岩稳定性的影响,利用岩石破坏过程渗流-应力-损伤耦合分析软件F-RFPA~(2D),对隧道底部含充水溶洞的围岩破坏过程进行数值模拟研究,并与岩体中存在裂隙时隧道围岩的破坏过程作对比。结果表明,水压的增加使溶洞与隧道间的岩体逐渐产生裂纹,并不断延伸,最终使隧道与充水溶洞贯通;岩体中裂隙的存在改变了裂纹的扩展方向,加速了隧道底部围岩的破坏进程;实际工程中应将隧道底部围岩垂直方向上的位移变化作为事故发生的前兆,制定相应的预防措施,避免事故的发生。     

考虑岩石应变软化的厚煤层综放开采覆岩破坏特征研究

为了分析裴沟矿31采区的煤炭开采对上部魔洞王水库的影响,以及评价水体下开采的安全性,首先分析了岩土体材料在三轴压缩试验中表现出来的应变软化现象,认为岩石峰后的软化能够说明覆岩破坏后的力学特性;然后介绍了FLAC3D中应变软化模型;最后分别建立Mohr—Coulomb理想弹性模型和应变软化模型的数值模型,针对工作面推进过程中覆岩移动破坏的特征以及顶板导水裂隙带发育规律,分析了两者计算结果的差别,计算结果表明:应变软化模型对覆岩移动破坏特征的计算更加准确,能够说明工作面推进过程中覆岩移动规律,通过其计算得到的导水裂隙带高度的预计对水体下采煤的安全性评价有一定的参考价值。     

A CFD based explosion risk analysis methodology using time varying release rates in dispersion simulations

A full probabilistic Explosion Risk Analysis (ERA) is commonly used to establish overpressure exceedance curves for offshore facilities. This involves modelling a large number of gas dispersion and explosion scenarios. Capturing the time dependant build up and decay of a flammable gas cloud size along with its shape and location are important parameters that can govern the results of an ERA. Dispersion simulations using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) are generally carried out in detailed ERA studies to obtain these pieces of information. However, these dispersion simulations are typically modelled with constant release rates leading to steady state results. The basic assumption used here is that the flammable gas cloud build up rate from these constant release rate dispersion simulations would mimic the actual transient cloud build up rate from a time varying release rate. This assumption does not correctly capture the physical phenomena of transient gas releases and their subsequent dispersion and may lead to very conservative results. This in turn results in potential over design of facilities with implications on time, materials and cost of a project.In the current work, an ERA methodology is proposed that uses time varying release rates as an input in the CFD dispersion simulations to obtain the fully transient flammable gas cloud build-up and decay, while ensuring the total time required to perform the ERA study is also reduced. It was found that the proposed ERA methodology leads to improved accuracy in dispersion results, steeper overpressure exceedance curves and a significant reduction in the Design Accidental Load (DAL) values whilst still maintaining some conservatism and also reducing the total time required to perform an ERA study.     

Thermal risk in batch reactors: Theoretical framework for runaway and accident

Thermal safety and risk of accidents are still challenging topics in the case of batch reactors carrying exothermic reactions. In the present paper, the authors develop an integrated framework focusing on defining the governing parameters for the thermal runaway and evaluating the subsequent risk of accident. A relevant set of criteria are identified in order to find the prior conditions for a thermal runaway: failure of the cooling system, critical temperature threshold, successive derivatives of the temperature (first and second namely) vs. time and no detection in due time (reaction time) of the runaway initiation. For illustrative purposes, the synthesis of peracetic acid (PAA) with hydrogen peroxide (HP) and acetic acid (AA) is considered as case study. The critical and threshold values for the runaway accident are identified for selected sets of input data. Under the conditional probability of prior cooling system failure, Monte Carlo simulations are performed in order to estimate the risk of thermal runaway accident in batch reactors. It becomes then possible to predict the ratio of reactors, within an industrial plant, potentially subject to thermal runaway accident.     

Imperfect chemical female mimicry in males of the ant Cardiocondyla obscurior

Winged and wingless males coexist in the ant Cardiocondyla obscurior. Wingless (“ergatoid”) males never leave their maternal colony and fight remorselessly among each other for the access to emerging females. The peaceful winged males disperse after about 10 days, but beforehand also mate in the nest. In the first 5 days of their life, winged males perform a chemical female mimicry that protects them against attack and even makes them sexually attractive to ergatoid males. When older, the chemical profile of winged males no longer matches that of virgin females; nevertheless, they are still tolerated, which so far has been puzzling. Contrasting this general pattern, we have identified a single aberrant colony in which all winged males were attacked and killed by the ergatoid males. A comparative analysis of the morphology and chemical profile of these untypical attacked winged males and the tolerated males from several normal colonies revealed that normal old males are still performing some chemical mimicry to the virgin queens, though less perfect than in their young ages. The anomalous attacked winged males, on the other hand, had a very different odour to the females. Our study thus exemplifies that the analysis of rare malfunctioning can add valuable insight on functioning under normal conditions and allows the conclusion that older winged males from normal colonies of the ant C. obscurior are guarded through an imperfect chemical female mimicry, still close enough to protect against attacks by the wingless fighters yet dissimilar enough not to elicit their sexual interest.     

基于覆岩破坏传递的超前自卸压区影响宽度研究*

为确定超前自卸压区的宽度,将其更好地应用于边采边抽钻孔布置中,探讨影响超前自卸压范围的主要因素,揭示卸压区宽度与工作面超前支承压力的内在联系,根据压力拱曲线平移特性,提出在覆岩破坏传递过程中,冒落带随回采周期性垮落,造成超前支承压力重分布,简化工作面开采模型,推导计算卸压区宽度的理论新方法并进行现场试验验证。结果表明:通过实测采面前方顺层钻孔的瓦斯抽采纯量,确定超前自卸压区宽度为28~30 m;距工作面＞20~40 m范围为卸压瓦斯高效抽采区,平均瓦斯抽采纯量0.074 m³/min,为卸压前的3.89倍;考虑覆岩破坏传递的超前自卸压区宽度计算值为29.97 m。计算值与实测结果较吻合,验证该方法的可行性,为井下卸压区高效抽采提供借鉴。