2015年我国废钢铁总资源及可获量的推定

概述了国内资深专家对我国废钢铁资源现状和发展前景的看法,并对我国2015年废钢铁总资源及可获量进行推定。     

建立长效机制 规范管理再生资源收购网点

吉林市再生资源行业发展较快,围绕再生资源回收体系,建立了再生资源回收各环节的规章制度,取得较好的社会效果。同时指出再生资源行业发展过程中存在的具体问题,并提出对策和建议。     

水资源转移利用的利益补偿测算：模型构建与应用

水资源转移利用的利益补偿不仅关系到水资源重新配置的效率和效益的实现,同样还关系到不同用水主体之间利益的公平共享和资源的可持续利用。为科学合理地测算不同用水主体之间水资源转移利用的利益补偿额度,构建了水资源转移利用利益补偿测算模型。该模型综合考虑了合作贡献、资源投入、用水效率、风险承担和社会公正等因素对收益分配的影响,并运用粗糙层次分析法（RAHP）来确定各种指标的权重,然后在此基础上对用水收益分配和利益补偿进行测算。最后,通过诸暨陈石灌区用水转移的实例应用验证了该模型的可行性和科学有效性。同时实例研究表明实践中的农业用水主体没有充分分享到因水资源转移利用而产生的增加收益,亟待提高农业节水主体应得的利益补偿额,保障农民利益。     

经济增长质量与能源效率是一致的吗?

论文从全社会节能的角度提出全社会能源效率的概念,构建了经济增长质量指标体系,并基于1997—2007 年中国30 个省份的面板数据,采用Malmquist DEA方法测算了广义技术进步指数并进行分解,然后运用面板方法分析了经济增长质量与能源效率的作用机制,研究结果表明经济增长质量与能源效率是不完全一致的,具体表现为:改善环境质量与提高能源效率是一致的,技术进步与产业结构升级能够促进能源效率,但出口比重的增加和生活水平的提高会抑制能源效率的改进。技术进步、技术效率、纯技术效率和规模效率对全社会能源效率有正向影响,技术效率的作用大于技术进步,纯技术效率和规模效率的下降削弱了技术进步的正向作用。     

Constructing change: The evolution of land and resource management in Alberta,Canada

Recognizing the limitations common to both centralized and privatized management regimes, institutionalized resource management is beginning to incorporate the knowledge and skills of local resource users, coupled with the enabling policies and legislation of state systems, to arrive at cooperative approaches to resource management. These varying and dynamic approaches to resource management have been compelled largely through the recognition of the limited capabilities of existing management systems to adapt effectively to ecosystem change and the evolving needs of resource users. These cooperative approaches to management should not, however, be considered an institutional end-point, but rather a phase in the perpetual transition of a social system; each unique in character and individually variable depending on the resource being managed, the political climate in which management occurs, as well as the differing strategies employed by resource users to enact institutional change. Drawing from the experiences of the Whitefish Lake First Nation of Alberta, Canada, this paper presents a brief overview of the evolution of resource management theory, grounded in the real-world formation of the Whitefish Lake First Nation — Province of Alberta Cooperative Management Agreement.     

Fluent软件在地表水源热泵系统温排水数值模拟中的运用

运用Fluent软件对重庆市嘉陵江化龙桥段瑞安新天地江水水源热泵系统尾水排入受纳水域的过程进行二维数值模拟,选取Fluent中非耦合、隐式求解器对模型内的定常流动进行求解,得出受纳水域受水源热泵系统温排水影响后的温升面积和温度梯度。结果表明:在温排水流量为2.0×103 m3/h、温差为4℃的条件下,计算该水域沿水流方向温升超过1℃的最大影响距离为150.4 m,温升超过1℃的水域面积约为1 525 m2,为模拟江水面积的8.59%。选取1℃温升值作为温升带的边界控制值,并在热泵系统最大负荷工况下,根据W=Q×ΔT计算研究水域热环境容量为19.402 m3.℃/s,剩余热环境容量为17.736 m3.℃/s。根据地表水环境质量标准,该工程温排水量小于受纳水域的热承载力,不会对受纳水域生态环境造成热污染。     

Protected areas as frontiers for human migration

Causes of human population growth near protected areas have been much debated. We conducted 821 interviews in 16 villages around Budongo Forest Reserve, Masindi district, Uganda, to explore the causes of human migration to protected areas and to identify differences in forest use between migrant and nonmigrant communities. We asked subjects for information about birthplace, migration, household assets, household activities, and forest use. Interview subjects were categorized as nonmigrants (born in one of the interview villages), socioeconomic migrants (chose to emigrate for economic or social reasons) from within Masindi district (i.e., local migrants) and from outside the Masindi district (i.e., regional migrants), or forced migrants (i.e., refugees or internally displaced individuals who emigrated as a result of conflict, human rights abuses, or natural disaster). Only 198 respondents were born in interview villages, indicating high rates of migration between 1998 and 2008. Migrants were drawn to Budongo Forest because they thought land was available (268 individuals) or had family in the area (161 individuals). A greater number of regional migrants settled in villages near Lake Albert than did forced and local migrants. Migration category was also associated with differences in sources of livelihood. Of forced migrants 40.5% earned wages through labor, whereas 25.5% of local and 14.5% of regional migrants engaged in wage labor. Migrant groups appeared to have different effects on the environment. Of respondents that hunted, 72.7% were regional migrants. Principal component analyses indicated households of regional migrants were more likely to be associated with deforestation. Our results revealed gaps in current models of human population growth around protected areas. By highlighting the importance of social networks and livelihood choices, our results contribute to a more nuanced understanding of causes of migration and of the environmental effects of different migrant groups.     

Challenges to interdisciplinary research in ecosystem-based management

Despite its necessity, integration of natural and social sciences to inform conservation efforts has been difficult. We examined the views of 63 scientists and practitioners involved in marine management in Mexico's Gulf of California, the central California coast, and the western Pacific on the challenges associated with integrating social science into research efforts that support ecosystem-based management (EBM) in marine systems. We used a semistructured interview format. Questions focused on how EBM was developed for these sites and how contextual factors affected its development and outcomes. Many of the traditional challenges linked with interdisciplinary research were present in the EBM projects we studied. However, a number of contextual elements affected how mandates to include social science were interpreted and implemented as well as how easily challenges could be addressed. For example, a common challenge is that conservation organizations are often dominated by natural scientists, but for some projects it was easier to address this imbalance than for others. We also found that the management and institutional histories that came before EBM in specific cases were important features of local context. Because challenges differed among cases, we believe resolving challenges to interdisciplinary research should be context specific.     

中国市域旅游综合吸引力指数评价

论文以中国338个市域作为旅游客源地和旅游目的地,测算其旅游吸引力指数。以南京市为例,通过GIS空间可视化并分别划分出5个等级旅游目的地及旅游客源地。结果发现南京不同等级旅游目的地呈距离衰减规律,但同时出现区位跨越现象;南京旅游客源地总体上亦呈现距离衰减规律,但也出现远距离客源地等级甚至比近距离客源地等级要高的现象。笔者把吸引指数模型逆思维推演测算出了中国城市总吸引指数排名,并以可达性为基础,根据旅游目的地城市总吸引指数和旅游规模排名位序是否一致划分出中国城市旅游的发展程度现状10种类型,为城市旅游发展提供比较参考。     

基于DPSIRM框架的区域水资源承载力综合评价

综合考虑影响水资源系统的资源、生态、环境、经济、社会等因素,论文通过对水资源系统内在机理研究,构建基于驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应-管理（DPSIRM）概念框架的水资源承载力DPSIRM评价指标体系,给出各子系统明确的含义,以反映系统内部各要素之间的关系。在此基础上,将模拟退火算法用于投影寻踪优化,构建耦合SA-PP模型。并将模型应用于2003—2012年云南省水资源承载力综合评价,并分析投影特征值的历年变化特征。研究结果表明：2003—2012年云南省水资源承载力呈逐步上升趋势,即在当前社会经济发展水平下,云南省水资源承载力逐步增强,社会经济发展的规模处于水资源可支撑的规模范围内。2006年以前,水资源承载力呈加速增长趋势,其增长潜力较大。2006年以后,水资源承载力波动幅度较大,而2009和2011年年增幅趋于零。最佳投影方向各分量的大小反映了各评价指标对水资源承载力的影响程度,值越大则对应的评价指标对水资源承载力的影响程度越大。对水资源承载力影响程度最大的5项指标依次为：生活污水排放量、“三废”治理投资、人均GDP、单位GDP水耗和森林覆盖率。压力子系统对水资源承载力影响比重为26.15%,表明压力子系统是影响云南省水资源承载力的最重要因子。研究表明此模型具有实用性,可为区域水资源规划与管理提供科学决策依据。