北疆250年地表水资源变化特征及未来趋势预测

本文从北疆年轮场重建了北疆２５０年的地表水资源，探讨气候－地表水资源－年轮之间的关系，分析地表水资源的长期变化特征，预测其变化趋势，为北疆地表水资源的研究与利用提供了新的参考依据。     

广州市水政水资源管理信息系统开发研究

广州市水政水资源管理信息系统是一个基于GIS技术的、客户／服务器结构下的环境信息系统，本文介绍了系统的总体设计与关键技术，该系统是为水资源主管部门进行水资源日常管理而设计的，目的是为了提高水资源管理的科学化，现代化水平，系统开发的关键技术要有服务器数据库建设、客户端与服务器的数据连接以及组件式GIS（MapObjects）的应用。     

滇池流域水资源与水污染问题

滇池水质污染与流域水资源紧缺二者相互影响，相互制约，存在人口机械增长过快，沿岸开发过度，面山水土流失严重和水资源未能优化配置等问题，应从水土保持综合治理，优化配置水资源，控制入湖污染物总量等方面着手，监管，科研，生态恢复并重，逐步解决滇池流域水资源与水污染问题。     

基于洪水资源化的水库汛限水位调整及其风险管理

在论述“洪水资源化”概念和调整水库汛限水位所涉及的影响因素的基础上, 构建了汛限水位 调整后的风险和效益评价指标体系及其估算方法, 以及论述了水库汛限水位调整的风险管理对策。 以五强溪大型水库为例, 综合评价了在不同汛限水位方案下所带来的风险及效益, 并引入优选模糊 理论方法来合理调整汛限水位。通过综合分析认为, 五强溪水库在主汛期将汛限水位从现行的 98.00m 提高到100.00m 的方案是可行的, 它在防洪风险增加不多的情况下, 可将有可能被排泄的 1.85×108m3 洪水转化为有效利用的水资源, 显然, 将大型水库提高汛限水位超蓄洪水是实现洪水资 源化的重要手段, 但必须是在加强水库实时调度风险管理的提前下实施。     

安西极旱荒漠国家级自然保护区鸟类资源的消长变化

1988-1989年安西极旱荒漠自然保护区进行了首次全面的综合考察,为了解1988年以来保护区鸟类资源的变化及其原因,2002-2004年又4次调查了该地区鸟类的种类及数量。15年来安西自然保护区的鸟类资源变化明显。鸟类种类新增加31种(其中甘肃新记录3种),但同时减少了36种。国家重点保护鸟类由原来的18种下降到16种。与1988-1989年相比,2002-2004年春季和夏季鸟类数量下降,秋季数量增加;各个季节的优势种的种类和数量都发生明显变化。影响安西自然保护区鸟类资源变化的主要原因是鸟类迁徙和人类活动。     

Why is competition more intense if food is supplied more slowly?

We investigated competition for food among two groups of six clone amagos (salmonids), Oncorhynchusmasoumacrostomus, in a laboratory experiment with different rates of food input. We examined the effect of temporal clumping of food resources on the inequality of food sharing between competitors. Monopolization of food by dominants was greater at a low input rate (one food item per 10 s) than at a high input rate (1 food item per 1 s). Aggressive behavior by dominants was more frequent at the low input rate than at the high input rate; its purpose was presumably to interfere with the feeding behavior of subordinates. We assessed the relative importance of three foraging factors (the number of approaches to food items, the chance per approach and the gain per chance) in enhancing inequality in food gain between individuals. Dominants had a disproportionately high chance per approach and gain per chance at the low input rate, but not at the high input rate. The chance of obtaining a food item per approach depended on how many competitors approached simultaneously. The gain per chance depended on the competitive ability of the approaching fish. There was an interaction between these components, such that the number of approaches affected the chance per approach and gain per chance. We evaluated the independent effect of the chance per approach, and showed that it was higher for dominants than for subordinates at the low input rate, but not at the high input rate. This implies that subordinates changed their behavior and became more likely to avoid approaching food at the same time as dominants at the low input rate. Received: 13 August 1996 / Accepted after revision: 30 November 1996     

北京市雨水资源综合利用与污染防治——迎绿色奥运,建生态北京

介绍了国内外雨水收集利用的情况,并针对北京水资源短缺和雨水资源大量浪费的现状,分析了北京市雨水资源收集和综合利用的前景,提出削减污染以及雨水综合利用的相关措施。北京天然雨水较清洁,然而经过在各种下垫面的冲刷后径流水质变差,初期径流污染物的含量相当大,甚至超过地表水环境质量标准的Ⅴ级。建议将初期降雨径流和后期雨水分开对待,将初期径流处理后再利用。     

江苏省泰兴市土地资源的人口承载量研究

从人群的营养水平和主粮、副食品消费结构的变化出发，分别估算和预测了１９９３年和２０００年江苏省泰兴市土地资源的人口承载量。结果表明，该市土地资源１９９３年可供１２０万人过上宽裕型生活，到２０００年可供９５万人过上小康型生活，其余三分之一以上人口的粮食需求要依靠市外供给。     

Sustainable management of shellfish resources in Bandon Bay, Gulf of Thailand

Bandon Bay (Surat Thani Province) is one of the most productive coastal areas in southern Thailand. The Tapi River and 18 channels are the main sources of freshwater, nutrients, organic matter and sediment to the bay and the loading of freshwater and nutrients provide essential support for the production of phytoplankton in the estuarine ecosystem. Bandon Bay is important as natural spawning, nursery and feeding grounds for shellfish such as oysters, blood cockles, green mussels, short-necked clams, mud crabs and shrimps, and the estuary also serves as an excellent area for mariculturing of shellfish. In fact, oysters and blood cockles cultured in Bandon Bay are now being exported worldwide. However, Bandon Bay is also a textbook example of overexploitation of coastal resources in the tropics including all the derived changes in the estuarial ecosystem with severe socio-economic consequences. Hence, there is an urgent need for setting up an integrated management plant for a sustainable use of shellfish resources in Bandon Bay. The present study attempts to integrate water quality simulation results, socio-economic data and information on existing shellfish resource use in the process of proposing a set of sustainable management strategies for shellfish resources in Bandon Bay. These strategies involve: (1) using water quality modeling to monitor ecological and environmental changes in shellfish culture beds and their natural habitats in the process of setting up a master plan for management of waste water discharge into Bandon Bay; (2) zoning of shellfish mariculture in the coastal area in order to solve conflicts between resource users; (3) setting up a clear system for taxation of mariculture where the revenue may be used for (4) setting up and managing mangrove strips as filters of pollution and sediment around Bandon Bay; and finally (5) it is suggested to form a committee with members representing all relevant stakeholders plus the local government in order to work on resolving the existing and potential future conflicts over resource usage in Bandon Bay. This methodology may be seen as an important contribution towards a Bandon Bay sustainable management approach, based on the principles of integrated coastal zone management because it is science-based and takes into consideration the needs and perceptions of people involved in coastal resource extraction.     

专家系统及其在农业与自然资源管理中的应用

阐述了专家系统的概念及其与传统程序、其它计算机辅助决策的区别，综述了专家系统在农业与自然资源管理中的应用现状及其日益重要的作用，探讨了农业专家系统的发展趋向。