不同进水条件下ASM1模型参数的灵敏度分析

编制了BSM1的仿真程序,并分析了不同进水条件下ASM1模型的16个参数对BSM1出水COD、TN、NH4+-N、NO3--N灵敏度的影响.结果表明,9个参数的灵敏度在规定的划分范围内没有区别,7个参数在不同进水条件下差别较明显;各参数灵敏度的变化规律,与出水的NH4+-N及NO3--N浓度变化有一定相关性;灵敏度变化与ASM1模型速率方程中的开关函数有关.研究不同进水条件下模型参数的灵敏度,有助于提高污水处理仿真计算的准确性.     

Characterisation of HTO diffusion properties by an in situ tracer experiment in Opalinus clay at Mont Terri

A long-term single borehole diffusion experiment using tritiated water as tracer was carried out in Opalinus clay, an argillaceous rock formation that is accessible at the Mont Terri Underground Research Laboratory, situated in the Swiss Jura. The tracer was diluted in reconstituted formation water and introduced into a packed-off section of a borehole located in saturated rock. Pressure in this interval was maintained equal to the pore pressure of the surrounding rock in order to prevent any hydraulic gradient around the borehole and to avoid advective transport processes. The evolution of the tracer concentration in the injection system was monitored over time. After 1 year of diffusion, the claystone surrounding the interval was retrieved by overcoring the whole borehole and packer system, and by an adjacent oblique borehole. Compressed air was used as drilling fluid to reduce rock disturbances. The recovered overcore was sampled along profiles perpendicular to the borehole wall with a view to determining the tracer-concentration profiles in the rock. To avoid further evaporation of tritiated water, subsamples were immediately transferred into polyethylene bottles and disaggregated by adding a known amount of tracer-free water. Fifteen profiles were determined and showed a decreasing tracer concentration with distance into the rock. The pore-water contents were constant along those profiles, confirming that only very little water was lost during overcoring operations. The evolution of tritium-tracer concentration in the injection system over time and in situ profiles were interpreted with a 3-D numerical simulation of the experiment. That allowed for the identification of the transport parameters (orthotropic diffusion tensor and porosity) by minimising the relative quadratic error between the experimental and simulated data. The fitting is good and the results are consistent with data obtained on drill-core samples. The result of tritiated water is discussed regarding (1) the potential effect of mechanical and/or chemical disturbances around the injection borehole and (2) the specific behaviour of tritiated water.     

The effect of vent ducts on the reduced explosion pressures of vented dust explosions

An investigation into the effects of vent ducts on reduced explosion pressures is described. Experiments were made using an 18.5m³ explosion vessel and a modified 20 1 sphere, with dusts having K_st values ranging from 144 bar ms⁻¹ to 630 bar ms⁻¹. The vent area/vessel volume ratio bursting pressure of the vent cover, and the length to diameter ratio of the vent duct have been varied. Straight vent ducts, and ducts containing sharp 45° and 90° bends have been used.A simple model to describe the effect of vent ducts on the reduced explosion pressure has been derived and compared with the experimental results. Agreement is shown to be satisfactory in nearly all cases. A comparison between the experimental results and guidance on the effect of vent ducts already available in the literature is discussed.     

Economic Modelling in Sustainability Science: Issues,Methodology, and Implications

Sustainability science is a new branch of human knowledge. It is necessary to model sustainability science based on a framework consisting of the interactions of society, ecology, the environment and the economy. This paper develops such a model, the SEEOSG model, containing the essential structural relationships that incorporate the environmental and economic conditions required for sustainability. The model is solved as a dynamic optimisation problem. This optimal growth model of ecology and economic growth enables us also to analyse the issues which are specific to sustainability science such as the ecologically sustainability and inter-generational equity implications of economic activities and policies. In the model results growth maximisation goals appear to be fraught with difficulties such as infeasibility and non-sustainability. The results also suggest also that an equilibrium ecological and economic system does not sustain over a very long period of time unless appropriate actions are taken. Readers should send thier comments on this paper to: BhaskarNath@aol.com within 3 months of publication of this issue.     

高校毕业生结构性失衡问题探讨

高校毕业生结构性失衡是指随着我国经济结构的变化,毕业生的供给结构与需求结构不协调。通过高校毕业生结构性失衡的实证分析,本文觉得其症结主要是高等教育层次结构和科类结构的失衡。这在很大程度上决定毕业生资源的供给结构,因此,高等教育结构的调整是解决高校毕业生结构性失衡关键。     

分布式认知理论框架下农户土地转出意愿影响因素研究——基于SEM模型的武汉城市圈典型地区实证分析

基于分布式认知理论,从"个人力"、"地域力"、"文化力"三个层次构建农户土地流转认知的影响因素理论框架,利用"武汉城市圈"典型地区土地流转调查数据构建结构方程模型(Structural Equation Model,SEM),定量分析各影响因素在农户土地流转认知中的作用。研究证实:不同农户认知群体之间存在不同流转认知偏好,"无文化的老农民"相对于"有文化的年轻职业者"在土地流转认知中更加保守;农户对土地的需求普遍偏向土地的资产属性和财产权利,农村土地流转具备内在动力;然而,出于对土地社会保障功能的需求,农户不会因为其家庭生产方式和经济来源明显脱离土地而产生强烈的土地转出愿意,农户的家庭生计条件及"土地情节"在一定程度上制约了土地流转;村镇干部"取信于民"是农户获得"安全感",克服风险规避心理促进土地流转认知的最重要因素;流转价格是对农户在土地流转中物质与精神"双重损失"的资金补偿,两者的匹配程度对农户的认知具有重要作用。在此基础上,得出要规范流转程序、健全流转监督机制、保护农民利益,加强农村社会保障制度建设以确保农民获得公平的社会保障,加快推进和支持农村教育以提高农村劳动力素质,建立和完善土地流转制度保障和农业经营扶持机制等政策启示。     

Comparative study on consumption behaviors in private car markets between large and medium–small cities in China

With the economic development and the acceleration of motorization in China, the number of private cars increases rapidly in urban areas. However, the limit of urban resources and the contradiction between traffic supply and demand are increasingly prominent in large cities, while private car consumption has been a new “light” in medium and small cities. Consumers’ behaviors differ from region to region. Aiming at the above problems, we formulate structural equation modeling and carry out empirical research. In this paper, a comparative study about the main influential factors that affect the consumption of private cars in large and small cities in China is made, and it is hoped that some guidance for policy recommendations can be obtained.     

多元线性回归和Bp神经网络预测水资源承载力--以济南市为例

水资源承载力的预测对发展地区经济具有重要意义，利用主成分分析方法对济南市水资源承载力变化的驱动力进行了分析，人口和GDP是影响水资源承载力变化的最主要的驱动因素。通过水资源承载变化驱动因子的多元线性回归模型和人工神经网络模型，分别预测出2010年和2020年济南市水资源的需求状况，并探讨了将线性和非线性相结合的方法用于水资源预测。     

改良剂对湿地土壤团聚体及抗悬浮能力的影响试验

以巢湖十五里河河口湿地土壤为研究对象,选用PAM(J)、PAM+生物炭(SJ)和PAM+泥炭(NJ)为土壤结构改良剂,研究改良剂对淹水条件下培养后土壤水稳性团聚体数量、土壤抗悬浮能力和土壤磷释放的影响。结果表明,四种处理(CK、NJ、J和SJ)0.25 mm水稳性团聚体含量大小顺序为:J(58.73±0.57%)SJ(48.27±3.58%)NJ(34.47±2.02%)CK(2.31±0.15%)。在室内风浪扰动模拟实验中,扰动后上覆水体悬浮物浓度(SS)和水体磷浓度的大小顺序均是:CKNJJSJ,且CK显著大于NJ、J和SJ。添加PAM(J)、PAM+生物炭(SJ)和PAM+泥炭(NJ)不仅能显著提高0.25 mm研究区湿地土壤水稳性团聚体的含量,也能显著增强风浪扰动下淹水土壤的抗悬浮能力,进而显著降低淹水后土壤磷释放能力,其中以添加PAM+生物炭组合提升淹水后湿地土壤抗悬浮和降低磷释放能力的效果最佳。     

DO对同步硝化反硝化影响及动力学

研究生物接触氧化法中DO对同步硝化反硝化系统脱氮效率的影响。研究结果表明:在溶解氧(DO)为1.0～3.0mg/L范围内,随着反应器内溶解氧浓度的降低,总脱氮去除率提高,保持较好脱氮率的最佳DO为2mg/L左右,并分析了其原因;同时探讨了DO为2mg/L时的动力学方程。