The relationship between socio-economic indicators and air pollution in England and Wales: implications for environmental justice

This paper investigates the distribution of three common air pollutants, sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and fine particulates (PM₁₀), in England and Wales with respect to social class, ethnicity and population density. A multilevel model is used to demonstrate regional differences in the social distribution of pollution. The results show that, allowing for ethnicity and population density, there are different relationships between socio-economic status and exposure to air pollution within different regions in England and Wales. These differences suggest that national legislation introduced to reduce air pollution levels may give rise to environmental injustice, with geographical and social differences in the costs and benefits arising to the population due to such legislation. Received: 24 February 1999 / Accepted: 2 September 1999     

Modeling and risk assessment for soil temperatures beneath prescribed forest fires

Prescribed fire is a management tool used by wildland resource management organizations in many ecosystems to reduce hazardous fuels and to achieve a host of other objectives. To study the effects of fire in naturally accumulating fuel conditions, the ambient soil temperature is monitored beneath prescribed burns. In this study we developed a stochastic model for temperature profiles (values at 15 minute intervals) recorded at four depths beneath the soil during a large prescribed burn study. The model was used to assess the temporal fit of the data to particular solutions of the heat equation. We used a random effects model to assess the effects of observed site characteristics on maximum temperatures and to estimate risks of temperatures exceeding critical levels in future similar prescribed fires. Contour plots of estimated risks of temperatures exceeding 60°C for a range of fuel levels and soil depths indicated high risks of occurrence, especially when the moisture levels are low. However, the natural variability among sites seems to be large, even after controlling fuel and moisture levels, resulting in large standard errors of predicted risks.     

Modelling concentrations of decamethylcyclopentasiloxane in two UK rivers using LF2000-WQX

Current regulatory environmental exposure assessments for decamethylcyclopentasiloxane (D₅), used in a range of personal care products, are based on a number of erroneous assumptions. Using an estimated D₅ flux to waste water of 11.6 mg cap⁻¹ d⁻¹, a 95.2% removal rate in Sewage Treatment Plants (STP) and a dilution factor of 10 results in modelled surface water concentrations that are up to an order of magnitude higher than concentrations observed downstream of STPs in two UK rivers. A GIS-based water quality model (LF2000-WQX) was used to predict concentrations of D₅ in two UK rivers. Assuming the STP removal rate is reasonable, a waste water flux of 2.4 mg cap⁻¹ d⁻¹ is needed in order to obtain a reasonable match between predicted and observed in-river concentrations. This flux is consistent with measured effluent concentrations. The results highlight major uncertainties in estimating chemical emission rates for volatile chemicals used in personal care products and suggest that measured concentrations in waste water are needed to refine exposure assessments.     

华中地区种植业生产碳排放驱动因素分析

农业是温室气体排放的第二大人为因素源,探寻农业生产碳排影响因素,对实现农业节能减排有重要意义。以中国粮食主产区华中地区为背景,综合运用IPCC(2006)推荐的方法估算华中地区1994~2013年种植业生产的碳排放量,基于Kaya恒等式、灰色关联模型对华中地区种植业生产的碳排放驱动因素进行识别并探讨主要影响因素的贡献。结果显示:(1)华中地区1994~2013年种植业生产碳排放呈上升趋势,2013年达到了11 257.63万t CO2-eq。其中,河南省、湖北省、湖南省的种植业生产碳排放增幅分别为101.29%、24.88%、21.73%;(2)在过去的20 a中,种植业生产效率、种植业结构、农业劳动力规模对农业生产碳排放具有一定抑制作用,而农业经济发展则促进了种植业生产碳排,具有一定的推动作用;(3)近20 a的农业发展过程中,华中地区种植业生产碳排放最主要的贡献因子是种植业结构,其次是农业从业人口、种植业产值、人均农用物资消耗量。     

Establishing components of community satisfaction with recycled water use through a structural equation model

The use of recycled water is being promoted through policy in many parts of the world with the aim of achieving sustainable water management. However there are some major barriers to the success of recycled water use policies and their instruments, in particular for potable reuse schemes. One of these barriers can be a lack of community support. Despite the critical nature of community attitudes to recycled water to the success of projects, they are often little understood. Further information is required to ensure the successful implementation of recycled water policy and to ensure sustainable management of water resources is achieved. The aim of this paper is to establish the key components of community satisfaction with recycled water. This was investigated through a case study of the Mawson Lakes population in South Australia, where recycled water is used for non-potable purposes through a dual water supply system (the 'recycled water system'). This paper reports results from a survey of 162 Mawson Lakes residents. A structural equation model (SEM) was developed and tested to explain and predict components of community satisfaction with recycled water use (for non-potable use) through the dual water supply system. Results indicate the components of satisfaction with recycled water use were an individual's positive perception of: the Water Authority's communication, trust in the Water Authority, fairness in the recycled water system's implementation, quality of the recycled water, financial value of the recycled water system, and risk associated with recycled water use (negative relationship). The results of this study have positive implications for the future management and implementation of recycled water projects in particular through dual water supply systems. The results indicate to water authorities and water policy developers guiding principles for community consultation with regards to the management of recycled water projects.     

制糖工业生态化重构--以贵糖集团为例

本文针对我国制糖工业存在的结构性污染、区域性污染等问题 ,按照生态工业理念 ,对广西贵港市制糖工业进行了生态化重构。介绍了贵港国家生态工业 (制糖 )示范园区的建设框架 ,并进行了物流、能流、水流和技术群分析     

主要部门污染物控制政策的温室气体协同效果分析与评价

工程减排、结构减排和监督管理减排是实现我国污染物减排的三个主要措施,近年来我国SO2的排放呈现出下降的态势,本文选取电力、钢铁和水泥这3个重要行业,测算了在"十一五"以来SO2的减排效果,以及由其带来CO2减排的协同效果。结果显示,"十一五"期间,3个主要行业减少污染物排放超过1 000万t,其中工程减少污染物排放超过700万t,结构减少污染物排放300万t。由此带来的协同效果显示,由于结构减排带来了超过7亿t CO2的减排,而由于工程效应减少污染物的同时带来的CO2增加500万t,因此总计带来7-8亿t CO2的减排。而"十二五"前两年减少污染物排放400万t,其中工程减少污染物排放350万t,结构污染物排放减少了40万t。由此带来的协同效果显示,由于结构减排减少了CO2排放1.74亿t,而由于工程效应减少污染物的同时带来的CO2的增加量为200万t,因此总计带来1.72亿t CO2的减排。结构减排和工程减排两种措施可以在行业内实现降低污染物的排放,但是其贡献程度由于行业的差异有所不同。"十一五"期间电力行业较多是依靠工程减排实现SO2排放的降低,而水泥和钢铁行业则更多是依靠行政命令如关停落后产能和机组实现污染物的减排,显示出电力行业通过技术实现污染物的减排,而其他两个行业则主要靠调整结构来实现减排。电力行业中的末端治理技术即工程减排贡献了大部分的污染物减排,但是与此同时由于末端治理技术会导致能源消耗的增加,即引起CO2排放的增加,因此污染物的协同控制效果较差,而钢铁和水泥行业的污染物减排则由于更多是通过结构调整的手段,如关停落后产能和机组,因此其协同效果较为显著。"十三五"期间,需要继续控制双高产业的发展,强化"前端"污染物控制减排,夯实结构减排的协同成效,加大工程减排的实施,缩小减排工程能力和实际减排效果的差距,实现"末端"污染物减排,加强"前端"审批和"中段"运行管理效果。     

中国城乡居民消费隐含的碳排放对比分析

可持续消费研究是产业生态学的重要内容.居民消费包括城镇居民消费和农村居民消费.本研究首先采用综合生命周期分析方法(Hybrid LCA)核算 1997、2002和2007三年的居民消费隐含的二氧化碳排放总量,发现2007年的碳排放量已经达到18.01亿吨.城镇居民消费已经成为居民消费的主要组成部分,到2007年城镇居民消费的碳排放量达到总量的76.44%.采用结构分解分析(SDA)方法对影响居民消费碳排放量变化的五项驱动因素进行分析,发现排放强度因子是"减缓"居民消费碳排放量增加的主要力量,而人均消费水平因子是推动碳排放量迅速增加的主要因素.同时,发现居民消费结构的变迁对碳排量的增加有一定促进作用.在未来应该通过持续降低能耗强度和加快研发低碳能源技术,来持续降低碳排放强度.另外,要充分挖掘居民生活方式和消费行为的减排潜力,引导消费结构,提倡适度消费,促进居民消费模式向低碳方向转变.     

岷江上游泥石流堵河可能性的经验公式判别

泥石流堵塞主河,特别是堵断主河后发生重大灾害的实例屡见不鲜,对泥石流堵河的研究也方兴未艾。选取岷江上游具有代表性的堵河型泥石流沟4条、堵塞型泥石流沟及不堵河型泥石流沟各2条,通过文献查阅、实地调查得到各泥石流沟的基本数据、泥石流堵河状况及入汇处主河特征的资料,对堵河型泥石流基本特征进行分析总结,并与堵塞型、不堵河型泥石流沟进行比较,得出计算泥石流堵断主河可能性大小的经验公式,并对所选典型泥石流沟进行了计算。经分析,计算结果与实际相符,故在岷江上游干旱河谷区,可用此式计算泥石流堵河可能性大小,并依此来判断泥石流对主河的堵塞程度,计算数值越大,堵塞程度就越高,一般堵河可能性〖WTBX〗R〖WTBZ〗在10以上为易于堵河,介于5～10可对主河造成较严重的堵塞,小于5则堵河的可能性很小,多产生轻微堵塞。〖     

立贮固体发动机黏接界面剪切破坏风险研究

目的 评估长期立贮固体发动机黏接界面因剪切变形导致破坏的风险。方法 对固体发动机黏接界面剪切试件进行高温加速老化,而后对老化剪切试样进行定速拉伸剪切试验,依据剪切试验结果,总结固体发动机黏接界面力学性能的老化规律。基于Arrhenius方程外推得到固体发动机黏接界面考虑老化的剪切变形破坏判据,采用该破坏判据对立式贮存15 a的某型固体发动机黏接界面因剪切变形发生破坏的风险进行评估。结果 黏接界面在经过15 a的老化后,其最大剪切变形为0.792 6 rad,比初始性能下降5.31%。选定某型固体发动机进行长期立贮工况计算,仿真计算结果显示,该固体发动机立贮15 s时,黏接界面危险点处的切向应变值0.463 3 rad。该值小于老化15 a后黏接界面剪切变形破坏起始点,即该发动机在立式贮存15 a后,界面剪切变形程度未达到破坏阈值。结论 该破坏判据能够较为直观地对长期立式贮存固体发动机黏接界面因剪切变形发生破坏的风险进行评估,可为长期贮存固体发动机黏接界面结构完整性评估提供借鉴参考。