基于主成分分析法的液体管道泄漏后果综合评价模型

基于主成分分析和后果评价模型,提出了一种液体管道泄漏后果综合评价方法。将液体管道泄漏后果划分为火灾、爆炸和中毒3大类14个基本指标,建立后果评价指标体系。在VCE等后果模拟计算的基础上得到初始数据,运用SPSS软件处理相关数据,使用主成分分析法得到各指标相互独立的综合评价模型。选择天津港某码头进行实例分析,运用该方法对该港口储运的15类有代表性液体危险化学品进行综合评价,得到了各化学品的综合评价值以及按照其发生泄漏后危险性大小的排序。结果表明,该方法适用于评价港口码头等储运多种液体危险化学品的行业。     

Frontiers created by ‘the Others’

ABSTRACT

This paper highlights the colonized perspective, and aims to reflect on the consequences of a predominant perspective of land control and use for Amazonian indigenous people. The demarcation of indigenous territories has been presented by external public actors, the ‘Others’ to explicitly support indigenous people defend their territories. However, demarcation effectively creates a frontier and enclosure which contribute to alienate indigenous people within their new territories. Amazonian groups normally maintain that they belong to the Land, and their historical use of a determined land has been asserted by anthropological studies. But they belong to Land. In contrast, occupying a territory to generate profit allows the exploitation of everything inside it. Every form of extraction helps to reproduce the colonial logic. A key question we need to address is, therefore: Why do the ‘others’ not feel that belonging?     

浅析政府对环境民事诉讼不适当干预

随着我国经济发展，环境污染纠纷在不断增加。由于环境行政法律规范的缺陷和环境行政执法的不力，很多纠纷未能得到及时有效的解决，于是污染受害者不得不求助于环境民事诉讼程序。然而，政府部门对这些诉讼活动的不适当干预引起了一系列严重后果：降低了法律、政府和司法部门的权威性，加剧了环境质量的恶化，严重威胁了公众的生命健康和财产安全，不利于我国法制建设和可持续发展战略目标的实现。文章着重探讨了种种危害后果，并在此基础上分析了政府干预的动机和法院软弱的成因，最后提出了初步的建议。     

引信炸药装配生产爆炸波事故后果模拟分析

对引信炸药装配药过程的危险性作了简要分析,对其危险程度进行了爆炸波事故后果模拟分析.     

灾害模拟和后果分析软件架构

本文为基于GIS的公共安全应急体系中各灾害模拟和后果分析模块,研究并建立了一个从概念到实现的统一可扩展的接口,使公共安全灾害模拟和后果分析领域的研究成果能被广泛共享,并且更容易建立一个整合各类已有研究成果的软件体系.并且,本文结合"国家十五重点科技攻关(滚动)项目:合肥市公共安全应急示范试点研究"项目给出了原型实现.     

石化装置综合风险分析方法研究

为有针对性地对石化装置失效后果进行风险分析和经济风险计算,将RB.eye软件与API 581相结合,提出一种创新的石化装置综合风险分析研究方法。首先对一套装置中的设备和管道使用RB.eye软件得到风险矩阵进行风险分级,根据分级结果,筛选出高风险设备和管道。然后对筛选出的设备和管道运用API 581进行后果风险分析。并运用此方法研究催化重整预处理装置。结果表明:将RB.eye软件与API 581相结合的方法能够快速筛选风险分析目标,有助于有针对性地进行后果风险分析。     

基于ArcGIS Engine设计天然气管道泄漏事故后果评估系统

城市天然气管道是城市不可缺少的基础设施之一,为有效遏制天然气管道事故造成的重大灾害,需加强对应急救援系统的研究。选取高斯模型分析泄漏的天然气的扩散过程,并划分事故后果评估区域。利用ArcGIS Engine平台,设计并建立一个城市天然气管道泄漏事故的应急救援系统。利用该系统可模拟天然气管道泄漏后可能发生的气体扩散、火灾、爆炸等事故后果,通过天然气理化参数、天然气泄漏的初始状态和周围环境的气象条件,以可视化方式直观显示不同等级的事故后果评估缓冲区。     

土壤微塑料污染现状、来源、环境命运及生态效应

微塑料作为一类新兴污染物广泛存在于全球环境中.目前,针对水生生态系统尤其是海洋环境的微塑料污染已得到广泛且深入的研究,但针对土壤微塑料污染近年才逐渐引起人们的关注.本文重点对土壤微塑料的污染现状、来源、环境命运及生态效应等方面的研究进展进行了综述.微塑料在不同土地利用类型的土壤中广泛存在,对土壤生态系统的健康及功能造成...     

Accident consequence calculation of ammonia dispersion in factory area

With the widespread use of ammonia in the process industry, more and more accidents were caused by ammonia leakage and dispersion. The dispersion of ammonia is determined by its physical properties, release source conditions and atmospheric environment. Full-scale numerical simulation based on CFD theory was carried out to study the dispersion law of ammonia in a food factory. It was found that ammonia concentrated on the symmetric plane and showed an upward movement near the source. Moreover, the effect of pressure on the dispersion of ammonia was explored showing that the concentration of ammonia near the source increased with the increase of pressure, while the dispersion of ammonia far from the source is mainly influenced by wind field. Last but not the least, the dangerous area completely covers the obstacle region according to the harmful concentration, but the lethal concentration range and explosion range both only existed near the release source. Correspondingly, the concentration of ammonia in the region far from the symmetric plane can be regarded as a safe area. When the accident happens, one should stay away from the release source and evacuate towards the sides in a timely manner. We hope that this work can provide an effective method in predicting the impact of ammonia dispersion and can arouse concerns over the public safety.