北京市秋季大气气溶胶质量浓度谱分布特征的观测研究

为了研究不同天气形势和气象要素对不同粒径段的大气气溶胶质量浓度谱分布的影响,2010年秋季在北京市采用空气动力学粒径仪对0.5 ～20 μm的大气颗粒物进行了为期2个月的连续观测.结果表明,在不同天气形势和气团运动下,质量浓度谱分布差异明显.受到西北气流影响,在质量浓度较小的清洁天气,谱分布主要集中在粗粒径段(清洁天气).当天气以静稳为主,颗粒物质量浓度值中等偏高时,粗细粒径气溶胶分布中出现谱值相近的高峰(中等浑浊天气).在受到西南气流主要影响的高质量浓度的观测日中,细粒径气溶胶在谱分布中占主要地位(高浑浊天气).在相同气团影响的天气下,昼夜间质量浓度谱分布的谱型变化趋势一致.清洁天气保持了粗粒径段的单峰分布,中等浑浊和高浑浊天气呈双峰分布.清洁天气细粒径段谱值受光化学反应影响在日间略高于夜间.中等浑浊天气中质量浓度的谱值在夜间受相对湿度和温度变化影响有显著增加.高浑浊天气下,昼夜温湿差别小,谱分布未出现明显变化.     

论可持续发展的思想与概念

本文阐述了可持续发展思想的形成与发展,从哲学、伦理、生态学、科学技术、社会经济和人类社会发展规律揭示了可持续发展思想形成的深刻背景,并从“天-人”、“人-地”和“人-人”关系定义了可持续发展的概念。     

Is the EU WFD suitable to support IWRM planning in non-European countries? Lessons learnt from the introduction of IWRM and River Basin Management in Mongolia

The Water Framework Directive (EU WFD, 2000/60EC, European Commission, 2000) is a comprehensive tool for water management taking Europe’s diverse national and local policy contexts into account. This has positioned the EU WFD as a potential tool to enhance the implementation of the globally-promoted integrated water resources management concept (IWRM) in developing and transition countries that to date lack comparable regulations. Using the case of Mongolia, a country that has shown interest in using aspects of the EU WFD for implementing its IWRM concept, we will discuss the extent to which the EU WFD also provides a framework for IWRM outside Europe. We find that the EU WFD may provide guidance for the implementation of ecosystem-based River Basin Management (RBM) within an existing national IWRM concept, in terms of public participation and in terms of economic analysis. However, the application of concepts EU WFD is easier if strong political will, good monitoring capacities and a legislative backbone covering key IWRM principles and the capacity for enforcement are in place. Also, the EU-WFD does not provide guidance in terms of water-related issues that are e.g. addressing gender, poverty and capacity development. Thus, the EU WFD cannot serve as a blueprint, as it requires adaptation to the different socio-economic, cultural and political contexts of the implementing country and it does not inform all aspects of IWRM.     

A critical review of sulfate aerosol formation mechanisms during winter polluted periods

Sulfate aerosol contributes to particulate matter pollution and plays a key role in aerosol radiative forcing, impacting human health and climate change. Atmospheric models tend to substantially underestimate sulfate concentrations during haze episodes, indicating that there are still missing mechanisms not considered by the models. Despite recent good progress in understanding the missing sulfate sources, knowledge on different sulfate formation pathways during polluted periods still involves large uncertainties and the dominant mechanism is under heated debate, calling for more field, laboratory, and modeling work. Here, we review the traditional sulfate formation mechanisms in cloud water and also discuss the potential factors affecting multiphase S(Ⅳ) oxidation. Then recent progress in multiphase S(Ⅳ) oxidation mechanisms is summarized. Sulfate formation rates by different prevailing oxidation pathways under typical winter-haze conditions are also calculated and compared. Based on the literature reviewed, we put forward control of the atmospheric oxidation capacity as a means to abate sulfate aerosol pollution. Finally, we conclude with a concise set of research priorities for improving our understanding of sulfate formation mechanisms during polluted periods.     

受限空间烟气运动的盐水模拟实验初探

考虑到盐水在清水中扩散过程与烟气在受限空间内运动的相似性，本文用实验的方法，初步探讨了用盐水的扩散来模拟烟气在建筑物（单室）内运动的可行性。并对烟羽流主轴线速度和顶篷水平分层烟气流厚度的生长规律进行了测量。本文所得结果基本合理，正确，对建筑火灾烟气控制和人员疏散有参考作用．     

大规模城际人员流动的负向效应与城市群的安全

依托移动互联网定位大数据,测度中国城际出行人员的流动特征,探讨大规模城际人员流动的“负向效应”。基于春运与平日两个时段百度迁徙数据,运用流动规模、广度两项流动性指标,使用局部空间自相关测度全国城际人员流动空间特征;借重大突发公共卫生事件,使用线性回归模型测算城际人员流动给不同类型城市、城市群带来负向效应的差异。结果发现：我国长三角、珠三角、京津冀三大城市群是流动性最强城市的高值聚集区,城市群、超大城市的超强流动性伴随着更大的负向效应风险。表现为：第一,以超大城市为中心的城市群受到城际人员流动负向效应冲击时,会产生更大的负向影响;第二,该类城市群会通过城际人员流动极大地扩散负向效应。提出城市群安全应首要保证流动性的安全,城市群安全应体现在城际流动网络的韧性上。新型城镇化进程中,推动城市群发展战略需要从国土空间安全的视角审视城市群流动性与城市群的安全。     

Economic Conditions,the Policy Cycle,and Media Visibility of Environmental Organizations

The extent to which social movements have access to the news media has important implications on the capability of social movements to communicate with and garner support from the public. Factors that shape movement organizations' media visibility thus deserve scholarly attention. This article deals with news coverage of environmental movement organizations (EMOs) in Hong Kong and focuses on the impact of economic conditions, the policy cycle, and the number of EMOs in society on media visibility of EMOs. Analysis of a data-set constructed based on archival data and official statistics illustrates that all three factors influence media visibility of EMOs through media attention to environmental issues, while the number of EMOs and economic conditions also affect media visibility of EMOs directly. In-depth interview data are then used to supplement the quantitative analysis by showing how movement activists perceive and respond strategically to the structural factors. Theoretical implications of the findings are discussed.     

安徽宿州地区石灰岩-土壤元素迁移及质量评价

通过野外采样及室内分析测试,对宿州石灰岩土壤质量状况、成土作用过程中元素迁移规律及影响因素进行研究.结果表明,宿州地区石灰岩土壤P、Sr较缺乏,K、Ca、Fe、Mn和Cu含量丰富,S、Zn含量适中;在岩石-土壤作用过程中,Ca、Cu和Sr元素亏损,其他元素全部富集;主成分分析提取4个主成分,解释累计总方差77.03%,其中元素Si、Zr、Ca、Ti、Al、K、Mn主要受控于自身化学行为(PC1);Rb、Fe、V、Th、Cr主要受区域环境影响(PC2);PC3和PC4分别对元素Pb、Sr、As和Cu、Zn有较高的贡献,暗示此两种因素为后期人类活动.     

Integration of distance, direction and habitat into a predictive migratory movement model for blue-winged teal (Anas discors)

Historically, the migration of birds has been poorly understood in comparison to other life stages during the annual cycle. The goal of our research is to present a novel approach to predict the migratory movement of birds. Using a blue-winged teal case study, our process incorporates not only constraints on habitat (temperature, precipitation, elevation, and depth to water table), but also approximates the likely bearing and distance traveled from a starting location. The method allows for movement predictions to be made from unsampled areas across large spatial scales. We used USGS’ Bird Banding Laboratory database as the source of banding and recovery locations. We used recovery locations from banding sites with multiple within-30-day recoveries were used to build core maximum entropy models. Because the core models encompass information regarding likely habitat, distance, and bearing, we used core models to project (or forecast) probability of movement from starting locations that lacked sufficient data for independent predictions. The final model for an unsampled area was based on an inverse-distance weighted averaged prediction from the three nearest core models. To illustrate this approach, three unsampled locations were selected to probabilistically predict where migratory blue-wing teals would stopover. These locations, despite having little or none data, are assumed to have populations. For the blue-winged teal case study, 104 suitable locations were identified to generate core models. These locations ranged from 20 to 228 within-30-day recoveries, and all core models had AUC scores greater than 0.80. We can infer based on model performance assessment, that our novel approach to predicting migratory movement is well-grounded and provides a reasonable approximation of migratory movement.     

光照时间对外源性磷在模拟水生态系统中迁移的影响

采用同位素示踪法,模拟研究不同光照时间对外源性无机磷酸盐在水体,铜绿微囊蓝细菌和底泥中迁移的影响.外源性磷在加入水体后先是一种物理化学的快速分配,然后其在水体中的迁移主要受微囊蓝细菌的生长状况的影响.延长光照时间能加快微囊蓝细菌的生长速率和提高微囊蓝细菌的密度.水体中外源性磷的浓度随时间下降,蓝细菌中外源性磷的最大浓度与光照时间无关,只有蓝细菌中超积累了一定数量的外源性磷,随后的对数生长就与细胞磷的含量无关.延长光照时间能增加微囊蓝细菌中总的外源性磷数量,随着蓝细菌的衰亡,外源性磷不断向底泥迁移,最终绝大部分外源性磷都迁移到底泥中.