REVIEW ON GLOBAL NATURAL DISASTERS IN 2000

20 0 0ｗａｓａｒｅｌａｔｉｖｅｌｙｎｏｒｍａｌｙｅａｒｉｎｔｅｒｍｓｏｆｇｌｏｂａｌｄｉｓａｓｔｅｒｅｖｅｎｔｓ.Ｔｈｅｇｌｏｂａｌｌｏｓｓｆｒｏｍｎａｔｕｒａｌｄｉｓａｓｔｅｒｓｗａｓａｐｐｒｏｘｉｍａｔｅｌｙ 30ｂｉｌｌｉｏｎＵＳＤ ,ｗｈｅｒｅａｓｔｈａｔｉｎａｎｙｏｆｔｈｅｐｒｅｖｉｏｕｓｙｅａｒｓｈａｄｅｘｃｅｅｄｅｄ 1 0 0ｂｉｌｌｉｏｎＵＳＤ .Ｔｈｅｉｎｓｕｒａｎｃｅｌｏｓｓｉｎ 2 0 0 0ｗａｓｏｎｌｙ 8.3ｂｉｌｌｉｏｎＵＳＤ ,ｗｉｔｈ 92 0 0 ｐｅｒｓｏｎｓｋｉｌｌｅｄ .Ｔｈｅｒｅｗａｓｎ…     

COUNTERMEASURES AGAINST LANDSLIDE GEOLOGICAL DISASTERS IN TIBET

Ｔｈｅｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔａｎｄｄｉｓｔｒｉｂｕｔｉｏｎｏｆｌａｎｄｓｌｉｄｅｓ　Ｔｉｂｅｔ,ｔｈｅｍａｉｎｂｏｄｙｏｆｔｈｅＱｉｎｇｈａｉ ＸｉｚａｎｇＰｌａｔｅａｕ ,ｉｓｏｆｔｅｎｃａｌｌｅｄ“ｔｈｅｒｉｄｇｅｏｆｔｈｅｒｏｏｆｏｆｔｈｅｗｏｒｌｄ” .Ｉｔｈａｓａｂｒｏａｄｔｅｒｒｉｔｏｒｙａｎｄｖｅｒｙｃｏｍｐｌｅｘａｎｄｄｉｖｅｒｓｉｆｉｅｄｌａｎｄｆｏｒｍｓ,ｗｉｔｈａｎａｖｅｒａｇｅａｌｔｉｔｕｄｅｏｆｏｖｅｒ 4 0 0 0ｍ .Ｔｈｅｃｌｉｍａｔｅｉｓｓｐｅｃｉａｌｈｅｒｅ,ｖａｒｙｉｎｇｄ…     

镇江市边坡地质灾害及其防治对策

镇江市边坡地质灾害分布广泛、发生频繁。在分析该市边坡地质灾害主要类型及基本特征 的基础上，对其成因机制进行了探讨。认为镇江市边坡地质灾害是各种自然因素和人类活动在一定环境条件下共同作用的结果。在此基础上，提出了防治原则和相应的对策。     

热带气旋的短期气候预报检验

用非线性预报的方法，作西太平洋、南海、以及登陆我国、登陆广东热带气旋的短期气候预测，用逐日气压场作登陆广东热带气旋的时段和地段以及南海海面带气旋出现的时间的气候预测。对近3年的热带气候预报进行检验，效果较满意。     

张家界气候资源的利用与保护

为了充分开发利用和保护张家界的气候资源,我们采用长期定点和短期定位相结合的方法,观测研究了张家界的气候和森林小气候特征。研究证明,张家界具有亚热带湿润季风气候区的山地气候特征,森林小气候舒适宜人,旅游气候资源和农业气候资源丰富,应大力发展旅游业和林业;保护森林植被是保护张家界气候资源的关键。     

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON WATER RESOURCES IN THE DELAWARE RWER BASIN1

ABSTRACT: The effects of potential climate change on water resources in the Delaware River basin were determined. The study focused on two important water-resource components in the basin: (1) storage in the reservoirs that supply New York City, and (2) the position of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary. Current reservoir operating procedures provide for releases from the New York City reservoirs to maintain the position of the salt front in the estuary downstream from freshwater intakes and ground-water recharge zones in the Philadelphia metropolitan area. A hydrologic model of the basin was developed to simulate changes in New York City reservoir storage and the position of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary given changes in temperature and precipitation. Results of simulations indicated that storage depletion in the New York City reservoirs is a more likely effect of changes in temperature and precipitation than is the upstream movement of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary. In contrast, the results indicated that a rise in sea level would have a greater effect on movement of the salt front than on storage in the New York City reservoirs. The model simulations also projected that, by decreasing current mandated reservoir releases, a balance can be reached wherein the negative effects of climate change on storage in the New York City reservoirs and the position of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary are minimized. Finally, the results indicated that natural variability in climate is of such magnitude that its effects on water resources could overwhelm the effects of long-term trends in precipitation and temperature.     

The impact of global warming on winter tourism and skiing: a regionalised model for Austrian snow conditions

Possible climate change will modify snow-cover depth and change the characteristics of winter tourism and skiing districts. Our model describes seasonal snow-cover depth related to altitude in six Alpine climate regions as the best fit of all snow stations. Data cover 30 winter seasons (November to April values) from 1965 to 1995. We modified the data according to a scenario of temperature and precipitation change (2 °C warming, no precipitation change) and achieve a new simulated snow-cover depth. The indicators MARP (mean altitude of resident population) and MASPSL (mean altitude of starting point of ski lifts) serve as references for “critical altitudes” of Austrian districts. A warming implies a reduction of snow in all districts, but the loss is overproportional in lower altitudes. The direction of economic impacts is clear – income losses and adaptation costs – but magnitude and time frames remain uncertain. Received: 24 February 1999 · Accepted: 15 May 1999     

长江洪涝灾害的可持续发展综合防御对策体系

洪涝灾害严重制约了长江流域可持续发展, 本文分析了洪涝灾害的主要成因, 从合理协调人口——资源环境——社会经济三者之间深层次关系出发, 建立了长江洪涝灾害的可持续发展综合防御对策体系     

Waste management in a more unequal world: centring inequality in our waste and climate change discourse

ABSTRACT

Climate change is expected to contribute to global inequality, and exacerbate ecological risk for the world's poor. Despite recent trends within waste management academic discourse, which has begun to engage with inequality, and its underlying socio-economic and socio-political causes, discussions of inequality have so far remained absent from our investigations on climate change's impacts on waste management systems and practices. The purpose of the discussion is to call for a centring of inequality within our waste and climate discourse. I identify two main pathways for scholarly investigation, specifically, developing alternative waste management solutions for contexts in which waste management systems fail, which do not just perpetuate existing inequalities, and addressing the growing inequality in waste management technology and practice between the Global North and the Global South.     

Constructing and justifying risk and accountability after extreme events: public administration and stakeholders’ responses to a wildfire disaster

ABSTRACT

The impacts of extreme weather events, causing severe storms and wildfires, cascade across administrative borders within a country, challenging the steering capacity of governance networks at different political scales. This paper examines how accountability and risk were constructed and negotiated in the aftermath of Sweden’s largest wildfire. It draws on results from an interview study with executives of organizations and landowners involved, and an analysis of government reports about the wildfire’s cause and consequences. Although the fire was human-caused, public administrative bodies paid considerable attention to the local emergency services and their poor handling of the wildfire, caused by lack of knowledge of forest fire behavior. The study confirms many of the challenges associated with governance networks. It finds that issues about who to hold accountable, in what forum and for what issue are not fully addressed, being overwhelmed by demands for better knowledge of forest fire prevention and improved coordination and collaboration. To conclude, the paper calls for a better-informed public administration, forest sector and interrelated networks that take responsibility for their actions or lack thereof.