全产业链视角下建筑碳排放路径模拟:基于RICE-LEAP模型

从社会经济活动的角度出发,创新性地构建包含中国终端部门的新型综合评估模型—RICE-LEAP模型,并通过情景设置动态模拟2020~2050年建筑全产业链碳排放的发展路径及其结构性特征.结果表明:①与参考情景相比,考察期内1.5℃情景下中国碳排放总量的额外累计减排量将达到129.74Gt CO₂,而建筑全产业链碳排放的额外累计减排量为57.53Gt CO₂,占比44.28%.②建筑业是典型的“表观低碳、隐含高碳”的行业.建筑业直接碳排放占建筑物化碳排放的比例较小,仅占9.46%~11.75%.③3个动态情景下,建筑物化碳排放的下降速率均快于建筑运行碳排放.这是由于建筑物化碳排放主要依赖工业等终端部门的脱碳进程,在实现碳达峰过程中具有先发优势.④现阶段,建筑全产业链能耗仍以煤炭消费为主,但煤炭的消费占比在3个动态情景中均呈现出不同程度的下降,而电力的消费占比则呈现出明显的上升趋势.     

Comparative lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions and their reduction potential for typical petrochemical enterprises in China

Petrochemical enterprises have become a major source of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Yet, due to the unavailability of basic data, there is still a lack of case studies to quantify GHG emissions and provide petrochemical enterprises with guidelines for implementing energy conservation and emission reduction strategies. Therefore, this study conducted a life cycle assessment (LCA) analysis to estimate the GHG emissions of four typical petrochemical enterprises in China, using first-hand data, to determine possible emission reduction measures. The analytical data revealed that Dushanzi Petrochemical (DSP) has the highest GHG emission intensity (1.17 tons CO₂e/ton), followed by Urumqi Petrochemical (UP) (1.08 tons CO₂e/ton), Dalian Petrochemical (DLP) (average 0.58 tons CO₂e/ton) and Karamay Petrochemical (KP) (average 0.50 tons CO₂e/ton) over the whole life cycle. At the same time, GHG emissions during fossil fuel combustion were the largest contributor to the whole life cycle, accounting for about 77.31%–94.27% of the total emissions. In the fossil-fuel combustion phase, DSP had the highest unit GHG emissions (1.20 tons CO₂e), followed by UP (0.89 tons CO₂e). In the industrial production phase, DLP had the highest unit GHG emissions (average 0.13 tons CO₂e/ton), followed by UP (0.10 tons CO₂e/ton). During the torch burning phase, torch burning under accident conditions was the main source of GHG emissions. It is worth noting that the CO₂ recovery stage has "negative value," indicating that it will bring some environmental benefits. Further scenario analysis shows that effective policies and advanced technologies can further reduce GHG emissions.     

中国工业碳排放的因素分解与脱钩效应

采用广义迪氏指数分解法（GDIM）分析2000~2016年中国工业碳排放的驱动因素,并在此基础上,创新性地结合DPSIR框架构建脱钩努力模型测度工业碳排放的脱钩效应.研究结果表明：产出规模效应、技术进步效应、能源消费规模效应和人均碳排放效应是导致工业碳排放增加的主要因素,而产出碳强度效应与技术进步碳强度效应是减少工业碳排放的关键因素;工业碳排放的脱钩效应呈"未脱钩~弱脱钩~强脱钩"的阶段性特点;产出碳强度效应与技术进步碳强度效应是工业碳排放实现强脱钩的决定性因素,同时更需要调整能源结构、降低能源强度与碳排放强度来实现工业碳排放强脱钩.     

DOC+CDPF对重型柴油车排放特性的影响

基于重型转毂试验平台对比研究国Ⅲ重型柴油车加装催化型连续再生颗粒捕集器(DOC+CDPF)前后的气态物及颗粒物排放性能,结果表明从市区循环、公路循环到高速循环,原车的CO、THC、CO_2及颗粒质量(PM)排放因子依次减小,NO_x及颗粒数量(PN)排放因子依次增大,颗粒数量浓度随粒径呈双峰分布并且以聚集态颗粒排放为主;加装DOC+CDPF后,各污染物排放因子均有所下降,且下降趋势从市区循环、公路循环到高速循环依次增大,从整个C-WTVC循环来看,CO排放因子下降70.36%,THC排放因子下降72.73%,CO_2排放因子下降17.00%,NO_x排放因子下降7.76%,PM、PN排放因子分别下降93.77%和98.91%,颗粒数量浓度随粒径仍呈双峰分布,但排放以核模态颗粒为主,并且聚集态峰值对应粒径减小.     

基于PLS-VIP方法的我国居民间接碳排放研究

使用STIRPAT模型、PLS-VIP方法研究间接生活能源消费等因素对我国城乡居民间接碳排放的影响。结果显示:城乡居民间接生活能源消费弹性系数都位居第一位,富有弹性;人口规模、人均GDP的弹性系数为负值,我国人口的扩大以及经济的发展会降低间接CO_2排放量;城乡居民城镇化的弹性系数都为负值,新型城镇化建设能够降低间接碳排放量;农村第三产业比重的弹性系数为负值。最后,提出提高城乡居民间接生活能源使用效率、大力发展农村第三产业等建议。     

区域贸易隐含碳排放和SO_2排放的投入产出分析——以江苏为例

区域碳排放责任划分和污染治理必须考虑空间转移问题,才能制定公平可行的减排和治理方案。中国区域产业结构和消费模式不同,区域间贸易往来密切,需要对贸易品中隐含的碳排放和污染排放进行估算。论文采用多区域投入产出模型,计算了江苏基于生产者角度和消费者角度的碳排放和SO_2排放,对各部门贸易中隐含的碳排放和SO_2排放进行了估算,并对隐含碳排放和SO_2排放流入最高的4个部门和最终需求中碳排放和SO_2排放的流入来源进行了分析,结果发现江苏属于碳排放和SO_2排放净流入区域,净流入碳排放17.87 Mt C,净流入SO_2排放9.05×104t。金属冶炼及压延加工业、化学工业、电力和热力的生产和供应业以及建筑业输入贸易中隐含的碳排放和SO_2排放都较大,未来江苏产业结构调整面临较大压力。     

Microbial and size characterization of airborne particulate matter collected on sticky tapes along US–Mexico border

Particulate matter(PM) emissions from various sources can affect significantly human health and environmental quality especially in the Chihuahuan Desert region along US–Mexico border. The objective of this study was to use the low-cost sticky tape method to collect airborne PM for size characterization and identification of fungal spores. Sticky tape samplers were placed at 1.0 and 2.0 m above the ground surface at experimental sites in Ciudad Juárez, Mexico and at 0.6, 1.2 and 1.8 m at New Mexico sites, USA. Soil samples were collected in both countries to determine fungal diversity, texture and moisture content Dust particles collected from all of the experimental sites had a dominant texture of clay( 0.002 mm). The dominant textures identified from soil samples collected from the US and Mexican sites were loam and sandy clay loam, respectively. Alternaria, Penicillium and Fusarium were frequently found funguses in the US sites while Alternaria and Aspergillus were commonly observed in the Mexican sites. The sticky tapes also showed a similar diversity of fungal microorganisms present in the airborne PM at both Mexico and US sites Alternaria, Penicillium and Aspergillus were the three groups of airborne fungal microorganisms consistently present in the US and Mexican sites. The low-cost sticky tape method has the potential to be used for characterizing different airborne microorganisms and dust particles.     

Carbon flow analysis of China's agro-ecosystem from 1980 to 2013: A perspective from substance flow analysis

Research on carbon cycling has attracted attention from both scientists and policy-makers. Based on material flow analysis, this study systematically budgets the carbon inputs, outputs and balance from 1980 to 2013 for China''s agro-ecosystem and its sub-systems, including agricultural land use, livestock breeding and rural life. The results show that from 1980 to 2013, both the carbon input and output were growing gradually, with the carbon input doubling from 1.6 Pg C/year in 1980 to 3.4 Pg C/year in 2013, while carbon output grew from 2.2 Pg C/year in 1980 to 3.8 Pg C/year in 2013. From 1980 to 2013, the crop production system in China has remained a carbon source, and the agricultural land uses were also almost all carbon sources instead of carbon sinks. As soil carbon stock plays a very important role in deciding the function of China''s agro-ecosystem as a carbon sink or source, practices that can promote carbon storage and sequestration will be an essential component of low carbon agriculture development in China.     

Characterization of particulate matter from diesel passenger cars tested on chassis dynamometers

Emission characterization of particle number as well as particle mass from three diesel passenger cars equipped with diesel particulate filter(DPF), diesel oxidation catalyst(DOC)and exhaust gas recirculation(EGR) under the vehicle driving cycles and regulatory cycle.Total particle number emissions(PNEs) decreased gradually during speed-up of vehicle from 17.3 to 97.3 km/hr. As the average vehicle speed increases, the size-segregated peak of particle number concentration shifts to smaller size ranges of particles. The correlation analysis with various particulate components such as particle number concentration(PNC),ultrafine particle number concentration(UFPNC) and particulate matter(PM) mass was conducted to compare gaseous compounds(CO, CO_2, HC and NOx). The UFPNC and PM were not only emitted highly in Seoul during severe traffic jam conditions, but also have good correlation with hydrocarbons and NOxinfluencing high potential on secondary aerosol generation. The effect of the dilution temperature on total PNC under the New European Driving Cycle(NEDC), was slightly higher than the dilution ratio. In addition, the nuclei mode(DP: ≤ 13 nm) was confirmed to be more sensitive to the dilution temperature rather than other particle size ranges. Comparison with particle composition between vehicle speed cycles and regulatory cycle showed that sulfate was slightly increased at regulatory cycle, while other components were relatively similar. During cold start test, semivolatile nucleation particles were increased due to effect of cold environment. Research on particle formation dependent on dilution conditions of diesel passenger cars under the NEDC is important to verify impact on vehicular traffic and secondary aerosol formation in Seoul.     

北方典型设施菜地土壤CO2排放特征

为研究我国北方典型设施菜地的土壤CO₂排放特征及其影响因素,通过原位监测手段,研究山东省寿光市农田转变为不同种植年限（6、12 a）设施菜地及设施菜地荒废12 a后土壤CO₂排放规律及影响因素.结果表明:①种植6 a设施菜地较农田具有较高的土壤CO₂排放量,可能是由于设施菜地种植过程中大量施加有机肥造成的,并且设施菜地土壤温度及含水率较高,增加了土壤蔗糖酶活性,加剧土壤CO₂排放.②当种植年限超过10 a,设施菜地施肥量减少,降低了土壤微生物可利用底物的供应.因此,种植12 a设施菜地土壤CO₂排放量降至农田水平.③种植6 a设施菜地土壤的w（DOC）（DOC表示水溶性有机碳）比农田较高.④土壤CO₂排放年内分配不均匀,表现为农田及荒废设施菜地土壤CO₂排放主要集中在5—8月,其排放量占全年的75.09%、87.02%,峰值出现在7月.种植6 a设施菜地土壤CO₂排放主要集中在5—8月和11月—翌年2月,两阶段排放量分别占全年的48.48%、42.34%,峰值分别出现在7月、12月.研究显示,农田转变为设施菜地短期（种植6 a）内可显著促进土壤CO₂排放及DOC的输出,但随着种植年限延长至12 a,土壤CO₂排放降至农田水平.