Structure of the social network and its influence on transmission dynamics in a honeybee colony

Infectious processes in a social group are driven by a network of contacts that is generally structured by the organization arising from behavioral and spatial heterogeneities within the group. Although theoretical models of transmission dynamics have placed an overwhelming emphasis on the importance of understanding the network structure in a social group, empirical data regarding such contact structures are rare. In this paper, I analyze the network structure and the correlated transmission dynamics within a honeybee colony as determined by food transfer interactions and the changes produced in it by an experimental manipulation. The study demonstrates that widespread transmission in the colony is correlated to a lower clustering coefficient and higher robustness of the social network. I also show that the social network in the colony is determined by the spatial distribution of various age classes, and the resulting organizational structure provides some amount of immunity to the young individuals. The results of this study demonstrates how, using the honeybee colony as a model system, concepts in network theory can be combined with those in behavioral ecology to gain a better understanding of social transmission processes, especially those related to disease dynamics.     

H2O超声过程中H2O2生成动力学

采用50kHz超声清洗槽式声化学反应器,以纯水为空化液体,研究了超声过程中H2O2生成动力学．分别探讨了空化气体种类(Ar,O2)及组成与流量、空化液体体积与反应器形状对H2O2生成速率及产率的影响．结果表明,超声过程中H2O2的生成可采用零级反应动力学方程来进行描述．在此频率下和考察范围内,采用Ar作为空化气体比O2更有利于H2O2的生成．当混合气体组成为Ar:O2=70：30(V/V)时,H2O2的生成速率最快．随着空化气体流量的增加,H2O2产率增加,随后降低．增加空化液体的体积,H2O2的生成速率降低．与锥形瓶相比,圆底烧瓶中H2O2的产率明显降低．     

Possible Input of Nitrogen of Visitors’ Origin on a Protected Peatland

The Ozegahara peatland, in the Nikko-Oze National Park in Japan, is ecologically significant because of its oligotrophic environment; it is one of the most strictly preserved areas in the country. The isotope ratio of nitrogen (¹⁵N/¹⁴N) and carbon (¹³C/¹²C) and C/N ratio of peat moss (Sphagnum spp.) and sundew (Drosera rotundifolia) in the peatland were analyzed. The correlation of the isotope ratio with some parameters (sundew population density, number of trapped insects, water level, bog myrtle coverage, and visitor density) was investigated. The nitrogen isotope ratio of sundew showed the most significant covariation with visitor density, where sundew from lunch areas or along busy walkways showed a higher nitrogen isotope ratio. The nitrogen isotope ratio of peat moss covaried, not only with route traffic frequency but also with water level, bog myrtle coverage, and number of trapped insects by sundew, indicating that factors other than the visitor level influence the local nitrogen cycle. This study suggests that the nitrogen imported into the peatland by visitors is a principal factor to be monitored for the maintenance of the natural environment.     

Fused CFD-interpolation model for real-time prediction of hazardous gas dispersion in emergency rescue

Accidental releases of hazardous gases in chemical industries can pose great threats to public security. The computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model is commonly applied to predict gas dispersion in complex structured areas. It can provide good accuracy but it is too time-consuming to be used in emergency response. To reduce computation time while keep acceptable accuracy, this paper proposes several fused CFD-interpolation models which combine CFD model with different interpolation methods. Spline, linear and nearest interpolation methods are used. A CFD simulations database is created ahead of time which can be quickly recalled for emergency usage and unknown situations can be predicted instantly by interpolation methods instead of time-consuming CFD model. Fused models were applied to a case study involving a hypothetical propane release with varying conditions and validated against CFD model. The validation shows that prediction accuracy of these fusion models is acceptable. Among these models, CFD-Spline interpolation model performs best. It is faster than CFD model by a factor of 75 and is potentially a good method to be applied to real-time prediction.     

Dynamics of explosion venting in a compartment with methane-air mixtures

A series of experiments on explosion venting of methane-air mixtures are performed to scrutinize the pressure evolution as well as the flame dynamics and morphology at various vent conditions. Specifically, a premixed flame is ignited at the center of a polycarbonate cylindrical compartment, with three various vent areas considered (with negligible vent relief pressure). As expected, the highest maximum pressure is observed in the case of the smallest vent area. For all three cases, the pressure evolution experiences two major peaks, associated with the instants (i) when the maximum flame front surface area in the chamber is reached and (ii) when an external explosion occurs due to venting of unburned gases, respectively. For the fuel-rich mixtures, a flashback is observed subsequent to the external explosion, constituting the key outcome of the present work. The flame tip velocities show two general trends, namely, exponential acceleration towards the vent, while a flame propagates towards the blocked side of the compartment with no acceleration, which is important to know in the fire/explosion safety applications.     

演化博弈视角下小微企业内部安全知识共享研究

为探究小微企业组织内部安全知识共享机制,提高小微企业的安全氛围。本文运用演化博弈理论分析员工群体之间的安全知识共享博弈关系,选取系统动力学软件Vensim构建安全知识共享模型,对不同的影响因素进行了模拟分析。模拟结果表明:员工关系融洽系数、领导的重视程度对演化结果呈正相关关系;安全知识的分享成本则与演化结果呈负相关关系。并为促进安全知识共享提出对策措施。     

九曲桥行人运动实验与模拟研究

公共场所中的人群疏散是行人疏散动力学研究中的重要内容。基于九曲桥行人运动观测实验对转角区域的行人运动特征进行研究,并利用人员疏散模拟软件Pathfinder模拟了因激励作用所导致的行人速度提高对通行效率的影响。结果表明,由于行人的停留、拍照行为导致转角内区域出现了明显的行人变换走道现象;行人在转角内区域出现的停留、超越行为导致行人速度出现大幅度波动,最低速度约为0.2 m/s,最高速度约为0.7 m/s;与转角后区域相比,行人密度变化对转角内区域的行人速度的影响更小,单位流量的影响更大;由于观测实验中行人停留、拍照等行为的存在,相同密度下转角后区域行人运动速度、单位流量均低于P&M平直通道模型;适当的激励作用有助于减轻行人拥堵,提高通行效率,当行人速度达到较高水平后效果不再显著。     

连云港埒子口海域潮动力特征及其变化

为研究连云港埒子口海域潮流动力特征及其对周边海岸工程的响应,以及为治理埒子口闸下淤积问题提供参考,建立了基于有限体积法离散二维浅水方程的数值模型。采用实测水文资料对模型率定和验证,应用模型分析埒子口潮流动力特征和建设徐圩港防波堤和灌河口导堤后埒子口海域潮流动力的变化。模拟结果表明,建设工程后潮流动力变化较大,埒子口海域涨急流和落急流方向改变,涨、落潮平均流速均减小,距离工程区域越近,流速变化越大。埒子口海域潮流动力减弱将会加重上游挡潮闸的闸下淤积问题,致使埒子口排水不畅,进而增加沂北地区的洪涝风险,所以,相关部门应及时采取措施,保证埒子口排涝畅通。     

BDE-28对斑马鱼核受体介导的内分泌干扰效应研究

2,4,4’-三溴联苯醚(BDE-28)在环境中普遍存在,且在长江流域多种水生生物中检出。目前,国内外对高溴代PBDEs(如BDE-47、BDE-99等)的水生脊椎动物内分泌干扰效应报道较多,而BDE-28的有关研究则相对较少。将斑马鱼胚胎暴露于2、20和200μg·L~(-1)的BDE-28后,借助q-RT-PCR方法对幼鱼8个重要受体包括雄激素受体(AR)、甲状腺激素受体(TR)、芳香烃受体(AhR)、雌激素受体(ER)、糖皮质激素受体(GR)、孕烷X受体(PXR)、盐皮质激素受体(MR)和过氧化物酶体增殖物激活受体(PPAR)相关基因的转录水平进行了研究。结果表明,BDE-28暴露可导致AR、TR和Ah R的基因下调,其中核心受体AR和TR在低中高3种浓度下的下调倍数分别为3.03、2.64、10.10和2.21、2.18、2.31,芳香烃受体基因2(ahr2)在暴露于2和20μg·L~(-1)的BDE-28后,下调倍数分别为12.65和9.23,而雌激素受体(er1)基因在低中高浓度显著上调,上调倍数分别为12.29、12.67和15.87,雌激素受体(er2a)基因在2和20μg·L~(-1)BDE-28下的上调倍数分别为10.83和17.19。进一步采用分子对接和分子动力学模拟的方法研究BDE-28与AR、TR、Ah R和ER之间的相互作用。结果显示,BDE-28与这些受体通过疏水和氢键等相互作用稳定结合,动力学模拟后骨架原子的均方根偏差(RMSD)在5 ns后较稳定。由此可知,BDE-28通过AR、TR、Ah R和ER受体介导产生内分泌干扰效应。     

电缆燃烧试验新旧标准的火灾动力学仿真对比分析

为了研究国家标准的变化对成束电缆燃烧试验的影响,使用FDS软件进行电缆燃烧性能的火灾动力学模拟研究。对新旧国家标准进行燃烧模拟,比较分析箱体温度、热释放速率（HRR）、电缆前后表面温度和烟密度仿真结果,考察新旧国家标准间的差异因素对燃烧的动力学过程的影响,根据模拟结果探讨新国家标准下电缆通过燃烧试验的难易程度和电缆的优化设计。研究结果表明:新标准对炭化高度要求更严格,故在保证电缆机械强度的前提下,为达到新标准中的B1级阻燃等级,应在旧标准A类阻燃的基础上增加电缆的阻燃效果,特别需要抑制火焰在电缆表面垂直蔓延的能力。