干旱区水—能源—粮食纽带系统协同演化——以中国西北地区为例

水、能源、粮食是人类社会发展的基本保障,三者之间的紧密联系成为近年来国内外学者关注的重点。通过对水—能源—粮食纽带系统协同演化机制的探究,能更好地厘清三者之间的相互关系,对实现社会高质量发展具有重要意义。基于自组织理论,从水、能源、粮食三个角度构建理论模型,运用哈肯模型分阶段地对中国西北地区水—能源—粮食纽带系统协同发展的演化机制进行探究,并在此基础上分析水—能源—粮食纽带系统协同得分的时空分异规律。结果表明：（1）2000—2010年间,中国西北地区水—能源—粮食纽带系统协同演化的序参量是水资源子系统,其主导着整个系统的演化方向,而能源子系统、粮食子系统处于从属地位。在协同得分的时空变化规律上,西北五省区协同得分整体呈上升趋势,但各地区得分差距较大。（2）2011—2018年间,中国西北地区水—能源—粮食纽带系统协同演化的序参量是水资源子系统和能源子系统,两者共同主导着水—能源—粮食纽带系统的协同演化,粮食子系统则处于从属地位。在协同得分的时空变化规律上,西北五省区协同得分仍保持平稳上升趋势,省际间得分差距明显缩小。     

中国兜兰属宽瓣亚属植物生存现状及保护成效

为明确兜兰属(Paphiopedilum)宽瓣亚属(Subgenus.Brachypetalum)植物各物种在我国的生存现状与濒危状况,在大量的野外调查和文献、标本数据收集的基础上,对其种群分布、数量、生境特征、市场贸易、受威胁因素、保护现状与保护成效进行统计分析,并依据《IUCN红色名录等级和标准(3.1版)》对该类群的濒危等级进行重新评估.结果表明,野外调查到硬叶兜兰(Paphiopedilum.micranthum)、麻栗坡兜兰(P.malipoense)、杏黄兜兰(P.armeniacum)、白花兜兰(P.emersonii)、巨瓣兜兰(P.bellatulum)、文山兜兰(P.wenshanense)、同色兜兰(P.concolor)7个目标物种,已知分布于我国50个县(市、区),共计194个自然分布点.宽瓣亚属植物在我国水平方向上主要分布于滇东南、黔西南、黔东北、滇西北、桂北与黔南交界处以及桂西北至桂西南等地区;垂直方向上集中分布于中高海拔段(780~1267m),平均海拔997m;在全国大尺度上,该亚属整体呈零散分布,区域小尺度上个体呈聚集生长;其小生境具有高海拔、透水、透气、喜阴、喜钙的特点.市场调查的贸易率为36.67%,贸易价格高低不等,具有较强的随机性;贸易来源主要为野外采挖,占贸易数量的88.32%,具有较强的地域性;贸易方式为现场和线上网络交易,具有较强的灵活性.该类群主要受到采挖和生境退化的威胁,分别占所有分布点的44.85%、29.83%.宽瓣亚属整体就地保率仅为34.53%,保护成效为一般保护;调查的29个保育地中,有20个保育地对该类群累计保育98次,除文山兜兰和绿叶兜兰外,其他7种迁地保护成效被评估为合适.巨瓣兜兰、文山兜兰由原来的濒危(EN)评估为极危(CR);麻栗坡兜兰、白花兜兰、杏黄兜兰评估等级未发生变化,仍为极危(CR);硬叶兜兰和同色兜兰由原来的易危(VU)评估为濒危(EN);德氏兜兰、绿叶兜兰被评为数据缺乏(DD).     

Predicting geogenic groundwater fluoride contamination throughout China

Endemic fluorosis exists in almost all provinces of China. The long-term ingestion of groundwater containing high concentrations of fluoride is one of the main causes of fluorosis. We used artificial neural network to model the relationship between groundwater fluoride concentrations from throughout China and environmental variables such as climatic, geological. and soil parameters as proxy predictors. The results show that the accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model in the test dataset are 80.5% and 0.86%, respectively, and climatic variables are the most effective predictors. Based on the artificial neural network model, a nationwide prediction risk map of fluoride concentrations exceeding 1.5 mg/L with a 0.5 × 0.5 arc minutes resolution was generated. The high risk areas are mainly located in western provinces of Xinjiang, Tibet, Qinghai, and Sichuan, and the northern provinces of Inner Mongolia, Hebei and Shandong. The total number of people estimated to be potentially at risk of fluorosis due to the use of untreated high fluoride groundwater as drinking water is about 89 million, or 6% of the population. The high fluoride groundwater risk map helps the authorities to prioritize areas requiring mitigation measures and thus facilitates the implementation of water improvement and defluoridation projects.     

WTO规则对西部开发的影响、风险及机遇浅析

随着中国加入WTO和西部大开发战略的实施 ,依法治国无疑是改善投资环境、促进西部开发的最有效手段之一。本文根据WTO基本原则与法制经济的相互关系和影响深入浅出地论述了WTO对西部开发的影响、风险及机遇 ,并提出了针对性的策略     

中国主粮作物生物炭产量效应的Meta分析

为定量评估生物炭对主粮作物产量的影响,收集了公开发表的116篇相关文献,共866对数据,采用Meta分析法定量分析了生物炭对我国主粮作物产量的影响及其影响因子,同时构建结构方程模型(SEM)进一步解释了因子间的交互关系.结果表明,与不施用生物炭相比,生物炭施用后可改善主粮田土壤理化性质,提高主粮作物产量,平均增产率为8.77%.其中,当生物炭pH为7～8时,平均增产率最大,可达26.49%;其C/N<60时,平均增产率为13.73%,显著高于C/N≥60的平均增产率.将生物炭施入酸性或中性土壤中,更能发挥其增产效应.当施炭量为10～20 t·hm^-2时,小麦和玉米的平均增产率最大;施炭量为15～25 t·hm^-2时,水稻平均增产率最大.但是,不同施炭水平的水稻增产率相近,可考虑损失部分产量,适当减施以兼顾经济效益.此外,生物炭增产效应会随施用年限增加而不断减弱,一般3 a后增产不显著.SEM表明生物炭施用量不仅直接影响主粮作物产量,还通过改善土壤肥力间接影响主粮作物产量,而生物炭C/N和pH仅通过改善土壤肥力影响主粮作物产量.因此,今后...     

基于空间尺度效应的西南地区植被NPP影响因子探测

植被净初级生产力(NPP)是评价陆地生态系统质量的重要参数,研究植被NPP时空演变特征及其驱动力对区域生态环境保护和可持续发展具有重大意义.基于MODIS NPP数据、气象数据、 DEM数据、人口密度数据、 GDP数据和土地利用类型数据,采用一元线性回归分析、 R/S分析和地理探测器模型,分析西南地区及其六大地貌单元植被NPP时空演变特征及未来变化趋势,探究植被NPP空间分异的影响因子.结果表明,2000～2020年西南地区植被NPP整体呈极显著上升趋势.地貌单元中,除青藏高原南部外,其余地貌单元植被NPP均表现为改善态势,其中四川盆地和云贵高原表现为极显著改善.西南地区的植被NPP变化斜率整体呈现“东高西低”的分布格局.西南地区及各地貌单元植被NPP呈上升趋势的区域面积均大于呈下降趋势的区域面积,但未来植被NPP变化趋势均以下降为主.地理探测器结果表明,除云贵高原植被NPP空间分异主要受气温影响外,海拔是西南地区及各地貌单元植被NPP空间分异的主导因子.交互探测结果表明,影响因子之间的交互作用均表现为双因子增强或非线性增强,其中,海拔∩温度对西南地区植被NPP空间分异的解释力最大.地...     

Critical factors in effective construction waste minimization at the design stage: A Shenzhen case study,China

Construction waste minimization at the design stage is a key strategy in effective waste reduction. However, it seems that few studies focus on exploratory factors that can significantly improve the design of construction waste minimization. This paper addresses this research gap by presenting a set of critical factors that inform and improve the practice of waste minimization design, particularly in the context of Shenzhen, China. Nineteen potential factors which can influence effective waste minimization are presented based on related official guidelines, reports and literature. Top institutions in Shenzhen that have received a Grade A building design certification were surveyed through a questionnaire. From this survey, six critical factors are derived: (1) large-panel metal formworks, (2) prefabricated components, (3) fewer design modifications, (4) modular design, (5) waste reduction investment and (6) economic incentive. The applicability and significance of the identified critical factors for effectively designing waste minimization are also explored. These critical factors not only provide designers and project managers with a useful set of criteria for effective design strategies to reduce construction waste, but also serve as valuable references for the government to formulate related construction waste minimization regulations.     

A review of the protection of sources of drinking water in China

Water is a natural resource key to human and environmental health. China has suffered serious contamination of its water sources in the past decade, which has had severe consequences on the water supplies of millions of residents. Frequent polluting accidents and the amount of wastewater discharged have caused concern for the safety of drinking water. Fortunately, those at various levels of government have realized the importance of protecting the sources of drinking water and confirmed a list of 175 nationally important sources. Measures have also been adopted to control water pollution, including infrastructural, physical, chemical, ecological, administrative, and legal measures. While helpful, some areas in need of more attention are rural water, groundwater, agricultural pollution, and domestic sewage. Based on the lessons learned from experiences in developed countries, we offer some suggestions for improving, inter alia, funding, legal construction, management, and awareness‐raising, as well as present proposals for the future protection of our sources of drinking water. Future work should focus on water quality standards, quantitative research, high technology and legislation.     

苏南快速城镇化区域典型河道入河污染物调查分析与估算

针对快速城镇化区域产业快速发展、人口高度密集与排水设施建设滞后间的突出矛盾,以苏州官渎里区域的典型重污染河道——官渎花园内河为研究对象,在分析区域排污特征的基础上,系统总结点污染源、面污染源和内污染源在该类区域的具体表现形式和影响因素,对各类污染物入河量进行调查测算.根据测算结果,官渎花园内河的CODcr、NH3-N、TN和TP年入河量分别为222.54、11.16、16.63和2.56t·a-1.对各污染源贡献率的分析结果表明,工业污染和生活污染为主要污染源,其次为降雨径流污染.在上述测算分析的基础上,结合苏南快速城镇化区域发展特点,提出了若干河道污染控制的对策与建议.     

南水北调中线水源地不同植被类型坡地土壤水分特征研究

为了解不同植被类型土壤水资源的变化规律，选择南水北调中线水源区宁陕县寨沟区域典型植被针阔混交林、针叶林、板栗林、灌木林、荒坡草地和坡耕地为研究对象，通过样地调查与实验分析的方法对其土壤水分物理特征及有机质含量进行测定研究。结果表明，各种有林地的土壤容重、孔隙度和有机质等理化特征均优于荒坡和坡耕地；针阔混交林土壤含水量最高，蓄水能力明显好于其它植被类型；在垂直剖面上，各种植被类型坡地土壤含水量和饱和蓄水量随土壤深度的增加基本呈递减趋势，但有林地下降幅度较大，表层含水量明显高于荒坡与坡耕地表层。由此可见，在涵养水源方面，针阔混交林最好，针叶林、板栗林与灌木林次之，荒坡与坡耕地较差。