广平台地磁日变幅逐日比与地震关系的研究

分析了河北广平地磁台1982年至2006年地磁垂直分量日变幅逐日比值的高值异常与河北及邻区Ms≥5．0地震之间的关系，发现它们之间有较好的对应关系；同时给出了适用于广平地磁台的地震分析预报参数，并对其内检预报效能进行了评价，为今后广平台依磁报震提供了依据。     

繁殖期白头鹤觅食地活动的时间分配和日节律

2004年4~6月在黑龙江大沾河湿地自然保护区内,采用野外直接观察法对野生白头鹤在觅食地的活动节律进行了研究.结果表明:①繁殖期白头鹤在觅食地各种行为活动有一定的时间分配规律.在繁殖前期,雌、雄白头鹤全天(5:30~18:00)成对在觅食地活动,雄性个体以取食、警戒、游走、保养和求偶为主要行为,雌性个体以取食、警戒、游走和保养为主要行为;到繁殖后期,雌、雄白头鹤每天有两个时间段单独在觅食地活动(4:00~6:00和17:00~19:00),无论雌雄个体,均无求偶行为.②白头鹤雌、雄个体间保养行为差异极显著(P<0.001),警戒和求偶行为差异显著(P<0.05),取食、游走行为具有一定的差异.③在麦田和池塘2种微地貌之间,白头鹤的取食、求偶行为具极显著差异(P<0.001),警戒行为具显著差异(P<0.05).④在繁殖期的不同阶段以及不同的天气情况下白头鹤的各种行为均具有一定差异.图1表2参15     

Baseline Study on Essential and Trace Elements in Polished Rice from South Korea

In 2000, 63 (polished) white rice samples were collected in eight administrative areas all over South Korea and analyzed for 16 elements by inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometry (ICP-AES). Potassium had the highest content, next to Mg, Ca, Si, Zn, Na, Al and Fe. Most of the samples contained worldwide average concentrations of essential and trace elements in rice grains reported by various researches. For inter-area differences in those elements in the rice, the statistical analysis showed no significant differences (p > 0.05) among the eight administrative areas, suggesting that inter-area differences were not substantial in most cases. Thus, the present data can be used as national background levels of elements in rice produced in South Korea. Using the published data on daily consumption of rice in South Korea, it was possible to estimate the daily intake of As, Cd, Cu, Pb and Zn via rice. The results showed that a regular consumption of rice produced in Korea plays an important role in accumulation of essential and trace elements in Korean, especially for farm-households consuming relatively large amounts of rice.     

总N—亚硝基化合物接触量与胃癌死亡率的生态学相关性

在胃癌高发区福建省长乐县和低发区山东省崂山县和随机选择近６０名３５－６４岁男性一，以份饭法收集２４ｈ膳食和１２ｈ尿液，测定总Ｎ－亚硝基人合物（ＴＮＯＣ）含量，计算膳食摄入量和尿中排出量人群日均膳食摄往我为７．０７４．３１μｍｏｌ，低发区为４．０７±３．６７μｍｏｌ，Ｐ〈０．００１；１２ｈ尿中排出量高发区为１１３±０．６１μｍｏｌ，低发区为０．３４±０．２７μｍｏｌ，Ｐ〈０．００１；尿中排出量与膳食     

KALMAN FILTER ESTIMATION AND PREDICTION OF DAILY STREAM FLOWS: II. APPLICATION TO THE POTOMAC RIVER1

Results are reported from an application of the state space formulation and the Kalman filter to real-time forecasting of daily river flows. It is shown that the application of filtering techniques improves the overall forecasting performance of the model. As is true for most hydrologic systems, the model is not completely known. Therefore, the procedures pertaining to on-line parameter and noise statistics estimation, as presented in the first paper, are implemented. The example in this paper shows that these techniques also perform satisfactorily when applied to a real-world situation.     

INTERVENTION ANALYSIS OF WATER USE RESTRICTIONS,AUSTIN, TEXAS1

ABSTRACT: Mandatory water conservation in the form of restrictions on outdoor watering, car washing, and recreation was implemented in the City of Austin, Texas, during the summers of 1984 and 1985. Three different stages of restrictions were implemented limiting the number of watering hours per day, as well as a restriction that allowed lawn watering once every five days according to the last digit of the street address, Intervention analysis using a transfer function-noise model of daily water use is applied to assess the impact of the restrictions. Compared to a peak water use rate of about 170 MGD, it is shown that mandatory restrictions in 1984 reduced water use by an average of 13.5 MGD, while similar restrictions during the summer of 1985 reduced usage by an average of 5.5 MGD. Lawn watering restrictions on a five-day cycle produced a corresponding five-day cycle in water use of more than 10 MGD in amplitude in 1985. An alternative lawn watering scheme that eliminates this cycle is prescribed.     

城市绿地空气细菌含量变化特征

为了了解城市绿地空气细菌含量的时空变化情况以及不同空间结构绿地减菌作用的差异,通过对北京市元大都公园内全年监测样地和不同空间结构样地空气细菌的测定,得出了城市绿地空气细菌含量的年变化基本上呈双峰曲线,11月和5月含量较高,其它月份相对较低,而且证明在植物生长季绿地减菌能力较强。城市绿地空气细菌含量秋季、春季、夏季的日变化各不相同,秋季8:00~14:00总体呈下降趋势,14:00~16:00略有升高,而16:00~18:00大部分绿地有所下降;春季7:00~13:00下降,13:00~19:00呈上升趋势;夏季在9:00和17:00出现峰值,基本呈双峰型。不同空间结构的绿地减菌作用不同,春季针叶乔木具有优势,夏季阔叶乔木表现优秀,而草坪最差。在城市绿化建设中,如果从降低空气细菌含量方面考虑,建议建设绿地面积最好>900 m2,如果达不到900m2,可以考虑建设面积至少>400 m2。     

Economic valuation of health impacts of air pollution in Mumbai

Air pollution leads to serious negative impacts on health. Thephysical evidence is compelling. An attempt has been made inthis paper to establish dose-response relationship of AmbientAir Quality Index and human health, based on time spent by anindividual in different microenvironments during one day.Economic valuation of morbidity and mortality has been attemptedthrough lost salary approach. The results show that theavoidance cost is 29% of the total health damage cost.     

1958—2015年长江中下游寒潮时空演变特征

基于长江中下游地区54个气象站点1958—2015年日最低气温数据,从时间和空间的角度,定量分析该地区寒潮发生发展的演变特征和空间变化。结果表明：过去58年,寒潮发生次数呈不显著减少趋势,平均减少幅度为1.2次/站;寒潮过程中,最低气温的平均降温幅度呈南高北低分布,最低气温的极端降温幅度呈自区域中心向四周逐渐降低分布。寒潮发生的首次最早为8月1日（九江站）,末次最晚为5月4日（寿县站和六安站）,出现时间的空间分布差异显著。冬季寒潮频发,春季和秋季次之。     

Qualitative assessment on premature human mortality due to the emission of fine particulate matter from the Matarbari coal power plant

This study reports the probability of increased mortality of people within the political border of Bangladesh due to the emission of fine particulate matter with diameters of 2.5 microns or less (PM_2.5) from the Matarbari coal power plant (MCPP). A Gaussian plume dispersion model has been used for this estimation. The PM_2.5 emission rate data are unavailable as the construction of MCPP is still in its initial stage; therefore, the anticipated PM_2.5 emission rate has been estimated based on data from a number of coal‐fired power plants in India and China. To make this study more meaningful, two different emission rates have been considered representing the best‐case and worst‐case scenarios. In both cases, the intake fraction has been found to be 0.12×10^?2, and the value of relative risk varies between 1.134 and 1.374, respectively. Finally, it is estimated that approximately 11.5 million people inside Bangladesh will be exposed to the PM_2.5 emission from MCPP, and between 7,667 and 17,675 people will experience premature death every year.