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151.
基于人地耦合系统的国土空间重塑 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
地理系统主要研究地球表层人与环境相互作用的机理,强调人地关系、自然和人文要素的综合,即人地耦合系统。地理系统在国土空间中的应用主要由地理决策、地理模拟、地理工程所组成,并且相互作用构成了地理治理。国土空间是自然与人类所共同实践的物质载体,人类被自然所塑造的程度并不亚于自身塑造自然的程度,以人地耦合系统为核心的地理系统理论成为国土空间规划与整治修复的理论基础。基于人地耦合系统的国土空间重塑最终以地理治理的形式反映在人类作用于自然环境的各种活动中。经过改革开放40年的发展,中国国土空间已基本形成了较为稳定的格局,形成了经济区、贫困区、小城镇为主的三种形态空间。中国的城镇化发展与发达国家有所不同,是城市化、城镇化、乡村化“三化耦合”并存的状态。必须重视泛第三极、环中国南海、东北亚—北极等以“一带一路”全球空间为基础的战略区域研究。基于人地耦合系统理论与国土空间价值均衡理论,国土空间重塑的基础科学问题是人地耦合系统演化机理与驱动机制。国土空间规划可以划分为三种类型:发展型规划、控制型规划和修复型规划。国土空间的保护与治理包括以土地利用为核心的国土空间全域整治,以生态文明为核心的国土空间系统修复,以社会和谐为核心的国土空间综合治理。人地耦合系统最终的发展目标是形成人类与自然相互作用的命运共同体。 相似文献
152.
农业文化遗产地“三产”融合度评价——以云南红河哈尼稻作梯田系统为例 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3
工业化和城市化过程中,城乡经济差距日益拉大,农村衰落已成为城市化过程中各国面临的共同问题。2015年中央政府提出了“农村一二三产业融合发展”推动农村经济发展的政策,引起了众多学科研究者从不同角度开展研究,但相关研究多以理论探讨为主。农业文化遗产地作为一个以遗产保护为前提的特殊农村地区,如何推动一二三产业(下称“三产”)融合发展,如何量化“三产”融合度,研究尚待深入。基于对农业文化遗产特点、资源特征以及农业文化遗产保护要求等方面的分析,阐释了农业文化遗产地“三产”融合发展的概念和内涵,并构建了由产业融合度与劳动力融合度组成的农业文化遗产地“三产”融合度评价方法体系及具体核算方法。以云南红河哈尼稻作梯田系统十大片区所在的8个乡镇为对象进行评价,结果表明,产业融合度分项指数间越均衡则产业融合度越高;各乡镇分项指数和产业融合度的数值皆很小,有巨大的“三产”融合发展空间;新街镇一二三产业的劳动力融合度领先,其中第三产业贡献率最大;农业文化遗产地“三产”的产业融合与劳动力融合有较高的正相关性(r=0.67),显著水平在10%以下(P=0.069<0.1)。推动“三产”融合发展可以有效促进农民在本地就业,对于保护农业文化遗产有着重要意义。 相似文献
153.
In this paper, the dynamic relationship between global surface temperature (global warming) and global carbon dioxide emission (CO2) is modelled and analyzed by causality and spectral analysis in the time domain and frequency domain, respectively. Historical data of global CO2emission and global surface temperature anomalies over 129 years from 1860–1988 are used in this study. The causal relationship between the two phenomena is first examined using the Sim and Granger causality test in the time domain after the data series are filtered by ARIMA models. The Granger causal relationship is further scrutinized and confirmed by cross-spectral and multichannel spectral analysis in the frequency domain. The evidence found from both analyses proves that there is a positive causal relationship between the two variables. The time domain analysis suggests that Granger causality exists between global surface temperature and global CO2emission. Further, CO2emission causes the change in temperature. The conclusions are further confirmed by the frequency domain analysis, which indicates that the increase in CO2emission causes climate warming because a high coherence exists between the two variables. Furthermore, it is proved that climate changes happen after an increase in CO2emission, which confirms that the increase in CO2emission does cause global warming. 相似文献
154.
Franziska?Pfister Peter?BacciniEmail author 《Environment, Development and Sustainability》2005,7(3):337-361
Food production has to be increased in a sustainable way to meet the future global demand. A key position is attributed to
developing countries. A deepened understanding of their agricultural regions with specific resource endowments and constraints
is therefore crucial. In this study we propose a methodology based on material flux analysis (MFA) to assess the resource
potentials and limitations of a Nicaraguan agricultural region. We focus on current regional and farm resource management
and explore them under two scenarios. Indicators are nitrogen and the degrees of self-sufficiency (DSS) for energy, and the
staples maize and beans. As data is scarce, most information is based on interviews with farmers of four categories and key
persons, and on literature.
The results show that nitrogen management does not differ considerably among categories. Nitrogen is mined mostly from staple
plots. Self-sufficiency for beans is given in an average year. Yet, landless and small farmers neither produce enough maize
for autoconsumption, nor are they self-sufficient for firewood. Energy supply is also the core problem of the region, since
the DSS is 70%. Soil nitrogen
stocks last at most for three more generations. Analyses with the scenario technique show that: (a) Unlimited population growth
has serious consequences in the near future e.g. severe shortage of energy and food. (b) Alternative farming systems are possible,
but they require reducing the population by a factor 2, and thus the creation of jobs in a Hinterland.
Readers should send their comments on this paper to: BhaskarNath@aol.com within 3 months of publication of this issue. 相似文献
155.
156.
中国加油站VOC排放污染现状及控制 总被引:17,自引:9,他引:8
应用排放因子法估算了2002年度全国加油站VOC的排放量.在综合考虑经济,社会,人口等各方面因素后,通过调整现有的活动水平估算了未来20a内全国的燃油消耗情况,以及VOC排放的增长趋势.结果表明:2002年我国加油站VOC排放量为187.6×103t,由此造成的经济损失达到了7.5×108元人民币.在维持现有控制水平情况下,到2030年VOC排放量将达到1196×103t,经济损失高达47.8×108元人民币.比较了StageⅠ、StageⅡ油气回收系统以及ORVR的回收效率和成本,并对其可行性和经济适用性进行分析.结果表明:这3种回收技术的引进将会大规模的消减加油站VOC的排放,并且选择性的措施组合能够取得更好的效果.相对于StageⅡ回收系统,ORVR的效率更高费用更低.但是ORVR的引进需要比StageⅡ更长的时间,为了达到80%的普及率至少需要11a左右.为在短期内达到一定的控制要求,可优先考虑StageⅡ回收技术;但是从长期的环境和经济效应来看,ORVR才是最终的选择. 相似文献
157.
耕作制度对川中丘陵区冬灌田CH4和N2O排放的影响 总被引:13,自引:4,他引:9
采用静态暗箱/气相色谱法连续2 a田间原位测定,研究川中丘陵区冬灌田CH4和N2O的排放特征和不同耕作制度对冬灌田CH4和N2O排放的影响.结果表明,1a只种1季中稻冬季灌水休闲的冬灌田(PF),在水稻生长期,CH4平均排放通量为(21.44±1.77)mg·(m2·h)-1,非水稻生长期为(3.77±0.99)mg·(m2·h)-1,分别大大低于以前文献报道的在西南其它地方观测值;全年CH4排放量以水稻生长期CH4排放量为主,非水稻生长期CH4排放量仅占全年总排放量的23.2%.冬灌田N2O排放通量年均值为(0.051±0.008)mg·(m2·h)-1,且主要集中在水稻生长季,非水稻生长期N2O排放量仅占全年总排放量的8.1%.在采用水旱轮作制后,冬灌田CH4排放量大大降低,稻-麦轮作(RW)和稻-油菜轮作(RR)全年CH4排放量分别为PF的43.8%和40.6%.但冬灌田改为水旱轮作制后,N2O排放量显著增大,RW和RR的N2O年排放量分别是PF的3.7倍和4.5倍.综合考虑冬灌田在采用不同耕作制度后排放CH4和N2O的全球增温潜势(GWP),无论是短时间尺度还是长时间尺度,采用3种耕作制度全年所排放的CH4和N2O所产生的综合GWP都为:PF RW≈RR.在20a、100a和500a时间尺度上,PF分别约是RW和RR的2.6、2.1和1.7倍.冬灌田改为水旱轮作制度后能大大减少CH4和N2O所产生的综合GWP. 相似文献
158.
Dina A. Salman Saud A. Amer Frank A. Ward 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2014,50(5):1208-1225
Climate variability and population growth have intensified the search internationally for measures to adapt to fluctuations in water supplies. An example can be found in the lower part of the transboundary Tigris‐Euphrates Basin where water shortages in 2008‐2009 resulted in high economic costs to irrigation farmers. Losses to irrigators in the lower basin have made a compelling case to identify flexible methods to adapt to water shortage. Few published studies have systematically examined ways to enhance the flexibility of water appropriation systems to adapt to water shortage. This article addresses an ongoing challenge in water governance by examining how profitability at both the farm and basin levels is affected by various water appropriation systems. Four water appropriation systems are compared for impacts on farm income under each of three water supply scenarios. Results show that a (1) proportional sharing of water shortages among provinces and (2) unrestricted water trading rank as the top two appropriation systems. The shadow price of water for irrigation rises from zero at a full water supply level to US$93/1,000 m3 when supply falls to 20% of full levels. Similar methods could be used to analyze challenges facing the design or implementation of water appropriation systems in the world's irrigated regions. 相似文献
159.
160.
Increasingly, large-scale conservation initiatives (e.g. through protected area networks and transboundary connectivity initiatives) are growing in prevalence as their diverse sustainability benefits are further understood. Conventional, centralized approaches to conservation, often featuring unconnected discrete ‘patches’, are no longer sufficient for achieving effective, long-term protection. The purpose of this study was to gain a better understanding of how to achieve effective large-scale conservation initiatives by addressing the following objectives: (1) To assess the degree to which local actors are involved in coastal and marine conservation practices, with a focus on large-scale conservation initiatives (LCIs); and, (2) To identify barriers and opportunities for achieving effective large-scale conservation. This paper presents findings from research in the Dominican Republic where social-ecological components of coastal and marine systems are considered from multiple perspectives to advance management and increase effectiveness of LCIs. Data were acquired through semi-structured interviews with 35 coastal and marine actors (e.g. fishers, ministers, non-governmental organizations, practitioners, academics) working at local to international scales. Interview data were analysed through thematic coding using QSR-Nvivo 12 software. Respondents expressed that non-governmental actors (e.g. private organizations, coastal communities) should have an increased role in developing, implementing and managing coastal and marine LCIs. Additionally, respondents commented on strategies to enhance social connectivity (i.e. sharing experiences, programs and expertise) within coastal and marine practices to enhance effectiveness and facilitate learning. Findings contribute to the understanding of complex coastal and marine social-ecological systems of the Dominican Republic and provide further support for involving multiple actors in governance processes. 相似文献