引信在长期贮存下老化行为的仿真模拟与分析

目的 厘清某型引信在贮存14 a后的失效模式,研究温度周期性交变对引信及其薄弱零件的影响。方法利用ANSYS workbench软件,建立基于时间硬化的蠕变仿真方法。以某型引信为研究对象,开展周期性温度交变的蠕变仿真,根据仿真计算结果和实物的对比分析,找出薄弱零件,分析其老化失效模式。结果 在每个周期内环境温度循环条件下,仿真时长设定为14 a,结果显示,引信整体蠕变应变率超过1%,平均压紧应力下降21%,松弛稳定性变弱,密封性在一定程度上变差。其中,引信电机外壳、电机扇叶、底部线路对接板为薄弱零件,容易发生失效行为。结论 引信贮存在典型西南湿热环境14 a后,周期性温度交变应力将导致引信出现缺陷,缺陷集中在电机外壳、电机扇叶、底部线路对接板处,应重点对这些部位进行防护。     

近浅埋煤层覆岩关键层对综采工作面压力的影响分析

为了研究采场在覆岩运动过程中关键层的缺失与否对综采工作面采场矿压的影响效果,采用相似模拟试验和数值模拟,对大柳塔煤矿活鸡兔井1-2煤21304综采工作面在回采期间出现的2次压架事故进行分析。研究结果表明:上覆岩层的关键层缺失与否对下部煤层的开采影响至关重要,尤其是对上部已采单一关键层的煤层回采影响较大,当上煤层的关键层未缺失时回采后形成稳定的砌体梁结构,其下煤层回采也易形成稳定的砌体梁结构,反之亦然;在冲沟发育较深的地形,关键层的形成也会受到冲沟影响,造成部分关键层缺失,当关键层缺失时工作面向坡开采,随着工作面所承受的荷载逐渐增大,出现动载矿压的几率也随之增加,背坡开采则与之相反。     

生态文明建设的关键因素识别

生态文明建设是共创民族伟业、中国圆梦的时代重任,提高生态文明建设水平需要对生态文明建设的关键因素进行分析识别。本文从生态文明意识、生态文明制度和生态文明行为三个方面建立生态文明建设影响因素指标体系,选取全国31个省份2012至2014年的相关数据,运用BP神经网络法降低DEMATEL模型中专家打分建立关联矩阵的主观性,结合摆幅置权法(SW)得出综合重要度,遴选出生态文明建设关键因素。其中,年份最近的2014年计算得出的关键因素按照重要度排序依次为:本级环保能力建设资金使用总额、排污费解缴入库户金额、机动车污染物排放总颗粒物、网站主动公开各类政府环境信息条数和环保系统人员总数。将这些因素按照生态文明的基本内涵划分为三大类,得到3点结论:生态意识虽不起决定性作用,但能强化整个社会的生态文明建设的思想和理念,生态文明意识所占的比例先降后升,不断提高;随着生态文明建设理论和实践经验的丰富,逐渐感受到成熟的制度设计、明确的制度规范才是根本,生态文明制度类别在关键因素中所占的比例越来越高;生态文明行为作为表现形式,随着其他两方面的变化,生态文明行为不断改善,在生态文明建设的关键因素中所占比例下降。本文在生态文明意识方面提出要针对性地帮助和鼓励各级环保部门开展信息公开工作;在生态文明制度方面提出强化环保能力建设资金的监管力度,发挥排污费的真正作用,提升环保系统人员的能力素养,探索新工作思路等举措;在生态文明行为方面提出综合车、油、路等多方面措施防治机动车排放污染等建议。     

石化企业储罐大呼吸损耗影响因素的分析

储罐是石化行业挥发性有机物(VOCs)无组织排放源的重要组成部分。采用美国环保署推荐的储罐VOCs排放量计算公式,以云南某炼化企业的典型热渣油立式固定顶罐以及北京某石化企业的汽油外浮顶罐和甲苯内浮顶罐为基准案例进行储罐大呼吸损耗量的计算,考察了其影响因素,总结出影响储罐大呼吸损耗的关键参数,并有针对性地提出降耗措施。结果表明:影响固定顶罐大呼吸损耗的关键参数为气相分子摩尔质量、日平均液体表面温度和年周转量;影响外浮顶罐大呼吸损耗的首要关键参数为罐壁黏附系数,其次为年周转量和有机液体的密度;影响内浮顶罐大呼吸损耗的首要关键参数为罐壁黏附系数,其次为年周转量和固定顶支撑柱数量。     

长江中游西部地区洪水灾害的历史演变——人文因素与当前趋势

探讨了近3000年来长江中游西部洪水灾害发展的人文因素。古代（3000—700aBP）人口较少,多择地势高的岗地居住,只有少数沿江城市需要堤防保护;长江干流洪水可多处分道散流,所携带泥沙导致云梦泽解体消亡。自宋代开始,低地筑垸围湖,与水争地,但九穴十三口畅通,洪水灾害不严重。明代（700—450a B P）几乎完全堵塞了荆江北流的穴口,荆北大堤联成一体,但堤防薄弱,出现过30次决口成灾。清代以来,随着人口激增,与水争地矛盾加剧,堤防加高培厚,使荆江河道洪水位大幅度上升,溃堤和溃坝洪水灾害较明代成倍出现。同时,历代的“舍南保北”政策迫使长江干流大洪水中过半水量与泥沙向南泄入洞庭湖,曾使洞庭湖面积扩至6000km^2,以后洞庭湖迅速淤积萎缩。1949至1985年间,人口又一次迅速增长,进一步加强围湖垦殖,大量通江湖泊面积萎缩。除1954和1998年那样人所共知的严重洪水灾害外,内涝渍水灾害也非常严重,人类与洪水的矛盾达到了顶点。改革开放后,尤其是三峡大坝的修建,极大地改变了长江中游的水文情势,工业化与城市化的迅猛发展,农村人口压力减轻,而21世纪初期降水相对较少,因此当前相当一段时间长江中游洪水灾害大为缓和。应抓住时机,总结经验,在人地和谐的现代水科学技术理念指导下,制定21世纪前半期,特别是2020年前的长江水利和水资源发展规划,促使人与洪水和谐共处。     

基于纠错码的指纹加密算法研究

对指纹加密算法进行整体介绍,并加入纠错机制,设计了带纠错功能的指纹加密算法。该法利用二进制序列发生器生成随机以多项式的系数形式的密钥,将指纹点加密,在密钥恢复阶段用拉格朗日差值来恢复多项式,并利用循环冗余校验码进行校验,可以保证找到最准确的密钥来保证多项式的准确度。实验结果表明:利用带有纠错码的模糊金库算法很好地实现了指纹模板的加密和解密,从而达到了保护生物信息安全的要求;通过密钥长度增长可以提高系统的安全性能。     

安全生产责任的制度整合与伦理道德建设

在分析安全生产责任危机含义和安全生产责任概念基础上,指明安全生产责任体系的"四要素",即道德责任、政治责任、法律责任与管理责任,重点阐明道德责任是该体系的基础要素及其意义。根据对我国现有安全生产责任制度的分析,提出一个关于安全生产责任制度建设的伦理框架:强化安全生产责任意识;用人权伦理原则对安全生产责任制度伦理化;以特定的安全生产责任的伦理规范和准则构建责任规则系统;强化责任主体道德素质培养与监察制度建设,促使其自觉履行好自身应负的安全生产责任。总之,该理论框架为安全生产责任制度建立提供一个新的伦理学基础。     

公钥基础设施(PKI)安全性研究

详细介绍公钥基础设施(PKI)的基本概念、PKI的基本框架组成以及其各部分的主要特征、功能;重点对PKI的安全性问题作了剖析,当前PKI的最主要安全缺陷表现在两个方面:其一,政策性缺陷即PKI本身的标准不一,没有一个统一的国际标准;其二,即PKI在应用中的合理性问题主要包括其证书认证、密钥的安全性以及密钥的长度等问题。对于PKI的自身及其使用缺陷,笔者认为应由相关权威部门尽早地制定出一套统一的标准,另外,还要相应地增强其公钥加密算法以及采用合理的密钥长度,进而完善证书的颁发、撤销以及认证等问题。     

Effect-Directed Analysis of Key Toxicants in European River Basins. A Review (9 pp)

Background, Aim and Scope Extensive monitoring programs on chemical contamination are run in many European river basins. With respect to the implementation of the European Union (EU) Water Framework Directive (WFD), these programs are increasingly accompanied by monitoring the ecological status of the river basins. Assuming an impact of chemical contamination on the ecological status, the assignment of effects in aquatic ecosystems to those stressors that cause the effects is a prerequisite for taking political or technical measures to achieve the goals of the WFD. Thus, one focus of present European research is on toxicant identification in European river basins in order to allow for a reduction of toxic pressure on aquatic ecosystems according to the WFD. Main Features: An overview is presented on studies that were performed to link chemical pollution in European river basins to measurable ecotoxic effects. This includes correlation-based approaches as well as investigations that apply effect-directed analysis (EDA) integrating toxicity testing, fractionation and non-target chemical analysis. Effect-based key toxicants that were identified in European surface waters are compiled and compared to EU priority pollutants. Further needs for research are identified. Results: Studies on the identification of effect-based key toxicants focused on mutagenicity, aryl hydrocarbon receptor-mediated effects, endocrine disruption, green algae, and invertebrates. The identified pollutants include priority pollutants and other well-known environmental pollutants such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins, furans, and biphenyls, nonylphenol, some pesticides and tributyltin, but also other compounds that were neither considered as environmental pollutants before nor regulated such as substituted phenols, natural or synthetic estrogens and androgens, dinaphthofurans, 2-(2-naphthalenyl)benzothiophene, and N-phenyl-2-naphthylamine. Discussion: Individual studies at specific sites in a European river basin demonstrated the power of combined biological and chemical analytical approaches and, particularly, of effect-directed analysis. However, the available information on effect-based key toxicants is very limited with respect to the entirety of rivers possibly at risk due to chemical contamination and with respect to toxicological endpoints considered at a specific site. A relatively broad basis of information exists only for estrogenicity and aryl hydrocarbon, receptor-mediated effects. Conclusions: The development of tools and strategies for an identification of key toxicants on a broader scale are a challenging task for the next years. Since investigations dealing with toxicant identification are too labor and cost-intensive for monitoring purposes, they have to be focused on the key sites in a river basin. These should include hot spots of contamination, particularly if there is evidence that they might pose a risk for downstream areas, but may also involve accumulation zones in the lower reach of a river in order to get an integrated picture on the contamination of the basin. Perspectives: While EDA is almost exclusively based on measurable effects in in vitro and in vivo biotests to date, an increasing focus in the future should be on the integration of EDA into Ecological Risk Assessment and on the development of tools to confirm EDA-determined key toxicants as stressors in populations, communities and ecosystems. Considering these requirements and applied in a focused way, toxicant identification may significantly help to implement the Water Framework Directive by providing evidence on the main stressors and possible mitigation measures in order to improve the ecological status of a river ecosystem.     

四湖地区猕猴桃高效栽培模式与关键技术

针对地处四湖腹地的湖北省监利县果树资源利用率低及涝洼湿地的地理环境和生态条件 ,提出加快果树资源品种结构的调整 ,监北地势稍高 ,排灌方便的地方大力发展以猕猴桃为主的产业 ,同时利用架面下的行间土地套种蔬菜、瓜类作物、草莓、食用菌以及耐荫湿的中草药植物等立体生态农业的栽培模式 ,达到经济效益和生态效益的同步增长 ,与其相配套的栽培关键技术是采用地下通气排灌暗沟设施 ,重施有机质肥加磷肥 ;高畦壮苗定植 ;巧施追肥 ;适时排灌 ;树盘覆草保墒 ;人工辅助授粉和疏花疏果