洪泽湖藻类与环境因子逐步回归统计和蓝藻水华初步预测

以洪泽湖2008—2010年的连续监测资料为基础,运用多元逐步回归统计方法,选择水温等12项环境因子与藻类叶绿素a等5项生物因子进行逐步回归分析,找出与生物因子显著相关的因子,建立多元逐步回归方程,预测洪泽湖藻类密度的变化情况,初步进行了洪泽湖蓝藻水华的预测预报。结果显示,总磷、总氮、氨氮和水深为洪泽湖藻类密度的显著相关因子,透明度、水温、水深为蓝藻密度的显著相关因子。     

多元回归-紫外分光光度法同时测定硝基苯类化合物

对多元线性回归、多元逐步回归和岭回归三种方法应用于硝基苯类五元体系进行定量分析的结果进行了比较研究,结果表明,对于所涉及的组分光谱重叠严重的病态的混合体系,多元逐步回归和岭回归间接校正都是合适的算法,总平均相对误差分别为3.84%和3.00%.     

降水中与pH值有关的离子优选和pH值的PPR预测

应用投影寻踪回归（ＰＰＲ）分析技术的ＳＭＡＲＴ算法得到因子的权重序列,可实现对降水中与酸性ｐＨ值有关的离子的优选。实例分析结果表明,用优选出的离子作为特征因子,建立ｐＨ值的投影寻踪回归预测模型,具有较高的预测精度和较好的稳定性     

水溶液中盐的浓度与其电导率的关系研究

采用电导法研究了水溶液中盐的浓度与其电导率的关系。结果表明 ,在低浓度范围内电导率与浓度的平方根呈线性关系 ;在较高的浓度范围内 ,首次发现浓度与电导率的关系和 Langmuir吸附等温式中的压力与吸附量之间的关系类似。利用浓度与电导率间的定量关系确定水溶液中盐的浓度 ,比传统的重量法和滴定法快速且准确。     

Toward an improved ecosystem based management approach: incorporating catchment characteristics into better management and planning of the Great Barrier Reef marine ecosystem

Discharge from the Great Barrier Reef Catchment (GBRC) is considered the second most serious threat to the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Utilising principal component analysis (PCA) and cluster analysis (CA), this research aimed to assess the variability and co-variation of 28 water basins (WBs) within the GBRC, in order to improve the institutional arrangements and regulation of water quality and increase collaboration horizontally between management organisations, and vertically between government tiers. Water basin variability was measured by nine variables: size (ha), population, agricultural land use (ha), number of major water storages, major rivers and major towns, total nitrogen exported (T/yr), total phosphorus exported (T/yr) and herbicide use (ha). The Fitzroy WB, with PC scores of 7.0081, 2.2897 and ?1.6504, was identified as the most dissimilar and therefore needing to be managed differently. Many WBs within the same regions were very dissimilar to each other, indicating that current management practices, based largely on geographic location, are unlikely to be the most efficient and effective. Instead, managing groups of WBs with similar geo-political properties (determined by the CA) could be more effective and efficient. Coordination and collaboration are key to successful ecosystem based management, therefore managing similar WBs together through inter-NRM (natural resource management) agreements, irrespective of their geographical location, facilitates management bodies building strong, cooperative working relationships.     

Design-based ranked set sampling using auxiliary variables

A ranked set sampling protocol is proposed when an auxiliary variable is available in addition to the target variable in sample surveys. The protocol may be practically carried out without additional sampling effort or costs. Under the suggested sampling scheme, the estimators usually adopted in surveys with auxiliary information - such as the ratio estimator or the regression estimator - display surprising theoretical properties as well as high performance in practice.     

Estimating health damage cost from secondary sulfate particles--a case study of Hunan Province, China

IntroductionChina’senergyusepattern ,characterizedbyadominatingrelianceoncoal,hasledtosevereSO2pollutionandresultinghealthdamage .Withconsumptionsoffossilfuelsstilltogrow ,totalhealthdamageisanticipatedtoincrease ,whichwillbeagreatchallengetoChina.Thischallengerequirescomprehensivehealthimpactassessmenttoguideenvironmentalpolicyandreorientpublicopinioninfavorofeffectivepreventiveaction .Generally,the“ImpactPathwayApproach”(Krewit,1 999;Thanh ,2 0 0 0 ) ,whichlinkstheemissiontoconcentrat…     

港湾水质综合评价的集对分析模型

对港湾水质进行合理的综合评价,一直是港湾乃至海岸带开发和海洋资源可持续利用的一项重要的基础工作.由于港湾水质涉及诸多因素,常规的评价方法顾此失彼.本文以福建沿岸主要港湾为例,运用集对分析和主成分分析方法构建了港湾水质综合评价的集对分析模型,其结果表明各港湾的海水水质在总体上均属于第Ⅰ类,取得了与实际情况比较符合的综合类别评判结果.实践表明,集对分析为海水水质评价及其它环境质量评价工作提供了一种新型而有效的方法,并可为福建省海洋资源的可持续开发利用提供一定的决策依据.     

溧阳台体应变异常与地震的对应关系研究

地震预报的基础是要有连续可靠的高质量的观测资料。地震台站一线的工作人员对本台产出的观测资料的可靠性最有发言权，溧阳地震台的体应变观测资料在历年的全国资料质量评比中连续6年获得前三名。本文通过对江苏溧阳地震台体应变观测资料的分析研究，发现1996年11月09日在南黄海6．1级地震和1997年07月28日在南黄海5．1级地震，台湾1999年09月21日7．6级地震和2002年03月31日7.5级地震以及2001年11月14日青海8．1级地震前后，该台体应变资料有较明显的前兆异常反应，并且有一定的变化规律和异常特征，通过对这种规律的总结对地震预报有一定的参考价值，为此，我们对这种规律认真的分析总结，以提供给大家参考。     

多元线性回归与灰色联合模型在湖泊水质预测中的应用

根据对湖泊水体中所含高锰酸盐指数、氨氮、总磷等主要化学指标及其相关因素人口、工业产值和污水排放量的数据,采用了多元线性回归方法建立了湖泊水质预测的数学模型。并用多元线性回归和灰色模型联合的方法进行实际预测,多元线性回归模型通过F检验认为回归方程的效果比较显著,灰色模型精度检验达到二级,收到了良好效果。