南极冰盖冻融的时空分析

采用改进的小波变换的南极冰盖冻融探测算法,利用微波辐射计1978~2013年的SMMR和SSM/I数据对南极冰盖冻融状况进行监测,分析了南极冰盖近34年的整体冻融时空变化特征,结果表明:从空间分布来看,南极冰盖的融化区域主要分布在南极边缘的各个冰架区,融化强度受地物覆盖类型、地理位置和海拔等因素的影响;从时间分布上来看,南极冰盖的融化面积年际变化较大,1991年的融化面积最大,为1518750km2,1999年融化面积最小,为565000km2,且融化面积的年际变化具有周期性;南极冰盖的融化具有很强的季节性,融化一般集中在11月至次年2月,在1月达到融化顶峰.     

防PM2.5口罩现状及发展方向

为了提高全民防雾霾能力,保障人民群众的身体健康,分析了城市大气污染物中损害人体健康的最重要元凶PM2.5的防护需求,当前市场上各种材质和结构防PM2.5口罩的防护水平。在分析结果的基础上,结合颗粒物过滤机理,提出了雾霾天气时普通民众如何正确选择防PM2.5口罩的建议。讨论了目前防PM2.5口罩的过滤效率和泄漏性可参照的检测方法,在此基础上对今后防PM2.5口罩的发展方向进行了展望。     

Adapting to new policy environment – past pattern and future trend in us-sino waste plastic trade flow

Plastics are one of the most used materials in human activities, where consumer consumption and industrial production together has imposed vast rise in demand for this material in last century. While plastic is ideally derived from crude oil as a primary source from manufacturers’ perspective, varying crude oil prices are driving manufacturers economically to seek for alternative sources for plastics production. Waste plastic recovered from obsolete consumer products thus becomes an economic substitution for virgin plastics, which is further intensified with the possibility of international waste plastic trading. This study focuses on waste plastic trade between the US and mainland China by performing a correlation analysis of trade data. It is suggested in this study that although waste plastics are traded from the US to mainland China in general, as many of us believes, the route is gradually shifting in the past years. With tightening Chinese customs regulations, waste plastic from the US now tends to take a transit in a third destination (Hong Kong SAR for instance) for preliminary treatment to bypass Chinese customs inspection. Such phenomenon is worth noting, as a complication in waste plastic trading route hinders waste plastic transboundary movement monitoring. Furthermore, it will have adverse consequent consumer, industrial, and environmental impacts. It is thus necessary for national competent authorities to strengthen cooperative study and communication capacity in the future as a response to the changing waste plastic trade pattern.     

基于改进U-Net网络与联合损失函数的海南自然保护区高分辨率遥感变化检测模型

海南自然保护区遥感监测对森林资源监测、生态保护及热带亚热带地表研究具有重要意义。基于深度学习方法,针对海南省自然保护区大范围变化检测问题,对U-Net网络结构进行了改进,在每一个卷积层后加入标准化层,以跳线连接的形式将原有卷积模块改进为优化模块,同时在编码器底端添加金字塔池化模块以更好提取全局信息,形成了改进U-Net网络模型。模型训练采用基于交叉熵损失函数和广义骰子损失函数构建的联合损失函数,配合多种优化策略实现端到端的地物变化信息提取。该模型应用于公开数据集和研究构建的海南自然保护区数据集的变化检测任务,总体精度分别为97.21%(Kappa系数0.88)和95.12%(Kappa系数0.90),相比原始U-Net效果提升显著。     

一种改进的CSCA+PCA化工过程异常检测技术

为了解决化工过程异常检测时因参数众多且数据庞杂而导致一些异常无法被有效检出的问题,在Brownlee的克隆选择分类算法（CSCA）基础上,通过引入主成分分析（PCA）技术,进行数据降维和数据重整,探讨了人工免疫算法在化工过程异常检测中的适用效果和技术方案,以TE过程数据作为样本进行异常检测和分类实验。结果表明,过程异常数据的规模、属性的数目对CSCA异常检测效果具有明显影响,而通过主成分分析进行数据降维之后,CSCA检测效果有所提高;进一步的数据重整之后,CSCA对过程异常分类辨识的准确率可提升到85%以上;基于CSCA+PCA的数据降维及重构之后的过程异常检测技术方案,可以获得较高的异常检测准确率,从而一定程度上为化工过程安全运行提供技术保障。     

中国灾害性冰冻天气日数气候演变空间分异特征（1961-2016年）

基于《中国冰冻数据集（V1.0）》,采用1961-2016年中国545个气象站点的结霜、雾凇、雨凇和结冰四种灾害性冰冻天气日数数据,从气候态特征、年代距平变化、变化趋势和波动特征四个方面,诊断了中国冰冻天气日数时空演变特征。结果表明:①中国四种灾害性冰冻天气日数在1961-2016年具有各自典型的区域性和次区域性空间分异特征。高纬度或高海拔地区是中国灾害性冰冻天气较多发生的地区。结霜和结冰事件在分布范围和发生频率上明显高于雾凇和雨凇事件。②中国四种灾害性冰冻天气日数距平具有明显的年代变化特征。中国北方的结霜和结冰日数在1960和1970年代以负距平为主,而在1980、1990、2000和2010年代逐渐演变为正距平为主;中国北方的雾凇日数和中东部的雨凇日数在1960、1970和1980年代以正距平为主,而在1990、2000和2010年代以负距平为主。③1961-2016年中国四种灾害性冰冻天气日数变化趋势空间分异不尽一致。结霜、雾凇和结冰日数在高海拔和高纬度地区增减趋势较大。其中结霜日数在北方以增加趋势为主;雾凇日数则在东北、西北和内蒙古等地区以减少趋势为主;雨凇日数在中国中东部以减少趋势为主;结冰日数在西藏、黄土高原、华北平原等地以增加趋势为主。④1961-2016年中国结霜和结冰日数波动特征呈南高北低的空间分异格局。雾凇日数在华南南部和云南西部波动最大,在长江以南至华南北部、青藏高原、四川东部、湖北西部等地波动最小。雨凇日数在西南地区波动小,而在北方、东北和东南沿海地区波动大。     

A Method for Designing Detection Monitoring Networks in Layered Aquifers with Non-uniform Flow

An integer programming method was devised to locate detection monitoring wells in layered aquifers. The method is applicable to aquifers with non-uniform groundwater flow, and it does not require that a compliance boundary be linear or perpendicular to the direction(s) of groundwater flow. In each layer, monitoring sites are defined along curvilinear transects that parallel equipotential lines. The model can be formulated to allocate wells to the transect with the highest detection efficiency, or to establish multiple lines of defense against contaminant migrating to a compliance boundary. Detection efficiencies of alternative monitoring transects are calculated from parameters obtained via numerical modeling of contaminant transport. These parameters include the narrowest plume that could traverse a monitoring transect, and the zone width of potential contaminant migration at the transect. Problem formulations are compact, and computational requirements are low relative to alternative approaches for designing detection monitoring networks in aquifers. An application to a glacial outwash aquifer demonstrates the utility of the method.     

A COMPARISON OF MULTIVARIATE AND TREND FORECASTING ESTIMATES WITH ACTUAL WATER USE1

ABSTRACT: This paper describes a multivariate water forecasting procedure that is neither complicated, time-consuming nor expensive to operationalize. The forecasting procedure has been used to estimate the water demand for a proposed subdivision in Barrie, Ontario. Reliability is checked by applying the procedure to two existing subdivisions in Barrie for which metered consumption is available. For comparison, a trend forecasting procedure is also applied to the proposed subdivision and the existing subdivisions. Both the multivariate and trend forecasting procedures provide encouragingly accurate results when compared to actual use. While the multivariate procedure allows more precision, both procedures should be useful in forecasting water demand for smaller municipalities.     

广州市蔬菜地土壤-蔬菜中重金属Hg的含量及变化趋势

测定了95份土壤样品、94份水样以及292份蔬菜样品中汞的含量,探讨了广州市蔬菜地土壤-蔬菜中重金属Hg污染状况.发现蔬菜中的Hg含量与土壤中的Hg含量较为密切.广州市土壤、蔬菜中Hg的含量水平均比过去大幅度降低.蔬菜中Hg含量与其它城市比较,污染情况较轻,处于其它城市的中低水平.     

HPF(高通数字滤波器)的电网谐波检测技术的研究与应用

为有效地消除电力谐波污染、确保电网运行安全,必须采用有源电力滤波技术;为改善有源电力滤波器的性能,必须采取先进的谐波检测方法、高效的逆变技术。笔者在研究有源电力滤波技术的基础上,对有源电力滤波的关键技术即谐波检测与分离技术,进行了探讨和深入研究,给出了一种HPF(高通数字滤波器)的谐波检测与分离方法,进行了理论验算,利用MATLAB仿真结果对该检测技术进行实验研究。仿真和实验结果表明:该法比常用的LPF(低通数字滤波器LowPassDigitalFilter)的谐波检测分离方法具有更好的检测实时性;在电网电压有畸变时也能达到很高的检测精度;该检测技术应用于混合有源电力滤波器后能大大改善滤波性能。