基于CNN_LSTM模型的复杂支路故障电弧检测*

在低压交流配电系统中,当多支路并联的复杂系统的某1支路中出现串联电弧故障时,识别难度大幅提升。为了预防此类情况引发的电气火灾,提出1种卷积神经网络(CNN)与长短时记忆网络(LSTM)结合的串联故障电弧检测方法。首先,搭建实验平台用以采集不同负载在不同支路下发生故障时和正常工作时的干路电流数据;然后,构建CNN_LSTM模型并做出相应改进,将电流数据直接输入到模型中,由模型自主提取波形特征并进行分类。研究结果表明:该方法可以快速、准确地识别出电弧故障,准确率达99.04%以上,且能够较为准确地检测出是哪类负载所在的支路发生电弧故障,准确率达97.90%,可为复杂支路下的电弧故障识别研究提供参考。     

River Channel Geometry and Rating Curve Estimation Using Height above the Nearest Drainage

River channel geometry is an important input to hydraulic and hydrologic models. Traditional approaches to quantify river geometry have involved surveyed river cross sections, which cannot be extended to ungaged basins. In this paper, we describe a method for developing a synthetic rating curve to relate flow to water level in a stream reach based on reach‐averaged channel geometry properties developed using the Height above Nearest Drainage (HAND) method. HAND uses a digital elevation model (DEM) of the terrain and computes the elevation difference between each land surface cell and the stream bed cell to which it drains. Taking increments in water level in the stream, HAND defines the inundation zone and a water depth grid within this zone, and the channel characteristics are defined from this water depth grid. We apply our method to the Blanco River (Texas) and the Tar River (North Carolina) using 10‐m terrain data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) 3D Elevation Program (3DEP) dataset. We evaluate the method's performance by comparing the reach‐average stage‐river geometry relationships and rating curves to those from calibrated Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System (HEC‐RAS) models and USGS gage observations. The results demonstrate that after some adjustment, the river geometry information and rating curves derived from HAND using national‐coverage datasets are comparable to those obtained from hydraulic models or gage measurements. We evaluate the inundation extent and show our approach is able to capture the majority of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) 100‐year floodplain.     

"南海贻贝观察":广东沿海牡蛎体中Zn含量水平及其变化趋势

为了了解广东沿海重要养殖水域Zn含量水平变化趋势,1989～1997年间实施"南海贻贝观察"计划对广东12个地点牡蛎体的Zn含量进行了连续监测.广东沿海牡蛎体Zn含量范围为50.4×10-6～768×10-6,总平均值为245×10-6,总体上属清洁～微污染水平.牡蛎体Zn含量的海域分布格局呈珠江口海区＞粤东海区≥粤西海区.1989～1991年,广东沿海牡蛎体Zn含量呈上升趋势,此后略微下降,1994～1997年间牡蛎体Zn含量虽有波动,但年际间没有明显差异.     

安全系统思想内涵及其应用研究*——探讨用安全系统思想实现城市安全发展

为了利用安全科学理论解决城市安全中的现实问题,探讨用安全系统思想实现城 市安全这一复杂系统动态安全,基于安全“三元分形双系统”原理,开展了安全系统思 想内涵及其应用研究。基于安全系统思想内涵,通过分析归纳、总结概括的方法,提出 了用安全系统思想实现城市安全发展这种复杂系统动态安全的关键技术和思路。并结合 城市安全的具体特点,提出了安全发展城市建设的基本步骤。结果显示,用安全系统思 想实现复杂系统动态安全,指导城市安全发展是可行的。     

复杂工业产品制造阶段生命周期清单数据获取方法:以轿车为例

准确可靠的工艺单元数据是开展产品生命周期清单分析和影响评价最重要的基础.目前开展的相关研究,由于数据获得性的问题,大多集中在结构或成分较为简单的工业产品.而利用相关数据库开展的生命周期清单分析,不能很好地满足对外公开的对比性评价或商业性应用需要.本文以国产轿车为例,研究提出了其制造阶段生命周期清单分析数据的获取方法,并通过理论研究和实践完善,设计出了一套系统化的数据收集表格,可用于机动车及类似复杂工业产品制造阶段生命周期清单数据获取.     

广东清远电子垃圾处理地沉积物对伸展摇蚊的慢性毒性效应

电子垃圾拆解引起的环境污染和生态风险已成为全球关注的热点问题,不适当的电子垃圾拆解过程造成处理区水体沉积物受到多类有机化合物和重金属污染,直接威胁生活在沉积物中的底栖动物。在典型电子垃圾处理地广东清远采集沉积物,测定样品中以烃类为主的色谱难分离混合物(unresolved complex mixture,UCM)的含量,开展伸展摇蚊全生命周期慢性毒性测试。结果表明,清远沉积物中的UCM浓度(0.08±0.01)%接近于这类污染物对伸展摇蚊的慢性半致死性效应浓度(0.073±0.022)%。同时发现清远沉积物对以摇蚊为代表的底栖无脊椎动物具有显著慢性毒性效应,且可通过测定UCM含量初步估算。这为开展以电子垃圾处理地沉积物为代表的,受到以麻醉作用为主要致毒机制的混合物污染的沉积物的毒性评价提供了一种有效方法。     

基于复杂系统理论的天津市环境与经济关系分析

基于区域环境与经济系统开放复杂性特点,利用最大流原理建立区域环境与经济复杂系统模型分析二者间的关系. 以天津市为研究对象,研究了其环境与经济系统在2001—2010年的发展过程,借助Matlab R2010a求ξ(系统稳定性系数),通过ξ的变化规律分析各组元间的相互作用和系统的整体发展状况. 结果表明:2001—2010年天津市环境与经济系统中各组元间的相互作用逐年增强,ξ逐年上升并在2010年达到最大值(18.615 4),表明该系统中环境与经济各组元间的相互作用逐渐协调,天津市的环境与经济发展呈相互促进的关系.      

持续性降水气象条件下土壤/大气间汞通量特征

为研究自然条件下地表大气间汞交换通量特征及其影响因素,2012年4月22~25日在位于松花江上游的夹皮沟金矿,使用动态通量箱法(dynamic flux chamber, DFC)与汞分析仪(LUMEX Zeeman RA915+)联用技术测定了在持续性降雨气象条件控制下矿区土壤大气间汞交换通量,同步测定了近地面垂向0~150cm范围内大气汞浓度以及太阳辐射强度和大气温湿度,并分析了汞交换通量与降水条件下气象因子间相关关系.结果表明:在持续性降雨条件控制下,地表大气间的汞交换通量表现为沉降与释放过程连续交替出现特征,这与晴朗天气条件下日型汞通量单峰结构明显不同.降水间歇期土壤大气间汞交换通量在坡耕农田采样点依次为(-2.08±6.11)、(-6.16±33.57)、(-3.20±8.64)和(5.06±18.80)ng/(m2·h);在谷底漫滩采样点依次为(-5.21±6.42)、(3.87±28.12)、(-11.87±14.10)和(-9.44±12.23)ng/(m2·h).在局地范围内,地形条件差异影响不同地表和近地面大气系统能量收支,并使近地面大气汞浓度和气象因子发生变化,进而影响地表大气间汞交换通量过程和水平.持续性降水条件下,地表和大气间汞交换通量与太阳辐射强度和大气湿度间具有较为明显的正线性相关关系,与大气汞浓度和大气温度间无明显线性相关关系.     

Resilience to natural hazards: How useful is this concept?

Resilience is widely seen as a desirable system property in environmental management. This paper explores the concept of resilience to natural hazards, using weather-related hazards in coastal megacities as an example. The paper draws on the wide literature on megacities, coastal hazards, hazard risk reduction strategies, and resilience within environmental management. Some analysts define resilience as a system attribute, whilst others use it as an umbrella concept for a range of system attributes deemed desirable. These umbrella concepts have not been made operational to support planning or management. It is recommended that resilience only be used in a restricted sense to describe specific system attributes concerning (i) the amount of disturbance a system can absorb and still remain within the same state or domain of attraction and (ii) the degree to which the system is capable of self-organisation. The concept of adaptive capacity, which has emerged in the context of climate change, can then be adopted as the umbrella concept, where resilience will be one factor influencing adaptive capacity. This improvement to conceptual clarity would foster much-needed communication between the natural hazards and the climate change communities and, more importantly, offers greater potential in application, especially when attempting to move away from disaster recovery to hazard prediction, disaster prevention, and preparedness.     

Denitrification in bottom sediment near oil production facilities off the Louisiana Gulf Coast

There is little information on denitrification in Gulf of Mexico bottom sediment. Potential denitrification rates in surface sediment were measured along transects legs extending 0–800 m from two offshore oil production platforms. The average potential denitrification ranged from approximately 50 mg N m^?2 d^?1 in surface sediment near the platforms to 15 mg N m^?2 d^?1 in sediment 800 m from the platforms. Measured denitrification rates were correlated to a higher organic matter content in sediment nearer the platforms. This research examined only a small component of nitrogen processing in Gulf of Mexico sediment. Additional research should examine the effect of nitrogen loading and temporal and spatial variability on denitrification rate.