太湖湖风指数阈值的计算

根据2012年8月17—23日的太湖湖风加密观测实验结果,将湖岸3个常规气象站和湖面2个浮标站观测的风速和气温资料代入经典的湖风指数公式,通过Fisher二级判别法和历史拟合率最大法确定了太湖湖风指数的阈值为3.0。该结论为研究太湖湖风的发生频率及其对蓝藻水华全湖输移的影响提供了理论依据。     

滆湖大型底栖动物群落分布和氮磷因子的相关分析

于2012年12月—2013年11月对滆湖水体进行了调查,分析了水体氮、磷及大型底栖动物的时空分布,初步探讨大型底栖动物群落结构与氮、磷环境因子的关系。结果表明,滆湖水体的ρ(TN)在冬春季较高,ρ(TP)四季的差异不大,在空间分布上,北部湖区的ρ(TN)、ρ(TP)均高于南部湖区;大型底栖动物出现频率最高的为霍甫水丝蚓和中国长足摇蚊,其丰度在时间上均表现为秋季夏季冬季春季,在空间上的规律性不明显;CCA分析表明滆湖大型底栖动物群落结构随季节变化规律显著,且氮含量是滆湖底栖动物群落结构的重要影响因子;对优势种的丰度与氮磷的相关性分析结果显示,滆湖底栖动物优势种与TN和NO_3~--N有显著的负相关关系。     

大型水生植物对骆马湖氮、磷元素的影响

对骆马湖有草区和无草区水体和沉积物中氮、磷元素含量分析,结果表明:无草区水体中总氮、总磷含量高于有草区;有草区表层沉积物总氮含量随时间变化明显,而无草区表层沉积物总氮含量随时间的变化很小;有草区与无草区表层沉积物中总磷含量的时间变化并无明显差异;有草区表层沉积物总氮含量基本上均高于无草区,而有草区表层沉积物总磷含量均要低于无草区。骆马湖有草区与无草区采样点沉积物碱性磷酸酶活性大小在58.41～315.07 mg/(kg.h)范围内变化,有草区的碱性磷酸酶的活性普遍低于无草区的碱性磷酸酶活性。在湖泊中种植大型水生植物确实可以减少水体污染,达到净化水质的目的。     

三峡水库防洪调度运行对洞庭湖区防洪减灾的贡献

位于长江中游的洞庭湖区为中国洪涝灾害频发地区之一。2010年的洪水是长江1998年大水后,也是三峡水库蓄水运用以来所遇到的首次较大洪水,在5次洪水过程中,三峡水库实施了5次防洪调度,较大程度地减轻了长江中下游地区的洪水压力。长江中游荆江既是连接三峡水库和长江中下游河道的纽带,又是沟通洞庭湖的水流通道。基于三峡水库出库流量与荆江三口、洞庭湖城陵矶的水文对应关系,以实测水情、灾情资料为依据,运用对比分析方法,揭示2010年汛期三峡水库防洪调度对减轻洞庭湖区的洪水压力及减少洪涝灾害损失的贡献率。结果表明：6~8月份三口入湖洪量减少约24261×108 m3,湖口城陵矶洪水位降低082 m;湖区减少洪涝灾害直接经济损失约19983×108元,间接经济损失约0638×108元     

鄱阳湖枯水期水体营养浓度及重金属含量分布研究

通过监测鄱阳湖枯水期的主湖区、五河入湖口以及碟形湖表层水体氮、磷等营养浓度以及重金属含量变化,对鄱阳湖全湖的营养状况以及重金属污染现状进行了系统分析。结果表明：2010年枯水期的鄱阳湖流域表层水体总氮、总磷、化学需氧量等含量较高,达富营养化水平,湖泊水质受总氮、氨态氮、总磷和pH的影响较大。且鄱阳湖水域的氮、磷等营养存在明显的空间差异。研究结果进一步显示,饶河入湖口水体N、P污染最严重（TN 314 mg/L;TP 025 mg/L）,修河入湖口污染程度次之（TN 134 mg/L;TP 009 mg/L）,而南矶山碟形湖水体污染最小（TN 049 mg/L;TP 005 mg/L）。鄱阳湖表层水体重金属Pb、Cd的含量较低,符合国家渔业水质标准要求,尤其是湖泊Cd含量低于地表水Ｉ类标准。但鄱阳湖流域Cu、Zn污染较严重     

太湖流域上游河流污染空间分布特征研究

为把握太湖流域上游西北部河网区域水体的N、P污染特征及其空间分布,2010年8月在该区域内的武进港 直湖港水系、洮滆水系、丹扁孟河（丹金溧漕运河、扁担河及孟津河）以及宜溧河水系的河网,监测了39个河流断面的水质。研究表明,4水系TN平均浓度分别为388、283、291及193 mg/L,DTN占TN比重分别为9180%、7843%、7001%及8444%,河网氮输出均以DTN为主。在DTN中NO-3 N浓度所占比重分别为6747%、5275%、7748%及4281%,NH+4 N浓度所占比重分别为1633%、3316%、1127%及4351%。TP平均浓度分别为059、030、026及015 mg/L,DTP所占比重分别为6213%、4019%、4673%及3197%,而PO3-4 P浓度占DTP比重分别为2073%、5461%、4327%及7772%。武进港 直湖港水系N平均浓度显著（〖WTBX〗p〖WTBZ〗<001）高于宜溧河水系,与其它两水系无显著差异,P平均浓度显著（〖WTBX〗p〖WTBZ〗<005）高于宜溧河水系和丹扁孟河,与洮滆水系无显著差异。影响太湖流域上游西北部区域河流水网水质的主导因素为氮污染,而其中以DTN污染最为严重。太湖西北部是蓝藻水华暴发的重灾区,上游区域DTN的大量输入,将成为引发太湖水体生态系统灾变的潜在风险     

基于MODIS数据的洞庭湖水体面积与多站点水位相关关系研究

针对洞庭湖区,以30 m分辨率的环境减灾卫星CCD影像为参考,对比分析了归一化差异植被指数（NDVI）和比值植被指数（RVI）应用于MODIS遥感影像水体面积提取的优缺点。研究发现,选取NDVI并且赋予各月份各自适应的阈值进行水体面积提取,有效避免了采取单一阈值造成的枯水期水体误提以及丰水期水体漏提问题。将提取湖区面积与相应日期水位数据组成水位 面积组,建立湖区面积 水位相关关系。考虑到建立湖区面积与单一水文站点水位间相关关系存在一定空间不合理性,选取逐步多元回归法建立2003~2006年湖区面积与多站点水位间相关关系。结果表明：在高水位和低水位处,洞庭湖面积 水位关系年际间变化不太明显,但在中等水位处（如24~29 m）,湖区面积 水位关系有比较明显的变化,同一水位处湖区面积有逐年减小的趋势。     

气候变化对鄱阳湖流域干旱灾害影响及其对策

以我国历史气候变化的事实与过程重建的成果为基础,以历史文献为依据,分析了两宋以来鄱阳湖流域气候变化与洪水干旱灾害发生的关系,结果表明,不管气候处于温湿期还是冷干期,发生洪水灾害的频率没有显著区别;但是当气候处于冷干时期,发生干旱灾害的频率增大,特大干旱年和连续干旱年组频频出现。利用气象、水文资料统计分析表明,最近60 a来,气温呈现增高趋势,逐年的日降水强度明显增加,洪水干旱等极端事件发生更加频繁。为了更好地应对干旱灾害,必须加强水需求管理、坚持节约用水为先;加强病险水库的治理,使其充分发挥作用;对现有水利工程进行再评估,实施适应性管理,充分挖掘工程潜力;加大力度,新建与自然和谐相处的水利工程     

Presence of DDT metabolites in water,sediment and fish muscle tissue from Lake Prespa,Republic of Macedonia

Organochlorine pesticides were determined in water and sediment samples collected from the littoral zone of Lake Prespa, as well as from its three main tributaries (the rivers Golema, Brajcinska and Kranska), during the period 2004 to 2006. In addition, muscle tissue samples of barbus fish (Barbus prespensis Karaman, 1928) collected from the littoral zone of Lake Prespa were also analysed. The obtained results give an overview of the contamination levels of these problematic compounds at their potential sources in the river mouths, in the potentially affected, species-rich littoral section of the lake and in the muscle tissue of one selected fish species, collected near the rivers’ deltas. Special attention was paid to the presence of some DDT metabolites (1,1-dichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethylene (p,p′–DDE); (1,1-dichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethane (p,p′–DDD) and 1,1,1-trichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethane (p,p′–DDT). The extraction of pesticides from water samples was done by liquid-liquid partition in dichloromethane. For the sediment and fish tissue we used solid-liquid extraction. The extracted residues were analyzed on a gas chromatograph equipped with an electron capture detector (GC-ECD). The results of the respective studies indicated the presence of DDT metabolic forms in the samples of the three analysed matrixes. The highest levels of presence for these pollutants were found in the muscle tissue of the fish samples. The total DDTs content in the analysed muscle tissue samples range from 11.67 to 13.58 μg kg^?1of fresh tissue. The average total DDTs content for the sediment samples were within the range of 2.32 to 4.17 μg kg^?1 of dry sediment. Higher DDT metabolites content were found in the sediments collected from the rivers than in the samples from the littoral zone. The lowest average total concentrations of DDTs, on the other hand, were recorded in the water samples and ranged between 0.036 and 0.057 μg L^?1. The obtained results indicated that the dominant metabolic form in the samples of the three investigated matrixes (water, sediment and fish tissue) from Lake Prespa was p,p′-DDE. There was a very good linear correlation in this study between the content of DDT's (total DDT metabolites) detected and the percentage of total organic material in the sediment. The detected concentrations are clearly below the toxicity thresholds; consequently, severe effects on the endemic species of Lake Prespa are not very likely.     

Coupling Socioeconomic and Lake Systems for Sustainability: A Conceptual Analysis Using Lake St. Clair Region as a Case Study

Applying sustainability at an operational level requires understanding the linkages between socioeconomic and natural systems. We identified linkages in a case study of the Lake St. Clair (LSC) region, part of the Laurentian Great Lakes system. Our research phases included: (1) investigating and revising existing coupled human and natural systems frameworks to develop a framework for this case study; (2) testing and refining the framework by hosting a 1-day stakeholder workshop and (3) creating a causal loop diagram (CLD) to illustrate the relationships among the systems’ key components. With stakeholder assistance, we identified four interrelated pathways that include water use and discharge, land use, tourism and shipping that impact the ecological condition of LSC. The interrelationships between the pathways of water use and tourism are further illustrated by a CLD with several feedback loops. We suggest that this holistic approach can be applied to other case studies and inspire the development of dynamic models capable of informing decision making for sustainability.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s13280-013-0432-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.