基于GIS的滑坡灾害风险空间预测

滑坡灾害风险评价是一个包含有滑坡危险性评价和承灾体易损性评价的体系,对滑坡危险性进行了空间预测与区划,并开展了区域承灾体易损性的区划与评价。结合风险评价的基本要求,进行了研究区滑坡灾害的风险区划,将其划分为极高、高、中、低与极低风险区。针对研究区经济发展水平及政府防灾力度,提出了适合研究区的可接受风险标准与管理对策。     

基于GIS的巴东县新城区滑坡灾害危险性区划

巴东县新城区是三峡库区滑坡灾害最为发育的地段之一。通过还原滑坡形成前的物质组成和历史环境,选取了影响滑坡发育的地层岩性、水位影响带等9项评价指标。完善了基于地形条件的不规则单元划分方法,对研究区进行了斜坡评价单元的划分,使得评价单元具有更明确的地质意义和更完善的地质结构。此外,将各影响因素图与斜坡评价单元分布图叠加得到计算单元,在计算单元信息量求解的基础上提出了斜坡评价单元信息量的计算方法,进行了基于斜坡评价单元的危险性区划,得到了巴东县新城区滑坡灾害危险性区划图。分析结果表明,水位影响带、居民区、公路分布区及顺向坡坡型与滑坡灾害发生的相关性最大。高危险区占城区面积的16.4%,主要分布在长江两岸临江地段。     

基于主成分分析的云南省生态脆弱性评价

人口资源环境矛盾造成了脆弱生态环境问题突出。以典型生态脆弱区云南省为研究区,根据导致该省生态环境脆弱的自然-结果表现因素,构建科学客观地评价指标体系,运用主成分分析法进行生态脆弱性分析评价。以生态脆弱度大小为依据,对云南省16个地（州）、市生态脆弱性进行了分区,划分为极强度、强度、中度、轻度脆弱区4个区。评价结果显示,极强度、强度、中度、轻度生态脆弱区分别占全省面积的5.84%、27.84%、43.08%、23.24%。为生态脆弱性评价提供了一个可行的方法,同时应用生态脆弱性分区结果可为后续的生态环境恢复重建工作、制定综合治理策略及区域可持续发展规划提供依据。     

Population viability of the Siberian Tiger in a changing landscape: Going, going and gone?

The Amur tiger (Panthera tigris altaica) is a flagship species of the boreal forest ecosystem in northeastern China and Russia Far East. During the past century, the tiger population has declined sharply from more than 3000 to fewer than 600 individuals, and its habitat has become much smaller and greatly fragmented. Poaching, habitat degradation, habitat loss, and habitat fragmentation have been widely recognized as the primary causes for the observed population decline. Using a population viability analysis tool (RAMAS/GIS), we simulated the effects of poaching, habitat degradation, habitat loss, and habitat fragmentation on the population dynamics and extinction risk of the Amur tiger, and then explored the relative effectiveness of three conservation strategies involving improving habitat quality and establishing movement corridors in China and Russia. A series of controlled simulation experiments were performed based on the current spatial distribution of habitat and field-observed vital rates. Our results showed that the Amur tiger population could be viable for the next 100 years if the current habitat area and quality were well-maintained, with poaching strictly prohibited of the tigers and their main prey species. Poaching and habitat degradation (mainly prey scarcity) had the largest negative impacts on the tiger population persistence. While the effect of habitat loss was also substantial, habitat fragmentation per se had less influence on the long-term fate of the tiger population. However, to sustain the subpopulations in both Russia and China would take much greater conservation efforts. The viability of the Chinese population of tigers would rely heavily on its connectivity with the largest patch on the other side of the border. Improving the habitat quality of small patches only or increasing habitat connectivity through movement corridors alone would not be enough to guarantee the long-term population persistence of the Amur tiger in both Russia and China. The only conservation strategy that allowed for long-term persistence of tigers in both countries required both the improvement of habitat quality and the establishment of a transnational reserve network. Our study provides new insights into the metapopulation dynamics and persistence of the Amur tiger, which should be useful in landscape and conservation planning for protecting the biggest cat species in the world.     

Source apportionment and ozone formation potential of volatile organic compounds in Lagos (Nigeria)

Concentrations of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) of the city air in Oba Akran road, Lagos were investigated. The chlorinated VOCs and xylene in Oba Akran were high. The average benzene/toluene ratio in Oba Akran was 1.7 suggesting that vehicular emission was a possible VOC source in most areas of Oba Akran. The toluene/(m+p-xylene) ratio also suggests a common source of toluene and xylene at these sites, presumably organic solvent used by industries located at Oba Akran. Our results showed that 7.10 tons of CO ₂ equivalents of VOCs are being emitted per year from Oba Akran. Xylenes were found to be the largest contributor to the ozone formation followed by trichloroethylene. A multivariate statistical analysis (Factor analysis extracted with Principal Component Analysis) has been applied to a set of data, and it was found that the main principal components, extracted from the air VOC pollution data, were related to gasoline and oil combustion/industrial activities.     

Indicating landfill stabilization state by using leachate property from Laogang Refuse Landfill

Variation and evolution process of leachate can be applied as a reference for landfill stabilization phase. In this work, leachates with different ages were collected from Laogang Refuse Landfill, and characterized with 14 key parameters. Simultaneously, principal component analysis （PCA） was applied to develop a synthetic parameter-F based on these 14 parameters, and a logarithm equation was simulated for the landfill stabilization process finally. It was predicted that leachates would meet Class I and Class II in standard for pollution control on the landfill site of municipal solid waste （GB 16889-1997） after 32 years and 22 years disposal under the natural attenuation in the humid and warm southern areas of China, respectively. The predication of landfill state would be more accurate and useful according to the synthetic parameter F of leachate from a working landfill.     

济南市PM2.5中二次组分的时空变化特征及其影响因素

为分析济南市PM_2.5中二次组分的时空变化和影响因素,对济南市春季(2019年5月16—25日)、秋季(2019年10月15—24日)和冬季(2019年12月17—2020年1月16日)4个典型点位的PM_2.5样品进行连续采样,并测定了PM_2.5中水溶性离子、有机碳(OC)和元素碳(EC)的含量。结果表明:物流交通区的二次组分质量浓度最高(56.13μg·m^?3),钢铁工业区的二次组分浓度比城市市区高,但是二次组分占比较城市市区低,清洁对照点的浓度和占比最低;济南市4个功能区SO₄^2?和NO₃^?转化率均高于0.1,除清洁对照点外,城市市区、钢铁工业区和物流交通区的SO₄^2?转化率明显高于NO₃^?转化率;济南市春季、秋季和冬季的ρ(NO₃^?)/ρ(SO₄^2?)分别为0.67、2.57和1.98,春季PM_2.5浓度以固定源贡献为主,秋季和冬季以移动源贡献为主;运用ISORROPIA热力学模型分析了含水量和pH对二次组分生成的影响,含水量会随着污染增大而增大,酸度和含水量对二次无机组分的转化机理产生影响,酸度会抑制二次无机组分的生成,而含水量会促进二次组分的生成;后向轨迹聚类分析结果表明,占比最高的轨迹(29.2%)来自东北方向的滨州和东营,基于潜在源贡献因子(WPSCF)和浓度权重轨迹(WCWT)分析PM_2.5中二次组分质量浓度的潜在污染源区域,SO₄^2?的主要贡献源区在济南市区北部的济阳区和东北方向的滨州、东营等,NO₃^?和NH₄⁺的主要贡献源区在济南市区北方向的济阳区、东北方向的章丘区和南方向的莱芜区等。该研究结果可为中国北方城市细颗粒物进一步的治理和防控提供数据支撑和理论依据。     

A Watershed-based Cumulative Risk Impact Analysis: Environmental Vulnerability and Impact Criteria

Swine Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (CAFOs) have received much attention in recent years. As a result, a watershed-based screening tool, the Cumulative Risk Index Analysis (CRIA), was developed to assess the cumulative impacts of multiple CAFO facilities in a watershedsubunit. The CRIA formula calculates an index number based on: 1) the area of one or more facilities compared to the area of the watershed subunit, 2) the average of the environmental vulnerability criteria, and 3) the average of the industry-specific impact criteria. Each vulnerability or impact criterion is ranked on a 1 to 5 scale, with a low rank indicating low environmental vulnerability or impact and a high rank indicating high environmental vulnerability or impact. The individual criterion ranks, as well as the total CRIA score, can be used to focus the environmental analysis and facilitate discussions with industry, public, and other stakeholders in the Agency decision-making process.     

基于GIS的重庆市城区环境质量评价

城区环境质量评价是环境评价的重要研究内容,但是目前关于城区环境质量评价指标体系与模型还不够完善,为此提出了城区环境质量评价的方法。该方法通过系统分析,建立城区环境质量评价指标体系,在此基础上,建立城区环境质量评价方法,并通过实例详细分析了城区环境质量评价方法的应用。     

Assessing protected area effectiveness using surrounding (buffer) areas environmentally similar to the target area

Many studies are based on the assumption that an area and its surrounding (buffer) area present similar environmental conditions and can be compared. For example, in order to assess the effectiveness of a protected area, the land use/cover changes are compared inside the park with its surroundings. However, the heterogeneity in spatial variables can bias this assessment: we have shown that most of the protected areas in Mexico present significant environmental differences between their interior and their surroundings. Therefore, a comparison that aims at assessing the effectiveness of conservation strategies, must be cautioned. In this paper, a simple method which allows the generation of a buffer area that presents similar conditions with respect to a set of environmental variables is presented. The method was used in order to assess the effectiveness of the Calakmul Biosphere Reserve, a protected area located in the south-eastern part of Mexico. The annual rate of deforestation inside the protected area, the standard buffer area (based upon distance from the protected area only) and the similar buffer area (taking into account distance along with some environmental variables) were 0.3, 1.3 and 0.6%, respectively. These results showed that the protected area was effective in preventing land clearing, but that the comparison with the standard buffer area gave an over-optimistic vision of its effectiveness.