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51.
Robert G. Bailey 《Environmental management》1988,12(1):11-17
As part of the planning process, maps of natural factors are often superimposed in order to identify areas which are suitable or unsuitable for a particular type of resource management. Overlay maps may also be used to identify analysis areas for predictive modeling of resource productivity and ecological response to management. Current interest in applying computer-assisted mapping technology to making overlay maps is drawing attention to geographic information systems for this purpose. The resultant maps, however, may be so inaccurate or unable to capture significant units of productivity and ecological response that they could lead to imperfect or false conclusions. Recommendations are made on how to proceed in light of these problems. 相似文献
52.
A hierarchical approach to fisheries planning and modeling in the Columbia River Basin 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The Columbia River Basin is the scene of a massive effort to restore populations of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) and steelhead (O. mykiss). Efficient restoration is confounded by a high level of complexity, competing sociopolitical goals and values, and uncertainty
about key system properties. Simulation models and other tools of systems analysis are important to development of a comprehensive,
regionally acceptable strategy. Hierarchy theory provides a useful paradigm for organized complexity within the Columbia Basin
and the basis for a trilevel hierarchical structure for organizing and integrating models. Life-stage models compose the most
basic simulation units at the lowest level in the proposed hierarchical modeling structure. Each life-stage model simulates
a distinct period in the life cycle of anadromous salmonids. Population models at the intermediate level simulate the complete
life cycles of salmon and steelhead populations. At the highest level in the hierarchy, interpopulation models simulate extensive,
long-term processes that affect multiple species and stocks. A hierarchical system of models is preferable to a single model
or to a group of models lacking formal structure. A principal advantage is that models have the correct spatial and temporal
resolution for analyzing questions at different scales. A hierarchical structure also facilitates the flow of information
among models, and aids in understanding the impacts of uncertainty. Constructing a hierarchy of models should involve both
bottom-up and top-down perspectives that maintain logical consistency among models, while allowing unique model structures
appropriate for each level in the hierarchy. 相似文献
53.
在研究汕头市地震、风、洪潮、火等多种灾害的危险性、成灾模式和损失估计的基础上,应用地理信息系统(GIS)技术建立可视化的计算机综合防灾系统,可以提高城市的防灾能力。本文针对基于GIS的城市综合防灾系统的建立,提出了较为具体的研究方案和实施框架,便于课题组各项研究工作的开展和统一。 相似文献
54.
Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-S model 总被引:95,自引:3,他引:92
Verburg PH Soepboer W Veldkamp A Limpiada R Espaldon V Mastura SS 《Environmental management》2002,30(3):391-405
Land-use change models are important tools for integrated environmental management. Through scenario analysis they can help
to identify near-future critical locations in the face of environmental change. A dynamic, spatially explicit, land-use change
model is presented for the regional scale: CLUE-S. The model is specifically developed for the analysis of land use in small
regions (e.g., a watershed or province) at a fine spatial resolution. The model structure is based on systems theory to allow
the integrated analysis of land-use change in relation to socio-economic and biophysical driving factors. The model explicitly
addresses the hierarchical organization of land use systems, spatial connectivity between locations and stability. Stability
is incorporated by a set of variables that define the relative elasticity of the actual land-use type to conversion. The user
can specify these settings based on expert knowledge or survey data. Two applications of the model in the Philippines and
Malaysia are used to illustrate the functioning of the model and its validation. 相似文献
55.
Incident reporting systems are playing an increasingly important role in the development and maintenance of safety-critical applications. The perceived success of the FAA's Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) and the FDA's MedWatch has led to the establishment of similar national and international schemes. These enable individuals and groups to report their safety concerns in a confidential or anonymous manner. Unfortunately, many of these systems are becoming victims of their own success. The ASRS and MedWatch have both now received over 500,000 submissions. In consequence, the administrators of incident reporting systems increasingly rely upon software tools to support the administration of their systems. In the past, these systems have relied upon ad hoc applications of conventional database technology. However, there are several reasons why this technology is inadequate for many large-scale reporting schemes. In particular, the problems of query formation often result in poor precision and recall. This, in turn, has profound implications for safety-critical applications. Users may fail to identify similar incidents within national or international collections. These ad hoc approaches also neglect the opportunities provided by recent developments in computer assisted interviewing and in the monitoring of retrieval activities to build models of user behavior. These techniques offer a number of potential benefits. For instance, it is possible to automatically detect potential biases in the way that investigators analyze particular incidents. 相似文献
56.
关于重大隐患监控GIS模式的研究 总被引:3,自引:3,他引:3
沈立 《中国安全科学学报》2002,12(5):1-4
系统地分析了重大危险源、事故隐患的地域监管体系以及隐患监控的新技术应用基础 ;提出了职业安全卫生监管体系中的危险源和隐患监控 ,应该分为过程安全监控和安全目标监控两个层次。隐患监管功能的有效实现 :隐患监控的技术载体则越来越依托信息网络的发展 ;重大隐患监管体系特别适合采用地理信息系统 相似文献
57.
Ton H. Snelder Barry J. F. Biggs 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2002,38(5):1225-1239
ABSTRACT: River Environment Classification (REC) is a new system for classifying river environments that is based on climate, topography, geology, and land cover factors that control spatial patterns in river ecosystems. REC builds on existing principles for environmental regionalization and introduces three specific additions to the “ecoregion” approach. First, the REC assumes that ecological patterns are dependent on a range of factors and associated landscape scale processes, some of which may show significant variation within an ecoregion. REC arranges the controlling factors in a hierarchy with each level defining the cause of ecological variation at a given characteristic scale. Second, REC assumes that ecological characteristics of rivers are responses to fluvial (i.e., hydrological and hydraulic) processes. Thus, REC uses a network of channels and associated watersheds to classify specific sections of river. When mapped, REC has the form of a linear mosaic in which classes change in the downstream direction as the integrated characteristics of the watershed change, producing longitudinal spatial patterns that are typical of river ecosystems. Third, REC assigns individual river sections to a class independently and objectively according to criteria that result in a geographically independent framework in which classes may show wide geographic dispersion rather than the geographically dependent schemes that result from the ecoregion approach. REC has been developed to provide a multiscale spatial framework for river management and has been used to map the rivers of New Zealand at a 1:50,000 mapping scale. 相似文献
58.
John Houlahan W. Andrew. Marcus Adel Shirmohammadi 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1992,28(3):553-567
ABSTRACT: This paper presents the results of an investigation of the effects of the Maryland Critical Area Act on generation of non-point source loads of phosphorus, nitrogen, and sediment to the Rhode River estuary. The Simple Method model, the Marcus and Kearney regression model, and the CREAMS model were used to estimate annual loads under: (1) present conditions, (2) maximum land use development allowable under the Act, and (3) two sets of future land use conditions that might occur if the Act were not in place. Results indicate that the Critical Area Act can reduce the present generation of nonpoint nutrient and sediment loadings 20–30 percent from the regulated area. These reductions can occur while preserving agricultural lands and allowing limited residential and urban development. The decrease in nutrient loadings is primarily dependent upon implementation and enforcement of agricultural best management practices (BMPs). The BMPs could reduce present agricultural nutrient loadings by 90 percent to a level comparable to loadings from residential areas. The estimated effectiveness of the Critical Area Act is even greater when compared to potential future nutrient loadings if development in the area remains unregulated. Unrestricted residential and urban development could increase nutrient loadings by 200 percent to 1000 percent as compared to controlled development under Critical Area Act guidelines. The Critical Area Act primarily prevents these future increases by severely limiting woodland cutting, with lesser results obtained by requiring urban BMPs. 相似文献
59.
Application of a GIS-based stream buffer generation model to environmental policy evaluation 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Wei-Ning Xiang 《Environmental management》1993,17(6):817-827
In this article a GIS method is presented for riparian environmental buffer generation. It integrates a scientifically tested
buffer width delineation model into a GIS framework. Using the generally available data sets, it determines buffer widths
in terms of local physical conditions and expected effectiveness. Technical burdens of data management, computation, and result
presentation are handled by the GIS. The case study in which the method was used to evaluate the stream buffer regulations
in a North Carolina county demonstrates its capability as a decision support tool to facilitate environmental policy formulation
and evaluation, and environmental dispute resolution. 相似文献
60.
本文简要介绍地理信息系统GIS的发展概况、主要功能以及在国内外的应用现状.对现有的GIS软件技术加以改进,引进人工神经元网络和模糊综合评判技术,发展了一种智能型的GIS,在我国若干城市的抗震设防区划工作中应用,取得良好的效果。 相似文献