泉州市电离辐射环境跟踪研究

2016—2020年在泉州市设置9个环境γ辐射空气吸收累积剂量监测点位、1个气溶胶（2018—2020年）、1个土壤和4个水体监测点位,定量分析电离辐射环境变化趋势。结果表明,5 a来泉州市电离辐射环境变化稳定,未出现异常情况;气溶胶中7Be、210Pb活度浓度呈现春秋高、夏季低的变化规律。     

太湖流域居民暴露于DDTs的健康风险评价

采用多介质环境数学模型,评价太湖流域居民暴露于DDTs的健康风险,分析风险来源、暴露介质及暴露途径,并结合蒙特卡罗方法分析研究过程中的不确定性. 结果表明,太湖流域居民中男性和女性对环境中DDTs的终身日平均暴露量分别为4.00×10－4～8.28×10－3和3.73×10－4～7.28×10－3 mg/(kg·d). 暴露途径中食物摄取是最主要途径,其次是吸入,皮肤暴露作用很小. 食物中贡献较大的为谷物、鱼类和肉类. 相应的男性和女性的健康风险度分别为0.114×10－6～2.366×10－6 和0.107×10－6～2.081×10－6 a－1,低于可接受健康风险度标准的累积概率分别为80.85%和86.05%.      

Confidence limits on one-stage model parameters in benchmark risk assessment

In modern environmental risk analysis, inferences are often desired on those low dose levels at which a fixed benchmark risk is achieved. In this paper, we study the use of confidence limits on parameters from a simple one-stage model of risk historically popular in benchmark analysis with quantal data. Based on these confidence bounds, we present methods for deriving upper confidence limits on extra risk and lower bounds on the benchmark dose. The methods are seen to extend automatically to the case where simultaneous inferences are desired at multiple doses. Monte Carlo evaluations explore characteristics of the parameter estimates and the confidence limits under this setting.

Bootstrap methods for simultaneous benchmark analysis with quantal response data

A primary objective in quantitative risk assessment is the characterization of risk which is defined to be the likelihood of an adverse effect caused by an environmental toxin or chemcial agent. In modern risk-benchmark analysis, attention centers on the “benchmark dose” at which a fixed benchmark level of risk is achieved, with a lower confidence limits on this dose being of primary interest. In practice, a range of benchmark risks may be under study, so that the individual lower confidence limits on benchmark dose must be corrected for simultaneity in order to maintain a specified overall level of confidence. For the case of quantal data, simultaneous methods have been constructed that appeal to the large sample normality of parameter estimates. The suitability of these methods for use with small sample sizes will be considered. A new bootstrap technique is proposed as an alternative to the large sample methodology. This technique is evaluated via a simulation study and examples from environmental toxicology.

Radiological hazard assessment of natural gross radioactivity in some cosmetic products

Many kinds of cosmetic products were analyzed to determine gross radioactivity. In this study, gross alpha/beta radioactivity concentrations in 51 cosmetic samples were determined. The examined cosmetic products consist of blusher, eye shadow, lipstick, nail polish, shampoo, hand cream, cellulite cream, baby powder, soap, and toothpaste. The gross alpha–beta activity concentrations were measured with a nuclear spectroscopic system which contains gas-flow proportional counters. The highest gross alpha/beta activity concentrations were found in eye shadow samples of 1.621Bq g^?1 for alpha and 6.471Bq g^?1 for beta. The total effective doses due to gross radioactivity for skin were calculated. Although the effective dose of eye shadow samples had the highest value, the effective doses due to gross radioactivity concentrations in this study were found to be lower than the radiological limits given by the authorities.     

Development of inherent safety and health index for formulated product design

The numerous formulated products which are introduced to the market consist of chemical ingredients that may cause various safety and health hazards to the consumers. Therefore, it is extremely important to practice a systematic methodology to formulate products with acceptable safety and health performances. This work presents an index-based methodology to assess the safety and health hazards of the ingredients during the early formulation stage of product design. Hence, new inherent safety and health sub-indexes are introduced to improve the current safety and health hazards that are needed in formulated product design. The inherent safety and health sub-indexes are assigned with scores based on the degree of potential hazards. A higher score indicates a higher safety risk or severe health effect, and vice versa. The proposed methodology will greatly assist the users to identify the adverse safety and health effects caused by the ingredients. Hence, it is pivotal to eliminate or reduce the safety and health impacts from product usage. A case study on common ingredients used in the formulation of paint is presented on this study to describe the proposed method.     

黄土高原蒸发力的计算和应用——兼谈改善生态环境的途径

蒸发力是气候学上的一个重要特征量。在水利工程设计、灌溉定额的制定、农林牧的合理布局需要以蒸发力资料为依据。彭曼公式具有较可靠的物理基础和计算精度较高的优点,在国际上得到了广泛的应用。我国某些学者在运用该公式时,未考虑海拔高度对蒸发力的影响,因此在高海拔地区应用彭曼公式会产生较大的误差。 本文应用高度订正后的彭曼公式:计算了黄土高原地区的蒸发力。 森林减弱了近地层风速,降低了该地区的蒸发力,农田水分状况得到了改善。     

江苏省高速公路网新一轮规划潜在生态环境问题评析

通过对江苏省新一轮高速公路网规划的生态环境影响评价,分析了路网规划中存在的潜在生态环境问题,提出了相应的保护措施建议,认为:横跨太湖的沪宁南部通道线路的建设需进行专项论证;与长江饮用水源相交的4条过江通道需进行合理选址;穿越山地的高速公路宜采取合理的线路走向及穿越方式;可适当降低苏南地区高速公路面积密度,尽量少占农田;鼓励采用城际铁路或城际轨道交通网络作为连接苏南城市群之间的交通方案.     

杀虫双对土壤脲酶影响的研究

通过对土壤脲酶受杀虫双影响的研究．结果表明,杀虫双对不同生态区土壤脲酶活性具有明显的抑制作用,随杀虫双浓度的增加,酶活性持续减小、计算得到了土壤酶活性的生态剂量ＥＤ５０值,获得了北方(?)土和南方红壤污染的;临界浓度为４８９和２４６ｇ/ｋｇ;Ｌａｎｇｍｕｉｒ模型可较好表征酶活性与尿素浓度间的定量关系;土壤脲酶活性和最大表观酶活性均可表征土壤受杀虫双污染程度的大小。     

Long term investigation of 137Cs in chicken meat and eggs from northwest Croatia

Abstract

This paper presents the results of long-term investigations of ¹³⁷Cs activity concentrations in chicken meat and eggs from northwest Croatia for the period 1987–2018. The research has been done as a part of monitoring program of radioactive contamination in Croatia. The highest activity concentrations in both of these foodstuffs were measured in 1987 and have been decreasing exponentially ever since. The Fukushima-Daiichi accident in 2011 did not cause any increase of ¹³⁷Cs activity concentrations. The ecological half-life for ¹³⁷Cs was estimated to be 8.0 and 8.4?years for chicken meat and eggs respectively. The correlation between ¹³⁷Cs in fallout and chicken meat as well as between ¹³⁷Cs in fallout and eggs is very good, the respective correlation coefficients being 0.79 and 0.72, indicating that fallout was the main source of ¹³⁷Cs contamination in both foodstuffs. The estimated effective doses received by adult members of the Croatian population due to the intake of radiocaesium by chicken meat and egg consumption for the overall observed period are very small, 2.0 and 0.6 µSv respectively. Therefore, chicken meat and chicken egg consumption was not a critical pathway for the transfer of radiocaesium to humans.