A Multiscale Landscape Approach to Predicting Bird and Moth Rarity Hotspots in a Threatened Pitch Pine–Scrub Oak Community

Abstract:  In the northeastern United States, pitch pine (  Pinus rigida Mill.)–scrub oak ( Quercus ilicifolia Wang.) communities are increasingly threatened by development and fire suppression, and prioritization of these habitats for conservation is of critical importance. As a basis for local conservation planning in a pitch pine–scrub oak community in southeastern Massachusetts, we developed logistic-regression models based on multiscale landscape and patch variables to predict hotspots of rare and declining bird and moth species. We compared predicted moth distributions with observed species-occurrence records to validate the models. We then quantified the amount of overlap between hotspots to assess the utility of rare birds and moths as indicator taxa. Species representation in hotspots and the current level of hotspot protection were also assessed. Predictive models included variables at all measured scales and resulted in average correct classification rates (optimal cut point) of 85.6% and 89.2% for bird and moth models, respectively. The majority of moth occurrence records were within 100 m of predicted habitat. Only 13% of all bird hotspots and 10% of all moth hotspots overlapped, and only a few small patches in and around Myles Standish State Forest were predicted to be hotspots for both taxa. There was no correlation between the bird and moth species-richness maps across all levels of richness ( r =−0.03, p = 0.62). Species representation in hotspots was high, but most hotspots had limited or no protection. Given the lack of correspondence between bird and moth hotspots, our results suggest that use of species-richness indicators for conservation planning may be ineffective at local scales. Based on these results, we suggest that local-level conservation planning in pitch pine–scrub oak communities be based on multitaxa, multiscale approaches.     

我国城镇居民可持续消费浅析

本文通过对可持续消费的背景以及相关理论的论述,在分析我国城镇居民可持续消费存在问题的基础上,构建了符合我国城镇居民可持续消费特点的指标体系,并讨论了我国城镇居民可持续消费的测度思路.     

关于生态文明建设指标的思考研究

当前,建设生态文明已成为党和国家的一项重大战略任务,成为各级党委、政府的一项重要职责,成为社会各界广泛追求和不懈努力的一种价值取向和自觉行动。生态文明建设试点示范区的指标体系是生态文明建设的关键点之一。作为一项战略任务敲定,提出基本形成节约能源资源和保护生态环境产业结构,增长方式,消费模式,推动全社会牢固树立生态文明理念。目前,指标体系还不完全成熟,针对该指标体系中的相关指标进行了合理性的分析与思考。     

北运河粪源微生物分布特征及健康风险评价

河流微生物污染研究对流域水环境保护和公共卫生管理至关重要.本研究以海河流域北运河水系典型河流断面为研究对象,系统评估了北运河水系微生物污染特征及其健康风险.结果表明,北运河水系丰水期的粪源微生物污染严重,大部分断面菌群量超过105MPN·L~(-1),平水期和枯水期粪源微生物菌群量约为103～105MPN·L~(-1),变化不显著;流域内的农业河段粪源微生物最为严重,呈劣五类水体概率超60%,城市河段降雨前后粪源微生物含量变化更明显,部分河流断面的粪源微生物菌群量从103MPN·L~(-1)增长为106MPN·L~(-1); 2017年丰水期,北运河水系粪大肠菌群的单次暴露风险主要在0. 015～0. 035之间,莲花河、马草河、清河下、温榆河下为人体健康风险的关键敏感断面,需重点关注.     

鄂尔多斯盆地油田开发规划环评指标体系构建

鄂尔多斯盆地油田开发规划环评处于探索起步阶段,还未形成一套普遍认可的评价指标体系,2008年对延安市某采油厂油田开发进行了区域开发规划环评。在环境调查、相关方走访及规划方案分析、环境影响识别的基础上,结合当地自然环境、社会环境特征,构建该规划环评的三级指标体系。从多方面对本指标体系结构进行剖析,归纳出鄂尔多斯盆地油田开发规划环评指标体系构建应满足的原则和基本要求。     

玻璃量器滴定管容量示值误差对分析结果的影响

介绍了玻璃量器滴定管的用途、分类和容量示值误差的检定,分析和探讨了容量示值误差和流液口最后一滴水珠示值的大小对分析结果的影响。容量示值误差的大小能够影响分析结果的准确性,使被测样品的含量偏离其真实结果,选择合格、合适的滴定管,可以减少分析过程带来的误差,提高分析结果的准确度。     

近30年我国自然灾害灾情时间分布特征分析

利用民政部统计核定的1978-2009年全国年度灾情数据,以及国家统计局发布的社会经济统计数据,从灾情指标的绝对量、相对量及其变异系数入手,分析了我国自然灾害的年际、年代际趋势变化和波动变化特征。结果表明:近30年来,我国自然灾害灾情年际和年代际变化趋势明显。总体上,死亡人口下降趋势明显,人口受灾情况、农作物受灾情况和直接经济损失上升趋势明显,但相对直接经济损失下降趋势明显,房屋倒塌比例也有所下降;1990年代,灾害造成的各项损失较之1980年代增大趋势明显。我国自然灾害的影响范围趋于相对稳定,而灾害强度波动性较大,且有增大趋势。灾情的趋势和波动变化特征,反映了全球气候变化下极端事件更加频发,强度有所增加的趋势。灾情指标的大小与年度主要灾害类型以及重灾年份有关。     

Use of a Wetland Index to Evaluate Changes in Riparian Vegetation After Livestock Exclusion 1

Abstract: A method was developed to characterize ecological integrity of riparian sites based on the abundance of hydric species. This wetland index can be calculated with species data, or with community type data as performed here. Classified riparian community types were used to describe vegetation at 14 livestock exclosures and adjacent grazed areas. Community type wetland index values were generated and used to calculate site wetland index values. It was hypothesized that removal of livestock would result in higher wetland index values because of release from herbivory and decreased physical disturbance of vegetation, streambanks, and soil. The wetland index for exclosures was about 12% higher than grazed sites; differences were statistically significant (p < 0.01) based on paired t‐tests. The increase in hydric vegetation after livestock exclusion may have contributed to the greater bank stability (p = 0.002) and smaller width‐to‐depth ratio (p = 0.005) in exclosures. Challenges were encountered in using community types to describe and compare site vegetation, which could be avoided with species data collection. The wetland index can be a tool to monitor sites over time, compare sites with similar environments, or compare sites for which environmental differences can be accounted.