宝鸡市人水和谐评价研究

以宝鸡市为例建立区域人水和谐评价指标体系及评价模型。在阐述人水和谐内涵的基础上,构建宝鸡市人水和谐评价指标体系。根据对立统一可变模糊集理论及合作博弈思想,建立基于合作博弈权重的可变模糊集模型,评价人水复合系统的综合发展水平;以水系统和人类系统的综合发展水平为基础,采用协调性指数模型揭示两系统间的相互协调关系,由人水系统的信息熵得到人水复合系统的协调度,以此建立信息熵协调度模型,评价人水复合系统协调度;以人水复合系统综合发展水平和协调度为基础,综合评价人水复合系统的和谐度。应用此模型对宝鸡市2001—2010 年的人水和谐程度进行评价,和谐度在0.631~0.833 之间。与模糊物元评价模型结果对比分析,评价结果基本一致,表明文中模型有效可行,结果可靠。通过对宝鸡市人水和谐评价指标体系和评价模型研究,以期为人水和谐的深入研究提供一种实用可操作的定量评价方法。     

金刚烷胺制药胺化废水与溴化废水的中和-络合萃取处理

考察了两种废水中和反应过程对污染物的去除效果,然后采用P204/正辛醇复配萃取剂对废水进行络合萃取处理.结果表明,采用溴化废水中和滴定胺化废水可以大幅消减废水中污染物,避免后续萃取过程中的乳化现象;在pH值为8.0,油/水相比为1:1的条件下,P204:正辛醇=3:2的复配萃取剂对废水中TOC和金刚烷胺的单级萃取效率分别为49.6%和99.5%;多级萃取对TOC去除率没有明显提高;以2.0mol/L的HCl溶液为反萃取剂,在水/油相比为1:1条件下,可以将47.5%的金刚烷胺从负载有机相中反萃分离,回收得到的金刚烷胺盐酸溶液可以回用,再生后的萃取剂可以多次重复使用.     

复杂地貌区域生态敏感区综合评价与保护对策——以广西钦州市为例

复杂地貌区域国土开发受生态环境因素影响较单一地貌地区更复杂,其境内生态敏感区类型较多,且空间分布比较杂乱,不同生态敏感区之间又相互影响。文章选择山、水、林、田、城互为镶嵌的广西钦州市作为案例城市,以小流域为评价单元,建立集"地"、"水"、"绿"三位于一体的评价体系,在遥感和GIS技术的支持下,将单因子定性分级和多因子空间叠加模型相结合,对整个区域的生态敏感区进行综合评价及分区。从研究结果来看,这种评价技术能够较好地反映这些生态敏感区的综合分异规律,有助于当地政府在区域开发中制定更为科学的生态安全防范对策。     

铬污染土壤超低频复电阻率频散特性

在超低频段(2-5~26Hz)内,研究了铬污染土壤复电阻率在不同含水率、铬含量和孔隙率下的幅值及相位频散特性. 结果显示,铬污染土壤复电阻率的幅值随频率的增大呈单调递减趋势,但相位随频率的变化曲线呈平放的S形. 含水率、铬含量和孔隙率的变化均会引起土壤复电阻率的幅值和相位大小的改变,而相位峰值的位置只对含水率及孔隙率的变化较为敏感,与铬含量变化的关系不大. 含水率从0.08增至0.24时可导致相位峰值的位置产生约8Hz的右移;而当w(Cr6+)从0.5g/kg增至4.0g/kg时,相位峰值的位置基本不发生变化. 表明铬含量和含水率的增大均会引起电阻率减小的异常现象,若单纯地使用电阻率很难区分引起这2种异常现象的原因,但结合土壤复电阻率频散特性特别是相位峰值的位置可以进行有效判别,进而可判定铬污染场地的铬含量分布.      

Providing health services during a civil war: the experience of a garrison town in South Sudan

The impact of conflict, particularly conflict arising during civil wars, on the provision of healthcare is a subject that has not been widely considered in conflict‐related research. Combatants often target health services to weaken or to defeat the enemy, while attempts to maintain or improve health systems also can comprise part of counter‐insurgency ‘hearts‐and‐minds’ strategies. This paper describes the dynamics associated with the provision of health services in Malakal, an important garrison town in South Sudan, during the second Sudanese civil war (1983–2005). Drawing on the concepts of opportunity hoarding and exploitation, it explores the social and political dynamics of service provision in and around the town during the war. These concepts provide a useful lens with which to understand better how health services are affected by conflict, while the empirical case study presented in the paper illustrates dynamics that may be repeated in other contexts. The concepts and case study set out in this paper should prove useful to healthcare providers working in conflict zones, including humanitarian aid agencies and their employees, increasing their understanding of the social and political dynamics that they are likely to face during future conflict‐related complex emergencies.     

基于自然保护区属性的管理成本分析

从自然保护区的管理成本构成入手,分析了自然保护区属性对不同尺度上管理成本的影响方式,在分类总结自然保护区管理成本的分析方法基础上,提出基于自然保护区属性的管理成本分析流程。该研究结果可为准确掌握自然保护区管理成本规模与构成、科学评估与预测资金投入后的使用效率与保护效果提供支持,并可为揭示自然保护区复合生态系统格局与过程提供新思路。     

Should all disaster risks be reduced? A perspective from the systems concept of the edge of chaos

The field of disaster risk reduction (DRR) has risen to prominence since the declaration of the International Decade of Disaster Risk Reduction between 1990 and 2000. This decade provided the impetus for a change from the predominant paradigm of disaster response to that of disaster risk reduction as a means of addressing the underlying drivers that lead to disasters. In an effort to promote risk reduction, the UNISDR (the principal agency for disaster risk reduction within the UN structure) formulated policies and strategies to provide both conceptual and practical guidance as to how risk should be reduced. However noble the efforts, this paper contends that the current approach to and understanding of risk within the international community might not be cognisant of complex adaptive systems (CAS) concepts such as the edge of chaos. Specifically, this concept argues that risk (or chaos) within a system is actually a fundamental requirement to the functioning of all resilient socio-ecological systems. Therefore, the reduction of risk without an understanding of the role of that risk within the larger socio-ecological system might actually end up reducing the system’s overall level of disaster resilience. This paper aims to explore the concept of edge of chaos through a literature review of key theoretical works on the topic, followed by a discussion on its implications for the predominant paradigm of risk reduction within disaster risk management policy and practice.     

中国区域物流系统脆弱性评估研究

为了提升区域物流系统可靠性与可持续发展能力,基于复杂系统理论对区域物流系统脆弱性进行概念界定,构建了区域物流系统脆弱性的概念模型;在分析区域物流系统脆弱性影响因素的基础上,提出了脆弱性评价指标体系及综合评价模型,并对中国大陆地区31个省（直辖市、自治区）区域物流系统脆弱性的空间分异特征进行了研究。研究表明:全国层面的区域物流系统脆弱性两极分化的空间分异特征显著,具有明显的“西高东低”特征;高生态环境脆弱性和高社会脆弱性是区域物流系统脆弱性居高的主要原因;全国的区域物流系统生态环境脆弱性普遍偏高,而东部地区物流系统资源脆弱性最高。     

基于RepastS平台的太湖水环境系统承载力研究

运用计算实验方法,以计算机为工具,构造太湖水环境系统承载力模型,通过研究水和人类的各主体行为得出太湖水环境系统的整体特征,并通过人口、TP、TN、CODMn承载度来反映。研究结果表明太湖目前点源污染得到了有效控制,但面源污染和城镇生活用水污染尚需要重点治理。实验显示:通过系统参数的调整,将大大改善太湖现有水环境系统。     

两性-阳离子复配修饰塿土对苯酚的吸附

研究了采用两性表面修饰剂十二烷基二甲基甜菜碱(BS-12)和阳离子表面修饰剂十六烷基三甲基溴化铵(CTMAB)复配修饰塿土后对苯酚的吸附反应和热力学特征,并探讨其吸附机理.结果表明,复配修饰后的土样对苯酚的吸附能力明显增强.20℃时表现为CK(原土)<50BS(50%BS-12)<100BS(100%BS-12)<50BS+25CT(50%BS-12+ 25%CTMAB)<100BS+25CT (100%BS-12+25%CTMAB)<50BS+ 50CT(50%BS-12+50% CTMAB)<100BS+50CT(100%BS-12+50%CTMAB), 40℃时表现为CK(原土)<50BS(50%BS-12)<100BS (100%BS- 12)<50BS+25CT(50%BS-12+25%CTMAB)<50BS+50CT(50%BS-12+50%CTMAB)<100BS+25CT(100%BS-12+25%CTMAB)<100BS+50CT (100%BS-12+50%CTMAB).其吸附等温线可用Henry模型描述.供试土样对苯酚的吸附呈现放热焓减反应特征,属于焓减控制的自发性过程.