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971.
干旱是具有一定持续时间和影响范围双重特性的气候异常事件,为客观反映干旱事件的综合影响及演变特征,借鉴“时间-面积”函数的概念,基于综合气象干旱指数建立了气象干旱评估指标和模式,对干旱的时空特征进行了系统的量化表征和可视化表达,并以长江中下游地区为例进行了应用检验。结果表明提出的指标方法能够客观识别和反映出历史典型干旱事件及其强度,对干旱时空分布细节特征的诊断直观具体,对干旱过程起止时间、发展速度、烈度、强度的诊断准确合理。该方法操作简便且物理意义清晰,对省市级、流域及国家级干旱监测评估业务具有良好的应用价值。 相似文献
972.
973.
以地质灾害能量形成致灾根源为研究导向,论表观灾害形成机理的基础上,从灾害能量质环理论到地质灾害致灾根源作进一步升华探索.运用能量质环理论有针对性地加强对于地震、洪水、泥石流等各种地质灾害能量在介质中传播规律的研究;构建灾害能量传输、聚集成无数能量质点、质点相吸形成环链、环链相交形成能量断面,各个能量断面叠加形成能量破坏体,能量破坏体不断地传输与演化直至最终诱发下一次灾害等全过程循环系统;分析灾害能量在介质中传输及演变规律;提出灾害隔断原理,对防灾减灾工程提出实质性的建议.该项目研究打破了传统的非根源防灾理念,从致灾根源探索灾害的形成及灾害隔断预警. 相似文献
974.
《Environmental Hazards》2013,12(2):121-138
In Bangladesh, drought is seasonal and can destroy crops, causing hardship to poor agricultural labourers and others who cannot find alternative sources of income. Droughts most commonly affect the northwestern region, which generally has less rainfall than the rest of the country. In this context, this study attempts to measure the existing level of drought resilience with indicators related to Socio-economic, Institutional and Physical (SIP) conditions in two of the most drought-prone districts, namely Rajshahi and Chapai-Nawabganj. The results of 14 sub-districts (upazilas) show a variation of 2.41 (lowest resilience) and 3.61 (highest resilience) in a scale of 1–5. Some of the critical areas that need improvement include education and awareness, conflict resolution on water usage, policy enhancement, coordination among different stakeholders and proper land-use pattern. SIP methodology can be used as a rapid planning tool at the district level, and as a micro-level planning and improvement tool at the sub-district level. The tool has potential application for a participatory and process-based approach of engaging local stakeholders in minimizing drought risks in future. 相似文献
975.
《Environmental Hazards》2013,12(4):343-357
The effect of drought on crop yield and water resources has been an important socio-economic concern in the Sahel region of Africa. The most severe droughts in the Sahel region occurred during the strong El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. There is thus increased need to understand the stochastic relationship between such physical mechanism like ENSO and crop yield. In this paper, such a relationship is investigated using a wavelet approach. Our result shows that a statistically significant relationship exists between ENSO and cereal production in the region. In particular, El Niño events are devastation to millet yield with little or no impact on maize and sorghum production. This can be attributed to the lower length of growing period for maize and sorghum compared to millet. On the other hand La Niña events favor cereal production and mirrored sorghum yield during the La Niña years of 1973–1976. The potential value of ENSO-based rainfall forecast and socio-economic impact on local population in Sahel region are discussed. 相似文献
976.
《Environmental Hazards》2013,12(1):53-58
In 1984 the Mitigation Implementation Conference recognized the need for effective management of urban development in terms of building standards and land-use zonation. In the intervening 25 years, significant progress has been made in the development of building codes and hazard mapping for disaster risk reduction; however, the failure to promulgate, implement and enforce regulation of development has resulted in the dramatic expansion of exposure and risk. It is now necessary to re-assess regulatory policy and practice. New approaches to regulatory compliance must be explored, including participatory regulation and reliance on cultural and religious bases for individual commitment to community safety. 相似文献
977.
Household adjustment to flood risk: a survey of coastal residents in Texas and Florida,United States 下载免费PDF全文
Individual households have increasingly borne responsibility for reducing the adverse impacts of flooding on their property. Little observational research has been conducted, however, at the household level to examine the major factors contributing to the selection of a particular household adjustment. This study addresses the issue by evaluating statistically the factors influencing the adoption of various household flood hazard adjustments. The results indicate that respondents with higher‐value homes or longer housing tenure are more likely to adopt structural and expensive techniques. In addition, the information source and the Community Rating System (CRS) score for the jurisdiction where the household is located have a significant bearing on household adjustment. In contrast, proximity to risk zones and risk perception yield somewhat mixed results or behave counter to assumptions in the literature. The study findings provide insights that will be of value to governments and decision‐makers interested in encouraging homeowners to take protective action given increasing flood risk. 相似文献
978.
Aftab Alam Khan 《Environmental Hazards》2018,17(4):276-291
ABSTRACTEarthquakes occur in and around active lithospheric-plate margins that are located both in diverging and converging plate-settings. New fault rupture or old active fault reactivation can cause ground shaking, land deformation, land subsidence, landslides, and mass avalanches. The relevant locations of major risk centres around the world are well known. However, the parameters such as trend, pattern, frequency and magnitude are highly variable and very difficult to determine and predict. One result is that many fundamental and universal scientific achievements for mitigating earthquake hazard have often failed in protecting and safe-guarding human life and property. Although naturally occurring events cannot be prevented nevertheless loss of life and property damage could be minimized if an integrated effort and using the wisdom of the relevant professionals are practiced. A paradigm shift of the culture from post-disaster relief and rehabilitation to pre-disaster preparation and practice would reduce the level of destruction from an impending earthquake. Requisite pre-disaster physical planning and appropriate building measures, and pre- and post-disaster risk management should give special attention to public awareness programmes for loss mitigation. However, the fundamental requirement for such achievement is dedicated approach and commitment from the planner, practitioners and end-users of risk mitigation actions. 相似文献
979.
鄱阳湖流域天然径流变化特征与水旱灾害 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
为探讨鄱阳湖流域河川径流的变化过程和规律,深入了解径流特征及其与鄱阳湖水旱灾害的关系,利用时间序列分析方法,对鄱阳湖流域五河水系干流河段主要控制水文测站的天然径流系列进行了研究。研究显示,鄱阳湖五河径流年内分配集中程度在0.43到0.56之间,集中期为每年的5月底6月初,比鄱阳湖汛期提前1-2个月。径流多年变化变差系数变化在0.28~0.33之间,径流年际变率较大,在年代际变化上20世纪90年代径流增加尤其突出;径流序列呈长期的增加趋势,1998年后增加趋势变缓;鄱阳湖流域五河水系出现特大枯水年和丰水年的概率较大,出现平水年的概率略小。以上结果表明,五河汛期来水是影响鄱阳湖洪水的重要因素,而其形成、发展过程还受到长江中上游洪水的控制;径流的长期变化中,气候因素是引起鄱阳湖流域径流变化主导因素,水土流失和水利工程的建设等人为因素起着一定的辅助作用;径流序列枯、丰循环周期的交替变化过程,与过去几十年间流域内出现的干旱、洪水现象具有较好的一致性。 相似文献
980.
台风破坏性巨大,易与暴雨、洪涝、风暴潮灾害发生碰头现象,严重威胁沿海地区人民的生命和财产安全.因此,台风减灾决策研究对于保护人民生命财产安全至关重要.该文基于系统动力学和多灾种灾害建立防灾减灾模型,包括物资人员调度子块、信息传递子块、灾害系统子块.以海南省海口市台风灾情及政府防灾减灾工作为例进行数值模拟,仿真结果表明:... 相似文献