随机森林理论及其在水文地质领域的研究进展

随机森林理论是近年来快速发展的一种人工智能集成学习算法,由于其对数据系列中异常值的容忍度较高,且预测结果准确度显著高于其他常用算法,在以水文地质领域为代表的自然科学研究中的应用越来越广泛.本文在介绍随机森林算法理论和应用方法的基础上,结合国外内已有研究成果,分析其在地下水潜力评估、地表水-地下水转化、地下水水质评价和地下水污染预测等水文地质领域的应用效果,对随机森林理论在水文地质领域的应用前景和进一步发展的方向进行了讨论.结果表明,随机森林理论可以有效解决水文地质领域研究中的参数和过程不确定性问题,在水文地质结构精确刻画、水文地质参数准确反演、水文地质过程的描述均具有广阔的应用前景.     

长江流域安庆段浅层地下水水化学特征及控制因素

浅层地下水为安庆市居民生活用水和工农业生产用水的主要水源,是维持社会经济可持续发展和区域生态环境的重要基础保障.为深入研究安庆市浅层地下水的水化学特征及控制因素,采集了196组浅层地下水水样,综合运用Piper三线图、Gibbs图、离子比值和数理统计方法对安庆市地下水的水化学特征及控制因素进行研究,定量评估不同来源对地下水水化学组分的贡献.结果表明,安庆市浅层地下水呈弱碱性,pH值在5.84～8.38,均值为7.21; ρ（TDS）介于47～1 620 mg·L^-1,均值为324.21 mg·L^-1,阴阳离子主要以HCO₃^-和Ca²⁺为主,水化学类型为HCO₃-Ca型.地下水水化学组分受岩石风化溶滤作用、阳离子交替吸附作用、矿物溶解和沉淀以及人类活动综合影响.Ca²⁺、Mg²⁺和HCO₃^-主要来源于碳酸盐岩和硅酸盐岩的风化溶解作用,Na⁺、Cl^-和SO₄^2-受工业活动和生活污水的排放、K⁺和NO₃^-受农业活动的影响.APCS-MLR受体模型分析进一步揭示地下水水化学组分主要有地质因子、工业因子、农业因子和未知源这4种来源,其贡献率分别为45.35%、14.19%、25.38%和15.08%.地质因子是浅层地下水水化学组分的重要来源,人类活动则加剧了地下水水化学的演变.     

郯庐断裂带（安徽段）浅层地下水水化学特征、控制因素及水质评价

为研究郯庐断裂带（安徽段）地下水的水化学特征、控制因素和地下水质量.在郯庐断裂带周边的江淮波状平原区、沿江丘陵平原区和皖西山地共采集了86组地下水,综合运用描述性统计、Piper图、Gibbs图、离子比例分析、饱和指数、氯碱指数和熵权水质指数（EWQI）等方法,开展了地下水的水化学特征及控制因素研究,评价了地下水的质量.结果表明,郯庐断裂带（安徽段）周边浅层地下水呈弱碱性,地下水化学类型以HCO₃-Ca·Mg和HCO₃-Na·Ca型为主.水岩相互作用控制地下水化学组分的形成,硅酸盐岩和碳酸盐岩风化作用控制了地下水化学组分的形成.强烈的阳离子交替吸附作用是引起Na⁺富集的重要因素.研究区地下水整体质量较好,但受到一定程度人类活动的污染,江淮波状平原和沿江丘陵平原大部分地下水不适合直接饮用.研究结果对郯庐断裂带（安徽段）周边浅层地下水资源可持续开发利用和环境保护具有重要意义.     

我国地下水硝酸盐污染及源解析研究进展

我国地下水中硝酸盐污染问题严峻,尤其农业产区地下水硝酸盐污染日益突出,严重影响了地下饮用水安全,急需引起重视.通过综述发现,我国地下水中硝酸盐的主要来源为大气沉降、土壤氮、农业施肥和粪便污水等,其中粪便污水和农业施肥是地下水硝酸盐超标的主要原因.总结了水化学分析法、多元统计分析法、稳定同位素示踪法和微生物源追踪等技术在地下水硝酸盐溯源中的应用.各种溯源方法均有一定的局限性,建议采用多种方法联合识别地下水中硝酸盐来源,并通过多元统计分析和同位素定量解析模型计算不同污染来源贡献率.硝酸盐污染溯源经历了从定性到定量的研究过程,目前基于δ¹⁵N-NO₃ ^-和δ¹⁸O-NO₃ ^-解析硝酸盐来源的SIAR和MixSIAR模型已经相当成熟,但由于不同输入端元同位素特征值范围相互重叠,不同时空变化等条件下δ¹⁵N-NO₃ ^-和δ¹⁸O-NO₃ ^-值具有一定差异,以及氮迁移转化过程中的同位素分馏等的影响,导致模型计算得出的结果还存在不确定性,需要进一步优化模型的解析方法,以更精准地获取硝酸盐污染来源及其贡献率,服务于地下水资源的科学管理.     

尾矿库溃坝模型探讨

针对尾矿库日常工作中需要对其溃坝可能造成的危害及危害范围进行估计而又没有成熟的模型可用的情况,采用工程类比法,根据泥石流以及水库溃坝等方面的工程经验和数学模型,经过对其相似之处进行类比,并对原有模型进行适当调整,以期得出尾矿库溃坝所形成泥石流的数学模型,并求出其冲击范围和破坏能力,可以为尾矿库的应急管理工作和选址决策提供一个相对成熟和稳定的方法。     

LAND-USE AND WATER-QUALITY RELATIONSHIPS IN THE GEORGES CREEK BASIN,MARYLAND1

ABSTRACT: Models developed in Ohio to predict water quality conditions resulting from various land uses associated with the surface mining of coal are employed to ascertain their transferability to Maryland conditions. Discriminant analysis is employed to assess patterns of association between water quality and land use variables, and predictive models were then constructed with which to quantify changes in stream quality to be expected from the changing mosaic of upstream land uses in the Georges Greek basin of western Maryland. Data collected under procedures specified by the regulatory authority in Maryland may have accounted for the lack of statistically significant results from these models. Suggested changes in the collection of data are made for the coal region of Maryland.     

Computation of particles’ ascent from a cavity behind passing shock wave

We study numerically the dynamics of particles of dispersed phase in a turbulent gas flow in planar shock waves (SWs) sliding along a solid surface with a depression of trapezoid shape. The ascent of particles from the cavity walls has been computed in the approximation of a rarefied gas–particle mixture. A considerable influence of the passing SW strength and the initial location of particles on the characteristics of particles’ ascent, the non-monotonicity of the dependence of the particle-ascent height on the initial longitudinal coordinate, and the SW Mach number, and a possibility of the formation of particles’ accumulation and removal zones on the depression bottom are shown.     

GROUNDWATER DISCHARGE AND ITS IMPACT ON SURFACE WATER QUALITY IN A CHESAPEAKE BAY INLET1

ABSTRACT: Surface water, groundwater, and groundwater discharge quality surveys were conducted in Cherrystone Inlet, on Virginia's Eastern Shore. Shallow groundwater below agricultural fields had nitrate concentrations significantly higher than inlet surface waters and shallow groundwater underlying forested land. This elevated nitrate groundwater discharged to adjacent surface waters. Nearshore discharge rates of water across the sediment-water interface ranged from 0.02 to 3.69 liters·m^?2·hr^?1 during the surveys. The discharge was greatest nearshore at low tide periods, and decreased markedly with increasing distance offshore. Vertical hydraulic heads, E_h, and inorganic nitrogen flux in the sediments followed similar patterns. Nitrate was the predominant nitrogen species discharged nearshore adjacent to agricultural land use, changing to ammonium farther offshore. Sediment nitrogen fluxes were sufficient to cause observable impacts on surface water quality; nitrate concentrations were up to 20 times greater in areas of groundwater discharge than in the main stem inlet water. Based on DIN:DIP ratios, nitrogen contributions from direct groundwater discharge and tidal creek inputs appear to be of significant ecological importance. This groundwater discharge links land use activity and the quality of surface water, and therefore must be considered in selection of best management practices and water quality management strategies.     

AN INTERACTWE MODELING ENVIRONMENT FOR NON-POINT SOURCE POLLUTION CONTROL1

ABSTRACT: Non-point source pollution cuntinues to be an important environmental and water quality management problem. For the moat part, analysis of non-point source pollution in watersheds has depended on the use of distributed models to identify potential problem areas and to assess the effectiveness of alternative management practices. To effectively use these models for watershed water quality management, users depend on integrated geographic information systems (GIS)-based interfaces for input/output data management. However, existing interfaces are ad-hoc and the utility of GIS is limited to organization of input data and display of output data. A highly interactive water quality modeling interface that utilizes the functional components and analytical capability of GIS is highly desirable. This paper describes the tight coupling of the Agricultural Non-point Source (AGNPS) water quality model and ARC/INFO GIS software to provide an interactive hybrid modeling environment for evaluation of non-point source pollution in a watershed. The modeling environment is designed to generate AGNPS input parameters from user-specified GIS coverages, create AGNPS input data files, control AGNPS model simulations, and extract and organize AGNPS model output data for display. An example application involving the estimation of pesticide loading in a southern Iowa agricultural watershed demonstrates the capability of the modeling environment. Compared with traditional methods of watershed water quality modeling using the AGNPS model or other ad-hoc interfaces between a distributed model and GIS, the interactive modeling environment system is efficient and significantly reduces the task of watershed analysis using tightly coupled GIS databases and distributed models.     

常德市地下水污染现状及防治对策

摘要：随着国民经济的快速发展和城市人口的大量增加，水资源的保护和开发利用显得日趋重要。本文通过对常德市的地下水水样进行污染综合指数评价，得出了常德市的地下水污染现状，对地下水污染源和污染途径进行了分析，提出了相应的防治建议。