基于G1-独立性权数法的热带海岛环境真空断路器状态评估

目的 提高热带海岛环境下真空断路器状态评估方法的全面性和准确性,为高温、高湿、高辐照、高盐雾气候环境下真空断路器的差异化运维和状态检修提供有效的数据基础.方法 统计分析热带海岛地区电力设备的缺陷类型和原因,构建断路器的环境状态评价指标,实现真空断路器的综合评价指标体系的拓展.采用序关系分析法(G1)和独立性权数法组合赋权,实现断路器运行状态的综合评估.结果 通过实例分析验证了此真空断路器评估方法的可行性,G1-独立性权数法综合考虑了专家主观经验及指标数据客观规律,能够降低指标间重复性信息对断路器评估结果的不利影响.结论 G1-独立性权数法有效计及了真空断路器所处的环境状态,综合考虑了主观经验和客观规律,能够减小指标间重复信息所导致的指标权重误差,保证了热带海岛环境下真空断路器评估结果的客观性和准确性.     

内陆城市热岛与湖风环流耦合特性研究

为探究湖泊等大型水体对内陆城市大气环境的影响,本文运用数值模拟的方法,引入KRB坐标变换,建立内陆城市热岛与湖风环流的模型,对比水箱实验验证数值模型的精确性,探究不同内陆城市湖泊面积和城-湖中心距大小对城市热岛影响,模拟结果表明：湖泊面积越大,近地面城市热岛羽流的偏移量越大,而当城-湖中心距增大的时候,近地面城市热岛羽流的偏移量则减小.在湖泊靠近城市时,湖风与城市气流协同作用产生较强的环流,对城市热岛羽流产生偏转作用;在湖泊远离城市时,湖风与城市上空气流发生对抗作用,并绕过城市热岛羽流顶部,与城市上空的分散流协同,在背风面产生增益效果.     

城市热岛效应增温对环境气温的影响

目的研究城市热岛效应对环境气温的影响。方法选用辽宁中西部地区中小城市及农村(CK)基准气候站1960—2015年的气温资料,采用数理统计学对照分析方法,对中小城市中气温年际变化特征及其城市热岛增温进行量化研究。结果城市气温在20世纪80年代后期存在明显的气候"突变"特征,气温的"突变"主要来自于城市化热岛的影响。对照农村气温变化,城市热岛使年平均气温增高0.65℃,城市热岛效应为147.7%。城市热岛使春、夏、秋、冬四季平均气温分别增高0.41、0.41、0.72、0.80℃,四季城市热岛效应分别为59.4%、256.3%、450.0%和106.7%。在年变化中,城市热岛效应增温最大值在1月份,9月至翌年3月对热岛增温贡献最大。结论气象监测站居于城市内,所测试的气温资料受城市热岛现象的影响,掩盖了自然气候变化的实际情况,造成气温监测结果偏高,致使农业及农业科研、土木建筑、桥涵建设在温度指标运用上受到影响。     

1989~2015年海口城市热环境与景观格局的时空演变及其相互关系

利用1989,1999,2007和2015年的4期Landsat 5TM/8OLI-TIRS遥感数据,综合应用遥感、地理信息系统、景观生态学和统计分析相结合的方法,探讨海口城市热环境与景观格局的时空演变关系.结果显示,1989~2015年间,海口城市陆地表面温度（LST）总体呈逐步上升的趋势.城市热岛面积逐步扩大,空间质心向西南方向转移,且在2007年以后转移速率明显加快;冷岛质心则向东部生态核心区转移.城市LST较高的区域往往与不透水表面分布一致,较低的LST与绿地或水体分布一致.4期绿地的平均LST比不透水表面低4.17℃,其中2015年绿地景观类型百分比（PLAND）每增加10%导致LST下降0.57℃;不透水表面每增加10%,LST则上升0.78℃.不同时期绿地和不透水表面的平均LST与PLAND、最大斑块指数（LPI）、聚集度指数（AI）均表现为一致的极显著相关关系,且相关性逐年增强,其中绿地为负相关,不透水表面为正相关;景观斑块的大小和聚集程度对城市LST有较大影响.研究结果可以拓展对城市热环境与景观格局时空演变关系的认识,为城市规划和决策者提供参考.     

Urban climate in the Tokyo metropolitan area in Japan

Long-term climate changes related with urbanization in Tokyo, Japan, and recent temperature and heavy rainfall distribution in the Tokyo metropolitan area are reviewed. A relatively high temperature increase in annual mean temperature at the rate of 3.0°C/century was detected in Tokyo for the period 1901–2015. Some observational evidence showed the existence of both thermal and mechanical effects of urbanization on recent heavy rainfall occurrences, and modeling studies also support precipitation enhancement. Urban influences were recognized in other climatological elements, such as number of fog days, relative humidity, and wind circulation.     

海岛旅游开发生态影响及保护对策研究

海岛是相对独立的地理单元,生态系统较为脆弱,旅游开发将对海岛带来环境影响.为保护和利用海岛的旅游资源和自然环境,以蜈支洲岛旅游开发为例,采用矩阵法识别海岛开发生态影响因子,建立了水土流失、土壤、沙滩、植被、保护动植物、珊瑚、珊瑚生态、景观等评价指标体系,采用模型预测和类比分析等方法预测、分析和评价旅游开发活动的生态影响,并提出减缓对策,从而避免旅游开发造成岛屿的生态破坏,维护岛屿生态系统的完整性.     

Is everyone hot in the city? Spatial pattern of land surface temperatures,land cover and neighborhood socioeconomic characteristics in Baltimore,MD

Urban heat island effect refers to the phenomenon that ambient air and surface temperatures in urban areas are several degrees higher than surrounding rural areas. Higher temperatures not only impact the comfort of urban dwellers, but also increase energy use, ozone production, and the risk of death for humans in a heat wave. Our research focuses on the variation in land surface temperature in the Gywnns Fall Watershed, Maryland. We found that land surface temperature is highly variable spatially, resulting in "hotspots" within the heat island. We further explore how this temperature variation relates to social factors on the scale of the census-based block group. We show that land surface temperature is statistically higher in block groups that are characterized by low income, high poverty, less education, more ethnic minorities, more elderly people and greater risk of crime. These variables were mapped to evaluate the spatial relationship of land surface temperatures to social factors. This spatially explicit approach facilitates identification of specific areas to prioritize for heat prevention and intervention efforts. We demonstrate, through an exercise, how incorporating data on land surface temperature and social factors into heat intervention strategies could contribute to efficient allocation of limited resources and services. The exercise also indicates where heat prevention efforts, such as tree-planting programs, are most needed to help reduce heat exposure and moderate the urban heat island effect.     

An island biogeography approach for understanding changes in compositional similarity at present scenario of biotic homogenization

Local extinction of native species and colonization of non-native species are commonly invoked as responsible for changes in species similarity among biotas of different regions. In this study we used a model of species similarity between islands to assess the emergent, and unexplored, effects of changes in colonization by native species, extinction of non-native species, and propagule pressure on species similarity among insular communities. The model predicts that extinction probability of endemic species has a positive but asymptotic effect on species similarity, which is exacerbated by increasing colonization and reducing extinction of non-native species. Species similarity tends to increase with increasing colonization probability by non-native species, however this effect may be reduced, or even reverted, when the islands are exposed to an elevated number of non-native species that are prone to extinction, high levels of endemic species loss, and an initially large number of native species shared between islands. Species similarity was positively affected by the propagule pressure rate of non-native species only when their colonization and extinction probabilities were large and small enough, respectively. A negative effect of propagule pressure rate can be caused by an increase in the pool size of non-native species, which involves the introduction of different species into different islands, promoting biotic differentiation between islands. Our results indicate that the interactions between colonization, extinction and species pool lead to nonlinear responses and unexpected scenarios of biotic change. In order to validate model predictions, future research programs should focus on understanding the dynamics on such complex meta-communities where coexist native, non-native and endemic species.     

Growth of the nesting colony of slaty-backed gulls (Larus schistisagus) and plant cover degradation on Shelikan Island (Taui inlet, the Sea of Okhotsk)

The size of Larus schistisagus nesting colony on Shelikan Island (8 ha in area) has increased from 2000 to 6000 pairs over 18 years. Today, this is the largest colony in the Sea of Okhotsk. The growth of the bird population has entailed catastrophic deterioration of the plant cover accompanied by a decrease in the species diversity of vascular plants: more than one-third of plant species recorded on the island in 1986 have already disappeared, and the establishment of several new plant species cannot compensate for this loss. If the size of the colony increases further, woody vegetation will fully deteriorate and only a thinned herbaceous layer consisting of 15–20 most resistant species will remain on the island.     

岛屿钻井作业的安全联动报警系统

针对石油钻井行业岛屿作业环境的高风险性,在分析岛屿钻井作业安全现状的基础上,对其重大危险源进行了分析,并提出了构建安全联动报警系统,以保证岛屿钻井作业的安全生产。