Spatial statistics for modeling of abundance and distribution of wildlife species in the Masai Mara ecosystem, Kenya

This study illustrates the use of modern statistical procedures for better wildlife management by addressing three key issues: determination of abundance, modeling of animal distributions and variability of diversity in space and time. Prior information in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is used to improve estimates of abundance. Measures of autocorrelation are included when modeling distributions of animal counts, and a diversity index to indicate species abundance and richness for large herbivores is developed. Data from the Masai Mara ecosystem in Kenya are used to develop and demonstrate these procedures. The new abundance estimates are up to 35% more accurate than those obtained by existing methods. Significant temporal changes in spatial patterns are found from a space-time analysis of elephant counts over a 20-year period, with strong interactions over 5 km and 6 months space and time separations, respectively. The new diversity index is sensitive to both high abundance and species richness and is also able to capture year to year variation. It indicates an overall marginal decrease in diversity for large herbivores in the Mara ecosystem. The space-time analyses and diversity index can easily be computed thereby providing tools for rapid decision making.     

DX—100型离子色谱仪用于冰雪样品中阴,阳离子的测定

本文介绍了ＤＸ－１００型离子色谱仪用于冰雪样品中阴,阳离子的测定,以东北五大连池地区白龙洞和水晶宫为例,介绍了阴,阳离子测定在分析化学物质来源和成冰过程中的重要作用。     

600MW机组湿法脱硫吸收塔溢流原因分析及对策

阐述了火电厂600MW机组石灰石—石膏湿法脱硫系统吸收塔浆液溢流的危害,分析了吸收塔浆液溢流的原因,主要是石膏浆液品质差、氧化风量不合理、浆液循环泵、浆液喷淋的影响,溢流管接口位置布置不合理等。通过适当降低运行液位、合理布置吸收塔溢流管道等措施解决了吸收塔浆液溢流问题,确保脱硫系统稳定运行。     

中国30个地区环境技术创新能力分类特征

区域环境技术创新能力是决定区域产业发展水平、经济实力增长的关键,是区域可持续竞争优势的源泉.本文通过搜集环境技术创新投入、产出与关联的相关变量和数据;利用Q型聚类方法,提取最具代表性的变量指标;然后对缩减后的变量作因子分析,提取主成分,随之,按照各区域的主成分值进行聚类,确定各区域所属类别,并采用判别分析方法,对各区域所属类别进行检验、调整.结果显示:第一类地区主要包括海南在内的经济发展较为落后、生态环境遭受破坏相对较少的我国西部地区;第二类地区主要集中在技术引进与吸收能力强、区域内企业实力强、人力资本积聚能力强的东部和中部地区;第三类地区主要集中在我国农业产业发展历史悠久,但随着农业向工业快速发展,所遭受的环境破坏也愈发严重的中部地区;第四类地区主要包括辽宁、四川等我国工业制造业最集中和发达的地区;第五类地区则是我国市场经济发展最完善、环保方面的经济活动表现相对较优的东南沿海地区.最后,结合各类别地区环境技术创新的实际状况与原因,针对性地提出对策,为提升各区域环境技术创新能力提供参考.     

秦岭自然保护区群的社会效益计量研究

秦岭自然保护区群在我国生物多样性保护方面发挥了重要作用,学术界一直缺乏其社会效益计量的研究.该研究在界定秦岭自然保护区群社会效益的概念及分析其内涵的基础上,综合运用专家咨询法及文献参考方法,初步建立了秦岭自然保护区群社会效益计量指标体系,包括:社会文明进步、人类健康和社会生产生活改善3种类型11项指标.利用市场价值法、等效替代法等方法,对秦岭自然保护区群保护生物多样性的过程中所产生的社会效益进行了计量及分析.结果表明:秦岭自然保护区群在保护生物多样性的同时,每年产生了相当可观的社会效益,总货币量约11.68亿元人民币,与周边区域密切相关的社会文明进步效益为1.68亿元;人类健康效益为1.62亿元;社会生产生活改善效益为8.37亿元.该研究的社会效益计量指标及计量方法可为秦岭自然保护区群基层工作人员及类似保护区社会效益计量及评价提供参考.     

测定水样中化学需氧量的不确定度

对化学需氧量测定的不确定度进行合理评定,应充分考虑测定过程中的不确定度来源。建立了重铬酸钾法测定水样中化学需氧量不确定度的数学模型,对组成化学需氧量的各个因子的不确定度分量进行了详尽的分析和计算,得出了本次样品CODCr的测定结果为72.2mg/L,扩展不确定度为3.8mg/L。     

环境试验箱温度性能不确定度的评定

本文探讨了依据环境试验箱的在温度校准时所得的数据来评定其温度性能不确定度的方法,该方法简单、可操作性强,为环境试验的质量控制提供了科学依据。     

Modeling of Vertical Solute Dispersion in a Sediment Bed Enhanced by Wave‐Induced Interstitial Flow1

Abstract: Mass (solute) transport in a stream or lake sediment bed has a significant effect on chemical mass balances and microbial activities in the sediment. A “1D vertical dispersion model” is a useful tool to analyze or model solute transfer between river or lake water and a sediment bed. Under a motionless water column, solute transfer into and within the sediment bed is by molecular diffusion. However, surface waves or bed forms create periodic pressure waves along the sediment/water interface, which in turn induce flows in the pores of the sediment bed. The enhancement of solute transport by these interstitial periodic flows in the pores has been incorporated in a 1D depth‐dependent “enhanced dispersion coefficient (D_E).” Typically, D_E diminishes exponentially with depth in the sediment bed. Relationships have been developed to estimate D_E as a function of the characteristics of sediment (particle size, hydraulic conductivity, and porosity) and pressure waves (wave length and height). In this paper, we outline and illustrate the calculation of D_E as well as the penetration depth (d_p) of the flow effect. Sample applications to illustrate the computational procedure are provided for dissolved oxygen transfer into a stream gravel bed and release of phosphorus from a lake bed. The sensitivity of the results to input parameter values is illustrated, and compared with the errors obtained when interstitial flow is ignored. Maximum values of D_E near the sediment surface can be on the order of 1 cm²/s in a stream gravel bed with standing waves, and 0.001 cm²/s in a fine sand lake bed under progressive surface waves, much larger than molecular diffusion coefficients.     

Forecasting Resilience in Arctic Societies: Creating Tools for Assessing Social–Hydrological Systems1

Altaweel, Mark R., Lilian N. Alessa, and Andrew D. Kliskey, 2009. Forecasting Resilience in Arctic Societies: Creating Tools for Assessing Social–Hydrological Systems. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 45(6):1379‐1389. Abstract: Arctic communities are increasingly faced with social–ecological changes that act at variable speeds and spatial scales. Such changes will affect vital resources, particularly water supplies. Currently, there are few computational tools that integrate multiple social and environmental processes in order to aid communities’ adaptation to change through decision support systems. This paper proposes a modeling and simulation approach that can integrate such processes at different spatiotemporal scales in order to address issues affecting community water supplies. In this paper, a modeling and simulation tool is developed and applied to a case study on the Seward Peninsula. Initial results, using both field observations and computation, show projected patterns of water use, perceptions of water availability, and long‐term consumption trends. More broadly, the paper demonstrates the need for developing tools that address issues at the community level for better understanding human and hydrological interactions and policy decisions affecting water supplies.