Simulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall and its intraseasonal variability in the NCAR climate system model

The broad climatological features associated with the Asian monsoon circulation, including its mean state and intraseasonal and interannual variability over the Indian subcontinent as simulated in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) global coupled climate system model (CSM) in its control reference experiment, are presented in this paper. The CSM reproduces the seasonal cycle as well as basic observed patterns of key climatic parameters reasonably well in spite of some limitations in simulation of the monsoon rainfall. However, while the seasonality in rainfall over the region is simulated well, the simulated area-averaged monsoon rainfall is underestimated to only about 60% of the observed rainfall. The centers of maxima in simulated monsoon rainfall are slightly displaced southward as compared to the climatological patterns. The cross-equatorial flow in simulated surface wind patterns during summer is also stronger than observed with an easterly bias. The transient experiment with a 1% per year compound increase in CO₂ with CSM suggests an annual mean area-averaged surface warming of about 1.73 °C over the region at the time of CO₂ doubling. This warming is more pronounced in winter than during the monsoon season. A net increase in area-averaged monsoon rainfall of about 1.4 mm day^–1, largely due to increased moisture convergence and associated convective activity over the land, is obtained. The enhanced intraseasonal variability in the monsoon rainfall in a warmer atmosphere is confined to the early part of the monsoon season which suggests the possibility of the date of onset of summer monsoon over India becoming more variable in future. The enhanced interannual and intraseasonal variability in the summer monsoon activity over India could also contribute to more intense rainfall spells over the land regions of the Indian subcontinent, thus increasing the probability of extreme rainfall events in a warmer atmosphere. Electronic Publication     

增江流域河流颗粒有机碳的来源、含量变化及输出通量

对华南增江径流进行了 1个水文年度的 1 5次等时段采样 ,分析了河流悬移质中主要生源元素 (C、N、H)的含量 ,并估算了不同物源的贡献 .结果表明 ,增江悬移质中的有机碳以水生藻类的贡献为主 ,土壤侵蚀来源的有机碳在悬移质粗粒组中的份额平均为 37 2 4 % ,在细粒组中仅占 1 1 1 1 % 增江流域颗粒有机碳的输出通量为 0 83× 1 0 6g·km-2 ·a-1 ,其中来自土壤的颗粒有机碳通量为 0 2 2× 1 0 6g·km-2 ·a-1 .     

重庆黑风洞石笋灰度记录的全新世季风气候变化

基于重庆地区黑风洞石笋HF01的~(230)Th年代数据、灰度数据、氧同位素数据和Fe含量数据,重建了长江中上游地区全新世季风变化历史。结果显示石笋HF01的灰度值主要响应东亚季风变化,石笋灰度序列能够记录东亚全新世季风气候变化历史,即全新世早中期东亚夏季风增强,在6 ka B.P.以后季风逐渐减弱。石笋HF01的灰度序列清晰地记录了一系列的Bond事件,显示石笋灰度值对气候环境变化敏感,是可靠的气候环境信息载体;也进一步证明东亚季风不仅受太阳辐射驱动,还受高纬地区千年尺度的气候变化影响。石笋HF01灰度序列功率谱所呈现的55 a周期与太平洋数10 a尺度涛动(PDO)的50~70a周期一致,45、25、23、22、18、12 a周期接近于太阳活动周期,说明在数十年至百年尺度上东亚季风可能受太平洋涛动和太阳活动的共同影响。     

大气环流模式CAM4对亚洲气候的高分辨率模拟

中小尺度地形不仅在区域尺度上影响降水和环流形势分布,还会影响季风、西风急流等大尺度的天气系统。新的全球模式分辨率得到明显提高,本研究通过对比分析CAM4高分辨率配置下的模拟结果与高分辨率APHRO降水和ERA-Interim再分析资料,评估高分辨率CAM4对亚洲地区气候系统的模拟性能。结果表明,该模式不仅对亚洲季风-干旱气候系统的大尺度分布特征有良好的模拟能力,还能很好地模拟出季风区和内陆干旱半干旱区年均和季节平均降水的高、低值中心以及水平风场、地表温度和海平面气压的区域差异性特征,尤其是山脉地形附近的降水极值和风场变化。此外,CAM4与气象资料间在不同空间尺度上的空间相关性均很好,其中地表温度的相关系数在0.9以上,降水在亚洲地区超过0.7。     

Assessment on Seasonal Variation of Groundwater Quality of Phreatic Aquifers – a River Basin System

Spatial distribution of pH, electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solids (TDS), fluoride and total iron content of ground water samples collected from the muvattupuzha river basin, Kerala, India, has been studied for pre monsoon and post monsoon periods of year 2001. Results showed the groundwater of the basin is acidic for which the pH values ranged between 5.5 and 8.0. Average EC was found to be less than 100 μS/cm, for most of the study region. The pre monsoon minimum and maximum TDS were found as 25.6 and 227.84 mg/L respectively, where as post monsoon values ranged between 16 and 162.56 mg/L. The relatively low EC and TDS values found both during the seasons in the lateritic terrain of the river basin signifies the lower residence time of ground water with the country rock. This makes the groundwater quality of this river basin as good. Pre monsoon season samples showed high total iron content than that during the post monsoon period. During the study period values of the fluoride contents were found to be within the permissible limits.     

鼎湖山粗死木质残体生物量特征

对鼎湖山季风常绿阔叶林1 hm2永久性样地内粗死木质残体(Coarse woody debris,简称CWD)的生物量、存在形式及分解状态进行研究.结果表明:1)鼎湖山季风常绿阔叶林CWD的生物量为42.09 t hm-2,其中倒木和枯立木分别为32.81 t hm-2、9.28 t hm-2,所占比例分别为77.9%、22.1%.1999~2010年间CWD年均输入量为1.68 t hm-2a-1.2)CWD主要优势树种为锥栗(Castanopsis chinensis)、黄杞(Engelhardtia roxburghiana)和荷木(Schima superba),所占比例分别为54.0%、15.1%和13.9%.3)CWD径级主要分布在30 cm以下,但对CWD生物量贡献最大的径级在30 cm以上.4)CWD的分解状态主要为中度分解状态,占CWD总生物量的61.2%.研究还表明,鼎湖山季风常绿阔叶林的CWD生物量呈逐年增加趋势.图2表3参17     

亚洲季风强弱年蒙自市大气环境容量差异估算

利用区域空气质量模式WRF-Chem,对亚洲季风气候变化背景下云南省蒙自市大气环境容量进行模拟评估.根据标准化南亚夏季风指数分别选取2005年和2015年为强、弱季风年.对2015年四季（以1月、4月、7月和10月为代表月）和2005年夏季（7月为代表月）的主要大气污染物浓度进行模拟.结果表明蒙自市2015年全年CO、NO₂、SO₂、PM_2.5、PM₁₀的大气环境容量分别为120.31、1.127、1.875、1.267、1.688（×10⁴t/a）,其中各污染物冬季大气环境容量最小,春季的最大（PM₁₀除外）,且PM_2.5在冬季排放量已饱和.强季风年相对弱季风年夏季CO、NO₂、SO₂、PM_2.5、PM₁₀的大气环境容量分别提升4.81%、3.86%、12.6%、18.4%、8.7%,其中PM_2.5的容量提升最高.亚洲季风年际变化对云南高原空气质量及大气环境容量具有重要的调制作用.     

我国西南地区喀斯特森林树木年轮对气候变化的响应

利用贵州省2个典型喀斯特地区与1个非喀斯特地区的6个优势树种(化香树Platycarya strobilacea为重复树种)的树轮宽度资料,建立了6个树轮宽度年表,研究了不同地区不同树种的树木年轮对近50年来气候变化的响应异同,探讨了影响6个优势树种生长的气候限制因素。结果表明,季风期前的水热条件是喀斯特地区针叶树和阔叶树径向生长的最主要的气候限制因素。季风期前降水减少、月均温升高,导致土壤水分蒸发加快,加强了水分胁迫,不利于喀斯特地区针叶树和阔叶树的生长。帕尔默干旱指数虽表明喀斯特地区未达到干旱胁迫程度,但实际上水分渗漏加剧了喀斯特地区针叶树和阔叶树生长的水分胁迫。非喀斯特地区采样点的高海拔导致的低温,减少了春冬季节土壤水分蒸发。并且非喀斯特地区土壤和地形有利于水分涵养,同时,较高海拔的地形改变了季风期前的降水格局,消除了季风到来前树木生长的降水限制,因此,降水并不是喀斯特地区树木生长的限制因子;但其针叶树的径向生长受到上一年12月的温度控制,产生正响应信号,阔叶树径向生长仅受到生长季温度、降水增加带来的较小促进。     

季风形成与长江流域的季风文化

由于深受季风环流的影响,长江文化与黄河文化均可称之为“季风文化”。这种文化源远流长,延绵不绝。东亚季风的形成是中国环境演变的关键事件,它是随着沧海桑田的变化特别是青藏高原的隆起而形成和强化的。在长江流域,随着东亚季风的建立,原有行星风系的环流形势被季风环流所取代,从而避免了全年受单一副热带高压的持续控制。因此,当地球相同纬度位置上的尼罗河流域、两河流域和印度河流域备受“副高”沙漠的袭击、使其古老文明遭到枯萎或夭折时,长江流域却因夏季风的吹拂,获得了降水的主要水汽来源,从而显得生机勃勃,其古老文明虽历经沧桑,仍不断发扬光大,且高峰迭起,一直巍然屹立于世界东方。     

Using algal biomass-phosphorus (P) relationships and nutrient limitation theory to evaluate the adequacy of P water quality criteria for regulated monsoon rivers and reservoirs

Different P criteria have been set for lotic and lentic waters where the latter had stricter criteria than the former. The binary P criteria have been developed due to differences in limnological features and this helps avoid unneeded costs with stricter criteria for flowing waters that normally have lower potential of algal blooms. However, if different criteria are warranted, the responses of Chl a to TP and TN:TP ratio should vary distinctively between rivers and reservoirs. Contrary to these predictions, inconsistent and statistically indistinguishable variations have been observed between the two types of waterbody in Chl a yield per unit TP. Additionally, there was no significant difference in the strength of relationship between Chl a and TN:TP ratio between waterbody types, although the mass ratio of TN to TP was significantly higher in reservoirs than in rivers. Hence, the data suggest that there is no scientifically defensible reason that lotic and lentic waters require different TP standards and specifically that lentic waters do not necessarily require stricter P criteria. A more holistic and nuanced approach would aid in developing revised or new TP criteria in which water quality issues can be addressed scientifically as well as pragmatically.