济南市南部山区降雨特性分析

通过对济南市南部山区50年降雨资料的分析,得出南部山区年降雨量为648mm,降雨季节性明显,降雨量主要集中在6-8月份的降雨特点;采用皮尔逊Ⅲ型曲线拟合了降雨频率曲线,分析了降雨量与频率之间的关系,得出年降雨量在1000mm以上的频率是2%,年降雨量在640mm以上的频率是50%。最后采用一维坡地径流模型对南部山区内的典型丘陵的产流量进行了模拟计算,模拟结果和实测值吻合较好。     

新疆南部典型地区地下水中氟的分布特征及其富集因素分析

以新疆南部典型平原区地下水中的氟为研究对象,依据地下水污染调查数据,分析研究区地下水中氟的分布特征及富集因素.结果表明,水平上,焉耆盆地平原区地下水中氟的含量总体上呈南高北低,若羌-且末地区和叶尔羌河流域平原区地下水中的氟含量呈北高南低;垂向上,焉耆盆地平原区深层承压水的氟含量高于浅层承压水和潜水中的氟含量,若羌-且末地区和叶尔羌河流域平原区浅层承压水的氟含量高于深层承压水和潜水中的氟含量.地下水中的氟主要来源于地层中的含氟矿物;氟的富集主要受气候、地形、水文地质条件以及水化学环境的影响.     

川南城市群冬季大气细颗粒物中金属元素特征及其来源解析

为探究川南城市群（自贡、泸州、内江和宜宾）冬季大气重污染过程中PM_2.5中金属元素的浓度特征和来源,在2018年12月30日至2019年1月14日,使用膜采样方法对PM_2.5中的金属元素进行测定,并运用富集因子法（EF）和正定矩阵因子分解法（PMF）对金属元素来源进行解析.同时采用自贡市在2015年同期金属元素观测数据,探究自贡市在“大气十条”实施中期与实施结束后的金属元素污染与富集程度变化情况.结果表明：（1）不同城市细颗粒物中各金属元素浓度与占比差异不大,4个城市中浓度与占比较高的元素呈现相似性,Al、Sb和Fe元素占比位于前列.从自贡市不同观测期对比来看,除Tl外各元素浓度均有变化.（2）富集因子计算结果表明,城市群中Cr（自贡与宜宾）、Ni、Cu、As、Se、Ag、Cd、Sb、Tl和Pb元素的富集程度较高.自贡市不同观测期的元素富集程度对比显示,除Cu元素外,2018年冬季观测期各元素富集程度均有减小趋势.（3）PMF源解析结果表明,各城市中金属元素主要来源为扬尘源、燃煤源、工业源与交通源,同时各污染源之间存在混合贡献.各城市主要污染源贡献不同,自贡以交通扬尘源与混合源为主;泸州以工业源为主;内江市各污染源贡献占比相近;而宜宾市则以交通源为主导.     

130 ka以来南北半球冰量数据报告与初步分析

两极冰盖在全球气候变化方面发挥着关键作用,而当今全球变暖背景下两极冰盖的快速消融势必会引起一系列的气候环境效应。然而,目前末次间冰期以来南北半球冰量变化的综合对比研究工作较为欠缺。鉴于此,在崂山实验室“穿越地球时空的亚太海陆气候演化”项目支持下,系统收集和整理130 ka以来基于深海底栖有孔虫氧同位素、模拟等方法定量重建的南北半球冰量记录,以及可用于指示冰量变化的定性记录,如南北半球中高纬温度记录、粉尘记录、海洋沉积物冰筏碎屑记录等（数据集储存格式为.xlsx）。不同的指标响应冰盖变化的灵敏度存在差异,总体而言,130 ka以来南、北半球冰盖均发生了三次快速扩张,其中北半球扩张较快,在深海氧同位素4-2阶段总量超过了南半球。此外,深海氧同位素3阶段不同记录重建的北半球冰量存在很大差异。收集的相关数据资料对更好地理解过去130 ka以来的南北半球冰量变化模式和机制具有重要参考意义。     

南疆近60a来寒潮气候特征及其对农业生产的影响

寒潮是我区主要灾害性天气之一,南疆植被稀少,温差大,强冷空气南下,容易形成寒潮。论文利用南疆5地(州)1949-2008年间的寒潮发生频次、 持续时间及其造成的受灾农田面积、 死亡牲畜、 经济损失数据资料,对南疆寒潮空间分布、 年际变化、 季节变化、 形成原因及其对农业生产影响进行深入分析。分析得出:①近60 a来,南疆寒潮发生频次山区多于平原、 北部多于南部,而寒潮过程降温幅度天山南麓绿洲带大于北部山区;对地(州)而言,巴州发生频次最多,受灾最严重,阿克苏次于巴州,克州与和田寒潮频次与受灾最少,喀什居中。②近60 a来,寒潮发生频次年际变化幅度较大,总体上呈现略有减少趋势,特别是1999年来频次明显减少;每年9月至翌年5月是寒潮活动期,以5月和4月发生频次最高,极端最大降温以4-5月和9-10月居多。③在气候变暖背景下,虽寒潮频次总体上呈略有减少趋势,但由于4-5月寒潮较多,而且小麦返青拔节,棉花出苗蕾铃,果树生芽开花,其抗寒能力下降,遇到明显降温,就会发生冻害,加上绿洲种植面积扩大,社会经济发展,承载体单位面积的受灾成本提高,使南疆寒潮低温冻害灾害呈显著增多趋势。     

浙南瓯江流域水体抗生素污染特征及风险评价

环境中抗生素污染对生态系统安全产生负面影响.以瓯江流域为例,采用高效液相色谱-串联质谱法对浙南诸河流域水体中6类35种抗生素浓度进行检测,分析抗生素的浓度水平和空间分布,利用相关模型评估抗生素对生态和人体的健康风险,讨论抗生素的来源.结果表明,瓯江流域地表水20个采样点中4类12种抗生素均有不同程度检出,分别是磺胺类、喹诺酮类、四环素类和林可酰胺类,总浓度为ND~1 018 ng·L^-1.其中检出率较高的是林可霉素,为90.48%,其次是磺胺吡啶,为38.10%.检出浓度平均值最大的3种抗生素分别是氧氟沙星（12.49 ng·L^-1）、林可霉素（11.08 ng·L^-1）和双氟沙星（7.38 ng·L^-1）.流域内抗生素以点状污染为主,空间分异性较大,上游抗生素浓度平均值（54.39 ng·L^-1）大于中下游浓度平均值（46.64 ng·L^-1）,抗生素污染程度由上游至下游呈现出“上疏下密”的特点;上游污染主要来源为医疗和畜禽养殖业废水的排放,下游污染主要为人口活动密集和经济产业快速发展所导致.生态风险评估结果表明,上游采样点H6具有最大的风险商值,其中氧氟沙星和恩诺沙星具有高风险水平,林可霉素具有中风险水平.健康风险评估结果表明,瓯江流域水体抗生素对人体健康无风险     

Increasing land pressure in East Africa: The changing role of cassava and consequences for sustainability of farming systems

Increasing land pressure during the past three to four decades has transformed farming systems in the mid-altitude zone of East Africa. Traditional millet-, cotton-, sugarcane- and/or banana-based farming systems with an important fallow and/or grazing component have evolved into continuously cultivated cassava or cassava/maize-based systems. Within three to four decades, cassava cultivation increased from 1–11 to 16–55% of cropped fields in our six study sites. Declining soil fertility, and not labour or food shortage, was apparently the primary trigger for this transformation. The land use changes have increased nutrient offtakes and reduced nutrient recycling rates. Cassava and maize now account for 50–90% of nutrient removal. Whereas single-season fallows were the most important source of nutrient recycling on cropped fields in the past, currently cassava litterfall and maize stover contribute roughly 70% of nutrient recycling, with 50–70% of N, P and K recycled in cassava litterfall. This may explain why many farmers reason that cassava ‘rests’ the soil. With increasing land use pressure farmers progressively use cassava as an ‘imitation fallow’ throughout their farm. Farmers increasingly target cassava to poor fertility fields characterized by low pH and available P. High cassava intensities are nonetheless maintained on more fertile fields, probably to guarantee regeneration of soil fertility on all fields. Once cassava is targeted to poor fertility soils, farmers have run out of low-input management options and need to intensify management to maintain system productivity. As cassava is now used by more farmers and on a larger acreage than fallowing in the studied farming systems, cassava cropping could perhaps serve as an excellent entry point to strengthen system sustainability.     

“In common nature”: an ethnography of climate adaptation in the Lesotho Highlands

In Lesotho, climate change adaptation funding is being managed and distributed by the same mechanisms which have traditionally operationalised humanitarian aid and international development assistance in the country. Lessons from the HIV/AIDS disaster, along with insights into the value of participatory approaches foregrounding the expertise of indigenous communities, must be heeded in order to ensure that those most affected by climate change have a say in how adaptation is carried out. This paper proposes that indigenous people have developed and actively maintained resilience strategies, encoded in social practices and farming techniques, designed out of long experience with climatic variability. Through case studies, indigenous resilience strategies are explored, with emphasis on the anarchistic, improvisational nature of traditional ecological knowledge. Future directions for policy-makers and practitioners dealing with climate change adaptation are suggested, namely the need to foreground indigenous knowledge and the experiences of frontlines experts in key policy arenas.     

Differential N uptake by maize cultivars and soil nitrate dynamics under N fertilization in West Africa

Nitrate is prone to leaching in the sandy soils of the West African moist savannas. Better management of nitrogen (N) resources and maize cultivars with enhanced genetic capacity to capture and utilize soil and fertilizer N are strategies that could improve N-use efficiency. In two field experiments conducted at Zaria, northern Nigeria, five maize (Zea mays L.) cultivars planted early in the season were assessed under various N levels for differences in N uptake, soil N dynamics, and related N losses. Cultivar TZB-SR accumulated more N in the aboveground plant parts in both years than the other cultivars. All, except the semi-prolific late (SPL) variety, met about 50–60% of their N demand by the time of silking (64–69 DAP). In both years, SPL had the greatest capacity to take up N during the grain filling period, and it had the highest grain-N concentration and the least apparent N loss through leaching in the second year. There were no significant differences in soil N dynamics among cultivars in both years. At harvest, the residual N in the upper 90 cm of the profile under all the cultivars ranged from 56 to 72 kg ha⁻¹ in the first year and from 73 to 83 kg ha⁻¹ in the second year. Apparent N loss from 0 to 90 cm soil profile through leaching ranged from 35 to 122 kg ha⁻¹ in both years. N application significantly increased N uptake by more than 30% at all sampling dates in the second year of the experiment, but had no effect on apparent N loss. Results indicate that the use of maize cultivars with high N uptake capacity during the grain filling period when maximum leaching losses occur could enhance N recovery and may be effective in reducing leaching losses of mineral N in the moist savanna soils.     

广西南部三叠纪强过铝质火成岩岩石化学特征的动力学意义

为深化对广西南部地区印支期造山运动深部动力学机制的理解,采用该地区三叠纪强过铝质火成岩的岩石化学数据提取其源区熔融温度以及成分特征方面的信息。结果显示:广西南部三叠纪强过铝质火成岩属于高钾钙碱性系列,形成于印支期后碰撞构造背景中。它们的Al2O3/TiO2小于100,CaO/Na2O多数大于0 3、少数小于0 3。同时,这些强过铝质火成岩的Al2O3/TiO2与其SiO2含量有正相关趋势,而CaO/Na2O与SiO2含量呈明显的负相关关系。这些岩石化学特征表明,强过铝质火成岩部分源于泥质岩的部分熔融,部分源于砂岩或正变质岩的部分熔融,但不排除后者可能是泥质岩部分熔融产物和玄武质岩浆相混合的结果;同时这些强过铝质火成岩形成源区的温度高(>=875℃)。因此,广西南部三叠纪时期的深部能量来自以底侵玄武岩浆加热作用所体现出来的软流圈地幔的平流热传递过程。