高速公路连拱隧道开挖三维稳定性分析

通过对金丽温高速公路湾连拱隧道工程区的地质特征的详细分析和现场调查,系统研究了湾隧道开挖及加固全过程的围岩应力场、变形场的状况及变化特征。结果表明,湾连拱隧道围岩应变率较高,围岩衬砌后的位移值比未衬砌时减小了50%,采用目前的衬砌类型后,衬砌变形将较大幅度地变小,衬砌应变值基本满足要求;虽然围岩拉应力值随着隧道的开挖逐渐变大,除局部位置外,衬砌整体基本满足抗拉的要求。     

长江流域能源利用效率研究

考察长江流域四川、重庆、湖南、湖北 、江西、安徽、浙江、江苏、上海七省二市能源利用效率,比较分析其差异以及原因,寻求提高能源利用效率的途径。首先定义能源利用效率为能源通过要素优化配置产生的技术效率,然后利用数据包络DEA和全要素效率SFA方法进行测度,最后通过比较拉氏指数与迪氏指数的优劣,采用迪氏指数法对能源利用效率影响因素进行分解。计算出七省二市及六部门1997~2006年GDP能耗、能源技术效率和能源利用效率,并分析了结构调整、技术进步和制度进化对能源效率的影响程度。研究表明：（1）结构调整是提高能源利用效率的有力措施;（2）技术进步和制度进化是提高能源利用效率的关键;（3）能源利用效率研究方法应尽量统一并不断改进.     

从全混流反应器热稳定性的角度探讨高危工艺的危险性

通过对全混流反应器(CSTR)热平衡条件下多态的分析,探讨热稳定性条件,并对一级不可逆反应在CSTR中的热稳定性进行定性分析;探讨不同反应热和活化能对反应过程热稳定性的影响,及其对反应器发生"飞温"事故要求紧急停车时的控制要求的影响,进而从反应工程的角度对高危工艺的界定提出新的思路。分析结果表明,工艺的危险性不仅与工艺的种类相关,更与工艺本身的热力学、动力学特征密切相关。通过对高危工艺的热稳定状况的分析,能够动态地揭示其在温度扰动下发生"飞温"或"熄火"的过程,从本质上把握高危工艺潜在的危险性,并能有针对性地制定自动化改造方案,提高化工企业的本质安全度。     

基于支持向量机的边坡稳定性预测研究

针对边坡稳定性影响因素复杂,传统的稳定性分析存在计算量大、计算过程复杂的问题,提出了边坡稳定性的支持向量机预测方法。分析了边坡稳定性的影响因素,选择影响边坡稳定性的边坡重度、内聚力、摩擦角、边坡角、边坡高度、孔隙压力比6项指标为特征向量。并运行该方法对典型边坡实例进行了预测,预测结果与边坡稳定性实际状态及其它方法预测结果相吻合,表明了支持向量机在边坡稳定性预测中的可靠性和有效性。     

Evaluation of oasis ecosystem risk by reliability theory in an arid area： A case study in the Shiyang River Basin, China

Ecosystem risk is a new concept in understanding environmental problems. It is important to study and develop quantitative methods for regional ecosystem risk analysis. In this study, some new indicators and methods for measuring oasis ecosystem risk were established using reliability theory. These indicators are linked to water resource, which is the key restricting factor in arid area oasis ecosystems. They have clear meanings and can also be compared in different arid area oases. A case study in the Liangzhou oasis of the Shiyang River Basin in China shows how to calculate these ecosystem risk indicators. The results of the case study are as follows： the reliability indicator, risk indicator, stability indicator, and integrated loss indicator of the Liangzhou oasis are 0.686, 0.314, 0.743, and 0.301, respectively. This means that the reliability degree of the oasis＇s ecosystem safety is 68.6%; the degree of risk that it is unsafe is 31.4%; the stability degree is 74.3%; and 30.1% of the oasis＇s area is supported by over-exploiting underground water and damaging the lower reaches of the ecosystem. This result can be used as a guide in controlling and managing ecosystem risk in the research area.     

An approach to tackling the environmental and health impacts of municipal solid waste disposal in developing countries

Indiscriminate disposal of municipal solid waste in developing countries poses severe environmental and health threats. The study proposes a new method for dealing with these problems. The hybrid structural interaction matrix (HSIM) was used to prioritise major identifiable environmental health factors arising from improper solid waste disposal. The simplistic resource allocation model was adopted to ensure optimality in the allocation of resources to prioritised factors. The study indicates that tackling environmental health impacts from the most prioritised negative disposal factors through optimal allocation of resources, will either reduce or eliminate the impacts associated with subsequent less prioritised factors that are direct consequences of the highly prioritised negative factors. The method proposed will aid decision makers in knowing which set of systemic factors are to be given preference and to what extent at given periods in time.     

Diversity–stability relationships revisited: scaling rules for biological communities near equilibrium

The debate on diversity–stability relationships has a long history of theoretical interest and plays a central role in development of modern ecology. But such debate has recently re-opened under critical scrutiny both in theoretical and empirical studies. In this paper we use allometric (or energetic) scaling and statistical physics approaches to this problem. On the basis of local Damuth symmetry, a Markov model of transfer of energy between different species, and the fluctuation–dissipation theorem, scaling rules of species number and population variability of biological communities near equilibrium are derived. These scaling rules indicate that the diversity–stability relationship may be an energetic and thermodynamic consequence of ecological systems near equilibrium, not a simple statistical consequence as derived by other recent theoretical work.     

基于车桥耦合振动分析的桥梁损伤诊断方法评述

车辆通过桥梁时,桥梁和车辆的动力响应都包含桥梁结构模态或者几何参数信息,对它们进行分析能识别桥梁的模态参数和损伤。结合国内外最新研究成果,综述基于车桥耦合振动分析的桥梁结构损伤识别技术,并与传统识别方法进行比较。指出其优缺点;详细介绍基于灵敏度分析和模型修正的方法、基于结构刚度搜索的方法、利用车辆响应傅立叶变换识别桥梁频率的方法、利用车激桥梁响应的小波变换识别桥梁模态参数的方法以及综合利用车辆和桥梁响应识别桥梁损伤的方法等5种参数识别与损伤诊断方法的基本原理,并总结上述方法的实施步骤和应用时应该注意的问题;指出了该领域的关键问题和进一步的研究方向。     

安全氛围对企业安全行为的影响研究

国外大量研究表明,安全氛围调查在改进企业的安全行为方面有积极的作用,为组织制订未来的安全政策提供依据。本研究通过查阅文献、国外类似的诊断调查工具及软件,根据所提出的理论假设,采用线性结构方程建模的方法,构建了本研究的LISREL理论模型,并设计了相应的调查问卷和量表。从所建立的安全氛围的三个构面(安全管理、安全认知、安全态度)入手探讨企业的安全氛围对企业的安全行为(两个构面:安全执行、安全处理)的影响。本研究采用问卷调查的方式采集数据,将所得资料用SPSS11.0和LISREL8.3软件来分析处理和检验研究假设,研究结果为实证单位改进企业的安全行为提供了帮助。     

安徽繁昌滑坡群形成机理及稳定性分析

安徽繁昌滑坡群为沿江高速公路施工诱发的工程滑坡,滑坡群形成主要受区域地质构造背景、物质组成、地形地貌、结构面特征、岩体风化程度等诸多地质环境条件控制,作为大型土质堆积体滑坡群在长江沿江丘陵地区比较少见,就其成因背景、形成机理及稳定性进行论证分析,并对其进行分级分区,有针对性的提出了该滑坡群的治理方案。