中国经济增长与耕地资源数量变化阶段性特征研究——协整分析及Granger因果检验

利用Eviews 6.0软件,基于协整分析与Granger因果关系检验方法,探讨经济增长和耕地资源数量变化的相互关系和相互作用,以协调耕地保护和经济发展的矛盾。研究结果表明,不同经济增长阶段,我国耕地资源数量变化与经济增长存在长期均衡关系;自1952年以来,我国经济增长和耕地资源数量变化经历了3个阶段,具体表现为:(1)互为因果(1952～1978年),这一阶段农业在国民经济中具有重要地位,耕地的产出在经济增长中占据较大的份额;(2)前者是后者的Granger原因(1978～1992年),此阶段耕地资源投入量顺应了经济增长的要求,发挥了自己应有的作用;(3)后者是前者的Granger原因(1992～2008年),耕地资源作为要素投入支撑了经济的低质量增长,由此产生了重复建设、土地低效利用等问题。因此,关注经济增长和耕地资源数量变化在不同经济发展阶段的均衡关系,发现其中的规律,掌握其中的因果变化趋势,适时调整土地政策以适应经济增长的要求是亟待解决的战略问题。     

中国城镇化与土地集约利用关系的动态计量分析

在测度城镇化与土地集约利用的基础上,运用动态计量经济模型探讨城镇化与土地集约利用的相互作用。研究结果表明：（1）城镇化与土地集约利用均为一阶单整序列;（2）城镇化与土地集约利用之间存在长期均衡关系,但短期内却存在失衡,短期波动向长期均衡趋近的调整幅度达到18.98%;（3）城镇化是土地集约利用的Granger原因,而反向关系得不到实证支持;（4）土地集约利用对来自城镇化的冲击响应强烈,城镇化的冲击对土地集约利用的解释水平达到了90%,而城镇化对来自土地集约利用的冲击响应较弱,土地集约利用的冲击对城镇化的解释水平仅为3%。因此,应采取长期而非短期的策略,有序推进城镇化进程,加强土地利用监督管理,不断提高土地资源集约利用水平     

场地土壤六价铬污染治理试验研究

为深入研究唐山市老自行车厂场区六价铬污染机理和确定治理方案,本文通过一系列的浸泡和土柱试验,查明了六价铬在场地包气带中的污染原理和硫酸亚铁还原固定治理土壤六价铬污染的可行性与相关参数。试验结果表明:污染场地内包气带中六价铬的运移主要受吸附和解析作用的控制。使用PH值为3.0,质量浓度为2.4%的硫酸亚铁溶液作为治理药剂,可将污染场地包气带中93.24%的六价铬去除。     

The toxicity of composted sediments from Mediterranean ports evaluated by several bioassays

This work investigates the ecotoxicological evaluation of contaminated dredged sediments from French Mediterranean navy harbour (A), commercial port (B) and two composite specimens (C) and (D) coming from the mixture of A and B with other port sediments. The toxicity of elutriates from these sediments is estimated using embryo-toxicity test, Microtox® solid phase test, LuminoTox, phytotoxicity tests and genotoxicity test. Bioassay responses are not clearly correlated with chemical contamination in the whole sediment and vary as a function of tested organisms. The highest contaminated samples (A and C) are almost always more toxic than the less contaminated samples (B and D). Among composite sediments, the mixture effect with other sediments is not efficient to decrease toxicity in sample C, suggesting that other parameters influence toxicity level such as particle size or organic matter content. These parameters should be taken into consideration in order to improve the efficiency of the mixture process and produce composite sediments with low toxicity.     

A GIS-based technique for linking landscape characteristics to non-point source nitrogen export potential: implications for contributing areas management

A Nitrate-N Leaching Index (NLI) is calculated and the results indicate that nitrogen loss in the study area occurs through both leaching and surface runoff. A non-linear regression model of trapping efficiency was combined with a first order decay model to examine the impact of soil characteristics, slope, vegetative cover, land use and distance to streams on the spatial pattern of non-point source nitrogen inputs to streams. The model evaluates the statistical significance of each landscape factor and provides an easy interpretation of the landscape delivery ratio of nitrogen based on a pixel-based characterisation of the watershed. The model was validated by comparing the distributions of the observed and estimated monthly nitrogen concentrations. The exploratory GIS-based method presented here can improve the understanding of the impact of landscape characteristics on nitrate-nitrogen contributing areas and therefore assist watershed management efforts.     

符合NEBS认证要求的高低温自动测试系统设计

针对NEBS认证标准的要求,本文提出了一种符合该标准要求的高低温自动测试系统设计方案,该方案能有效改善测试点控温精度和温度波动度,减少人工干预,防止设备故障。     

混凝土结构使役环境中氯离子浓度控制系统设计

本文结合湖北省自然科学基金项目"混凝土结构使役环境的智能模拟(2008CDB396)",在前期"211工程"项目"单轴约束可调式混凝土温度应力试验机"研究基础上,针对现有混凝土耐久性试验机在侵蚀溶液注入与氯离子浓度控制环境的空白,采用C51单片机为控制器,设计了一种混凝土结构使役环境中氯离子浓度控制系统,用于自动调节混凝土耐久性实验,模拟实验环境箱内的侵蚀溶液氯离子浓度,保证混凝土耐久性实验试件所处环境氯离子浓度稳定在设定的范围。系统采用溶液缓冲调节与循环注入方式,控制单元采用直读式离子浓度控制器,信号采集更方便。本系统不仅结构简洁,工作可靠性高,还能减少人力浪费,提高运行经济性。     

Epiphytic lichen diversity in central European oak forests: Assessment of the effects of natural environmental factors and human influences

We investigated lichen diversity in temperate oak forests using standardized protocols. Forty-eight sites were sampled in the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary. The effects of natural environmental predictors and human influences on lichen diversity (lichen diversity value, species richness) were analysed by means of correlation tests. We found that lichen diversity responded differently to environmental predictors between two regions with different human impact. In the industrial region, air pollution was the strongest factor. In the agricultural to highly forested regions, lichen diversity was strongly influenced by forest age and forest fragmentation. We found that several natural factors can in some cases obscure the effect of human influences. Thus, factors of naturality gradient must be considered (both statistically and interpretively) when studying human impact on lichen diversity.     

Variability of sediment-contact tests in freshwater sediments with low-level anthropogenic contamination - Determination of toxicity thresholds

Freshwater sediments with low levels of anthropogenic contamination and a broad range of geochemical properties were investigated using various sediment-contact tests in order to study the natural variability and to define toxicity thresholds for the various toxicity endpoints. Tests were performed with bacteria (Arthrobacter globiformis), yeast (Saccharomyces cerevisiae), nematodes (Caenorhabditis elegans), oligochaetes (Lumbriculus variegatus), higher plants (Myriophyllum aquaticum), and the eggs of zebrafish (Danio rerio). The variability in the response of some of the contact tests could be explained by particle size distribution and organic content. Only for two native sediments could a pollution effect not be excluded. Based on the minimal detectable difference (MDD) and the maximal tolerable inhibition (MTI), toxicity thresholds (% inhibition compared to the control) were derived for each toxicity parameter: >20% for plant growth and fish-egg survival, >25% for nematode growth and oligochaete reproduction, >50% for nematode reproduction and >60% for bacterial enzyme activity.     

硝酸盐对富磷剩余污泥厌氧消化的影响试验

以某采用 A/O 生物除磷工艺水质净化厂排出的富磷剩余污泥为研究对象,利用棕色消化瓶设计了 4 组厌氧消化试验,通过向其中投加NaNO3,考察硝酸盐对污泥消化过程的影响.结果表明,硝酸盐的存在导致 VSS 平均变化速率比空白样快 28.09 mg/(L·d),并且对污泥消化过程中的产甲烷阶段有一定的抑制作用;当硝酸盐存在时,厌氧氨氧化作用的发生导致上清液中的 N-NH4 变化速率减慢,硝酸盐对污泥消化过程中磷的释放有明显的抑制作用,当硝酸盐浓度高于 60 mg/L时,抑制作用明显.