风险严重度指数法在毒气泄漏评价中的应用

为评价某区域或某设备潜在的毒气泄漏事故场景的风险水平,以对不同的风险等级进行风险控制和安全规划,详细介绍了工业事故风险评估方法ARAMIS所采用的风险严重度指数法.首先基于事故频率和后果的风险矩阵选取毒气泄漏事故场景;然后运用毒气当量浓度计算任意暴露时间下不同风险严重度等级所对应的特征距离,并根据同一风险等级内风险严重度指数与距离的线性关系计算任意点的风险严重度指数;最后应用1个实例分析了考虑所研究区域的风向概率后对风险严重度指数的真实影响,便于工厂或企业识别不同的风险等级,进行不同场景下风险水平的对比性研究,为其安全设计及风险分析提供了一种新的评估方法.     

Surveying of aquatic insect diversity of Chandrabhaga river,Garhwal Himalayas

Aquatic insect diversity in the Chandrabhaga, an important headwater stream of Garhwal Himalayas, was surveyed for a period of twelve months (October 1999 to September 2000). All the important physico-chemical environmental variables (temperature, water velocity, hydromedian depth, transparency, turbidity, total dissolved solids, pH, alkalinity, dissolved oxygen, free CO₂, nitrates, phosphates, sodium and potassium) of the aquatic ecosystem were measured monthly for one year. Aquatic insects were sampled from three sites (S₁, S₂ & S₃) of the headwater stream Chandrabhaga. Aquatic insects of Chandrabhaga were represented by the members of the orders of Ephemeroptera, Trichoptera, Coleoptera, Diptera, Plecoptera and Odonata. The maximum density of aquatic insects was recorded in the month of March (4,165 ind. m⁻²) and minimum in the month of August (680 ind. m⁻²). The annual contribution of Trichoptera (38%) and Ephemeroptera (32%) was observed to be maximum, while Odonata contributed minimum (2%) to the total aquatic insect density. The present study on the relationship between physico-chemical environmental variables and the density of aquatic insects revealed that the velocity of water, hydromedian depth, turbidity and dissolved oxygen in addition to composition and texture of the bottom substrates have significant impact on benthic aquatic insects’ density and their diversity. The ecological relevance of the measured hydrological attributes was investigated by composing their degree of correlation with insects density and diversity. The diversity index (Shannon–Weiner) of aquatic insects dwelling in the Chandrabhaga river ranged from 2.54 to 3.86. Some of the natural and anthropogenic environmental factors contributing towards the degradation of the watershed of the Chandrabhaga have been identified, and ameliorative measures for the conservation of the aquatic insect diversity have been suggested.     

当前社会实行生态管理的探讨

生态管理作为一种管理理念日益受到关注,生态管理以人为本,以提升人的生活品质、促进人类与社会、自然界的共同进步为终极目标,不仅是实现可持续发展的重要途径,而且对构建和谐社会也有重大意义。     

Heavy Metal Distribution in Valley Sediments in Wadi Al-Karak Catchment Area, South Jordan

Valley sediments samples collected from the major and minor valleys of Al-Karak catchment area (southern Jordan) were leached with hot dilute HCl and analysed for their heavy metals content. The results of leachable metal concentrations indicated the absence of anomalous values for metal occurrences. However, appreciable contamination of the sediments with Cu, Zn, Pb, Cd and Cr was observed. Using an index of pollution the extent of contamination was better delineated. The geographical distribution of the samples showed higher Cu, Zn, Pb, Cd and Cr concentrations mainly around heavily inhabited areas indicating an anthropogenic source of contamination. Lithological influence indicated from the anomalies of Fe and Mn was found to be very low.     

区域易损性分析、评估及易损度区划：—以重庆市为例

根据重庆市建国50年来的灾害统计资料,选取灾害密度、灾害频数、经济（GDP）损失模数、生命易损模数等易损性评价指标,在详尽分析了重庆市各区县市易性的基础上,对重庆市各区县市的脆弱性和易损强度进行了综合评估,并且计算出了各区县市的易损度,结合GIS方法对重庆进行了易损度区划。并借此提出域易损性分析、评估的模式、为区域防灾、减灾规划提供科学依据。     

泥石流灾情评估指标体系

泥石流灾情评估指标体系的建立应满足适用性、完备性、可比性、综合性和系统性原则,而指标的选取还应在一定的要求下确定。依据上述原则,在泥石流灾情网络分析结果的基础上,建立了评估指标体系的结构层次模型,进而对各类灾情评估指标进行了分析,确定出评估泥石流灾情的具体指标和因子。最后建立了以成灾度为目标层,经济损失,社会影响,环境损害为准则层。评估指标和评估因子为指标层的泥石流灾情评估指标体系。     

应用ICE和PCA方法评价硝基芳烃的综合毒性

应用种间相关估算(ICE)方法预测50种硝基芳烃缺失的生物毒性数据,对通过ICE计算获得的各种生物毒性数据进行主成分分析(PCA),计算综合毒性因子(ITI),进行综合毒性评价.结果表明,除了黄瓜种子发芽抑制毒性以外,其他各种生物毒性都在1%的显著水平上呈显著的线性正相关.硝基芳烃的这些生物毒性机制基本相似,因此应用ICE方法预测其毒性数据是可行的.QSAR分析表明,ITI与分子最低未占轨道能E_lumo有显著的相关性,r=0.869,表明亲电反应性是硝基芳烃的各种生物毒性所综合反映的主要致毒机理.基于ICE和PCA方法计算得到的ITI与基于QSAR和PCA方法计算得到的ITI的大小趋势具有一致性,ICE与PCA方法的联合应用可以成功地评价和预测硝基芳烃的综合毒性.     

城市河流栖息地评价方法与应用

维持河流生物完整性必须要有良好的栖息地条件.城市河流栖息地评价是城市河流治理和管理的前提和基础.城市河流栖息地评价基准与城市河流栖息地特征密切关联.基于可拓学物元概念和其发散性特征,以及前人的研究,建立了包含水质、形态结构、水动力和水生生物4个类别要素的适应于城市河流健康修复实践的栖息地质量评价指标体系,同时,结合层次分析法建立了多级可拓物元评价模型,并在评价过程中引入可拓学诊断方法以确定影响栖息地质量的关键因子.将以上方法应用于镇江市古运河,结合古运河修复目标和现状条件建立了相应的指标评价标准.经过1a多时间的野外调查,在古运河上选择6个500m长特征河段,分别对其栖息地、要素质量进行比较评价.结果表明,古运河整体栖息地及水质、水动力和水生生物质量均较差;诊断分析表明,水动力和水质为影响栖息地质量的主要因素,水质污染指数、透明度、流量满足率和纵向连续性为影响古运河栖息地质量的主要因子,并根据评价结果对古运河栖息地修复提出了建议.     

模拟扰动条件下太湖水体悬浮物的结构特性

设计了1个水体扰动模拟实验装置, 通过该装置中的光散射分析仪和图象采集、分析系统,能在线记录底泥受到不同强度扰动时水体中悬浮颗粒物的变化过程.利用该装置,研究了太湖梅梁湾3个采样点的底泥在受到不同强度扰动后,水体浊度变化规律和悬浮颗粒物结构特性.结果表明,底泥含水率及粒度分布对底泥受扰动后再悬浮的潜力有较大影响,含水率越高,再悬浮的潜力越大.随着扰动强度增大,水体的浊度相应增加,水体中悬浮颗粒物中值粒径也增大,分别从6.63, 5.79, 5.51 μm上升到12.49, 11.38, 13.33 μm.悬浮颗粒物图象分析表明,颗粒物在扰动中发生聚集、絮凝过程.颗粒物图象的形态学分析表明,悬浮颗粒物形状呈现分形现象,颗粒物的长短比在1.27～1.52之间,分形维数D₂则在1.72～1.94之间.     

碧塔海自然保护区景观空间格局研究

在地理信息系统(GIS)与遥感(RS)技术的支持下,选择多种定量指数对滇西北高原典型湿地区———碧塔海自然保护区进行了空间格局分析研究。通过分析,揭示了研究区景观空间格局的结构和特征及受扰程度,为研究区的湿地资源利用与保护提供了科学依据和决策支持。