煤与瓦斯突出预测的QGA-LSSVM模型

为快速、有效地对煤与瓦斯突出类型作出预测,运用灰色关联和因子分析模型对所选主要的判别指标进行分析提取,利用量子遗传算法(QGA)对最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)的参数作寻优处理,最终建立QGA-LSSVM煤与瓦斯突出预测模型。选取从砚石台矿区历史实测的数据,以96∶20的比例对该模型进行训练与测试,并将预测结果与其他预测模型的预测效果进行了比较。研究结果表明:对判别指标进行灰色关联分析可以有效去除对煤与瓦斯突出影响作用小的指标;用因子分析进行公共因子提取,可以有效减少数据信息冗余;利用QGA优化的LSSVM模型能使结果避免陷入局部最优解,用该模型可以有效预测煤与瓦斯突出类型,误判率为0。     

Assessing sustainable development in urban areas using cognitive mapping and MCDA

As interest in sustainability-related issues has increased over recent years, so too has urban sustainability risen to the fore, in academic, practitioner, and policymaking circles alike. Urban sustainability requires a balance between environmental concerns, the economy, and social development in urban areas. However, over the years, there has been an exponential increase in urban density, accompanied by increased economic activity and high levels of consumption, which have hindered urban planning and made the sustainable management of urban areas more difficult. It has therefore become increasingly necessary to combine the interests of the various stakeholders involved in – or affected by – urban planning measures, in order to achieve a balance between their needs, those of the environment and future generations, and the need for economic development. Sustainability evaluation models can in this sense be considered a baseline condition for sustainable development. However, most existing evaluation systems present limitations in terms of criteria identification and the calculation of the respective trade-offs. To address these issues, the current study aims to combine cognitive mapping and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to prioritize the determinants of sustainable development in urban areas. The advantages and limitations of our proposal are also analyzed.     

“NEW” resource recovery from wastewater using bioelectrochemical systems: Moving forward with functions

Bioelectrochemical systems (BES) have been extensively studied for resource recovery from wastewater. By taking advantage of interactions between microorganisms and electrodes, BES can accomplish wastewater treatment while simultaneously recovering various resources including nutrients, energy and water (“NEW”). Despite much progress in laboratory studies, BES have not been advanced to practical applications. This paper aims to provide some subjective opinions and a concise discussion of several key challenges in BES-based resource recovery and help identify the potential application niches that may guide further technological development. In addition to further increasing recovery efficiency, it is also important to have more focus on the applications of the recovered resources such as how to use the harvested electricity and gaseous energy and how to separate the recovered nutrients in an energy-efficient way. A change in mindset for energy performance of BES is necessary to understand overall energy production and consumption. Scaling up BES can go through laboratory scale, transitional scale, and then pilot scale. Using functions as driving forces for BES research and development will better guide the investment of efforts.

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Evaluating the social and ecological effectiveness of partially protected marine areas

Marine protected areas (MPAs) are a primary tool for the stewardship, conservation, and restoration of marine ecosystems, yet 69% of global MPAs are only partially protected (i.e., are open to some form of fishing). Although fully protected areas have well-documented outcomes, including increased fish diversity and biomass, the effectiveness of partially protected areas is contested. Partially protected areas may provide benefits in some contexts and may be warranted for social reasons, yet social outcomes often depend on MPAs achieving their ecological goals to distinguish them from open areas and justify the cost of protection. We assessed the social perceptions and ecological effectiveness of 18 partially protected areas and 19 fully protected areas compared with 19 open areas along 7000 km of coast of southern Australia. We used mixed methods, gathering data via semistructured interviews, site surveys, and Reef Life (underwater visual census) surveys. We analyzed qualitative data in accordance with grounded theory and quantitative data with multivariate and univariate linear mixed-effects models. We found no social or ecological benefits for partially protected areas relative to open areas in our study. Partially protected areas had no more fish, invertebrates, or algae than open areas; were poorly understood by coastal users; were not more attractive than open areas; and were not perceived to have better marine life than open areas. These findings provide an important counterpoint to some large-scale meta-analyses that conclude partially protected areas can be ecologically effective but that draw this conclusion based on narrower measures. We argue that partially protected areas act as red herrings in marine conservation because they create an illusion of protection and consume scarce conservation resources yet provide little or no social or ecological gain over open areas. Fully protected areas, by contrast, have more fish species and biomass and are well understood, supported, and valued by the public. They are perceived to have better marine life and be improving over time in keeping with actual ecological results. Conservation outcomes can be improved by upgrading partially protected areas to higher levels of protection including conversion to fully protected areas.     

电子垃圾拆解区土壤-农作物系统中镉元素的空间分布特征及其风险评价

随着电子垃圾的与日俱增,电子垃圾拆解活动导致的土壤重金属污染受到众多研究者的关注.为了探究电子垃圾拆解区周边土壤-农作物系统中镉的污染状况和空间分布特征,本研究采集了171对土壤和农作物样品进行系统解析.结果表明,根茎类、叶菜类、茄果类和水果类农作物土壤中镉含量分别为（1.292±0.647）、（1.010±0.201）、（0.921±0.125）和（0.861±0.135） mg·kg^-1,均值分别是浙江省土壤镉含量背景值的10.0、7.8、7.1和6.3倍,是农用地土壤污染风险筛选值的4.31、3.4、3.07和2.72倍,说明镉在土壤中累积明显.而农作物只有少部分超过食品安全限值,而且不同种类农作物对镉的富集能力的大小顺序为：叶菜类 > 根茎类 > 茄果类 > 水果类.单因子污染指数和潜在生态风险评价结果显示,研究区土壤镉污染严重且有高度的潜在生态风险.健康评价模型发现,手-口摄入重金属是造成当地居民健康风险的主要途径,而且重金属镉暴露对儿童造成的健康风险高于成人,但是该地区单一重金属镉污染暂时不会威胁到当地居民的身体健康.Moran''s I指数以及克里格插值结果揭示了镉具有显著的空间自相关性,存在明显的空间分布格局和局部空间聚集现象,且高值主要集中在电子垃圾拆解区周围,与电子垃圾拆解活动存在显著相关性.     

2种基于模式识别的环状燃气管网泄漏检测方法

为了将模式识别技术应用于环状燃气管网泄漏检测并找到合适的特征提取方法,以天津城建大学实验室环状燃气管网泄漏为例,将实验的28种工况作为测试样本,与之对应的模拟工况作为训练样本,采用提取压力图像特征向量法和节点压力矩阵法分别进行环状燃气管网的泄漏检测,采用支持向量机分类器将2种方法获得的特征向量进行训练与分类检验,进而将其分类准确率进行对比分析。研究结果表明:该2种方法均可用于环状燃气管网泄漏检测,提取压力图像特征向量法因有效地降低了特征向量的维度和数据波动的干扰,其结果更优。结合SCADA和GIS系统,可将该法应用于实际水、气、油管网泄漏检测和定位,有助于降低成本,提高检测效果。     

Consumption-based accounting of CO2 emissions in the sustainable development Goals Agenda

In 2017 the paper ‘The Sustainable Development Oxymoron: Quantifying and Modelling the Incompatibility of Sustainable Development Goals’ was published, showing that there is a conflict between socio-economic development goals and ecological sustainability goals using cross-country time-series data. The authors looked at production-based CO2 emissions to measure and model the 13^th SDG goal addressing climate change. Their models showed that production-based CO2 emissions were stalling or even decreasing in rich countries, which suggests that other countries are also likely to see stalling and decrease in their CO2 emissions once they become rich. However, this conclusion can be challenged when accounting for consumption-based CO2 emissions rather than production-based CO2 emissions. In this follow-up paper, we re-run some of the analyses performed in the original paper making use of consumption-based CO2 emissions. The analysis confirms the inherent SDG conflict between socio-economic and ecological SDGs. But, this new analysis demonstrates that from a consumption perspective the trend of stalling or decreasing CO2 emissions is reversed, with natural depletion costs being exported to poorer countries. Despite this new perspective on CO2 emissions, the conflict between SDG goals can still be avoided by making investments in public health, education and renewable energy, as suggested in the original paper.     

Process and technological aspects of municipal solid waste gasification. A review

The paper proposes a critical assessment of municipal solid waste gasification today, starting from basic aspects of the process (process types and steps, operating and performance parameters) and arriving to a comparative analysis of the reactors (fixed bed, fluidized bed, entrained bed, vertical shaft, moving grate furnace, rotary kiln, plasma reactor) as well as of the possible plant configurations (heat gasifier and power gasifier) and the environmental performances of the main commercially available gasifiers for municipal solid wastes. The analysis indicates that gasification is a technically viable option for the solid waste conversion, including residual waste from separate collection of municipal solid waste. It is able to meet existing emission limits and can have a remarkable effect on reduction of landfill disposal option.     

WATER RESERVOIR SYSTEMS1

. Water Reservoir Systems were investigated for urban areas as an alternative or complement to storm water drainage systems for flood control which could provide benefits in water conservation and reduce drainage system costs. The study consisted of: (1) gathering of engineering data on the topographical, hydrological, and precipitation characteristics of the area and urban development and economic statistics     

火灾作用后RC简支梁抗弯承载力试验研究和可靠度分析

建筑物发生火灾后 ,结构的力学性能如何变化一直是研究人员普遍关注的热点问题。但是火灾对建筑物的影响因素较为复杂 ,这些问题至今还没有得到很好的解决。笔者通过试验研究了 11根三面受火钢筋混凝土简支梁在不同初始荷载和配筋下的火灾后抗弯承载力和可靠度 ,并进行了比较。试验结果表明 :在其他条件相同仅配筋不同时 ,钢筋配置适当增加 ,火灾后抗弯承载力下降减少 ,钢筋混凝土梁的抗火能力增强 ;在其他条件相同仅初始荷载不同时 ,初始荷载增加 ,抗弯承载力下降增加 ,火灾后可靠度的下降幅度也增加。试验研究为钢筋混凝土梁的抗火设计和火灾后的修复和加固提供了参考依据。