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81.
82.
C. S. Withers D. P. Krouse C. P. Pearson S. Nadarajah 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2009,14(2):231-249
If global warming is accelerating, then one might expect temperatures for most stations to be accelerating and perhaps variability
to be increasing. In this study, we examine 57 New Zealand temperature time series for evidence of non-linearity and changing
variability. These correspond to time series for annual minima, annual means and annual maxima for 19 stations. Estimation
is by an extended least-squares method. We find a surprising diversity of behaviour of these series – presumably reflecting
their different geographic factors as well as series length. We give evidence of regions where temperatures are decreasing. For series where a linear trend is significant, it is downwards in about one third of the cases. This proportion was higher in the South Island, especially for series of minima. Where a
non-linear trend is significant, temperatures are decelerating in about one half of the cases. The ratio of downward to upward trends is highest among annual maxima and South Island minima
and smallest in annual means. Where a linear trend in the variability is significant, it is decreasing in 13 cases and increasing in 5 cases, although possibly this is partly due to poorer quality
data last century. Where a non-linear trend in the variability is significant, variability is decelerating in about two thirds of the cases. The results are used to project upper and lower return levels of minima, means and maxima
for each of the series to the year 2010. 相似文献
83.
Chandrasekharan H Sarangi A Nagarajan M Singh VP Rao DU Stalin P Natarajan K Chandrasekaran B Anbazhagan S 《Journal of environmental management》2008,89(1):63-72
In this study, the Tsunami-caused deterioration of soil and groundwater quality in the agricultural fields of coastal Nagapattinam district of Tamilnadu state in India is presented by analyzing their salinity and sodicity parameters. To accomplish this, three sets of soil samples up to a depth of 30cm from the land surface were collected for the first six months of the year 2005 from 28 locations and the ground water samples were monitored from seven existing dug wells and hand pumps covering the study region at intervals of 3 months. The EC and pH values of both the soil and ground water samples were estimated and the spatial and temporal variability mappings of these parameters were performed using the geostatistical analysis module of ArcGIS((R)). It was observed that the spherical semivariogram fitted well with the data set of both EC and pH and the generated kriged maps explained the spatial and temporal variability under different ranges of EC and pH values. Further, the recorded EC and pH data of soil and ground water during pre-Tsunami periods were compared with the collected data and generated variability soil maps of EC and pH of the post-Tsunami period. It was revealed from this analysis that the soil quality six months after the Tsunami was nearing the pre-Tsunami scenario (EC< 1.5dSm(-1); pH<8), whereas the quality of ground water remained highly saline and unfit for irrigation and drinking. These observations were compared with the ground scenarios of the study region and possible causes for such changes and the remedial measures for taking up regular agricultural practices are also discussed. 相似文献
84.
D. S. Rosa C. G. F. Guedes C. M. Oliveira M. I. Felisberti 《Journal of Polymers and the Environment》2008,16(4):230-240
Mixtures of poly-β-(hydroxybutyrate-co-valerate) PHB-V with virgin and post-consumer low density polyethylene (LDPE) were
prepared by melt mixing in proportions of 100/0, 90/10, 80/20, 70/30 and 0/100 (wt/wt%). The mixtures were analysed by infrared
spectroscopy, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), dynamic mechanical thermal analysis (DMTA), melting flow index (MFI),
tensile tests, scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and biodegradation in simulated soil. The DMTA and DSC curves of post-consumer
LDPE suggested that this polymer was a mixture of LDPE and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE). Virgin and post-consumer
LDPE had lower MFI than PHB-V, but the blends showed higher index as the content of LDPE increased. The addition of LDPE reduced
the tensile strength and Young’s modulus of the mixtures compared with PHB-V. SEM indicated poor interfacial adhesion between
PHB-V and LDPE. PHB-V degraded slow and gradually, while both LDPE showed virtually no degradation under the conditions studied.
The biodegradability of the blends depended on their composition and of the type of LDPE. LDPE improved the biodegradability
of the mixtures. 相似文献
85.
黄河下游历史泥沙灾害的宏观特征及其与流域因素和人类活动的关系(Ⅱ):—人类活动、历史地震及地形因子的影响 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
以历史上黄河下游的决溢频率为泥沙灾害的代用指标,研究了人类活动,历史地震及地形因子对黄河下游历史泥沙灾害的影响,研究表最,人类活动是影响黄河下游泥沙灾害的重要因素,历史上人口的增加使下游决溢频率增大,人口低谷与决溢频率的低值时段相应,历史上农牧交错带的南移与下游决溢频率的减小相伴发生。北移则导致决溢频率的增大,历史地震对黄河下游历史泥沙灾害有一定的影响,黄河下游历史泥沙灾害表现出明显的空间分异,这种分异与平原地貌条件的沿程变化有密切的关系。 相似文献
86.
87.
2002—2012年京津唐PM10变化规律及差异 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
对2002年6月—2012年5月京津唐城市群大气可吸入颗粒物(PM10)质量浓度的长期监测数据进行分析,结合3市的地理、气候气象条件,分析了京津唐城市群大气颗粒物质量浓度的变化特征;根据3市PM10相互之间的发散系数,定量分析了3市PM10变化的差异。结果表明,2002—2012年北京市的PM10质量浓度变化范围为0.012~0.600 mg/m3,天津、唐山2市的PM10质量浓度变化范围分别为0.014~0.600、0.019~0.452 mg/m3。2008、2011年天津市PM10质量浓度年平均值达到二级标准,唐山市从2008年后PM10质量浓度年平均值达到二级标准;北京市PM10质量浓度总体变化趋势为春季秋季冬季夏季,天津、唐山市均为冬季春季秋季夏季,但不同年份的变化趋势略不同;北京-唐山、北京-天津、天津-唐山之间PM10的月度发散系数范围分别为0.402 7~0.159 2、0.406 8~0.142 9、0.323 1~0.107 8,说明空间距离最近的天津-唐山之间大气污染的相互影响较北京-天津、北京-唐山之间大。 相似文献
88.
Árpád Ambrus Zsuzsanna Horváth Júlia Szenczi-Cseh István J. Szabó 《Journal of environmental science and health. Part. B》2018,53(6):394-403
ABSTRACTThe calculation of the combined uncertainty of the international estimated short-term intake (IESTI) of ethephon residues in apples is shown as an example. The ethephon residues in apples were reported by the Joint FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations)/WHO (World Health Organization) Meeting on Pesticide Residues (JMPR). The apple consumption data were taken from the IESTI (international short-term intake) calculation template used by the JMPR. The IESTI was calculated with the currently used method (case 2a) and a proposed one recommended by the EFSA (European Food Safety Authority)/RIVM (Dutch National Institute for Public Health) Scientific Workshop co-sponsored by FAO and WHO. In this example, the ratio of IESTIproposed/IESTIcurrent and their combined relative uncertainty are about 2.8, and 1.7, respectively. The larger IESTI and uncertainty obtained with the proposed equation are the consequence of calculation only with the large portion (LP) instead of its combination with unit mass, and the MRL instead of the highest residue (HR). The LP is the major contributor to the combined uncertainty. Both the calculated IESTI and its combined uncertainty depend on the actual food – pesticide residue combination, and should be calculated for each case. 相似文献
89.
基于地面观测数据,分析了"十一五"和"十二五"期间宁波市酸雨污染特征变化趋势。结果表明,2015年降水pH从2010年的4.37上升到4.89;2010—2015年酸雨发生频率降低了17.4百分点;重酸雨区范围不断缩小,轻酸雨区范围不断扩大,酸雨污染程度有所改善。降水中化学组成变化显示,与"十一五"末相比,2015年除NO_3~-、Cl~-外其他离子浓度均有所下降;2015年SO_3~(2-)与NO_3~-的当量浓度之比从2010年的3.10下降到1.73,表明酸雨污染从硫酸型向硫酸与硝酸混合型转变。 相似文献
90.
为研究火焰脉动在火灾领域相关研究进展,总结了不同燃料类型的火焰脉动形成机理,较为详细地介绍了火焰脉动现象研究中常用的脉动频率测量方法,列举了LDV、TDLAS、自由基团高频采集等新方法;介绍了池火脉动、射流/羽流气体火脉动在不同燃烧器尺寸,不同外部环境和不同燃料比等影响因素方面的研究内容与进展;对常见的3种不同的火焰脉动模型进行描述和归类;对火焰脉动的规律、机理等在火灾领域的早期识别和检测中的作用、特殊条件对于火焰脉动频率的影响和更加精细的火焰脉动模型的研究等方向提出展望。 相似文献