Environmental policy and macroeconomic dynamics in a new Keynesian model

This paper studies the dynamic behavior of an economy under different environmental policy regimes in a New Keynesian model with nominal and real uncertainty. We find the following results: (i) an emissions cap policy is likely to dampen macroeconomic fluctuations; (ii) staggered price adjustment alters significantly the performance of the environmental policy regime put in place; (iii) the optimal environmental policy response to shocks is strongly influenced by the degree to which prices adjust and by the monetary policy reaction.     

深圳市不同区域大气CO2变化特征与来源分析

于2020年12月1日~2021年12月1日分别在深圳市大学城和路边站两点位对大气CO₂和CO浓度进行了为期1a的观测.本次观测期间内两点位大气CO₂平均浓度分别为432×10^-6和439×10^-6,均呈现了“秋冬季高、春夏季低”的季节变化特征与“昼低夜高”日变化特征,且日变化特征在早晚高峰期受到交通源排放的显著影响.此外,通过引入CO₂和CO的净变化值得到大学城和路边站两点位的ΔCO₂/ΔCO值分别为136.8~184.8、59.0~119.3,结果表明机动车排放对深圳市大气CO₂贡献突出.     

System dynamics model for analyzing effects of eco-design policy on packaging waste management system

EU's long-term objective is to become a recycling and resource effective society, where waste is utilized as a resource and waste generation is prevented. A system dynamics model was developed to analyze the policy mechanisms that promote packaging material efficiency in products through increased recycling rates. The model includes economic incentives such as packaging and landfill taxes combined with market mechanisms, behavioral aspects and ecological considerations in terms of material efficiency (the packaging material per product unit, recycled fraction in products). The paper presents the results of application of various policy instruments for increasing packaging material efficiency and recovery rate and reducing landfilled fraction. The results show that a packaging tax is an effective policy instrument for increasing the material efficiency. It ensures the decrease of the total consumption of materials and subsequent waste generation. The tax helps to counteract a rebound effect, which, as identified by the analysis, can be caused by reduced material costs due to eco-design. The model is applied to the case of Latvia. Yet, the elements and structure of the model developed are similar to waste management systems in many countries. By changing numeric values of certain parameters, the model can be applied to analyze policy mechanisms in other countries.     

基于生物质能的芒属（Miscanthus）植物碳动态和收支研究进展

生物质能（Biomass energy）是最为广泛的可再生能源，其中多年生芒属C4植物（Miscanthus）由于具有巨大碳固定能力而成为潜力巨大的生物质能植物。中国是芒属植物芒草起源中心，但相对于欧洲国家应对能源危机和温室效应而采取的芒草研究与应用来说，仍处于起步阶段。我国长期以来传统的草地利用模式，决定了在南方草地的研究显著少于北方，近年来芒草在华南地区的运用研究集中于生态修复，对草本植物群落基于生态系统水平的 CO2气体交换能力的研究仍然相当缺乏，在二氧化碳浓度持续增长及全球变暖背景下，生物质能植物及其碳汇功能的相关研究尤显重要。我国南方近6700万hm2退化丘陵草坡急待恢复或处于恢复中，草坡地芒属植物符合生物质能植物标准，施肥少，害虫少，农药输入少，能够有效地利用光、水等自然资源。考虑到C4植物具有比C3植物更强的光合作用能力，高光能利用率C4芒属植物的碳固定能力及能源潜力值得重视，但缺乏科学的碳动态和碳收支评估。综述了国内外芒草生物量特征与生物质能潜力研究现状，重点论述芒属植物生态系统水平的碳动态和收支能力研究，探讨了系统水平更客观评估芒属碳源汇（Carbon sequestration）功能的方法，基于生物量过程的研究结果及华南地区草坡研究历史和现状，为草坡地生物质能的合理开发利用提出了相关对策，强调在我国南方开发和利用芒属植物资源具有重要能源价值和经济、环境效益。     

Two-Compartment Sorption of Phenanthrene on Eight Soils with Various Organic Carbon Contents

Sorption characteristics of phenanthrene (PHE) were studied on eight soils with organic carbon contents spanning over an order of magnitude using phase distribution relationships (PDRs) at 1 h, 48 h, and 720 h contact times. A new algebraic method was employed to describe the sorption characteristics at different time intervals (between 1 h and 48 h, and 1 h and 720 h). It was found that nonlinearity increased with increasing contact time and sorption that occurred in the subsequent time interval following the initial 1 h exhibited stronger isotherm nonlinearity. Sorption coefficients were positively correlated with the organic carbon contents of the soils. Detailed sorption dynamics were also examined on these soils. A two-compartment, first-order model was used to describe the sorption dynamics. The rate constants of the two compartments differed 18–170 times, suggesting the dissimilar sorption behaviors of the mathematically separated compartments. These two compartments were labeled fast and slow sorption compartment according to the rate constants. Calculation showed that the fast compartment accounted for over 80% of the overall sorption at the initial 1 h, while the slow compartment predominated the total sorption in the following 47 h. By combining the discussion of PDRs and sorption dynamics, the contributions of the two compartments to linear and nonlinear sorption were differentiated. The slow sorption compartment made a major contribution to nonlinear sorption and possibly to sequestration of organic pollutants by these soils.     

Population dynamics of the bank vole as studied using sequence functions

Sequence functions were used to construct a simulation model of the long-term population dynamics of the bank vole in Karelia. The mechanisms of population reproduction control affect the population size if it is greater than 1 and 4 ind./100 trap-days in spring and autumn, respectively.     

Effect of land management on soil microbial N supply to crop N uptake in a dry tropical cropland in Tanzania

In Sub-Saharan Africa, conservation of available soil N during early crop growth, when N loss by leaching generally occurs, is important to improve crop productivity. In a dry tropical cropland in Tanzania, we assessed the potential role of soil microbes as a temporal N sink-source to conserve the available soil N until later crop growth, which generally requires substantial crop N uptake. We evaluated the effect of land management [i.e., no input, plant residue application before planting (P plot) with or without fertilizer application, fertilizer application alone, and non-cultivated plots] on the relationship between soil N pool [microbial biomass N (MBN) and inorganic N] and crop N uptake throughout the ∼120-d crop growth period in two consecutive years. In the P plot, MBN clearly increased (∼14.6-29.6 kg N ha⁻¹) early in the crop growth period in both years because of immobilization of potentially leachable N, and it conserved a larger soil N pool (∼10.5-21.2 kg N ha⁻¹) than in the control plot. Especially in one year in which N leaching was critical, increased MBN maintained a larger soil N pool in the P plot throughout the experimental period, and a delay of increased MB C:N ratio and a substantial decrease in MBN was observed, indicating better soil microbial N supply for crop N uptake during later crop growth. Therefore, plant residue application before planting should enhance the role of soil microbes as a temporal N sink-source, leading to the conservation of potentially leachable N until later phase of crop growth, especially in years in which N leaching is relatively severe. Although further studies are necessary, our results suggest that plant residue application before planting is a promising option to achieve better N synchronization.     

北湖流域水质改善系统动力学研究

利用系统动力学擅长研究动态、非线性复杂系统的特点,将其应用于北湖水质改善分析,构建了系统动力学-水质耦合模型,可实现长时间序列的连续模拟和水环境管理的情景分析。文章定量分析了三产比例调整、城镇化率提高与污水集中处理等因素对流域纳污控制及水质改善的影响,推演出可协调经济发展-水环境保护-污水治理资金三方矛盾的合理方案,为类似小城镇的发展提供可借鉴的思路和方法。     

广东南水水库富营养化与浮游植物群落动态

南水水库是广东省第三大水库,属饮用水源一级保护区。于2011年1~12月对该水库的水文、水质和浮游植物进行了每月一次、为期一年的调查,采用营养状态指数(TSI)进行了水质综合评价,分析了浮游植物群落的动态变化规律,选择冗余分析(RDA)研究了影响浮游植物群落结构的环境因素。结果表明:南水水库现为贫营养型,全年浮游植物的种类变化不大,共鉴定出浮游植物6门50属(种),优势种以适应贫营养的种类为主,且浮游植物的丰度、生物量及叶绿素a浓度都较低,其均值分别为8.72×104～2.51×105cells/L、0.031～0.423 mg/L和0.83～2.80 mg/L。浮游植物群落主要以硅藻、甲藻和绿藻种群为主,硅藻种群全年占优势,甲藻和绿藻在不同季节优势度有变化,体现出从硅藻型到硅藻-甲藻型,到硅藻-绿藻型,再到硅藻-甲藻型的变化过程。温度、氮磷比和水体稳定性的季节变化是影响上述浮游植物群落动态的主要因子。     

一株Acinetobacter johnsonii的部分反硝化特性及动力学研究

从实验室A²/O小试设备中分离纯化出一株具有高亚硝酸盐氮（NO₂^--N）积累率的反硝化菌株ZY04,经过16SrDNA鉴定和基因比对后,初步鉴定为Acinetobacter johnsonii.使用Logistic模型可以很理想地拟合菌株ZY04的生长特性曲线,得到生长方程常数a=0.6588,b=24.08,k=0.2413.在维持初始基质中硝酸盐氮（NO₃^--N）浓度为100mg/L的条件下,改变碳源乙酸钠的浓度,使碳氮比（TOC/TN）为3.5,4.5,5.5,6.5,研究菌株ZY04部分反硝化性能,发现该菌株在不同碳氮比条件下均能够保持95%以上的NO₃^--N降解率,在碳氮比为3.5和4.5时,17h后NO₂^--N积累率达到70%以上;在碳氮比为5.5和6.5时,NO₂^--N积累率在更快的11h后达到85%以上,碳氮比为5.5时达到最高NO₂^--N积累率91%.使用Aiba,Edwards和Andrews模型对菌株的基质抑制动力学进行拟合,结果表明,3种模型均可以很好的拟合NO₃^--N和乙酸钠对菌株的单基质抑制动力学,在双基质抑制的9种组合中,有6种模型成功拟合了NO₃^--N和乙酸钠对菌株的双基质抑制动力学,得到了相关半饱和参数和基质抑制参数,相关系数（R²）可以达到98%.