基于氨挥发因子方法的中国农田氨排放量估算

农田是氨的主要排放源,估算农田的氨挥发量可以明确其潜在的生态环境风险,为制定农田氨减排策略提供科学依据.通过文献收集,建立了包含867对观测值的中国农田氨挥发数据库,然后以氮肥施用量为自变量,氮肥施用引起的氨排放量为因变量,计算得到体现农业区、作物类型、肥料类型、土壤pH差异的氨挥发因子,采用独立样本进行验证,发现计算得到的氨挥发因子可以无偏地、较为准确地估算中国农田的氨挥发.不同区域、作物和管理措施下的氨挥发因子有显著差异,整体上,由于南方地区年均温和年降雨量均高于北方,导致南方的氨挥发因子高于北方,而碱性土壤的氨挥发因子高于中性和酸性土壤;与单施化肥相比,多数情况下施用有机肥可降低氨挥发因子,使用缓释控释肥或抑制剂可显著降低氨挥发因子;以单施化肥为例,水稻种植的氨挥发因子为9.9%~37.0%,高于蔬菜（2.2%~13.0%）和其他作物（3.3%~8.0%）.2015年中国农田由无机氮肥使用引起的氨排放总量为3.21 Tg,95%置信区间为2.92~3.46 Tg,其中,粮食作物和蔬菜占比最高,分别为66%和20%,豆科作物占比最低（0.8%）.由于气候、土壤、作物类型的差异,氨挥发呈现明显的空间异质性,长江中下游区排放量最高,而青藏区排放量最低.     

两种油菜不同铅富集能力差异机理

通过水培试验和大田试验研究了秦油1号（QY-1）和三月黄（SYH）2种油菜对Pb的吸收富集能力,并从叶片的亚细胞结构和抗氧化酶活性等角度探究二者对Pb的耐性和解毒机制.结果表明,在水培条件下,2种油菜的生长均未受到明显的抑制,随着Pb胁迫的增加,油菜吸收的Pb更倾向于分配在根部,减弱向地上部的转运.同时,在高Pb处理浓度（20mg/L）下,SYH的地上部和根部的Pb含量分别比QY-1提高了17.03%和77.07%.油菜叶片中Pb亚细胞区隔化研究结果表明,将Pb区隔在生物解毒组分（金属富集颗粒组分和热稳定蛋白组分）中是油菜富集Pb的重要耐性机制,其中SYH在该组分中Pb的分布显著高于QY-1.此外,抗氧化系统是这2种油菜应对Pb胁迫的重要解毒机制,Pb胁迫下SYH体内过氧化物酶和过氧化氢酶活性显著高于QY-1,可更有效地应对Pb胁迫对其的毒害效应.大田试验表明,田间条件下2种油菜吸收的Pb更倾向于转运到地上,且SYH的富集系数、地上部和根部Pb含量均显著高于QY-1.综上,SYH具有更高的Pb富集能力,具有修复中轻度Pb污染土壤的应用潜力.     

中国农田畜禽粪尿氮负荷量及其还田潜力

为准确掌握中国各省区畜禽粪尿及氮负荷量,以及还田利用潜力,本研究基于统计数据和已有资料,利用猪粪当量(N)估算了1978年以来中国畜禽粪尿量的变化规律,以及各类畜禽粪尿的构成比例,分析和评价了2016各省份畜禽粪尿、纯氮负荷量的空间分布和污染风险,并估算了各省份畜禽粪尿的还田潜力.结果表明,中国畜禽粪尿猪粪当量(N)及其N养分量总体上呈"快速增加(1978~2005年)-保持稳定(2006~2016年)"的变化态势,到2016年,分别达到366 822.01×10~4t和2 024.10×10~4t,均增长了105.78%,94.03%~98.34%的粪尿量来源于家禽、羊、猪和牛.畜禽粪尿猪粪当量(N)及其N养分量最大的区域是华北地区,其中河南省为最,分别占全国的22.25%和8.81%.其次是四川,占8.14%.按耕地、作物播种面积和农用地面积分别计算单位面积上的畜禽粪尿猪粪当量(N)及其N养分量,并进行r值分级和环境风险评价.如果承载场所为耕地,负荷量较大的是西南和东南地区,污染风险较严重的是华北地区,为Ⅳ级;若按农作物种植面积,西北和西南地区负荷量较大,西北和华北地区为Ⅲ级有污染风险;若按农用地计算,华北和东南地区负荷量较大,华北地区Ⅲ级有污染风险,湖南负荷量最大,北京、山东和河南为Ⅳ级较严重污染风险.全国畜禽粪尿猪粪当量(N)及其N养分还田量分别为113 480.75×10~4t和626.15×10~4t,按单位农用地面积分别相当于3.07 t·hm~(-2)和16.92 kg·hm~(-2),华北地区最大,为8.27t·hm~(-2)和45.62 kg·hm~(-2).若按50%的粪尿N养分环境容量(85 kg·hm~(-2))计算,全国可增加粪尿N养分还田量为2 520.21×10~4t,粮食主产区黑龙江还田潜力最大,其次是四川.     

济南市城区水资源价值模糊综合评价

水资源具有价值和价格，价格杠杆是解决水问题的重要手段。以济南市城区为例，分析了影响水资源价值的主要因素，运用模糊数学方法对水资源价值进行了评价，并计算出了济南市城区的水资源价值。     

我国水资源管理现状及对策

从建立水资源管理体系、水资源管理法规等方面介绍了我国水资源管理的现状，指出我国的水资源管理存在水平落后、市场化程度低、体制和政策上存在弊端以及忽视节水方针的实施等问题，提出了，通过倡导新的生态经济管理思想、建立国家统一的水资源管理体系、以市场为导向进行水资源管理、建设节水型社会和采用先进技术等解决问题的办法。     

论耕地质量、种粮效益与我国粮食安全

我国粮食安全供应的基础就是保持耕地数量，提高耕地质量。但由于工业化和城市化的需要，我国耕地数量减少的趋势难以避免。同时，耕地质量下降、种粮效益低迷也威胁着我国粮食供应的安全基础。文章在分析我国耕地减少、质量下降，种粮效益差的原因及其影响的基础上，提出了一些提高耕地质量和土地经营水平的对策建议。     

A MUNICIPAL WATER SUPPLY INVESTMENT PROBLEM IN RHODE ISLAND1

ABSTRACT: The traditional “requirements” approach to water system planning presumes perfectly inelastic demand and arbitrarily selects a fixed water requirement per capita per day as a planning target. Economists have often pointed out that such a policy leads to over-investment in water supply facilities; a superior approach would maximize some measure of net benefits incorporating price-sensitive demand. Using a dynamic programming model to depict an investment problem in Rhode Island, we find that ambiguities about how to incorporate price-sensitive demand into a decision framework may make such an approach as arbitrary as the requirements approach. Water conservation responses may be a function of other social parameters than water price; if so, variations in these social parameters should be regarded as economic alternatives to water supply investments.     

EFFECT OF PRICE ON THE RESIDENTIAL DEMAND FOR WATER WITHIN AN AGENCY1

ABSTRACT: This paper develops a model that can be used to forecast the residential elasticity of demand for water within a district. Long-term water conservation programs and revenue and cost decisions hinge crucially on a determination of this elasticity. This study then pools cross-sectional (census) and time series data to generate elasticity forecasts for the Oakland urban area.     

Carbon forestry economic mitigation potential in India,by land classification

Carbon forestry mitigation potential estimates at the global-level are limited by the absence or simplicity of national-level estimates, and similarly national-level estimates are limited by absence of regional-level estimates. The present study aims to estimate the mitigation potential for a large diverse country such as India, based on the GTAP global land classification system of agro-ecological zones (AEZs), as well the Indian AEZ system. The study also estimates the implications of carbon price incentive (US$50 and $100) on mitigation potential in the short-, medium- and long-term, since afforestation and reforestation (A & R) is constrained by lack of investment and financial incentives. The mitigation potential for short and long rotation plantations and natural regeneration was estimated using the GCOMAP global forest model for two land area scenarios. One scenario included only wastelands (29 Mha), and the second enhanced area scenario, included wastelands plus long fallow and marginal croplands (54 Mha). Under the $100 carbon price case, significant additional area (3.6 Mha under the wasteland scenario and 6.4 Mha under the enhanced area scenario) and carbon mitigation is gained in the short-term (2025) compared to the baseline when using the GTAP land classification system. The area brought under A & R increases by 85–100% for the $100 carbon price compared to $50 carbon price in the short-term, indicating the effectiveness of higher carbon price incentives, especially in the short-term. A comparison of estimates of mitigation potential using GTAP and Indian AEZ land classification systems showed that in the short-term, 35% additional C-stock gain is achieved in the $100 carbon price case in the enhanced area scenario of the Indian AEZ system. This difference highlights the role of the land classification system adopted in estimation of aggregate mitigation potential estimates, particularly in the short-term. Uncertainty involved in the estimates of national-level mitigation potential needs to be reduced, by generating reliable estimates of carbon stock gain and losses, and cost and benefit data, for land use sector mitigation options at a scale disaggregated enough to be relevant for national mitigation planning.     

农田土壤中辛基酚聚氧乙烯醚降解菌的分离

研究针对采自上海孙桥农业园区8个不同来源的农田表层土壤样品(旱田、水田、大棚中的不同作物土壤),以辛基酚聚氧乙烯醚(OPEOn)为唯一碳源培养,在好氧条件下,观察其生物降解情况,并初步分离得到了六株OPEOn降解菌株(1个真菌,5个细菌),它们能够不同程度地降解OPEOn,利用气相色谱仪(GC)对降解产物进行了表征和鉴别,分别从3个土壤样品中分离得到的菌株对OPEOn降解得最为彻底,为后续研究工作的深入奠定了生物学基础。